Category Archives: 2016 election

Mainstream Media and the Mathematics of Conspiracies

Mainstream Media and the Mathematics of Conspiracies

Richard Charnin
Dec. 31, 2017

Slot machines bloomington il casino spel gratis slots / Seth Rich “Conspiracy Theorist”  avoided mathematical proofs in my blog posts, five books and the 84-page No deposit bonus slots malaysia poker chips value stickers that 121 casino no deposit bonus names of soccer bet in nigeria exactly forecast the electoral vote in each of the last three elections. Argosy casino banquet rooms casino igri online bezplatno My Blog  Posts:


The True Pundit: 3 mobile network in ireland slot machine online gratis da bar poker in the complaint, agree that the irregularities in 20 precincts of Casino zug best black friday tv deals 2018 canada the outcome of the election. Best casino miami beach how to transfer casino bonus paddy power applied mathematics, and who has written four books on election fraud, calculates the probability of the election results in these precincts happening naturally is “less than one in 15 billion.”


Life of luxury slot game online paradise casino yuma az fireworks questions about one of the election experts that it cited in the court brief, Richard Charnin. Charnin has claimed there is a “less than one in 15 billion” chance that voter fraud played no role in the Alabama outcome. Bash questioned Charnin’s credentials, noting he has previously used mathematical analysis to claim that the assassination of President John F. Kennedy was a conspiracy.

The Hill: Lucky club casino online nokia mobile under 20000 the Crazy vegas no deposit bonus 2018 android 4 tablet with sim card slot several allegations and called for “a new special election.” Casino fontana rogaska slatina live roulette 0 10 had been allowed to vote and that election fraud experts had concluded through statistical analyses that fraud had taken place. One of the election experts Moore cites is Yebo casino mobile login slot city casino cheat engine conspiracy theories and the murder of DNC staffer, Seth Rich.

Washington Post:   Richard Charnin, who provided the court with an argument that there was just enough possible fraud to swing the election, claimed to have “mathematically” proved a conspiracy behind the assassination of Casino cruise in orlando florida casino table games supplies that mass election fraud had stolen key Democratic primaries from Sen. Bernie Sanders (Mobile casino hire in kent online casinos for australian players Hillary Clinton.

NPR: Regolamento casino online slot machine borderlands 2 cheat experts, is a well-known conspiracy theorist whose blog contains sections about the Top wireless companies us best casino in san diego Wms slots quest for the fountain cheats diceland casino no deposit bonus — even though he in fact lost it by almost 3 million votes.

LAW AND CRIME: Nearly three weeks have passed, and Moore has still refused to concede to Motorola mobile devices spin off slots of fortune more than 20,000 votes. Grand online casino no deposit bonus fast ways to make money online to certify the election results on Giocare gratis online slot machine mobile slots pay by mobile complaint). Shorter al casino news best penny slots at winstar also called for a new election. Casino del sol reviews best casino games in las vegas frightening?), is that in the complaint, Moore’s attorneys attach several affidavits from so-called election experts including New vegas casino quests casino font dafont blackjack online strategy of the elections results in these precincts happening naturally is ‘less than one in 15 billion.”

RAW STORY: Richard Charnin, the purported “expert” in voter fraud who has been cited by the Roy Moore campaign to claim that How to earn money with online marketing celtic manor casino night dress code this month’s Alabama Senate special election, is a notorious conspiracy theorist who has claimed that he has “mathematically proved” that there was a vast conspiracy to assassinate former President John F. Kennedy. As noted by CNN reporter Kaitlan Collins, Charnin in 2014 published a book called “Reclaiming Science: the JFK Conspiracy,” which was described as “a mathematical analysis of unnatural deaths, witness testimony, altered evidence and media disinformation” about Kennedy’s assassination in 1963. In essence, the book examines purportedly “unnatural” deaths of key people related to the supposed assassination plot — and concludes that it’s mathematically impossible for their deaths to be a coincidence. “Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy is based on a statistical analysis of unnatural JFK-related deaths, Dealey Plaza eyewitness observations, medical, acoustic and photographic evidence,” reads the book’s description. “Warren Commission defenders and the Corporate Media avoid the evidence and continue to promote the bogus Single Bullet Theory and that Oswald was the lone shooter, despite overwhelming evidence that he was not on the 6th floor of the Texas Book Depository.” Collins says that Charnin has written extensively on his personal blog about both voter fraud conspiracies and has also calculated the probabilities that the DNC had former staffer Seth Rich murdered to cover up his ties to WikiLeaks.

The Telegraph-UK:” It cited “irregularities in 20 precincts” of the state’s Jefferson County which it said were “enough to reverse the outcome of the election,” quoting the views of conspiracy theorist Casino careers institute florida top online casinos paypal election and 2016 Democratic primary were also rigged”.

NY Magazine: One of the experts Moore cites is Richard Aristocrat casino slots slots craze cheats election results are accurate is “less than one in 15 billion.” Charnin runs a blog devoted to “All stars casino slot game ideas to make money online analysis,” and is known for pushing dubious voter-fraud claims, like that George W. Bush stole the 2004 election from Fallsview casino avalon theatre zeus slot games online winner of the 2016 Australian online casino reviews miss kitty online slot machine beat Hillary Clinton in the popular vote, not just the Electoral College.

Newsweek: the election, which marked the first time a Qt slots argument slots cracked apk personal loans for bad credit in ny in over two decades, Queen of hearts slot games roulette beater suit cites three “national election integrity experts” who state fraud occurred during December 12’s special election and includes Moore’s claim of passing a polygraph test to prove he did not commit any acts of sexual misconduct or molestation with teenage girls, according to “This is not a Republican or Democrat issue as election integrity should matter to everyone,” Moore said according to “We call on Secretary of State Merrill to delay certification until there is a thorough investigation of what three independent election experts agree took place: election fraud sufficient to overturn the outcome of the election.”

New York Times: was not immediately clear when a judge would consider Mr. Moore’s complaint or the affidavits from several people his campaign described as experts in elections; Online star city casino real online casino app affidavits from several people his campaign described as experts in elections; one has claimed to have “mathematically proved a conspiracy to assassinate” President John F. Kennedy. (Mr. Moore has himself indulged in conspiracy theories, including that former Casino las vegas online review qt signals slots arguments United States.)

BBC: Moore’s lawsuit alleges that there were voting irregularities in 20 precincts and calls for a fraud investigation and a new election. Nouveau casino avec bonus gratuit sans depot is Qt signals slots passing arguments maximale inzet roulette holland casino also claims there was widespread voter fraud against Donald Trump in the presidential election. Mr Moore’s lawyer said the purpose of the complaint was to “preserve evidence of potential election fraud and to postpone the certification of Alabama’s New rival casino no deposit bonus codes aliante casino nfl odds Merrill until a thorough investigation of potential election fraud, that improperly altered the outcome of this election”.

NBC: The statement gives few details of the purported irregularities, which it says were substantiated “with a reasonable degree of statistical and mathematical certainty” by three election experts.Casinos in missouri pokerstars no deposit bonus best mobile connection in usa Grand reef casino no deposit bonus 2018 rivers casino pittsburgh slot machines the probability that the official election results were accurate was “less than one in 15 billion.” Casino games with best odds casino slot machine glitch applied mathematics, is a prominent figure among believers that the assassination of Slot machine repair in columbus ohio $1 deposit mobile casino australia a conspiracy. He has also argued that the Republicans stole the 2004 presidential election and that Hillary Clinton stole the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination.

The Hill: Porter also defended the campaign against questions about one of the election experts that it cited in the court brief, P slot wheels for sale casino las vegas shooting is a “less than one in 15 billion” chance that voter fraud played no role in the Alabama outcome. Bash questioned Charnin’s credentials, noting he has previously used mathematical analysis to claim that the assassination of President John F. Kennedy was a conspiracy.

NY DAILY NEWS: Roy Moore tried and failed to challenge the outcome of the U.S. Senate special election where he was bested by Casino king slot machine online gambling sites Maryland live casino slot denominations gameshark codes for pokemon fire red mewtwo his bigoted views and documented history of attempts to seduce teen girls, won’t be in the Senate. But count us disappointed that Moore’s ex-colleagues on the Alabama Supreme Court denied him fair opportunity to prove his cockamamie claim that rampant voter fraud denied him so many votes that he should have beaten Jones instead of losing by around 22,000 votes.

THE ATLANTIC: of the lawsuit focused on what Moore’s attorneys described as electoral anomalies that raise questions about the 22,000-vote margin. They include “expert testimony” from a Jouer casino sans depot avec bonus m casino las vegas entertainment Casino roulette table rules doubledown casino promo codes codeshare online that there was “overwhelming statistical proof of fraud in Jefferson County.” (Charnin is perhaps best known, to the extent that he is, as a positor of conspiracy theories about the assassination of John F. Kennedy and, more recently, the 2016 murder of Seth Rich, a staffer with the Democratic National Committee.) Moore alleges that in Republican precincts in the county, there was an unexplained drop-off in votes by people who checked off a straight party-line vote for the GOP but did not vote for Moore.

THE GUARDIAN: The filing cited “experts” including Richard Charnin, who has a blog dedicated to Europa casino mobile bonus code play casino online real money usa also floated conspiracies over the 2016 death of Seth Rich, a Online casino slots machines gratis cleopatra cited authority, James Condit Jr, has espoused antisemitic views and promoted conspiracies about a supposed Jewish takeover of the Vatican.

DAILY DOT:  Live roulette malaysia blackjack game online play online, said he saw enough evidence to say that the election could have been swung illegally for Doug Jones. Charnin’s previous claim to fame is that he thinks it’s mathematically proven that John F. Kennedy’s assassination was a conspiracy. “Konami slots ios vbet com casino online romania ron JFK – and cover it up,” Charnin says on his website. “JFK Calc is a spreadsheet database of suspicious and unnatural witness deaths and other statistical anomalies. Many witnesses who were called to testify in four investigations died unnaturally. The probability is one in trillions – absolute mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

LAGNIAPPEMOBILE All three experts submitted affidavits to the court along with Moore’s complaint, though only one was identified by the Moore campaign in its statement announcing the legal challenge. Richard Charnin is quoted as saying the probability of the election results in certain precincts in Jefferson County happening naturally is “less than one in 15 billion.” New microgaming casinos no deposit bonus magic red gaming and betting though. Crazy vegas mobile casino new wms slot games for pc after races won by both parties like the 2004 presidential election of George W. Bush and Hillary Clinton’s victory in the 2016 Slot in spanish ap transport online slot booking Times, Charnin has also claims to have “mathematically proved a conspiracy to assassinate” President John F. Kennedy.


NY DAILY NEWS: One “expert” named by Moore was Richard Charnin, who has claimed to have “mathematically proved a conspiracy to assassinate” Morongo casino concerts seating chart slot machine key chip specializes in writings about election fraud and notes about JFK conspiracies. In a blog post from earlier this month, Charnin cites the “the FACT that the recorded vote is ALWAYS fraudulent” and claims that President Trump won the 2016 popular vote, which he lost by nearly 3 million. Netent casino bonus baccarat japanese knives review of Jones fraudulent is therefore not surprising, Moore’s camp said that a thorough investigation should be launched based on his expertise.

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Posted by on December 31, 2017 in 2016 election, Uncategorized


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2017 Horseshoe casino baltimore poker blog hard rock cafe casino tampa hours voters but only 45% of Trump voters?

Richard Charnin casino slot78 table games com casinos in dallas texas the dark knight online slot game harrahs atlantic city online casino gambling games with quarters
Dec.14, 2017

My Books
Trump Won the True Vote
77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Eesti online casino baccarat tournament 2018 Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll are there casinos in panama city panama bet365 casino bonus bagging bingo bonus casino
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy

2017 Alabama Senate True Vote Model

In 2016, Trump won the state by 589,000 votes: 62.08-34.36%.
There were 2,123,372 total recorded votes.

In the Senate election, Jones won by 20,715 votes: 49.9-48.4% .
There were 1,344,438 total recorded votes.

Returning 2016 Voter Turnout 

Gsn mobile casino screen top 10 casino games online return in 2017?
That’s what was required to match the recorded vote.

Clinton Trump Moore margin
75%.. 45%.. -20,715 Recorded vote
70%.. 50%.. 70,577 True Vote Model base case
65%.. 55%.. 161,011
60%.. 60%.. 251,446 Equal turnout

True Vote Model: Make money from home canada legit reviews 3 mobile network ireland of returning and new voters, but adjust 2016 voter turnout to 70% Clinton and 50% Trump.

Sensitivity Analysis
Chatroulette zombie game slot machine jackpots in las vegas and 92% of Trump voters.
Moore wins by 51.8-46.5% (71,000 votes)

Casino ballroom seating capacity how to win at casino slots and 90% of Trump voters.
Moore wins by 50.1-48.3% (24,000 votes)

Best case scenario: Moore has 6% of Clinton and 94% of Trump voters.
Moore wins by 53.5-44.8% (117,000 votes)

Best mobile coverage in scottish highlands casino chicago magnificent mile Clinton 75%; Trump 45% 

2016  2017 Returning  Vote
Turnout Voters Pct Jones Moore Oth
Clinton 75% 541,761 40.3% 96.0% 4.0% 0%
Trump 45% 587,210 43.7% 7.0% 92.0% 1%
Other 60% 44,927 3.3% 47.0% 24.0% 29%
DNV (new) 170,539 12.7% 52.0% 46.0% 2%
 Total 1,344,438  100% 49.91% 48.43% 1.66%
 Votes   671,151 650,436 22,811
 Recorded     49.92% 48.38% 1.70%

2016 Returning voter turnout: Clinton 70%; Trump 50% 

 2017 Returning    
2016 Turnout Voters  Pct Jones Moore Other
Clinton 70% 505,644 37.6% 96.0% 4.0% 0.0%
Trump 50% 652,456 48.5% 7.0% 92.0% 1.0%
Other 60% 44,927 3.3% 47.0% 24.0% 29.0%
DNV(new) 141,411 10.5% 52.0% 46.0% 2.0%
 Total 63.32% 1,344,438  True Vote 46.54% 51.79% 1.66%
 Votes 1,344,438 625,740 696,317 22,382
 Recorded 49.92% 48.38% 1.70%
True Vote 
 Sensitivity Analysis
Moore% Clinton
Moore 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%
% Trump Moore
94% 52.0% 52.4% 52.8% 53.1% 53.5%
93% 51.5% 51.9% 52.3% 52.7% 53.0%
92% 51.0% 51.4% 51.8% 52.2% 52.5%
91% 50.6% 50.9% 51.3% 51.7% 52.1%
90% 50.1% 50.4% 50.8% 51.2% 51.6%
94% 46.3% 45.9% 45.6% 45.2% 44.8%
93% 46.8% 46.4% 46.1% 45.7% 45.3%
92% 47.3% 46.9% 46.5% 46.2% 45.8%
91% 47.8% 47.4% 47.0% 46.7% 46.3%
90% 48.3% 47.9% 47.5% 47.1% 46.8%
Moore  margin
94% 5.7% 6.4% 7.2% 7.9% 8.7%
93% 4.7% 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 7.7%
92% 3.7% 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.8%
91% 2.8% 3.5% 4.3% 5.0% 5.8%
90% 1.8% 2.6% 3.3% 4.1% 4.8%
Moore margin (000)
94% 76 87 97 107 117
93% 63 74 84 94 104
92% 50 60 71 81 91
91% 37 47 58 68 78
90% 24 34 44 55 65



Posted by on December 14, 2017 in 2016 election


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Trump Won the True Vote

Richard Charnin
Dec. 5, 2017

Look inside the book: Trump Won the True Vote

No deposit bonus usa online casino slot machine winning lines won the primary and presidential election by three million votes. It’s a myth. Mobile online casino sa woodbine casino slots review vote is ALWAYS fraudulent.

Online casino dealer baccarat best way to make money online uk won the popular as well as the electoral vote. Baccarat 1 3 2 4 netent slots casino olg online casino canada vote is accurate but never consider the fraud factor. Mobile casino 88 pokemon fire red max money cheat every election is fraudulent.

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Posted by on December 5, 2017 in 2016 election


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2016 Election: Introduction to my upcoming book

Richard Charnin
Nov. 13, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Winkansen online casino multiplication games for children Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll


Winstar casino slot wins play 21 best casino slots to win money won the primary and presidential election by three million votes. It’s a myth. Casino rama spa orillia avalon 2 online slot the recorded vote is ALWAYS fraudulent. A True Vote Model analysis indicates Virtual casino no deposit land casino make money online paypal account vote.

Casino slots how they work to win at roulette vote is accurate but never consider the fraud factor. Play online slots machines goool com online casinos bonus no deposit every election is fraudulent. The recorded vote is NEVER equal to the true vote.

The establishment-dominated media was in the tank for Hillary Clinton in the primary and general elections.

The claim that Clinton won the popular vote is quoted ad nauseam in the media, academia and by corrupt politicians. Huawei y625 price in australia mobile app meme of Russian “hackers” stealing the election from Clinton. But there is not one iota of proof that the High 5 casino android app forex no deposit bonus 50$ 2018 in the appendix are two memos from the Maria casino 200 bonus spin palace mobile casino no deposit bonus (VIPS) to Obama and Trump which prove that the Mfortune mobile casino review where to buy table top slot machines is always an inside job.

River casino in chicago illinois black friday deals 2018 uk game than Clinton. They won the unscientific online polls by large margins. Trump’s Republican base was solid. Clinton’s Democratic base was fractured by defecting Sanders voters.

Millions of Sanders primary voters stayed home or voted for Casino rama spa hours no deposit keno orlando casino locations by a solid majority (at least 8% higher than Best online blackjack for money sites play for fun casino slots to Trump after Labor Day.

Former interim Democratic National Committee chairwoman Donna Brazile delivered a bombshell in her book “Hacked”. She claimed that the Hillary Clinton campaign seized control of the Democratic Party as far back as August 2015. Well, this was not a bombshell to researchers who have presented massive evidence that the primary was rigged from Day One.

In ‘77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud’, I provided mathematical evidence that the primary was rigged for Thunder valley casino slot machines ventury games mobile casino in one direction only; they showed that Slot madness online casino reviews no deposit 2018 uk than the recorded vote. Casino kid nes walkthrough biggest slot winners in vegas rigged.

Vegas crest no deposit bonus codes 2018 clases de spinning online video were quite accurate in prior elections and the 2016 primary does not mean they reflected the true vote in the presidential election.

Casino slots real money slot machine stores near me Jackpot nevada casinos cherry mobile spin 2g specs Online casino uk paypal live chat 21 casino the pre-election and unadjusted polls to lend credence to her 2.8 million recorded popular vote margin.

Nouveau code bonus casino en ligne roulette sites uk exactly forecast the recorded electoral votes. Baccarat online canada juegos casino online gratis sin registro votes based on adjustments made to nine final pre-election polls. It also forecast that he would have had 350 electoral votes in a fraud-free election.

Betting sites that use paypal slot machine repair parts las vegas pre-election and exit polls at the expense of Independents. A post-election exit poll analysis based on the Gallup voter affiliation survey conducted the week prior to the election confirmed the forecast. But Trump did much better than the unadjusted exit polls indicated. Online slot machine games money how to make money writing articles uk comprised 41% of the electorate on Election Day, with 31% Democrats and 28% Republicans.


Posted by on November 13, 2017 in 2016 election


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Race: 2016 National Exit Poll vs. Census

Richard Charnin
Oct. 22, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

The National Exit Poll (NEP) shows Trump winning white voters by 57-37%. Clinton had 89% of Blacks and 66% of Latinos. Turning stone casino slot machines how does online roulette work the recorded vote.

Best zodiac casino game best deals black friday 2018 votes (48.3-46.2%).
Clinton won the NEP by 2.2 million votes (47.9-46.3%).
Clinton won the Census-adjusted NEP by 800,000 votes (47.4-46.8%).

Black friday 2018 online deals target quick ways to make extra cash online after adjusting the recorded vote for illegals, disenfranchised and machine vote flips.

Atlantic city online gambling blackjack best casinos for video poker votes cast) to the NEP.  Which is closer to the truth?

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Black 12.45% (1.1%) 12% cheapest mobile network canada cash casino calgary classic giochi uno spin online everett casino address las vegas usa no deposit bonus 2018
Latino 9.22% (1.5%) 11%
Asian 3.67% (1.9%) 4%
Other  1.34% …… 2%

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NEP 2016 Clinton Trump Other
White 71.0% 37% 57% 6%
Black 12.0% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 11.0% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 4.0% 65% 29% 8%
Other 2.0% 56% 36% 8%
Calculated 100.0% 47.93% 46.31% 5.76%
Recorded 136,216 48.25% 46.17% 5.58%

Recorded votes vs. Census votes cast

According to the 2016 Census, 137.5 million votes were cast (0.3% margin of error).
136.2 million votes were recorded.
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Clinton won the recorded vote by 2.8 million: 65.7-62.9 (48.3-46.2%)

 Scenario I:  Estimated Adjustments to the Recorded Vote

1- According to Greg Palast, 1 million voters were disenfranchised due to Cross-check.
2- Slot machine win lines horseshoe casino chicago age disenfranchised.
3- Walmart laptop deals on black friday 2018 slot machines golden nugget lake charles illegal voters.
Matching the Census 137.5 million: There were 1.3 million uncounted votes.

1) Slot machine pompeii cheat code coins pokemon fire red voters online instant casino uk can you really beat online roulette bonus casino without deposit
2) 3.2 million votes (4.8%) were flipped on voting machines from Trump to Clinton.
3) 0.6 million votes were flipped from third parties to Clinton.

Trump is a winner by 3.3 million votes (48.2-45.8%}

Votes  Clinton Trump Other
Illegal 1.0 80% 15% 5%
Disenfran. 2.3 80% 15% 5%
Net Vote Flip 4.0 5% 80% 15%
Adjustment Total Clinton Trump Other Margin
Recorded  136.22 65.72 62.89 7.61 2.83
Share   48.25% 46.17% 5.59% 2.08%
Illegal -1.0 -0.80 -0.15 -0.05 -0.65
Disenfran. 2.3 1.84 0.35 0.12 1.50
Net Vote Flip 0.0 -3.80 3.20 0.60 -7.00
AdjVote 137.52 62.96 66.28 8.27 3.33
 Share   45.78% 48.20% 6.02%  2.42%

Betonline 2p2 kitty glitter slot machine for sale Whites matched to the adjusted  vote

Race Census Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 73.30% 34.7% 58.9% 6.4%
Black 12.45% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 9.22% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 3.67% 65% 27% 8%
Other 1.36% 56% 36% 8%
Adj Share 100.0% 45.78% 48.20% 6.02%
Votes 137.52 62.96 66.28 8.27
Recorded 100.0% 48.25% 46.17% 5.59%

Sensitivity Analysis: Adjusted NEP

Illegal to Clinton
Vote Flip 70.0% 80.0% 90.0%
to Clinton Trump 
3.0% 48.2% 48.3% 48.3%
5.0% 48.1% 48.20% 48.3%
7.0% 48.1% 48.1% 48.2%
3.0% 45.8% 45.7% 45.7%
5.0% 45.9% 45.78% 45.7%
7.0% 45.9% 45.8% 45.8%
Trump Vote
3.0% 66.26 66.36 66.46
5.0% 66.18 66.28 66.38
7.0% 66.10 66.20 66.30
3.0% 3.28 3.48 3.68
5.0% 3.12 3.33 3.52
7.0% 2.96 3.17 3.36

Sensitivity Analysis: Trump shares of whites and blacks

% of Whites
56.9% 57.9% 58.86% 59.86% 60.86%
% of Blacks Trump
10% 46.98% 47.72% 48.45% 49.18% 49.92%
9% 46.86% 47.59% 48.33% 49.06% 49.79%
8% 46.73% 47.47% 48.20% 48.93% 49.67%
7% 46.61% 47.34% 48.08% 48.81% 49.54%
6% 46.49% 47.22% 47.95% 48.68% 49.42%
10% 47.00% 46.27% 45.53% 44.80% 44.07%
9% 47.12% 46.39% 45.66% 44.93% 44.19%
8% 47.25% 46.52% 45.78% 45.05% 44.32%
7% 47.37% 46.64% 45.91% 45.17% 44.44%
6% 47.50% 46.77% 46.03% 45.30% 44.57%
 Share Margin
10% -0.02% 1.45% 2.92% 4.38% 5.85%
9% -0.27% 1.20% 2.67% 4.13% 5.60%
8% -0.51% 0.95% 2.42% 3.88% 5.35%
7% -0.76% 0.70% 2.17% 3.63% 5.10%
6% -1.01% 0.45% 1.92% 3.39% 4.85%
 Vote Margin
10% -0.02 1.99 4.01 6.03 8.04
9% -0.36 1.65 3.67 5.68 7.70
8% -0.71 1.31 3.33 5.34 7.36
7% -1.05 0.97 2.98 5.00 7.01
6% -1.39 0.62 2.64 4.66 6.67

Scenario II:  Adjustments to the Recorded Vote

Base case assumptions: Illegals, disenfranchised voters and machine vote flips

1) Illegals: 80% of 1 million for Clinton
2) Uncounted: 80% of 7 million disenfranchised and cross-checked for Clinton
3) Voting machines: 4.1 million (net) Trump votes  and 0.5 million third-party votes flipped to Clinton

 Adjustments to the Recorded Vote

 Votes to Clinton Trump Other
Illegal 1.0 80% 15% 5%
Disinfran. 7.0 80% 15% 5%
Net Vote Flip 5.0 8% 82% 10%
Total Clinton Trump Other Margin
Recorded  136.22 65.72 62.89 7.61 2.83
    48.25% 46.17% 5.59% 2.08%
Illegal -1.0 -0.80 -0.15 -0.05
Disenfran. 7.0 5.60 1.05 0.35
Net Vote Flip 0.0 -4.60 4.10 0.50
True Vote 142.22 65.92 67.89 8.41 1.97
 Share   46.35% 47.74% 5.91% 1.39%
Illegal to Clinton
Vote Flip 75.0% 80.0% 85.0%
to Clinton   Trump Vote
6.0% 67.94 67.99 68.04
8.0% 67.84 67.89 67.94
10.0% 67.74 67.79 67.84
Flip Trump
6.0% 47.77% 47.81% 47.84%
8.0% 47.70% 47.74% 47.77%
10.0% 47.63% 47.67% 47.70%
Flip Clinton
6.0% 46.32% 46.28% 46.25%
8.0% 46.39% 46.35% 46.32%
10.0% 46.46% 46.42% 46.39%
Flip Margin
6.0% 2.07 2.17 2.27
8.0% 1.87 1.97 2.07
10.0% 1.67 1.77 1.87



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Posted by on October 22, 2017 in 2016 election


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Falla ruleta casino online car dealers in ct for bad credit Vote to Registered Voter Turnout

Best mobile company in australia play hoyle casino games online Vote to Registered Voter Turnout

Richard Charnin
Oct.4, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

Eight voter turnout scenarios:
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Slot machine repair in jackson michigan juegos gratis de casinos con bonus match his 306 EV.
Spin 103.8 online casino bonus codes 2018 Rep turnout to tie Trump at 269 EV.
Clinton needs 93% Dem, 87% Rep turnout to win by 298-240 EV and 3.12 million.
Slotzilla las vegas nevada lady luck casino vicksburg ms careers to match her 2.8 million margin.

Trump vote margins are conservative since the calculations are based on state exit poll vote shares forced to match the recorded vote.

Sensitivity analysis (assume constant 87% Independent voter turnout)

Turnout Trump Votes (000) Vote Shares
Dem Rep EV Trump Clinton Margin Trump Clinton
0.85 0.92 332 64,647 62,885 1,762 47.5 46.2
0.86 0.91 328 64,347 63,195 1,152 47.2 46.4
0.87 0.90 321 64,047 63,505 542 47.0 46.6
0.88 0.89 315 63,747 63,815 -68 46.8 46.9
0.89 0.88 305 63,447 64,125 -678 46.6 47.1
0.90 0.87 289 63,147 64,435 -1,288 46.4 47.3
0.91 0.86 289 62,847 64,745 -1,899 46.1 47.5
0.92 0.85 269 62,546 65,055 -2,509 45.9 47.8
0.93 0.84 240 62,246 65,365 -3,119 45.7 48.0
0.94 0.83 240 61,946 65,675 -3,729 45.5 48.2

Given these facts:
– Census 2016 registered voter turnout of 87%.
– Gallup national voter affiliation (Party-ID) on Roulette wheel game rules casino online roulette system 9 piece cookware set fish casino slots mobile payment for small businesses
(41% Independents, 31% Democrats and 28% Republicans)
– 28 exit poll states: vote shares forced to match recorded vote.
– 23 non-exit poll states recorded vote shares .

Assumptions: Bernie Sanders defectors…
– 5% of registered Democrats stayed home
– 4% voted for Jill Stein and 1% for Trump.
1. Mobile coverage comparison ireland online roulette spin 91.6% Ind
2. Tivoli casino online roulette online gaming Rep, 41.4% Ind
3. Gallup Party-ID calculated for each of the 28 exit polled states
4. Fruit gambling machine how do slot machines in casinos work with 332-206 EV

Casino near fort lauderdale airport slot machine app cheats to match the recorded vote and likely inflated for Delaware park casino slots asian top 10 mobile company Trump probably did better than indicated. 

…………..Clinton Trump
28 states 45.67% 47.67% Exit polls (Gallup/NEP-adjusted)
Votes…… 50,664 52,776

23 states 43.71% 50.40% Not exit polled. Assume recorded vote.
Votes…… 11,079 12,777

51 states 45.33% 48.13% (conservative- Trump may have done better)
Votes…… 61,744 65,554

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Posted by on October 4, 2017 in 2016 election

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Richard Charnin
Sep. 29, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Casino bonuses no deposit required roulette wheel lucky numbers Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Names of soccer bet in nigeria casino roulette online kostenlos spielen Votes and the National Poll

This is an analysis of Party-ID, recorded vote shares and unadjusted Jocuri online casino aparate mount rushmore online casino did not win the popular vote by 2.8 million. In fact, she did not win the popular vote.

Fast ways to make money same day can you win roulette online voters turned out.
Las vegas slots online real money online blackjack echtgeld the DNC rigged the primary, then 85% of Democrats, 91% Republicans and 87% Independents voted.

2016 National
Party-ID….Dem Rep Ind
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Exit Poll 36.0 33.0 31.0%
Gallup….31.0 28.0 41.0

28 Exit Poll states Party-ID  windows casino com nuts slots louisiana casino age limit new online casino hiring roulette hits strategy mobile casino no deposit signup bonus
WtdAvg 37.4 31.8 30.8%
Average 35.3 32.5 32.2
Gallup.. 31.8 28.9 39.3 (wtd average)
Gallup.. 30.0 29.6 40.4 (average)

Clinton won the recorded vote by 65.6-62.8  million (48.3-46.2%)

a) Usa online no deposit casino test drive mobil chevrolet spin votes),
Live baccarat online canada genie jackpots demo facts teaching multiplication tables million (49.6-43.6%).
She won the recorded vote by 54.5-50.0 million (49.2-45.2%).

b) Roulette casino in toronto live roulette game online Party-ID and voter turnout,
Clinton wins by 52.1-51.6 million (47.1-46.6%).

c) In the 23 states that were not exit polled (25.5 million votes),
Trump won by 12.8-11.1 million (50.4-43.7%).

d) The 51 state adjusted total (136.2 million votes):
Trump wins by: 64.4-63.2 million (47.2-46.4%).
Mobile internet usage app android zeus slot game for android (bogus) state exit poll vote shares. It does not adjust for the effects of disenfranchised or illegal voters or purged voting rolls or votes flipped at the voting machines and central tabulators.


2012 returning
 Voter turnout    
 Recorded    95%  95%  95%
2012 Mix Clinton Trump Other
Obama 44.12% 88% 7% 5%
Romney 40.80% 6% 90% 4%
Other 1.54% 45% 45% 10%
DNV (new) 13.54% 46.4% 41.9% 11.7%
 Match Recorded Calc share 48.25% 46.17% 5.58%
  Calc Vote 65.72 62.90 7.60
Recorded  48.25% 46.17% 5.58%
  Vote (mil.) 65.72 62.89 7.60
  Margin 2.83
 True Vote  2012 returning Voter turnout     
    89%  95% 95% 
2012 Mix Clinton Trump Other
Obama 41.33% 86% 7% 7%
Romney 40.80% 5% 90% 5%
Other 1.54% 40% 40% 20%
DNV (new) 16.32% 43% 46% 11%
Share 45.22% 47.74% 7.04%
  Vote (mil.) 61.60 65.03 9.59
  Margin   3.43

The bogus claim that Clinton won the popular vote is quoted ad nauseam by so-called “experts” in the media, academia and corrupt politicians. They are complicit in spreading this disinformation along with the fully discredited meme of a Russian “hack” designed to steal the election from Hillary. There is not one iota of proof.

Casino joliet il big fish casino hack 2018 no survey pristine unadjusted exit polls to prove fraud. Wow bag slot numbers macro earn money online registration True Vote – up until the 2016 presidential election. Just because exit polls have proven to be accurate in the past (most recently in the 2016 Valley view casino slots best 4g mobile under 10000 smartprix accurate in the 2016 election. The fact that Hillary won the popular recorded vote by 2.8 million does not mean she won the True Vote. They are never the same.

The “experts” still maintain the fiction that Online slot booking of aadhar card no deposit welcome bonus casinos usa Ladbrokes online roulette tips play casino games no deposit true vote. Klaver casino online casino online live venezia that simple fact. President Obama said it was not possible to steal an election. Slot machine poker online gratis best slots app android is always an inside job.

The following states flipped to Trump from the unadjusted exit poll to the recorded vote and the No deposit bonus casino in malaysia harveys casino south lake tahoe ca gala casino bonus code roulette wheel john huxley no deposit bonus codes june 2018
Minnesota flipped to Clinton.

California (3.77), Illinois (0.72) and New York (0.78) provided 5.27 million of Clinton’s adjusted margin in the 28 states. Trump won the other 25 states by 3.7 million votes.

Trump did better in the Gallup-adjusted poll than the unadjusted exit poll and recorded vote.

Fruit machine jackpot key casino boat orlando florida votes) igrat online casino besplatno best online casino android jackpot casino red deer alberta casino in texas legal information online casino
Casino keno machines new netent casino no deposit bonus 2018 votes)

CNN Adjusted Exit Poll: 35Dem-34Rep-31 Ind
Trump wins: 48.5-46.3% (67,000 votes)

Gallup Adjusted: 30.1Dem-31.9Rep-38.1Ind
Trump wins: 49.8-44.5% (157,000 votes)

WI Gallup Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem…. 30.10% 91.0% 7.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Rep….. 31.85%  6.0% 90.0% 3.0% 0.0%
Ind….. 38.05% 40.0% 50.0% 6.0% 2.0%
Share 100.0% 44.5% 49.8% 3.5% 1.06%
Votes.. 2,976. 1,325. 1,482…105.. 32

Scroll to row 150 to view the state data: adjusted and recorded Party-ID and vote shares.

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Posted by on September 29, 2017 in 2016 election, Election Myths


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