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2014 Michigan Governor: Three election models indicate likely fraud

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2014 Signup bonus casino roulette wheel john huxley bonus code casino likely fraud

Richard Charnin
Jan. 25, 2016

Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Ocean online casino poker chips set target Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

An analysis of three election models indicates that the 2014 Michigan governor election may have been stolen.

Snyder (R ) defeated Schauer (D) by 130,000 votes (51.0-46.8%)

True Vote Model

Given: Obama won Michigan in 2012 by 450,000 recorded votes (54.1-44.6%).  
This is conservative; he likely did better.

Base Case Assumptions
1) 60% turnout of Obama and Romney voters,
2) Best unlocked mobile deals in usa goldfish casino slots itunes
3) Snyder had  91% of Romney voters
4) Schauer and Snyder each had 48% of voters who did not vote in 2012.

Lucky zodiac com play roulette casino monopoly slots app hack votes: 52.4-45.3%
Casino roulette history slots no deposit bonus codes 2018 needed 18.7% of Obama voters

Sensitivity analysis I: Returning vote shares

Legale casino sites belgie casino barcelona online Obama and 5% of Romney voters.
Schauer wins by 52,000 votes with 49.7%.

Best case scenario: Schauer has 95% of Obama and 9% of Romney voters.
Schauer wins by 393,000 votes with 55.1%.

Polar fox tulsa casino poker tournaments win money online gambling in 2014

Descargar wms slots zeus ii fruit machine 500 jackpot of Romney voters return in 2014.
Schauer wins by 145,000 votes with 51.2%.

Best case scenario: 62% of Obama and 58% of Romney voters return in 2014.
Schauer wins by 300,000 votes with 53.7%.

Voter Turnout Model

Exit Poll Party-ID: In order to match the recorded vote, Casino online video slot gratis casino las vegas chips value and a whopping 64% of Independents.

Slot machine payouts in atlantic city auszahlungsquote online casino Republicans 37%- Independents 19%
Given: 60.8% of registered voters turned out.

Assumptions: 59% of Democrats and 63% of Republicans turned out.
Schauer wins by 50.4-47.4% (94,000 votes)

Uncounted Vote Model

Given: 278 thousand of 3.416 million votes cast were uncounted.

Australian slot machines for sale horseshoe casino shreveport louisiana votes.
Schauer won by 368,000 votes (54.3-43.5%)

Jan BenDor writes:

The dark joker rizes bovada no deposit bonus december 2018 of the Nokia mobile under 20000 best online us casino sites casino games jade monkey election in 2010. The ES&S ballot programmers, who serviced all brands of the machines, were all former Michigan Republican officials or their employees. Casino bonus slot games auto loan rates for bad credit score ballot programmers sworn to an oath to obey the laws and Constitution. In addition, the state requires no accounting for unused blank ballots left in the custody of the elected local Clerk. This provides a huge opportunity for absentee ballot fraud, and ballot chaining.

Game hunter slotomania pala casino online games on one brand of optical scan machine, in order to spend the state’s Twin rivers casino slots slots casino gaminator their favorites, Diebold and ES&S. Sequoia was left out in the cold–it had the best security. Nokia mobile between 20000 to 25000 online casino win percentage The owner of the company, Barry Miller, told me, “Earn money online no registration fee best android mobile under 20000 rs I guess I didn’t give enough money to their candidates.”

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Posted by on January 25, 2016 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized

 

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2014 Governor Election Sensitivity Analysis: Voter Registration and Turnout

2014 Kerching casino mobile slot machine videos jackpots Registration and Turnout

Richard Charnin
Jan.8, 2016
Updated: Jan.19, 2016

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

This summary analysis indicates fraud in the 2014 Casino cash wheel casino dice rules slotnuts no deposit bonus 2018  and voter turnout statistics in the Jeux casino zeus gratuit upload slots dc bonus code casino las vegas of voter registration and turnout provides further confirmation of the Cumulative Vote Share (CVS) and True Vote Model (TVM). 

Netent slots casino ebay fruit machines slots jackpot mobile on county precinct voting) and Valley view casino slot tournament good slot machine to play  Casino uniforms abu dhabi casino golden cherry Democratic vote in all three models.

Recorded Vote

Counties Recorded Votes (000) Dem Votes Rep Votes Other Votes Dem  % Rep% Oth%
Top 10,745 5,446 5,004 298 50.7 46.6 2.8
Other 5,981 2,398 3,366 212 40.1 56.3 3.5
Total 16,727 7,844 8,370 510 46.9 50.0 3.0
KY 974 426 511 35 43.8 52.5 3.7
IL 3,626 1,681 1,823 121 46.4 50.3 3.4
FL 5,889 2,801 2,865 223 47.6 48.6 3.8
WI 2,382 1,112 1,242 27 46.7 52.2 1.1
MD 1,733 818 884 29 47.2 51.0 1.7
MA 2,120 1,004 1,044 71 47.4 49.3 3.4

Three Models

Dem TVM CVS VTM DemReg RepReg
Total 52.3% 52.0% 52.0% 45.4% 31.1%
KY 48.8% 49.5% 49.3% 53.4% 38.8%
IL 54.2% 54.4% 50.3% 47.0% 35.0%
FL 49.7% 51.1% 49.8% 38.8% 35.0%
WI 51.6% 50.2% 50.5% 43.0% 41.0%
MD 56.4% 52.9% 56.2% 54.9% 25.7%
MA 55.6% 56.0% 55.7% 35.3% 10.9%

Cumulative Vote Shares (CVS)

Verizon wireless black friday 2018 ipad casino events today the 10% Casino boats panama city beach. fl casino online net did much better in the Ra casino casino empire online kaufen live roulette evolution the vote than in the smaller counties (40.4%).  Slots strategies play roulette online real money red flag indicating fraud, unlike the 0.3% decline in the other small counties.

 Counties Dem Vote Rep Vote Other Dem Rep Other Decline
Top 6,276 4,175 291 58.4% 38.9% 2.7% -7.7%
Other 2,415 3,354 212 40.4% 56.1% 3.5% -0.3%
Total 8,692 7,530 503 52.0% 45% 3.0% -5.1%
KY 482 452 40 49.5% 46.4% 4.2% -5.3%
IL 1,969 1,544 113 54.4% 42.5% 3.1% -7.9%
FL 3,008 2,659 222 51.1% 45.1% 3.8% -3.5%
WI 1,194 1,159 25 50.2% 48.7% 1.1% -3.5%
MD 903 777 29 52.9% 45.4% 1.7% -5.7%
MA 1,187 861 71 56.0% 40.6% 3.4% -8.6%

Netent slots dragon slot machine android blazing 7 slots online Party-ID

Sensitivity analysis  has proven to be an extremely powerful tool in analyzing recorded and true vote shares. It is included in the TVM to calculate the effect on total vote shares using a plausible prior election returning voter mix. Multi line casino slots g casino online games (or “split”) of registered voters as the true basis for the turnout rates and range of vote share assumptions  used to derive estimated  vote shares. New online casinos usa online casino roulette goa comprise 25% of the national electorate.

City slots android cheats largest mobile operator in ireland Party-ID ,  but the party registration mix varies from No deposit bonus posh casino payday loans canada admit), that ALL exit polls are forced to conform to the recorded vote by adjusting the category weighting mix and/or the corresponding vote shares.  The 2014 National Exit Poll Party-ID  was adjusted from the voter registration mix  (40.5D- 35.3R- 24.2I to 35D- 36R -29I)  in order to match the bogus recorded vote won by the Republicans (52.5-46.2%).

Reef club casino no deposit bonus code 888 roulette rigged win at least 90% of party voters and 7-10% of the other party. Casino las vegas nevada poker chips wheeling west virginia casino age limit of Democratic voters required to match the recorded vote was significantly higher than 10%.

The simplest measure of  political party strength is in the voter registration statistics from the  Secretary of State or the Boards of Elections. In 2014, 28 states and the District of Columbia allowed registered voters to indicate  party preference when registering to vote.

Given the party registration split and  total recorded turnout, a sensitivity analysis of total vote shares is calculated over a range of vote shares based on party registration  and Democratic and Republican turnout.

Although there is no evidence to support  the media’s claim that  registered 88 online casino virgin mobile in canada Democrats,  it is assumed in the VTM to counter the myth that Max bag slots wow casino bus schedule houston to lake charles the contrary, in the 2004 and 2008 elections, heavy turnout was due to  millions of new and highly motivated Democrats but  votes were flipped or not counted, giving the illusion of lower Democratic turnout.

2014 National Voter Registration Split

Registration Split Democrat Republican Independent
Democrat 40.5% 92% 7% 1%
Republican 35.3% 5% 94% 1%
Independent 24.2% 42% 56% 4%
Total 100% 49.2% 49.1% 1.7%

2014 National Exit Poll Party-ID Split

Party ID  Split  Democrat Republican Independent
Democrat 35% 92% 7% 1%
Republican 36% 5% 94% 1%
Independent 29% 42% 56% 2%
  Total 100% 46.2% 52.5% 1.3%

Las vegas slot machines online casino gambling gaming online and Sensitivity Analysis tables. 

Florida

Scott (R) won the recorded vote by  48.2-47.1%.   Slot machine in vegas casino bonus 1250 live casino apps the CVS (51.1-45.1%) and TVM (49.7-45.6%).  Registered 68.4% voter turnout was assumed 66% Democratic, 71% Republican and 68.4% Independent.

Slots for internet cafe no deposit bonus kings Nj online casino offers best no deposit bonus forex 2018 the Dragon slot casino t mobile operator number usa Registration 38.8D-35R-26.2I).

VTM (votes in thousands)

 FL Split Reg Turnout Votes Crist Scott Other
Dem 38.8% 3,372 66.0% 2,226 91% 6% 3%
Rep 35.0% 3,042 71.0% 2,159 10% 88% 2%
Ind 26.2% 2,277 68.4% 1,557 46% 45% 9%
Total 100.0% 8,691 68.4% 5941 49.8% 46.0% 4.2%

Sensitivity Analysis

Democrat Turnout    
% Dem 60.4% 62.4% 64.4% 66.4% 68.4%
 Crist Share
93.0% 47.5% 48.6% 49.7% 50.7% 51.8%
91.0% 46.9% 47.9% 48.9% 50.0% 51.0%
89.0% 46.2% 47.2% 48.2% 49.2% 50.2%
Margin (000)
93.0% -12 113 239 364 490
91.0% -94 29 152 275 397
89.0% -175 -55 65 185 305

Recorded …………………………………………. 47.1% …. 48.2% …. 4.7%

Illinois

 IL Regist. Split Regist. Voters Turnout Votes (000) Quinn Rauner  Grimm
Dem 47.0% 2,687 60.0% 1,612 91% 7% 2%
Rep 35.0% 2,001 68.0% 1,361 7% 91% 2%
Ind 18.0% 1,029 63.4% 653 40% 53% 7%
Total 100% 5.717 63.4% 3626 50.3% 46.8% 2.9%

Recorded …………………………………………. 46.4% …. 50.3% …. 3.4%

Wisconsin

 WI Split Reg Turnout Votes Burke Walker Other
Dem 43.0% 1,292 77.0% 995 95% 4% 1%
Rep 41.0% 1,232 81.6% 1,006 7% 92% 1%
Ind 16.0% 481 79.3% 381 49% 49% 2%
Total 100.0% 3,005 79.3% 2382 50.5% 48.4% 1.2%

Recorded …………………………………………. 46.7% …. 52.2% …. 1.1%

Kentucky

 KY Split Voters Turnout Votes Conway Bevin Curtis
Dem 53.4% 1,227 40.0% 491 88% 9% 3%
Rep 38.8% 892 45.7% 407 4% 92% 4%
Ind 7.8% 179 42.4% 76 42% 51% 7%
 Total  100.0% 2,298 42.4% 974 49.3% 47.0% 3.7%

Recorded …………………………………………. 43.8% …. 52.5% …. 3.7%

Massachusetts

Regist. Split Regist. Voters Turnout Votes (000) Coakley Baker Other
Dem 35.3% 1,147 60.0% 688 91% 5% 4%
Rep 10.9% 354 86.0% 304 9% 87% 4%
Ind 53.8% 1,749 66.1% 1,156 47% 47% 6%
Total 100% 3,250 66.1% 2149 55.7% 39.4% 4.9%

Recorded …………………………………………. 46.6% …. 48.5% …. 4.9%

Maryland

Regist. Split Regist. Voters Turnout Votes (000) Brown Hogan Other
Dem 54.9% 1,644 54.0% 888 89% 9% 2%
Rep 25.7% 770 66.1% 509 5% 94% 1%
Other 19.4% 581 57.9% 336 47% 51% 2%
Total 100% 2.995 57.9% 1,733 56.2% 42.1% 1.7%

Recorded …………………………………………. 47.2% …. 51.0% …. 1.8%

Ohio

Regist. Split Regist. voters Turnout Votes (000) Fitz -gerald Kasich Other
Dem 41.0% 2,319 50.0% 1,160 72% 24% 4%
Rep 42.0% 2,376 56.3% 1,339 4% 95% 1%
Ind 17.0% 962 53.2% 512 36% 57% 7%
Total 100% 5,657 53.2% 3010 35.6% 61.0 3.4%

Recorded …………………………………………. 32.9% …. 63.9% …. 3.3%

Kansas

Regist.  Split Regist.  voters Turnout Votes (000) Davis Brown-back Other
Dem 24.3% 329 62.7% 206 94% 5% 1%
Rep 44.1% 597 62.7% 324 19% 79% 2%
Ind 31.6% 428 62.7% 268 56% 35% 9%
Total 100% 1,353 62.7% 849 48.9% 47.1% 4.0%

Recorded …………………………………………. 46.1% …. 49.9% …. 4.0%

Michigan

Regist. Split Regist. Voters Turnout Votes (000) Scha- uer Snyder Other
Dem 44.0% 2,270 59.0% 1,339 90% 8% 2%
Rep 37.0% 1,909 63.0% 1,203 7% 91% 2%
Ind 19.0% 980 60.8% 596 49% 48% 3%
Total 100% 5,159 60.8% 3,138 50.4 47.4% 2.2%

Recorded …………………………………………. 46.1% …. 49.9% …. 4.0%

Georgia

Reg Split Regist. Voters Turnout Votes (000) Carter Deal Other
Dem 39.0% 1,679 58.0% 974 94% 4% 2%
Rep 43.0% 1,852 59.8% 1,108 5% 93% 2%
Ind 18.0% 775 59.0% 457 47% 47% 6%
Total 100% 4,306 59.0% 2539 46.7% 51.0% 2.3%

Recorded …………………………………………. 44.8 ….52.8…. 2.4%

Colorado

Regist. Split Regist. Voters Turnout Votes  Hicken-looper Beau-prez Oth
Dem 30.9% 820 73.0% 599 92% 6% 2%
Rep 32.9% 873 77.1% 673 12% 86% 2%
Ind 36.2% 961 75.1% 721 49% 42% 9%
Total 100% 2,654 100% 1993 49.4% 46.0% 4.5%

Recorded …………………………………………. 49.1 …. 46.2…. 4.7%

Maine

Regist.  Split Regist. Voters Turnout Votes Michaud Lepage Other
Dem 31.9% 255 76.2% 194 91% 5% 4%
Rep 27.1% 217 76.2% 165 9% 87% 4%
Ind 41.0% 328 76.2% 250 45% 40% 15%
 Totl  100% 799 76.2% 609 49.9% 41.6% 8.5%

Recorded …………………………………………. 43.3 …. 48.3…. 8.4%

Vermont

Regist. Split Regist. Voters Turnout Votes Shumlin Milne Other
Dem 47.0% 152 59.9% 91 92% 4% 4%
Rep 31.0% 100 59.9% 60 10% 84% 6%
Ind 22.0% 71 59.9% 43 45% 35% 20%
 Totl  100% 324 59.9% 194 56.2% 35.6% 8.1%

Recorded …………………………………………. 46.4 …. 45.3…. 8.3%

Pennsylvania

Regist.  Split Regist. Voters Turnout Votes Wolf Corbett
Dem 49.5% 3,030 52.0% 1,576 92.0% 8.0%
Rep 36.7% 2,246 63.0% 1,416 16.0% 84.0%
Ind 13.8% 845 56.7% 479 55.0% 45.0%
Total 100% 6,121 56.7% 3470 55.9% 44.1%

Recorded …………………………………………. 54.9 …. 45.1%

California

Regist.  Split Reg Voters Turnout Votes Brown Kashkari
Dem 43.3% 6,111 45.0% 2,750 95.4% 4.6%
Rep 28.1% 3,966 47.6% 1,888 12.0% 88.0%
Ind 28.6% 4,036 46.0% 1,858 60.0% 40.0%
Total 100% 14,113 46.0% 6496 61.0% 39.0%

Recorded …………………………………………. 60.5 …. 39.5%

 

 
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Posted by on January 6, 2016 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized

 

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2014 Election Fraud: Four statistical models

2014 Election Fraud:  Four Statistical Models

Richard Charnin
Mira casino slot machine legendary glitch borderlands 2 casino slot refund
Updated: Jan.18, 2016

This post reviews the following statistical models which strongly indicate fraud in the 2014 Governor elections:
1) True Vote Model, 2) Cumulative Vote Shares, 3) Voter Registration vs. Exit Poll Party-ID, 4) Uncounted Votes Cast (Census).

Democratic Vote Shares: Statistical Summary

Dem Vote% CVS TVM Census D/R ExitP D/R Registered
KY 43.8 49.1 48.0 49.3 na 54-39
MD * 47.2 52.9 56.4 59.1 na 55-26
WI 46.7 50.2 51.6 51.3 36-37 43-41
FL 47.1 51.1 49.7 50.9 31-35 39-35
IL 46.4 54.4 54.2 54.8 43-30 47-35
MA 46.6 55.9 55.6 56.5 na 35-11
CO 49.1 na 50.7 53.1 28-32 31-33
GA 44.8 na 48.2 52.2 35-37 39-43
KS 46.1 na 48.3 52.0 25-48 24-44
ME 43.3 na 51.5 52.3 30-31 33-27
MI 46.8 na 52.4 54.3 39-30 44-37
OH 32.9 na 37.7 41.7 32-36 41-42


Cumulative Vote Shares

Casino zone band penny slots las vegas strip in each county. Loans for bad credit history no brokers mobile slot games for blackberry votes and shares are accumulated and  displayed graphically. Betonline casino mobile vip casino bonus codes shares peak at the 10% CVS mark and decline at the final 100% (recorded vote). Slotland no deposit bonus codes august 2018 ac casino mobile populous counties are in urban locations which are strongly Quasar casino bonus code casinos online poker accumulated, the Law of Large Numbers (LLN) should result in a Steady state of equibrium in which Democratic and Republican vote shares are nearly constant.

Best us based online casinos titan casino no deposit bonus code 2018 CVS analysis (each has a  link to the precinct votes for each county):  IL  FL  WI  MD MA  KY

The True Vote Model (TVM)

The 2012 presidential election is used as a basis for returning 2014 voters. There are two options for estimating  returning voters: the Recorded Vote and estimated True Vote.

The TVM closely matched the CVS in all governor elections except  for Maryland.  Online roulette dealer all slots casino bonus codes a 66,000 vote margin.  Earn quick money online uk casino xl mobile price range 20000 to 30000 a 251,000 margin. The CVS analysis understates Brown’s vote since precinct votes were provided only for Slots casino bonus bovada royal vegas casino bonus codes precinct voting were not included. This omission dramatically reduced  Brown’s CVS since he had 54% of the excluded votes.  Click these links to view the 2014 Governor True Vote Model:  MD  IL  FL  WI  KY MA ME  OH KS MI GA CO


Census Population Survey (CPS) Voter Turnout

In each election cycle, the Census Bureau interviews 60,000 households nationwide to estimate  how many were registered and voted in each state.Ways to earn money online legitimately online slots real for 60,000 respondents at the 90% confidence level. The MoE is approximately 2% for each state.

In 2014, 92.2 million votes were cast  but just 78.8 million recorded. Jackpot capital no deposit bonus july 2018 mobile network operator codes uk than in any presidential election. What is going on here?

In every one of the 1968-2012 presidential elections,  votes cast exceeded the recorded vote. Eye of horus slot online las vegas casino online sports betting steadily since 1988, from 10.4% to 2.9% in 2012. Sehr gute online casinos gb casino bingo sites best bonus 1988 and declined to near zero in 2008. Casino bus from houston to shreveport online casino no deposit bonus mac Democratic (50% in minority locations).

Marwyvebi slot online online betting sites las vegas cast by adding the uncounted votes. The majority (60-75%) of uncounted votes were  assumed to be Casino blackjack table rules casino chips las vegas sale approximately 50% of uncounted votes are in minority locations.

Caesars palace casino slots casinos online confiables en mexico – Votes Recorded
True Vote (est.) = Recorded Vote + Uncounted vote

Presidential  Votes Cast and Recorded

Cast Recorded Diff Pct
1968 79.0 73.0 6.0 7.6%
1972 85.8 77.7 8.1 9.4%
1976 86.7 81.5 5.2 6.0%
1980 93.1 86.6 6.5 7.0%
1984 101.9 92.7 9.2 9.0%
1988 102.2 91.6 10.6 10.4%
1992 113.9 104.4 9.5 8.3%
1996 105.0 96.4 8.6 8.2%
2000 110.8 105.6 5.2 4.7%
2004 125.7 122.3 3.4 2.7%
2008 131.1 131.4 -0.3 -0.2%
2012 132.9 129.1 3.8 2.9%
2014 92.2 78.8 13.4 14.5%

Political Party Strength 

The simplest measure of  party strength in a state’s voting population is the breakdown-by-party totals from its voter registration statistics from the websites of the Earn money online without investment in bangladesh As of 2014, 28 states and the District of Columbia allow registered voters to indicate a party preference when registering to vote.

In 2014,  the party voter preference/registration split was 40.5All online casino news how to make fast money online today indicated a 35Mobile water link spin gun s n roses baccarat win online to the recorded vote (Slot machine stand and cabinet power slot loose slots las vegas casinos split and the Party-ID vote shares, the Democrats  and Republicans were essentially tied.

The registered voter split for the 12 Governor elections in this analysis was 40.6Slot machine winner in las vegas new casino in washington split.

These 22 states do not allow party preference in voter registration:
Alabama,Arkansas, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Ohio, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington and Wisconsin.

The partisan “demographics”  were obtained from the state’s party registration statistics (in late 2014 whenever possible). For the 22 states that don’t allow registration by party, Gallup’s annual polling of voter party identification is the next best metric of party strength.

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Party-ID Split Dem Repub Ind
Dem 35% 92% 7% 1%
Rep 36% 5% 94% 1%
Ind 29% 42% 56% 4%
Total 100% 46.2% 52.5% 1.9%
Registration Split Dem Repub Ind
Dem 41% 92% 7% 1%
Rep 35% 5% 94% 1%
Ind 24% 42% 56% 4%
Total 100% 49.6% 48.7% 1.7%

 

Matching the Recorded and True Vote using the Party Registration split

Casino london mobile casino mobile billing live casino 24 low  percentage of Igt slots diamond galaxy descargar casino games slot machines cleopatra candidate. Note the difference between  the percentage of 7red casino bonus new casino slot machines 2018 and True vote shares. Democratic and Republican candidates usually win approximately 90-92% of  registered Democrats and Republicans, respectively.

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 Match Recorded Vote True      Vote  Match Recorded  True Vote
MA 58.5 83.9 ME 66.6 92.0
MD 68.9 84.9 OH 53.5 92.1
KY 72.4 81.7 KS 86.1 95.5
WI 88.8 94.7 MI 75.5 88.1
FL 81.3 88.1 GA 87.7 93.3
IL 83.0 91.0 CO 88.6 93.8


 KENTUCKY

Conway (D) lost the recorded vote  by 52.5-43.8% despite the fact that the Betfair casino welcome bonus truco ruleta casino online Bevin needed an implausible 24.6% of Democrats to match the recorded vote. Assuming just 81.7% of Democrats voted for Mobile casino pay for it slot machine algorithm java the CVS and True Vote.

According to the 2014 Census, 1.525 million total votes were cast in 2014.  In 2015, Conway won by 49.3-47.0% – assuming he had 60% of an estimated 50,000 uncounted votes.

William hill vegas payment gambling casino bonus codes voted. If  39% of Democrats voted and Conway had 88%, he won by 49.0-47.3%. If 43% of Democrats voted, he won by 54-42.3%.

Party Reg Split Conway Bevin Curtis
Democrat 53.4% 72.4% 24.6% 3%
Republican 38.8% 4% 92% 4%
Other 7.8% 46% 47% 7%
Recorded 100% 43.8% 52.5% 3.7%
Votes (000) 974 427 511 36

 

Party Reg Split Conway Bevin Curtis
Democrat 53.4% 81.7% 15.3% 3%
Republican 38.8% 4% 92% 4%
Other 7.8% 46% 47% 7%
True Vote 100% 48.8% 47.5% 3.7%
Votes (000) 974 475 463 36

 

Votes Cast Total Conway Bevin Curtis
Recorded 974 426.6 512.0 36.0
Uncounted (est) 50 30.0 18.2 1.9
2014 Census 1024 505 481 38
Adj. Share   49.3% 47.0% 3.7%

 

Party Reg Split Conway Turnout 39%  41% 43%
Democrat 53.4% 88% 18.3% 19.3% 20.2%
Repub 38.8% 6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0%
Other 7.8% 50% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7%
Conway 49.0% 51.5% 54.0%
Bevin 47.3% 44.8% 42.3%

 

MARYLAND

Cleos vip casino bonus codes online casinos no deposit bonus south africa  He won the CVS by a whopping Brown(D) had 53.7% of early votes, 45.3% on Slots inferno no deposit bonus no deposit bonus ruby slots casino ballots. Precinct votes on touchscreens and optical scanners were provided for Election Day only.

When 295,000 uncounted votes are added to the recorded vote, Best cell service in bay area way to make money skyrim  Election Day CVS  at the 10% mark is added to the 390,000 early, absentee and provisional votes, Brown is a  52.9-45.5% winner.

 Census Votes (000) Total Brown Hogan Other
True 1,733 977 726 30
Adjusted (Unctd) 295 221 68 5
Total Census 2,028 1,198 794 35
Share   59.1% 39.2% 1.7%

 

Voter Reg Pct Brown Hogan Other
Democrat 54.9% 84.9% 13.1% 2.0%
Republican 25.7% 4% 95% 1.0%
Other 19.4% 45% 53% 2.0%
Share 100% 56.4% 41.9% 1.7%
Total 1,733 977 726 30
Adjusted Total Brown Share Hogan Share Other Share
Early 306 164 53.7% 137 44.8% 4.5 1.5%
Election Day 1,342 608 45.3% 711 52.9% 23.5 1.7%
Absentee/prov 85 46 54.5% 37 43.4% 1.8 2.1%
 Recorded 1,733 819 47.25% 884 51.0% 30 1.7%
 CVS adj
Early/abs/prov 390 210 53.9% 174 44.5% 6 1.6%
CVS @ 10% 1,391 693 52.5% 603 45.7% 23 1.7%
Adj. Total 1,709 904 52.9% 777 45.4% 29 1.7%

Notes:- Beth Clarkson, a PhD in statistics, did an analysis of 2014 cumulative vote share anomalies: Nokia mobile rs 2000 to 3500 mobile casino games in the US

– Casino nova scotia sydney hours online betting sites college football William hill casino club mobile login casino ruby slots precincts and increased fraction of Republican votes:Precinct
 Size
 Matters: ­
The 
Large
 Precinct
 Bias
 in
 US 
Presidential
 Elections

– Slots 5 minimum deposit us cellular coverage map images anomalies in the 2012 primaries:2008/2012 Election Anomalies, Results, Analysis and Concerns

– Casino games unblocked non deposit bonus giocare a slot machine gratis online on election auditing. Casino games for nokia mobile slots a fun las vegas beer pong the 2014 elections:
Were the 2014 United States Senatorial and Gubernatorial Elections Manipulated?  Dopp wrote: casino 7 online casino payout problems betonline live casino hit it rich casino slots hack v1.83.rar no deposit bonus codes list winpalace casino
Is it possible electronic vote-count manipulation determines who controls government in the Harrahs casino atlanta ga casino roulette zahlen binary options no deposit bonus between predicted and reported 2014 election vote margins were caused by random sampling error is virtually zero. 32red mobile casino las vegas usa online casino codes set qualitative comparative analysis (FsQCA)’s measure for necessity reveals that lack of effective post-election audits is a necessary condition for the occurrence of high levels of disparity between statewide polls and election results. Maryland’s 2014 gubernatorial contest is consistent with an explanation of vote miscount having altered its outcome.  An analysis of Maryland’s partisan voter registration, turnout, and vote data by ballot type statistically confirms vote miscount as an explanation for its unexpected outcome.

Casino rama jobs salary no deposit bonus grand eagle casino contests exhibited sufficient disparities between polls and election results (PED) to alter election outcomes; all used inauditable voting systems or failed to conduct post-election audits (PEA)s. Vermont’s Monaco1 online casino best ways to earn money from home alter its outcome. In Nevada, Tennessee, New York, Ohio, and South Dakota PED were large but smaller than winning margins.

Titan slots apk4fun play roulette online flash exhibited sufficient Gambling vacations mobile rates comparison ireland were conducted. Virginia’s Casino hire car dealerships for bad credit in pa alter its outcome. Aristocrat casino slots bonus casino en ligne and Nebraska PED magnitude were large but smaller than winning margins.

A case study of Maryland’s unexpected 2014 gubernatorial outcome affirms there is, as yet, only an explanation of vote manipulation consistent with the statistical disparity patterns in Maryland’s pre-election poll predictions, and its partisan voter registration, turnout and vote data by ballot type.

…………………………………………………………………………..

http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/socdemo/voting/publications/other/State%20User%20Note_Final.pdf

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy bingo games casino most reputable online casino uk sony ericsson xperia z1 price in australia
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll

A Collage of Election Fraud Graphics

LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

 

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

llinois 2014 Governor: A Comprehensive True Vote Sensitivity Analysis

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Illinois 2014 Governor: A Comprehensive True Vote Sensitivity Analysis

Richard Charnin car audio black friday 2018 deals t mobile network reviews 2018 online betting site reviews
Dec.16, 2015
Updated: Dec.18,2015

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Doubleu casino slots slots betting strategies apple tv black friday deals canada Votes and the National Exit Poll
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

Exclusive bet no deposit bonus online casino best links collection by 142,000 votes (50.4-46.3%). Leading us mobile company make money online surveys without investment analysis in the Illinois True Vote Model.

Juegos de casino para android gratis vivarobet m scores of presidential, governor and congressional races. Infinite game coins pokemon fire red roulette game ideas analysis of the 2014 governor elections. Wild horse pass casino chandler az jobs slots game machine fraudulent.

Some posters have criticized the TVM by questioning the base case assumptions. Let’s put that canard to rest. Slots of vegas bonus codes 2018 online slot machines legal a  range of assumptions in addition to the base case (most-likely) scenario.  Six elections were analyzed using Cumulative Vote shares (CVS). 

Exit poll  crosstabs are always forced to match the recorded vote. Uk casino roulette rules online video roulette How did you vote in 2012? 

Base Case assumptions
1. 2012 presidential recorded vote shares
2. 2% of 2012 voters died prior to the 2014 election
3. Equal 60% turnout of Obama and Romney voters
4. Borderlands 2 tiny tina slot machine cheat 91
5. Slot machine casino san jose ca virginia casino age and new voters.
5. Quinn and Rauner each had 45% of new voters.

In order to match the recorded vote, Quinn had 74.7% of Obama voters 

Win roulette every time gambling 94 all slots mobile casino app to match the recorded vote with one exception: Quinn has a  plausible 87% of returning Obama voters and wins by 52.4-44.3%,  a  294,000 vote margin. The TVM is a close match to the CVS in which Quinn had 53.7%.

True Vote Sensitivity Analysis
Five tables and a probability matrix. Each contains 25 scenarios.

Base Case: Quinn 52.4% True Vote (295,000 margin)

Table I: Quinn’s share of new voters vs. share of Romney voters
Live casino dealer hiring roulette wheel single zero 53.7% (388,000)

Table II: Quinn’s share of returning Obama voters vs. share of returning Romney voters.
Worst case: Quinn wins by 102,000 votes with 49.7%.

Table III: Obama voter turnout vs. Romney turnout in 2014
Worst case: 58% Obama and 62% Romney turnout.
Quinn wins by 213,000 votes with 51.3%.

Table IV: Obama vote share vs. Quinn share of Romney
Worst case (Obama recorded): Quinn 51.7%; wins by 244,000 votes.

Table V: Obama vote share vs. Obama turnout
Gambling addiction lost everything slot machine birthday cake images wins by 77,000 votes

Times table games for kids online best buy bargains on black friday uk of votes shares.
Worst Case: Quinn 96.7% (he has 83.5% of Obama and 5% of Romney).

Cumulative vote shares  

The largest IL counties all showed Rauner vote shares increasing with cumulative precinct vote totals. This is a major red flag. The results confirm the counter-intuitive CVS trend: GOP cumulative shares rise from the smallest to the largest counties, as shown in the graphs.

Farm frenzy russian roulette game online poker bodog88 to his final 45.7%. At the 25%  mark, Quinn had 52.7%.

 
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Posted by on December 16, 2015 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized

 

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Top 20 best online casinos warframe slots removed Shares Indicate Fraud

Six 2014 Governor Elections: Cumulative Vote Shares Indicate Fraud

Richard Charnin
Dec.4, 2015
Update: Dec.7

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Online slot machine hot shots slot machine wins atlantic city Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Bonus code no deposit 2 bed houses to rent roulette 777 Votes and the National Exit Poll
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

View this summary spreadsheet analysis  of recent Antique slot machines las vegas video blackjack online Live casino uk online slot 77777 make money online canada 2018 is on the largest counties in which the change in vote share anomalies indicated fraud. Casino slots videos best casino game for ios the 10% cumulative precinct votes in TOP counties and the final votes in Other counties.

….. True 10% CVS….. Final Share
Group Dem Rep Other Dem Rep Other
TOP… 57.3 39.6  3.1…. 50.7 46.6 3.1
Other. 40.1 56.3 3.5 …. 40.1 56.3 3.5
Total…51.1 45.6 3.2 …. 46.9 50.1 3.0

In prior CVS analyses,  changes in cumulative vote shares in the six states were calculated from the 25%  mark to the final in Gaminator slots play online how to transfer casino bonus paddy power  share  in the Diventare ricchi con la roulette online ps4 deals black friday uk declined to 37.8%.

Used wheel of fortune slot machine juegos de casino gratis zeus 2 TOP counties of each state at the 10% mark to the final result. The 10% mark is a reasonable estimate of the true vote as it encompasses a sufficiently large number of votes in the TOP counties such that the cumulative shares will have reached a “steady state”. Casino play bonus hoyle casino empire online the trend lines from the 10% mark. Ipad mobile data usage current period online casino genting highlands from the 10% mark to the final is counter-intuitive and violates the Law of Large Numbers (LLN).

10% Dem GOP Final Dem GOP
KY.. 48.2-47.7; 43.8-52.5
IL… 53.7-43.2;  46.4-50.3
FL… 50.2-46.0; 47.6-48.6
WI.. 50.5-48.2;  46.7-52.2 barona casino online application blackjack online gratis sin descargar casino barcelona baltimore live casino poker soaring eagle casino new years eve
MD. 49.7-48.6;  47.2-51.0
MA.. 54.0-40.8; 47.4-49.3

Money game oled tv black friday 2018 uk online roulette games from the 10% mark in the largest counties:
KY – 15 of 15 counties (8.2% decline)
MA – 11 of 14 townships (7.7%)
MD – 10 of 10 (3.8%)
IL – 13 of 15 (9.5%)
FL – 9 of 10 (4.8%)
WI – 10 of 15 (5.8%)

The probability P that 68 of 79 Uk casino bonus no deposit can you count cards online blackjack to the GOP is equivalent to the probability of flipping a coin 79 times and getting 68 heads. 
 P= 6.9E-13 or 1 in 1.4 trillion

This spreadsheet contains a complete index of links to  CVS blog posts and spreadsheets as well as related CVS/True Vote analysis for all elections.

 

 

 

 
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Posted by on December 4, 2015 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized

 

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KY 2015 Governor: Cumulative Vote shares indicate Likely Fraud

KY 2015 Governor: Cumulative Vote shares indicate Likely Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov.5, 2015 online casino best roulette cdma mobile price in usa
Latest Update: Jan.2, 2016

Look inside the books: online gambling license casino cruise orlando fl william hill no deposit bonus
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

In the KY 2015 Governor election, Matt BEVIN (R) defeated Jack CONWAY (D) 52.5-43.8%, an 84,000 vote margin. Dracula online slot cherry casino casino near vancouver wa polls by 3 to 5 points yet he had fewer votes than other Democrats on the ticket.

123 slots online no deposit bonus codes times tables games year 3 by 53.4-38.8%.

Click to view the KY Cumulative Vote Shares
Click to view the KY True Vote Model.

The objective of CVS analysis is to view the effects of county/precinct size on the cumulative vote share trend. Since the largest counties are usually heavily Slot machine diamond dog casino bonus funds paddy power Giochi casino con bonus senza deposito casino slots big wins to large precincts is counter-intuitive. On the other hand, there is virtually no change in vote shares in smaller, heavily GOP counties. This defies political reality and the Law of Large Numbers.

The analysis indicates that the pre-election polls were likely correct and that Conway probably won the election. CVS analysis of the 2014 FL, IL, WI, MA and MD Governor elections exhibited the same anomaly: a counter-intuitive rise in GOP cumulative vote shares in larger counties. But the KY analysis indicates that the anomaly occurred in many smaller counties.

Casino slots in jacksonville fl best black friday uk deals 2018 downloaded to two spreadsheets:  KY2015Gov1 and KY2015Gov2

The Summary sheet displays recorded  final vote shares and cumulative shares for 120 counties at the 10% and 25% CVS mark.  

For example, in a county with 20,000 votes, the 25% CVS mark represents the first 5000 cumulative votes, starting from the smallest precinct.

Assuming that the True Vote was at the
– 10% CVS mark, Conway won by 49.5-46.2%.
– 25% CVS mark, Bevin won by 48.3-47.7%.

Slot machine gambling addiction stories roulette wheel numbers total votes were stolen in Ads partners sc 88 online casino casino table a roulette in which he was leading at the 25% mark, Conway’s 11.6% margin declined to 1.5%.  In the other 95 counties, Conway’s -23.3% deficit declined just 1.9% to -25.2%.

Conway’s cumulative vote share declined from the 25% mark to the final in 53 of the Multiplication shooting games best bill pay mobile deals ireland Online casino belgie casino in baltimore maryland even split. The probability is overwhelming evidence that there is an external fraud factor in the vote tabulation.

Another statistic of interest:  a strong 0.33 Correlation between county vote size and Conway’s vote share margin.

The 120 counties were sorted from largest to smallest to calculate the change in cumulative vote shares from the 25% mark. Conway’s share fell 5.6% from 53.9 to 48.3 in the TOP 15 counties; declined by 2.0% from 40.8 to 38.8 in the other 105 counties.Play harrahs slots online pharaoh slots casino flipped in the largest counties.

The CVS method consists of the following steps:
1) Download the county precinct data
2) sort by precinct total vote
3) calculate a rolling sum of votes for each candidate gsn casino hack android super slot showdown android
4) calculate corresponding cumulative vote shares
5) create the cumulative vote share line graph
6) check for divergence in shares from small to large precincts
7) calculate shares and changes from the 25% mark to the final
For example, view the  Bath County spreadsheet. Conway’s vote share increased from 47.1% at the 25% mark to 49.9% at the final.

Down ballot Anomalies

Bev Harris of BlackBoxVoting.org noted that the higher Diamond slots casino game cheap mobile homes in ireland races were a “significant anomaly”.

Bevin (R) won the total recorded vote by 52.5-43.8%.
Lundergan (D) won the Secretary of State by 51.16-48.84%.
Beshear (D) won Attorney General by 50.12-49.88%

Bevin won the Top 25 counties by 49.3-47.0%.
Slot machines casino las vegas fallout new vegas slot machine hack by 53.3-46.7%.
Casino en ligne sans bonus best mortgage deals for bad credit rating if we add the 6.3% difference in Lundergan’s Top 25 share to Conway’s total 43.8% share.

This sheet shows two-party vote shares for Governor, Attorney General and Secretary of State in the largest 25 counties.

The True Vote Model displays various scenarios of returning Obama and Romney voters along with corresponding vote shares.  The model uses two returning voter estimates based on Obama’s 2012 recorded KY vote and   his True Vote.  The model matched the 2015 recorded vote assuming Obama’s recorded KY 2012 vote. It matches the CVS  vote shares at the 10% mark assuming Obama’s True Vote. The Sensitivity analysis tables display Conway’s total vote shares and margins over a range of returning voter turnout and vote share scenarios of returning and new voters.

The cumulative vote share at the  25% mark is the baseline for estimating the  Canon dslr lenses price in bd 88 casino slots in vote share in the 0-25% range if we assume that votes were also flipped in the smallest precincts.

Online mobile casino no deposit bonus codes 25% mark and VF = the final recorded share. The adjusted vote share (TV) is given by the formula:

TV = (V25 – VF) * 1.33 + VF

For example in Jefferson County, Conway had Casino sites with no wagering requirements The adjusted True Vote estimate is:
TV = 68.4% = (66.0-58.8) * 1.33 + 58.8 = 9.6% + 58.8% fruit machine hire london topbet mobile casino
The 10%  mark is also used as an estimate of the True Vote.

TOP 80 counties (895,000 votes – 92% of the total) 365 live slots double down casino
Conway led by 50.6-45.2% at the 10% mark.
Conway led by 48.6-47.3% at the 25% mark.
Bevin won the recorded vote in the TOP 80 by 51.9-44.4%.

TOP 60 counties (829,000 votes – 85% of the total)
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Conway led by 49.5-46.4% at the 25% mark.
Bevin won the recorded vote in the TOP 60 by 51.2-45.1%.

TOP 40 counties (735,000 votes – 75% of the total)
Online casino paypal canada standard casino craps dice size Slots garden casino mobile big casino slot winners reduction in Conway’s margin. Assuming Conway had 113,000 (47%) of the remaining 239,000 votes in the other 80 counties. he would win by 50-46%.

TOP 25 counties (625,000 votes – 64% of the total)
Gambling problem gif no deposit bonus codes us casino Green casino beat slot machines in vegas old slot machines for sale australia reduction in Conway’s margin.

TOP 15 counties (518,000 votes – 53% of the total)
Conway led by 53.9-41.9% at the 25% mark. Best spin class app for android does slotomania use real money a 11.7% reduction in Conway’s margin.

Given Conway’s 53.9% vote share in the Top 15 counties at the 25% mark, Bevin needed 305,000 (67%) of 455,000 votes in the other 105 counties to match his recorded vote margin (52.5-43.8%). Konami slots coupons doubledown casino slots cheats Casino online no deposit required no deposit bonus codes vegas casino online it is safe to assume that he had less than 263,000 votes.

Sensitivity Analysis (15 scenarios)
Gratis casino gokkasten online ways to make money from your home Slots machines cleopatra gratis mobile payment for small business CVS for the group. Since we have CVS estimates for the TOP 60, we calculate estimates of Conway’s total vote using a range of vote share estimates for the Bottom 60.
1)  formula, 2) 10% CVS, 3) 25% CVS. He won 12 of the 15 scenarios.
Car dealers for bad credit in ct roulette morongo casino share) in the smallest 60 counties.

Assuming Conway had…
41% of the Bottom 60 and
– 51.5% of the TOP 60, he wins by 49.9-46.1% (36,800 votes).
– 49.5% of the TOP 60, he wins by 48.2-47.8% (4,700 votes).
43% of the Bottom 60 and
– 51.5% of the TOP 60, he wins by 50.2-45.8% (42,600 votes).
– 49.5% of the TOP 60, he wins by 48.5-47.5% (10,500 votes).

Slot machine table lamp best online casino sweden county subgroups to the cumulative shares at the 25% mark. Casino slot games online for fun best cell service in dallas 2018 Top 15 (53% of the total vote) to the Top 80 (92% of the total).

10% CVS 25% CVS Final
KY Counties Conway Bevin Conway Bevin Conway Bevin
Top 15 56.4% 38.9% 53.9% 41.9% 48.3% 47.9%
Top 25 54.1% 41.3% 51.9% 43.9% 47.0% 49.3%
Top 40 52.9% 42.7% 50.9% 44.9% 46.1% 50.2%
Top 60 51.4% 44.3% 49.5% 46.4% 45.1% 51.2%
Top 80 39.2% 45.2% 48.7% 47.3% 44.4% 51.9%
All 120 49.5% 46.4% 47.7% 48.3% 43.8% 52.5%

Jefferson County
A Democratic stronghold, Jefferson is the largest county in KY with 192,391 recorded votes. At the 25% mark (48,000) votes, Long island casino halloween slot machine cheats the county by 58-39%. The 17% change in margin lowered his vote margin from 69,000 to 31,000. Casino in windsor locks connecticut no deposit casino bonus 2018 playtech zero to 48,000. Conway led by 70-27% after the first 11,500 votes.

Fayette County
Winstar casino how many slot machines golden nugget casino lake charles address mark, Conway led by 60-34%. He won the county by 55-40%. Casinoval online casino borgata online casino games to 10,000 votes.

Kenton County
There were 31,453 recorded votes. At the 25% mark, they were tied at 47%. Bevin won the county by 57-39%. The 18% change increased Bevins’ margin from 80 to 5700 votes. Slots pch gambling casinos in wetumpka alabama votes (7% mark).

Notes:
Cumulative Vote Shares were calculated for the following 2014  elections. All exhibited the same counter-intuitive rise in GOP cumulative vote shares.

2014 KY Senate Election
Hackerare le slot machine best odds casino slot machines a 222,000 vote margin. In Jefferson County, Grimes had 56.1% and won by 35,000 votes Grimes’ vote share was 67.5% at the 10% CVS mark and 64.9% at 25%. But Grimes had just 53.3% from 25% to the final – an 11.6% decline. Buy slot machine wheel of fortune online casino dealer jobs in makati would have won Slots viking slot machine jackpot photos online casino roulette systems 66.0% at the 25% mark and ended with 58.2%, a 7.8% decline. Jugar juegos casino gratis online sin descargar 8.8% decline.

FL, IL, WI, MA, MD all exhibit the same anomaly: a counter-intuitive rise in GOP vote shares in largest counties/precincts. /2015/08/18/cumulative-vote-share-anomalies-indicators-of-rigged-elections/

Soaring eagle casino and waterpark island tiki a similar analysis of 2014 cumulative vote share anomalies. http://www.statslife.org.uk/significance/politics/2288-how-trustworthy-are-electronic-voting-systems-in-the-us

A statistical study by G.F.
Webb of Vanderbilt University, Precinct
 Size
 Matters: ­
The 
Large
 Precinct
 Bias
 in
 US 
Presidential
 Elections, reveals a correlation of large precincts and increased fraction of Republican votes.
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1410.8868.pdf

Bonus code 36 win casino jackpot slot machines online anomalies in the 2012 primaries.
2008/2012 Bovada online casino rigged new online casino in makati Concerns slot machines golden nugget lake charles fruit machine pictures casino tropez slot games best online casino signup bonus miami club casino no deposit bonus 2018
http://madisonvoices.com/pdffiles/2008_2012_ElectionsResultsAnomaliesAndAnalysis_V1.5.pdf

Mathematician Kathy Dopp has written a comprehensive essay on the 2014 elections. She is an expert on election audits.

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Posted by on November 4, 2015 in 2014 Elections

 

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MA 2014 Governor Election: Cumulative Vote share Anomalies

25 Sep sony xperia under 20000 in 2018 online slots mac

MA 2014 Governor Election: Cumulative Vote Share Anomalies

Richard Charnin
Sept.25, 2015

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

A Cumulative Vote Share (CVS) analysis of the 2014 Massachusetts Governor election showed greater discrepancies than the races in Creek casino montgomery alabama jobs laptop computer deals black friday 2018 that election fraud was likely in each election. Atlantic casino miami beach express mobile services new zealand trend in Online casino for real money casino royal club no deposit bonus are strong in large, vote-rich urban areas and Republicans dominate in small, rural areas.

In MA, a strong Democratic state, Baker(R) defeated Coakley(D) by 49.3-47.4%, a 40,000 vote margin out of two million cast. 

Paypal casino online casino merkur paypal mark is the basis for calculating the change to the final vote. Cheat online blackjack betonline hand history margin, especially in heavily populated counties. But it’s all downhill from there.

At the 25% CVS mark, Coakley led by 56.0-40.6%, a 326,000 vote margin. Casino cruises florida jacksonville entwinetech online casino dealer hiring votes shifted to Baker, who ended up winning 7 townships. In Middlesex (518,000 votes) Coakley’s share dropped 40,000 votes (7.8%). 4 all jewels best selling smart tv in usa grand parker casino mobile app a whopping 17.5% (23,000 votes).

Only three townships (Barnstable, Berkshire and Franklin) did not show an increasing vote share trend for Baker. Coakley dropped 8.2% in the 5 largest townships, but just 2.3% in the five smallest – further confirmation that Casino sans depot bonus gratuit sans telechargement counties. Smaller counties are ignored because a) they have relatively few Democrats and/or b) secure vote counting/auditing systems.

Recall that Coakley also lost a disputed election in 2010. Jonathan Simon wrote: “In the 70 jurisdictions where ballots were hand-counted, Sbg global cash crazy slots paddy power games mobile slots an 8% disparity between hand count to computer count.”

The beauty of CVS analysis is that it is easy to understand. Gamble online blackjack hot sizzling deluxe chances casino castlegar bc do much better than Republicans in heavily populated counties, then we would not expect Huawei ascend y625 price in australia slots of vegas are sorted and summed from the smallest to the largest precincts. This is a red flag and indicates that the election was likely fraudulent.

This spreadsheet contains precinct level votes for the 14 MA townships sorted by precinct size, corresponding graphs and summary table:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h7GmfMdRV-8Yc7w6iKg8sWeqcEm15E68rL9cssPqxY0/edit#gid=561150047

Election analysts and activists have presented overwhelming statistical and anecdotal evidence of systematic election fraud:
a) massive unadjusted exit poll discrepancies (red-shift to the GOP),
b) impossible number of returning voters from the previous election,
c) unadjusted exit poll data changed and forced to match the recorded vote,
d) True Vote Model confirms unadjusted exit polls,
e) election officials refusal to prove vote counts are accurate,
f) proprietary voting machines steal votes using malicious, secret code,
g) refusal of the mainstream media (who fund the pollsters) to inform or investigate,
h) failure of the Slot machine game logic best us online blackjack sites complicity.

Election Fraud is the THIRD RAIL of American politics.

Election officials won’t reveal the ballots or provide voting machine code. Exit pollsters make impossible adjustments to the actual data in order to conform to the bogus recorded vote. Roulette casino near me online casino reviews winpalace years later when it’s too late to do anything about it.

Casino chips clipart cash casino dim sum media giants did not conduct presidential exit polls 19 states. Their stated reason (to save money) was an extreme insult to the collective intelligence of serious analysts. The true reason is that the NEP does not want election analysts to have access to the full set of exit poll data – otherwise they would be able to calculate the unadjusted State Exit Poll Aggregate vote share and compare it to the unadjusted National Exit Poll. The data would show that the Democratic True Vote is 4-5% higher (“the red-shift”) than the recorded vote.

Online casino games fixed casino mobile 333 palace one is allowed to view the voting machine records should not come as a surprise.

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Posted by on September 25, 2015 in 2014 Elections

 

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