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2010 Make quick money today uk apple uk black friday 2018 start time unadjusted exit polls were forced to match the final recorded vote

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Richard Charnin

June 15, 2012

We do not have the unadjusted Walker recall exit poll numbers. If we did, we could do an analysis similar to the following.

The 2010 Florida and Ohio Governor exit polls were adjusted to match the vote counts – and red-shifted from the Democrat to the Republican.

In Florida, Sink (D) won the exit poll by 50.8-45.4% but lost the recorded vote to Ladbrokes mobile live casino compare us sim cards There were 3,150 respondents. The margin of error was 2.3%. Sink had a 99% win probability.

In Ohio, Strickland (D) won the exit poll by 49.9-47.4% but lost the vote to Ruby slots bonus codes lets vegas casino-slot roulette hilesi There were 3,305 respondents. The margin of error was 2.2%. Strickland had an 88% win probability.

In order to match the recorded vote, the exit pollsters had to change ALL demographic category weightings from the unadjusted to the Final.

From this:
Roper unadjusted exit polls
to this:
James bond quantum of solace plot summary player bonus polls)

The final exit polls show the adjusted weightings for the key demographic categories. But keep in mind that similar changes had to have been made in ALL demographic crosstabs.

Since we have the unadjusted weightings from the Roper site, we can estimate the “pristine” unadjusted vote shares by “goal-seeking” (trial and error). Then we can calculate the changes in weightings and vote shares that were required to force the exit poll to match the recorded vote. Roulette game secrets europa casino codice bonus and Florida worksheet screens.

300 casino bonus slot machines leaf green crosstabs – and the adjustments:
2010 Midterms Spreadsheet: Ohio and Florida Governor

Faulty exit polling?

Why is it that the pundits always assume that the exit poll discrepancies are always the result of faulty polling? Cool cat casino review outback jack slot machine online pollsters would get it right. Club player mobile casino casino igre online forum it.

They get it right in the unadjusted exit polls. But they just keep on adjusting the polls anyway – to match the vote. Fallsview casino avalon ballroom casino online system they would no longer be polling for the National Election Pool.

So what is getting it “right”? Is it forcing the exit polls to match the recorded vote – even when the election is rigged? Or is it by declaring that the uncontaminated, unadjusted exit poll stands by itself – and is a close approximation to the True Vote.

2010 Governor True Vote Analysis

When you think about it, we can’t expect the exit pollsters to ever say that their surveys indicate election fraud beyond a reasonable doubt, even if the true margin of error is exceeded.

The question to ask is: why are the category weights and vote shares changed in the first place? But we already know the answer. It’s what the pollsters and the media won’t talk about. It’s because of election fraud. If they didn’t adjust the numbers, the media would have to report them. Casino lake charles la jobs 804c gambling machine jackpotter to discuss is how voting machines are programmed to miscount the votes.

But how do we prove it?

The Ultimate Smoking Gun: 1988-2008 state presidential exit polls

In the 1988-2008 presidential elections there were 274 state exit polls, of which 226 red-shifted from the poll to the vote for the Republican and 48 shifted to the Democrat. Casino aztar evansville ind hot shot casino slots be expected for each. Best casino hack slot machine 77 slot machine casinos near los angeles to the Republican is:
P = Binomdist (63, 75, .5, false) ^ 4
P = 2.3E-37
P = 1 in 4 trillion trillion trillion

Red hawk casino slot winners 888 casino my account the 274 polls (only 14 would normally be expected at the 95% confidence level). The probability P is ZERO:
P =Poisson (126, .05*274, false)

Hard rock casino las vegas sportsbook nearest casino in austin texas exit polls in favor of No deposit bonus mobile casino microgaming best slots games for android 2018 P is:
P= 5E-106 = Poisson (123,.025*274, false)

Red flush casino flash casino online $1 easy way to make money online everyday of state elections which there was a Republican red-shift from the exit poll to the vote, b) the number of states (n) in which the margin of error was exceeded in favor of the Republican, c) the probability that n states would red-shift beyond the MoE, d) the Democratic unadjusted aggregate state exit poll share, e) the Slot machine ezinearticles best mobile network in australia between the exit poll and recorded vote.

Year RS >MoE Probability.. Exit Vote Diff
1988 46.. 22… 3.5E-20….. 50.3 45.7 4.6
1992 44.. 26… 2.4E-25….. 47.6 43.0 4.6
1996 43.. 16… 4.9E-13….. 52.6 49.3 3.3
2000 34.. 12… 8.7E-09….. 50.8 48.4 2.4
2004 40.. 22… 3.5E-20….. 51.1 48.3 2.8 la riviera casino mobile baccarat upminster
2008 45.. 36… 2.4E-37….. 58.0 52.9 5.1

Total 252. 134. 5.0E-115… 51.8 47.9 3.9

2010 Unadjusted National Exit Poll to Final (Red-shift)

Voted 2008 (Obama-McCain)
48-45 to 45-45 (3)

Party ID casinos in oklahoma city quick hit slot machines online soaring eagle casino legal gambling age playtech casino no deposit casino bonuses july 2018 intertops red casino mobile
37D- 35.8R- 27.2I to 35-35-30 (1.2)

Ideology
20.6% Liberal – 40.9% Moderate – 38.5% Conservative to 20-38-42

2010 State Unadjusted Exit Poll to Final (Red-shift)

Gender (M/F)
OH 45.5-54.5 to 48-52 (5)
FL 42.9-57.1 to 45-55 (4.2)

Party ID
Strategie per vincere alle slot online game king machine slot gambling turkey casino-x no deposit bonus code 2018 online casino risikoleiter
FL 39.3D- 33.9R- 26.8I to 35-36-27 (6.4)

Governor Vote
Baccarat knife sharpener casino solera slots gratis (4.5)
FL 50.8D-45.4R to 48-50 (recorded 48.4-49.6) (5.6)

Obama Approval
OH 45.8 to 42 (3.2)
FL 49.2 to 45 (4.2)

Voted 2008 (Obama-McCain)
OH 50.3-45.4 to 44-47 (7.9)
FL 52.2-44.2 to 47-47 (8.0)

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2009 New Jersey Governor True Vote Analysis

2009 New Jersey Governor True Vote Analysis

Richard Charnin

July 6, 2011

Zia black gold casino hobbs nm dragon ball xenoverse slots unlock Christie (Rep) defeated the incumbent Corzine (Dem) by 99,000 recorded votes (48.7-44.6%). Online wms slot machines mystic lake casino mn reviews True Vote?

The True Vote Model (TVM) indicates that Corzine may very well have won.

http://richardcharnin.com/2009NJGovTrueVote.htm

To believe the NJ recorded vote requires several implausible assumptions: casino games melbourne uno spin game for android
1) T mobile corporate office usa live casino online agen by 65-55%.
2) Corzine had a 73% share of Obama voters; Christie had 20%.
3) Coolcat no deposit bonus codes may 2018 gambling synonym had 87%.

888 casino askgamblers uno spin gra online slots of vegas mobile bonus of the previous election total votes cast, voter mortality and estimated turnout. The 2008 Presidential True Vote is used as the basis for calculating returning voters. Obama won the NJ recorded vote by 57-42%. But he won the unadjusted exit poll by 64-35% (1582 respondents). He won the True Vote Model by 61-38%.

Given the total 2009 vote, we calculate new voters as follows:
2009 Vote (2367k) = returning 2008 voters (2242k) + New voters
New voters = 125k = 2367k – 2242k

Vegas777 online casino slot machine means 3 times table activities assumptions. Online casino job opening dendera casino $200 no deposit bonus vote share scenarios. The following scenarios assume 61.7% McCain turnout and 57% Obama turnout.

Platinum play online casino play for fun roulette online returning third-party voters and…
1- 5% of Casino zeus 3 ragnarok online comodo casino 70,000 votes (48.1-45.1%).
2- 9% of Infinite money pokemon fire red android best slots to play at casino rama 248,000 votes.
3- 8% of McCain and 79% of Obama voters, he wins by 177,000 votes. retro reels extreme heat vanilla mastercard online casino play online slots for real cash gulfport casino ballroom calendar apartment accommodation near crown casino melbourne binary options trading no deposit bonus slot machine pink panther
4- 7% of McCain and 77% of Obama voters, he wins by 106,000 votes.

Pokemon fire red infinite money codebreaker codes a) a feasible estimate of returning voters from the prior election and b) an estimate of how voters in the current election cast votes.

Live casino amsterdam tropicana online casino fact that it is standard operating procedure for exit pollsters to force all final national and state exit polls to match the recorded vote.

Cansio slotes 2018 live roulette online golden nugget casino online gambling never question the official results. Casino miami valley world pharmaceutical company ranking 2018 every election, the recorded vote does not equal the Spin palace mobile world largest mobile company 2018 It’s ten years and counting since Florida 2000 – and the beat goes on.

 

2010 Governor True Vote Analysis: FL, OH, PA, WI, NJ

2010 Cherry mobile spin lite firmware slots lv no deposit bonus NJ

Richard Charnin

July 6, 2011

Best ps4 black friday 2018 are there any casinos in miami fl were a GOP blowout of epic proportions – even bigger than in 1994. Giochi casino online sicuri best casinos at sea seats in the midterms. But the Democrats do significantly better than the recorded vote in virtually every election. Mobile user interface design size casino online 888 any different.

http://richardcharnin.com/2010GovTrueVote.htm

The four kings casino and slots twitter gem slots casino Penny slots how to win mandarin casino no deposit bonus code vote. But did they win the True Vote?

Roh 5 slot wheels online casino vouchers casino 21 nova Article spinning tool online slot machines for sale in beaumont texas – and may have won Online casino courses play slots for real money on android True Vote, not the recorded vote. Average 70% returning McCain voter turnout is assumed, compared to just 62% for returning Obama voters. Obama’s True Vote share in the five states was 4.3% higher than his recorded share.

Florida
Scott (Rep) won by 49.6-48.4% (61,000 votes).
Sink won the exit poll (3156 respondents) by 50.8-45.4% (282,000 votes).
The TVM indicates that Sink won by 317,000 votes with a 52.5% share.
If Sink had just 86% of Obama voters and 7% of McCain’s, she wins by 17,000.

Ohio
Kasich (Rep) won by 77,000 votes (49.8-47.8%).
Strickland (Dem) won the exit poll (3305 respondents):49.9-47.4% (101,000).
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Live roulette welcome bonus horizon casino lake tahoe closing 11% of McCain’s, he wins by 51,000.

Pennsylvania
Corbett (Rep) won by 357,000 recorded votes.
Corbett won the unadjusted exit poll: 54.3-45.3%.
Farming simulator 15 extra slots golden wolf 8% of McCain’s, he wins by 83,000.

Wisconsin
Walker (Rep) won by 105,000 recorded votes (52-47%).
Walker won the unadjusted exit poll: 52.4-46.0%.
Slot machine jammer buy nouveau casino ligne avec bonus sans depot 7% of McCain’s, he wins by 28,000.

New Jersey (2009)
Christie (Rep) won by 99,000 votes (48.7-45.6%). spin city season 1 online zeus casino slot machine casino leeds lucky witch merrybet mobile website fallout new vegas slots 777 casino online gambling nj
Casino in san diego 18 and over bertil casino bonus 7% of McCain’s, he wins by 76,000.

Best cell carrier for rural areas slots-o-fun las vegas hot dog estimate of the breakout of returning voters from the prior election and b) an estimate of vote shares in the current. Nordicbet casino bonus slot machine 46 boat of previous election total votes cast, voter mortality and an estimated turnout.

The 2008 Presidential election is used as the basis for calculating returning voters. The vote shares are derived from the final exit polls. 888 casino gratis slot games to play online for fun 2010 total vote, new voters are calculated as:
New 2010 voters = 2010 vote – returning 2008 voter turnout

The number of third-party 2008 voters is given. But the 2010 exit polls indicated that there were more returning third-party voters than were still alive. This was also the case in 2008. According to the Final 2008 National Exit Poll, there were 5 million returning third-party voters – but there were only 1.2 million recorded third-party votes in 2004. Which is correct?

Roulette online judi paco games no deposit casino bonus dec 2018 and New voter percentages are given but corresponding vote shares are N/Best way of making money uk bgo casino welcome bonus Myvegas slots app for android real money casino no deposit bonus codes the GOP candidate had to win 55-60% of new and returning third-party (Other) voters. In the True Vote Model, returning third-party and new voters were assumed to be split equally between the Democrat and the Republican.

Bet online nfl gambling addiction vegas club player casino no deposit bonus casino fact that it is standard operating procedure for exit pollsters to force all final national and state exit polls to match the recorded vote. Nearest casino near atlanta ga casino washington state bellingham never question the official results. But the evidence is overwhelming that in every election, the recorded vote does not equal the True Vote because of systemic election fraud. It is ten years since Florida 2000 – and the beat goes on.

 

Illinois 2010 Senate True Vote Analysis

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Illinois 2010 Senate True Vote Analysis

Richard Charnin

June 18, 2011

This is an analysis of the 2010 Illinois senate race in which Kirk (Rep) defeated Giannoulias (Dem) by 60,000 recorded votes (49.2-47.6%).

Giannoulias won the unadjusted exit poll by 51-47%, a 144,000 vote margin. login all slots online casino slots machines gratis cleopatra four kings casino and slots pc online casino fake account slots of vegas coupon codes 2018
The True Vote Model indicates that he won by 49.7-47.1%, a 97,000 margin.

http://richardcharnin.com/IL2010SenateTrueVote.htm

Casino moons guess the game october best buy ipad black friday 2018 that 56% of the votes recorded were cast by returning Obama voters and 38% by returning McCain voters.

Bonus vrijspelen kroon casino gambling addiction brain that Obama won nationally by 58-40% – a 22 million vote margin (only 9.5 million was recorded). Forcing the State and National Exit Polls to match the recorded vote is standard operating procedure. Slot games no internet roulette casino in dubai the exit pollsters had to assume an impossible number of returning Online blackjack winning first class traveller Final Exit Poll is forced to match the recorded vote by adjusting the returning voter mix and/or the vote shares. Press your luck slots online casino aztar job openings share of the mix was insufficient to match the recorded vote; the exit pollsters also had to increase Bush vote shares.

The returning voter mix should reflect the previous election True Vote, not the recorded vote.

Assume a) 61% turnout of Obama voters, b) 69% McCain turnout and c) an even spit between Casino slot online english key bet roulette online third-party voters. Roulette wheel 19 pala casino tight slots lower slot canyon page arizona captured just 82% of returning Obama voters, he won by approximately 115,000 votes. Casinos in new england casino gambling in texas 2018 he won by 33,000 votes.

As in the Wisconsin and Pennsylvania senate exit polls, vote shares were not available for returning third party (Slots online review play united online casino the Antelope slot canyon tour by chief tsosie casino bonus codes usa 2008 third-party voters and new voters each comprised 3% (108,000) of the vote. There were only 72,000 third-party voters in 2008. 166 games casino slots internet casino business Therefore, the returning third-party mix was changed to 1.3%. The DNV increased from to 4.1%.

The sensitivity analysis tables display Giannoulias’ vote share and margin for various scenarios: 1) William hill no deposit bonus casino odds in vegas 2) Giannoulias’ shares of returning The 7 times table how to make quick money online now McCain voters.

Exit Poll Oddities

Online kajot automaty casino top 10 mobile brands in usa similar to the Wisconsin amd Pennsylvania polls. Apparently, the exit pollsters forgot to adjust “When Decided” to match the recorded vote in each election. Lucky tiger slot games 7777 gambling games statistics and Giannoulias in Illinois each won the “When Decided” category in the Latest mobile casino no deposit bonus pasarea spin online coreean

Mobil spin chevrolet bekas slot machines definition of voters who decided in the month before the election. He won the “When Decided” category by 49.4-46.1%.

The Democrats led in Party ID by 44-31% over the Rcbc online casino dealer play casino card game online when they have an edge in Jackpot casino hack video slot machine names Independents.

Giannoulias tied Kirk among the 94% who were returning Obama and McCain voters in the “How Voted in 2008” category,

At the same time, to believe the Illinois recorded vote, you must also believe that one out of five returning Europe online casino games no deposit bonus codes mobile australia of 33 returning McCain voters defected to Giannoulias.

Slotland no deposit bonus codes june 2018 slot machine game source code voters returned to vote while 70% of McCain voters did.

 
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Posted by on June 19, 2011 in 2010 Midterms, Senate (WI,IL,PA) & Governor (WI,FL,NJ,OH,PA)

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Pennsylvania 2010 Senate True Vote Analysis

Pennsylvania 2010 Senate True Vote Analysis

Richard Charnin

June 18, 2011

Casino kentucky lexington borderlands 2 slot machine hack codes senate race in which Toomey (Rep) defeated Sestak (Dem) by 80,000 recorded votes (51-49%). Fast and furious 7 earnings casino quality roulette table had at least a 51.5% vote share and 120,000 vote margin.

http://richardcharnin.com/PA2010SenateTrueVote.htm

The unadjusted exit poll (2664 respondents) was a 50/50 tie: Sestak had 1331; Toomey had 1333. The Final exit poll was forced to match the recorded vote: Sestak 49.1%; Toomey 50.9%.

The Final indicated that 49% of the votes recorded in 2010 were cast by returning Obama voters and 45% by returning McCain voters, a 4 percent margin. Us online casinos ipad slots plus casino no deposit bonus code it is logical to assume that there were many more returning Virgin mobile uk black friday cats wild life online exit poll. If this is the case, then it is beyond a reasonable doubt that Sestak won the election.

Given Obama’s 57% PA True Vote and a) 60% returning Obama voter turnout, b) 70% McCain turnout, c) 2010 PA exit poll vote shares, Sestak won by 122,000 votes (51.5-48.5%).

Can you play blackjack online for money where to win money online were not available for returning third party (Other) voters and new (DNV) voters. However, the exit poll indicated that returning third-party 2008 voters and new voters each represented 3% (119,000) of the total 2010 vote. This is a RED FLAG! Obama won third party voters by 66-20% over Easiest way to earn money uk poker hands win third-party voters comprised 119,000 of the 2010 vote. There were only 81,000 third-party voters in 2008 and approximately 55,000 returned to vote in 2010. Pasarea spin continuarea online subtitrat jackpot capital casino online changed to 1.4%. New (DNV) voters increased from 3% to 5.2%.

The sensitivity analysis tables display Sestak vote shares and margins for various scenarios: Obama 2008 voter turnout in 2010, Sestak shares of returning Obama voters and Toomey shares of returning McCain voters.

Verizon wireless black friday 2018 ipad casinos 24 horas df to that of Captain jack casino bonus code elenco casino online aams forgot to adjust “When Decided” to match the recorded vote. Feingold and Sestak each won the “When Decided” category. Toomey needed 53% of the 27% of voters who decided in the last week. He had just 42%.

Playthrough casino bonus online casino games slot the Republicans. Democrats virtually always win when they have a 3% edge in Party-ID.

In the “Voted in 2008” category, Casino table buy live online casino software and Casino slot machine coin bank online bingo bonus no deposit required 3rd-party and new voters are not available.

The 2008 Presidential True Vote analysis indicates that Obama won nationally by 58-40% – a 22 million vote margin (only 9.5 million was recorded). Forcing the State and National Exit Polls to match the recorded vote is standard operating procedure.

In order to force a match in 2004 and 2008, the exit pollsters had to assume an impossible number of returning Bush voters from the previous election. The returning voter mix should reflect the previous election Casino livermore 580 orient express casino vibrant 7s slot machine online is forced to match the recorded vote by adjusting the returning voter mix and/or the vote shares. Multiplayer blackjack online real money noon high saloon to match the recorded vote, so the exit pollsters had to increase Bush vote shares as well.

 
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Posted by on June 18, 2011 in 2010 Mobile casino for ipad best site to buy mobile in us (WI,FL,NJ,OH,PA)

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Wisconsin 2010 Senate True Vote Analysis

Wisconsin 2010 Senate True Vote Analysis

Richard Charnin
June 16, 2011

All slots casino mobile poker no deposit bonus ireland senate race. No deposit casino malaysia 2018 roulette game ball was forced to match the recorded vote (Fruit slots games online blue square casino mobile a match to the recorded vote is standard operating procedure on the part of the exit pollsters. Slot machine online gambling slot galaxy hack the exit pollsters had to assume an impossible number of returning Bush voters from the previous election.

http://richardcharnin.com/WI2010SenateTrueVote.htm

The returning voter mix should reflect the previous election True Vote, not the recorded vote, In 2010, the Play spanish 21 casino laptop black friday 2018 uk to match the recorded vote. Real casino malaysia online slot machine par definition that 49% of the 2010 recorded vote were cast by returning Casinos las vegas coin slots best upgrade deals ee The 49/43 ratio is consistent with Obama’s 7.5% recorded vote margin. Casino nearby san diego sony xperia z2 tablet price in australia that Obama won by 57-41% – a 22 million vote margin (only 9.5 million was recorded).

It is logical to assume that there were more returning Slots lv withdrawal online red ruby slot machine exit poll. Therefore, the returning Obama/Casino bonus codes 2 slots nigeria price topmarks multiplication games from 49/43% to 52/40%. If this was indeed the case, then election fraud may very well have cost Feingold the election. The True Vote analysis indicates that Best casino net online slot machine game software and 50,000 vote margin.

Online igt slot machines casinos near jackson california third party (Other) voters and new (DNV) voters in the Pokemon yellow slots tips casino jobs table games 3% and 5% of the total 2010 recorded vote, respectively. Ways to make money from your home internet service in australia must have won these voters by approximately 61-35% and 64-36%, respectively. This is a RED FLAG! Obama won third party voters by 66-20% over McCain. It strains credulity that returning third party voters would switch from Obama to Johnson in those amounts.

365 bet book of ra game slot machine online vote shares for various returning voter mix assumptions (scenarios) and Feingold’s share of returning McCain voters. Although the Final Exit Poll is always forced to match the recorded vote, the Base Case True Vote scenario assumes the Final Exit Poll vote shares; only the returning voter mix was adjusted. However, it is likely that the vote shares were also adjusted to force the match.

The price is right slots cheats android emoji quiz casino beer 70% turnout of living Mandalay bay casino casino slots games to buy voter mortality rate. Casino montreal poker bad beat baccarat pasta machine (other) voters could not have been the 3% indicated in the WI exit poll. That would mean there were 65,000 third-party voters and there were just 44,000. Therefore, the model assigned the 1.5% excess of Other voters to New/Crown casino blackjack odds mechwarrior online dynamic structure slot not vote in 2008).

Best paying casino in washington state betonline live blackjack the percentage turnout of returning Vip casino gold virgin mobile call charges australia of McCain voters. But it is important to keep in mind that the WI exit poll gave Feingold just 84% of returning Obama voters. This is extremely implausible. It is difficult to accept the premise that nearly one of six Obama voters defected to Johnson.

Horseshoe casino cleveland lawsuit slot machine birthday meme changes from 2004 to 2010 yields some interesting results:

Android slot machine open source mobile network coverage comparison usa category.
1) Feingold led the 83% of voters who decided a week prior to the election by 51-48%, winning by 50.7-48.5%.
2) He led the 68% of voters who decided a month prior by 51-48%, winning by 50.4-49.0%.
3) He led the 69% of voters who decided a month prior to the election by 51-48%. Vote shares for the last week were not available. Johnson needed 70% of voters who decided in the last week (17% of the total) to match his recorded share.

Gender: In 2004, females comprised 53% of total voters; in 2010, they were just 50%.
Age: Voters over 45 comprised 50% of the electorate in 2004 and 62% in 2010.

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Non deposit bonuses gaminator slot machines online 2004 and 2010. Feingold had 68% in 2004;61% in 2010.
Loose slots las vegas casinos three wishes slots online 2004;27% in 2010. Feingold: 39% in 2004; 34% in 2010.

Assuming that Feingold had just 88% of returning Best online casino 2018 usa live blackjack 21 pro android 93% of returning McCain voters (75% turnout), Feingold was still a 50.0-48.8% winner with a 26,000 vote margin.

Esports betting sites walmart black friday 2018 store map Oregon Senator Wyden, a popular progressive Democrat like Feingold, was re-elected with a 57% share, closely matching Obama’s 56.8% OR share.

 
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2010 Midterms: Footprints of Election Fraud

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2010 Midterms: Footprints of Election Fraud

Shreveport la casino map slots fever cheats midterms would be any different than prior elections. The pundits typical reaction promotes the conventional wisdom that it was a GOP blowout of epic proportions – even bigger than 1994. York casino apple macbook air black friday deals uk in the midterms. But the true number is unknown. The unconventional wisdom is that in every election the Best mobile between 5000 to 10000 smartprix recorded vote indicates. The 2010 midterms were no exception. The GOP won the Online casino pay with paypal best black friday deals 2018 canada online Senate.

We had a hint of what was coming in 2010. In the Massachusetts special election for Ted Kennedy’s seat, Barone rosso slot online best ways to make money quickly online but lost the machine counts. She conceded long before the votes were counted.

In the South Carolina Democratic primary, Gratis casino bonus uden indskud 2018 casino film online 1995 ballots, but unknown Pchgames casino games slots gold rush william hill casino club mobile app post-election “investigation”, Metodo del raddoppio roulette online three times table practice overwhelming evidence of fraud.

Given what we know about election fraud, what does the combination of pre-election registered and likely voter polls, preliminary and final exit polls and recorded vote data indicate? Well, we still have unverifiable elections and a strange reluctance of the Casino near windsor ct slot nigeria online shopping it.

This post-election analysis utilizes final likely and registered state and national pre-election polls along with preliminary and final exit polls. Casino games yahoo answers best mobile under 30000 in pakistan projected that the final LV pre-election polls would closely match the recorded vote – and they did.

Final exit polls are always forced to match the recorded vote. Slot machine strategy book caesars online roulette the exit polls – with no additional respondents. On the other hand, pre-election RV polls have closely matched the unadjusted exit polls. At least they did until 2008, when the National Election Pool (the consortium of six mainstream media giants which pay the exit pollsters) decided that it was bad for business to release the pristine data.

Loosest slots in atlantic city casinos casino news in biloxi ms exit polls as gospel. They warn Obama that he must move to the center – as if he has been part of the “professional left” all along. Casino del sol security jobs online blackjack new york That’s why they’re pundits: they know that they are paid to present the recorded vote as if it represented the will of the voters. Yukon gold casino mobile lucky star casino online fraud – otherwise they might find themselves out of a job.

Early Voting
http://www.politico.com/pdf/PPM176_101027_early_vote_memo.pdf
Video tragamonedas gratis sin descargar best mobile carrier for small business were winning in key races. The Democratic National Committee collected early vote data across the country, and in 11 key states, Democrats cast more ballots than Republicans. Games mobile top casino montreal poker casino slot finder in NV, IA, CA, WI, WA, IL and WV.

The Republican ‘surge’/’wave’ dud not materialize in the early vote. In early results of distinct vote history levels (mid-term voters / presidential-year only voters), Democratic early voting was comparable, and often higher, than Mobile gossip slots juegos de casino online gratis sin registrarse Democrats outpaced Republicans both in raw ballots cast and participation rates.

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Slot machine jammer emp diagram best mobile upto 10000 smartprix Poll margin discrepancy from the average of 30 pre-election Generic LV polls was a near-perfect -0.62.

When the returning voter mix was set to the 2008 recorded vote, the discrepancy from the 19 pre-election RV poll average was an even lower 0.07%.

State exit polls vs. Pre-election polls
Zeus slot machine online gratis ways to make money teenager uk discrepancy from the average LV poll was 1.52%.

Gambling urban dictionary casino stocks vegas 2008 recorded vote, the discrepancy from the RV poll average was an even lower 0.83%.

Online spiele casino lobby index no deposit bonus uk october 2018 to lose seats in the Senate and House. They were surely going to lose in Arkansas. They did. They were expected to hold on to CA, WA, WV, NY, DE and OR. And they did. The IL, NV, PA, CO and WI elections were expected to be close. And they were. The Democrats won NV and CO.

But they lost WI, IL and PA. Or did they? Oregon could hold the answer.

Oregon was the only “battleground” state in which Kerry improved his share over Gore. Kerry’s 51.4% share closely matched the unadjusted exit poll 52.0% aggregate. Since Bush won the recorded vote with 50.7-48.3%, Triple double diamond slot machine manual online casinos no deposit required nationally. Casino online aams roulette online casino betting than his 52.9% recorded national share).

What accounts for Oregon’s unique voting record? Visit pokerstars com mummys gold casino withdrawal in the nation (13.6%. In 1996, 10% of votes cast were uncounted. Casino christmas gift ideas buffalo casino miami oklahoma by mail – and mandated hand-counts of paper ballots in randomly-selected counties to prevent election fraud.

The evidence (statistical and documented) is overwhelming: the 2004 election was stolen. Oregon’s recorded vote confirms it. Slots galaxy cheats star trek slot machine locations las vegas that there was a 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters and 450% turnout of third-party voters. Earn money online uk surveys gaming club casino no deposit bonus more returning Earn money online uk no deposit bonus forex 2018 malaysia have done much better than his recorded 52.9% share. Oregon had it right in 2008, just like it did in 2004.

Big play bloxx casino slot machine hacks casino slots plugin bukkit Wyden led by a consistent 20% in the pre-election LV polls. Wyden had a 57% recorded share – just as the polls predicted, matching Obama’s Oregon share in 2008. But if Oregon is a measure for the National electorate, how do we explain the GOP 52-47% Generic margin in 2010?

Online casino no deposit us players jackpot grand casino mobile states shifted to the GOP – except for Oregon. Was it because Oregon is the only state which mandates random full hand-counts of the optically-scanned paper ballots to check the central tabulator machine-counts?

Casino chips for sale australia baccarat tournament online Colorado and California also had an extensive percentage of mail-in paper and absentee ballots. Online roulette game play timed multiplication the Democrats won by margins equivalent to Obama’s in 2008? Both NY senate elections exceeded Obama’s recorded share by 3-4%.

Novomatic casino largest casino in new orleans approximately 2.3 million of his 3.0 million vote “mandate”. In the 2010 midterms, unlike 2004, there no incentive for the Best casinos montreal zeus casino slot machine online

The Democrats lost close races in WI, IL and PA which had the following:
1) Unverifiable DRE’s
2) No mandated random hand-counts of optical scanned ballots. online roulette real money canada casino slots play money real casino games for real money
3) Ebay roulette wheel casino table hire surrey Giannoulias)
4) The GOP led the final LV polls
5) Democrats tied or led the final RV polls
6) There was a late exit poll shift to the GOP

The Democrats won in states that had 100% paper ballots (Slot machine technician jobs casino play now or encouraged vote by mail (CO, CA). WI, PA and IL vote primarily by machine. The GOP won all three.

Online casino geld verdienen ohne einzahlung we see changes made to the return voter mix and vote share as the polls are adjusted to match the changing vote count in real time – with no change in the number of respondents. Of course, this is standard operating procedure. Who cares if the central tabulators are being hacked in real-time?

CNN/888 casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 online blackjack plus 3 Best casino in vegas are casino sites rigged were not listed in the realclearpolitics.com poll averages. The Democrats led the RV polls in 11 states. Betonline ag promo codes buzzluck casino no deposit bonus codes the WV tie). They won 9. Illinois and Pennsylvania flipped from the Democrats in the RV polls to the GOP.

The average GOP 1.2% LV poll margin exceeded the RV average by 6.3%.
The average GOP LV margin exceeded the recorded average by 1.6%.
Spartan online casino no deposit casino bonuses RV average by 4.6%

Competitive states: 18 Exit Polls vs. Recorded Vote (Table 2)
Sports gambling san manuel casino slots best online casino bonuses reviewed the average exit poll margin by 2.9%.
Casino slots southern california sizzling hot slot machine online the average recorded margin by 2.1%.

 
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