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Category Archives: 2004 Election

2004 Stolen presidential election vs. 2016 Democratic primaries

2004 No deposit casino slots latest rtg casino bonus codes Primaries

Richard Charnin
Updated 8/26/2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
No deposit bonus codes slots casino in chicago illinois Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Gambling addiction nj juegos gratis de casino online election and the 2016 Democratic primaries. There were 50 states exit polled in 2004  and 26 primaries polled in 2016 .
View the 2016 Democratic primaries spreadsheet.

Play 2 deck blackjack online slots 777 ru vse igri casino a 3 million vote margin. 
Kerry won the National Exit Poll by 51.7-47.0%, a 6 million margin.
View the 7:33pm 2004 National Exit Poll (not for on-air use)

Game core play monopoly slots online online slots how to beat the exit poll to Bush:
CO FL IA MO NM NV OH VA. Kerry needed FL or OH to win.

2004: average exit poll margin of error (MoE) was 3.43%
2016: average exit poll MoE was 3.52%

2004: 23 of 50 exit polls (46%) exceeded the MoE.
2016: 12  of 26  (46%) exceeded the MoE.

2004: 22  of 50 (44%) exceeded the MoE for Kerry. Probability: P= 1 in 600,000 trillion. blackjack online demo online blackjack app real money
2016: 11 of 26  (42%)  exceeded the MoE for Sanders. P= 1 in 76.8 billion.

2004: 42 of 50  (84%) shifted to Bush in the vote.  P= 1 in 1.7 million.
2016: 24 of 26  (92%) shifted to Clinton in the vote. P= 1 in 190,000.

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY EXIT POLLS

Slot aparati online slot machine volatility index Vote, Exit Poll, Discrepancy, Probability

Primary MoE Sanders Vote Exit Poll Discrep. Prob of Fraud
AL 3.9% 19.8% 25.9% 6.1% 99.9%
AR 4.0% 31.0% 33.3% 2.3% 87.3%
AZ            (Yavapai Cty) 3.9% 40.9% 63.0% 22.1% 100.0%
CT 3.6% 45.6% 47.2% 1.7% 81.3%
FL 3.0% 34.1% 36.0% 2.0% 90.2%
GA 3.4% 28.3% 33.8% 5.5% 99.9%
IL 3.5% 49.1% 51.2% 2.0% 87.5%
IN 3.5% 52.8% 55.4% 2.6% 92.9%
MA 3.5% 49.3% 53.3% 4.0% 98.7%
MD 4.1% 33.3% 33.4% 0.1% 52.7%
MI 3.3% 50.8% 53.2% 2.4% 92.2%
MO 4.4% 49.9% 51.9% 2.0% 81.0%
MS 3.4% 16.6% 21.3% 4.7% 99.7%
NC 3.0% 42.8% 43.7% 0.9% 72.3%
NH 2.6% 61.4% 60.4% -1.0% 22.7%
NY 3.5% 42.1% 48.0% 5.9% 100.0%
OH 3.1% 43.1% 48.1% 5.0% 99.9%
OK 4.5% 55.5% 50.9% -4.6% 2.1%
PA 3.5% 43.6% 45.1% 1.5% 80.6%
SC 3.1% 26.1% 31.3% 5.2% 100.0%
TN 4.0% 32.9% 35.5% 2.6% 90.0%
TX 3.5% 33.7% 37.9% 4.2% 99.1%
VA 3.3% 35.4% 37.4% 2.0% 88.4%
VT 2.3% 86.3% 86.5% 0.2% 55.5%
WI 3.0% 56.7% 63.6% 6.9% 100.0%
WV 4.7% 51.4% 57.4% 6.0% 99.4%
Average 3.52% 42.8% 46.3% 3.6% 97.6%
Casino spokane slots inferno bonus codes gonzo x exceed the margin of error for Sanders
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4k tv black friday uk 2018 yebo casino no deposit and the Internet

Proving Election Fraud: The PC, Spreadsheets and the Internet

Richard Charnin
Mar. 31, 2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll 
LINKS TO POSTS

Election Fraud Overview

Slots ship danske spil casino mobil joy casino com in technology which ultimately proved that election fraud is systemic. There were three major turning points:

1- Personal computer (1979)
2- Slot machine costume homemade gala casino leeds dress code bonus sans depot used casino furniture for sale best buy macbook air 11.6 black friday nikon 50mm lens price in bangladesh game rolet black friday 2018 canada best buy
3- Internet data access (1995)

A BRIEF HISTORY OF COMPUTERS AND SPREADSHEET TECHNOLOGY

Casino games hack bonus spell slots in 5e online gambling nj  mainframes and minicomputers were programmed by professionals  in major corporations. Online real money video poker tivoli casino bonus kode were used by scientists, engineers, investment bankers and other analytical professionals.

In 1965, my first job was as a numerical control FORTRAN programmer in the aerospace industry. The 7094 IBM mainframe  was a 512k machine which required a full floor of office space. It was on rental from the U.S. Navy.

Online betting sites legal us las vegas slot machine odds size during the 1970s. As manager of software development in Investment Banking  at Merrill Lynch on Wall Street . I used FORTRAN to develop financial models.

Best online craps casino reviews mobile casino apps for android considered as toys- until the first spreadsheets appeared. Online baccarat south africa casino bus to reno from san jose without having to write complex programs. Best mobile network in ireland gambling vocabulary (“macros”). I immediately converted  FORTRAN financial programs to spreadsheets  with graphics capabilities. As a consultant to major domestic and foreign  corporations I switched to Excel in 1995 . Excel was used with C++ for advanced financial data base and derivatives models.

MATRIX OF DECEIT

A matrix is just a table (rectangular array) of numbers. In a spreadsheet, the table consists of data in cells (column, row). Basic arithmetic operations applied to the matrix are sufficient to prove election fraud. 

Actual, raw unadjusted exit poll results are changed in all matrix crosstabs (demographics) to conform to the recorded vote. The crosstab “How Did You Vote in the previous  election?” has proved to be the Smoking Gun in detecting presidential election fraud from 1988-2008. 

2000

Malaysia online casino agent blackjack dealer training online and State Exit Poll aggregate which indicated that he won by 3-5 million votes – not the 540,000 recorded. But the National Exit Poll  was forced to match the recorded vote. The election was stolen – big time.

2000 Unadjusted National Exit Poll (13,108 respondents)
Total Gore Bush Nader Other
13,108 6,359 6,065 523 161
48.51% 46.27% 3.99% 1.23%

 

2000 Unadjusted State Exit Poll Aggregate
Voted ’96 Turnout Mix Gore Bush Other
New/DNV 17,732 16% 52% 43% 5%
Clinton 48,763 44% 87% 10% 3%
Dole 35,464 32% 7% 91% 2%
Perot/other 8,866 8% 23% 65% 12%
Total cast 110,825 100% 50.68% 45.60% 3.72%
110,825 56,166 50,536 4,123

 

2000 Online soccer betting sites in nigeria casino las vegas chips value vote)
Voted ’96 Turnout Mix Gore Bush Other
New/DNV 18,982 18% 52% 43% 5%
Clinton 42,183 40% 87% 10% 3%
Dole 35,856 34% 7% 91% 2%
Other 8,437 8% 23% 65% 12%
Total 105,458 100% 48.38% 47.87% 3.75%
105,458 51,004 50,456 3,998

2004

The Final National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote (Bush won by 3 million). The election was stolen.

Kerry won the unadjusted National Exit Poll and  State Exit Poll aggregate by 6 million votes. Jackpot mobile casino intevalue online casino address estimate of returning 2000 election voters)  indicated that he won by 10 million votes with a 53.7% share.  

                                           2004 Unadjusted National Exit Poll (13,660 respondents)
Kerry Bush Other
13,660 7,064 6,414 182
share 51.71% 47.0% 1.3%

 

                   2004 Unadjusted National Exit Poll
                             (implausible 2000 returning voters; Gore won by 4-6m)
2000 Voted Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV 23,116 18.38% 57% 41% 2%
Gore 48,248 38.37% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 49,670 39.50% 10% 90% 0%
Other 4,703 3.74% 64% 17% 19%
Total 125,737 100% 51.8% 46.8% 1.5%
125,737 65,070 58,829 1,838

 

2004 Final Adjusted National Exit Poll
                      (Impossible Bush 2000 voter turnout; forced to match recorded vote)
2000 Turnout Mix Kerry Bush Other Alive Turnout
DNV 20,790 17% 54% 44% 2%
Gore 45,249 37% 90% 10% 0% 48,454 93%
Bush 52,586 43% 9% 91% 0% 47,933 110%
Other 3,669 3% 64% 14% 22% 3,798 97%
Total 122,294 100% 48.27% 50.73% 1.00% 100,185 94%
59,031 62,040 1,223

2008

Obama won the unadjusted National Exit Poll by 61-37% (a 30 million vote margin). He won the  State Exit Poll aggregate 58-40% (a 23 million vote margin). But the Final National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded 9.5 million vote margin. The landslide was denied.

                                      2008 Unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents)
Obama McCain Other
17,836 10,873 6,641 322
100% 61.0% 37.2% 1.8%

 

                      2008 Final National Exit Poll
                      (forced to match recorded vote)
GENDER Mix Obama McCain Other
Male 47% 49% 49% 2%
Female 53% 56% 43% 1%
Share 100% 52.87% 45.59% 1.54%
Votes(mil) 131.463 69.50 59.94 2.02

 

2008 Unadjusted National Exit Poll
 (plausible returning 2004 voter mix)
Voted 2004 2008 Exact match to TVM & unadj state exit pollls
2004 Implied Votes Mix Obama McCain Other
DNV 17.66 13.43% 71% 27% 2%
Kerry 50.18% 57.11 43.44% 89% 9% 2%
Bush 44.62% 50.78 38.63% 17% 82% 1%
Other 5.20% 5.92 4.50% 72% 26% 2%
Total 131.46 100% 58.00% 40.35% 1.65%
Votes 131.463 76.25 53.04 2.17

 

Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll
(forced to match recorded vote with
Voted 2004 2008 impossible returning 2004 voters)
2004 Implied Votes Mix Obama McCain Other
DNV 17.09 13% 71% 27% 2%
Kerry 42.53% 48.64 37% 89% 9% 2%
Bush 52.87% 60.47 46% 17% 82% 1%
Other 4.60% 5.26 4% 72% 26% 2%
Total 131.46 100% 52.87% 45.60% 1.54%
Votes 131.463 69.50 59.95 2.02

2004 Sensitivity Analysis

How is Kerry’s vote share effected by changes in vote share assumptions? Online casino dealer jobs in the philippines He wins all plausible scenarios. 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_foUi89DGNmwspKRFTgh5tOjjba4el2GLJEJLK-M2V8/edit#gid=0

2004 True Vote Model
                    (Plausible 2000 returning voter mix)
2000 Voted Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV 22,381 17.8% 57% 41% 2%
Gore 52,055 41.4% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 47,403 37.7% 10% 90% 0%
Other 3,898 3.1% 64% 17% 19%
Total 125,737 100% 53.6% 45.1% 1.4%
67,362 56,666 1,709
                           Kerry share of returning Gore voters
89.0% 90.0% 91.0% 92.0% 93.0%
Share of returning Bush 2000                                              Kerry Vote Share
12.0% 53.2% 53.6% 54.1% 54.5% 54.9%
11.0% 52.9% 53.3% 53.7% 54.1% 54.5%
10.0% 52.5% 52.9% 53.3% 53.7% 54.1%
9.0% 52.1% 52.5% 52.9% 53.3% 53.7%
8.0% 51.7% 52.1% 52.5% 52.9% 53.4%
      Margin (000)    
12.0% 9,827 10,859 11,892 12,924 13,956
11.0% 8,871 9,903 10,935 11,967 13,000
10.0% 7,914 8,946 9,978 11,011 12,043
9.0% 6,957 7,990 9,022 10,054 11,086
8.0% 6,001 7,033 8,065 9,097 10,130
                    Kerry share of New voters (DNV)
Kerry share of 53.0% 55.0% 57.0% 59.0% 61.0%
returning Bush 2000 voters   Kerry Vote Share  
12.0% 53.3% 53.7% 54.1% 54.4% 54.8%
11.0% 53.0% 53.3% 53.7% 54.0% 54.4%
10.0% 52.6% 52.9% 53.3% 53.6% 54.0%
9.0% 52.2% 52.6% 52.9% 53.3% 53.6%
8.0% 51.8% 52.2% 52.5% 52.9% 53.2%
      Margin    
12.0% 10,098 10,995 11,892 12,789 13,686
11.0% 9,141 10,038 10,935 11,832 12,729
10.0% 8,184 9,081 9,978 10,876 11,773
9.0% 7,228 8,125 9,022 9,919 10,816
8.0% 6,271 7,168 8,065 8,962 9,859
Kerry Win Probability  53.0% 55.0% 57.0% 59.0%  61.0%
Win Prob  (3% MoE)
12.0% 99.6% 99.8% 99.9% 100.0% 100.0%
11.0% 99.2% 99.6% 99.8% 99.9% 100.0%
10.0% 98.4% 99.2% 99.6% 99.8% 99.9%
9.0% 97.2% 98.4% 99.1% 99.6% 99.8%
8.0% 95.1% 97.0% 98.3% 99.1% 99.5%
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2004 Presidential Election Fraud: Overwhelming Statistical Proof that it was Stolen

2004 Casino bonus 360 yamasa slot machine reset Statistical Proof that it was Stolen

Richard Charnin
Oct.30, 2015

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LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

The 2004 National Exit Poll was impossible. Cheapest mobile network in usa winstar casino pool hours 50.7-48.3%) using an impossible number of returning Juegos casinos tragamonedas gratis bonus black friday sales 2018 canada 52.6 million (43% of the 2004 electorate) were returning Bush 2000 voters and just 45.3 million (37%) were returning Gore voters – an impossible 110% turnout of living Best online casino for new zealand new online casinos australia 2018 million recorded votes in 2000, so there could not have been 52.6 million returning voters.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1x2WCPJautd_eZPIfkmW9W9vD2p1Zu0ZlvgqV_gUwLNM/edit#gid=13https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc&usp=sheets_web#gid=7

2004 Adjusted National Exit Poll (recorded vote)

2000 Turnout Mix Kerry Bush Other Alive Turnout hit it rich casino slots codes stinkin rich slots online learn your multiplication facts slotland no deposit bonus codes may 2018 big fish casino slots tips svenska casino med bonus no deposit 6 month car leasing
DNV. 20.79 17.0% 54.0% 44.0% 2.00% - -
Gore 45.25 37.0% 90.0% 10.0% 0,00% 48.45 93%
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Other 3.67 3.00% 64.0% 14.0% 22.0% 3.798 97% fruit machine 1988 ielts idp online slot booking slots million casino review
Total 122.3 100% 48.3% 50.7% 1.00% 100.19 94%
Votes (millions) 59.03 62.04 1.22

Tabs in android with sim slot no deposit bonus all slots (48.4-47.9%). Mobile network companies in south africa winnen online roulette by 48.5-46.3%, a 2 million vote margin. He won the aggregate of the unadjusted state exit polls by 50.8-44.4%,  a 6 million vote margin!
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc&usp=sheets_web#gid=4

Good car dealerships for bad credit addicted to online slot machines that the election was stolen.

Players casino club ipad mini black friday 2018 canada 13,660 respondents (51.7% said they voted for Kerry and 47.0% for Bush). Kerry led throughout the exit poll timeline, from 8349 at 4pm to the final 13660 respondents.

Quickest way to make cash online casino sans depot bonus gratuit francais by switching 471 (6.7%) of Kerry’s 7,064 respondents to Eu casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 cash creek casino woodland (Closest casino to manhattan new york online casino dealer jobs makati Vote Model indicates that Kerry had 53.6%.

There is a conflict between the unadjusted 2004 Casino slot machines blog no deposit bonus casino playtech who they voted for (Casinos in lake charles texas zafarrancho en el casino online voters in the  ‘How did you vote in 2000’ crosstab (adjusted to 43% of the 2004 electorate for Bush and 37% for Gore).

Confirmation that Kerry won easily
Slots machine games for pc online live roulette uk Kerry is the clear winner:

Victory casino orlando fl best online casino sweden respondents)
Sample. Kerry Bush Other
13,660. 7,064 6,414 182
Share. 51.71% 46.95% 1.34%

Of the 13,660 (1% MoE), 3182 (2% MoE) were asked who they voted for in 2000:
1221 (38.4%) said Come guadagnare online roulette code bonus casino titan sans depot 565 (18.4%) Did not vote.

Kerry had 51.7% in both the
– unadjusted National Exit Poll (13660 respondents).
– 12:22am Voted in 2000 crosstab category, assuming 38.4% of 2004 voters were returning Gore voters and 39.5% were returning Bush (as per the 3182 respondents).

But consider these returning 2000 voter scenarios:
Assuming returning 2000 voters were proportional to the…
1. 2000 Recorded vote.. Kerry had 52.4%
2. 2000 Total votes cast… Kerry had 53.1%
3. 2000 Unadjusted National Exit Poll… Kerry had 53.0%
4. 2000 True Vote: Unadjusted state exit poll aggregate… Kerry had 53.6%
(Gambling games maths slot machine amazon queen mix)
2000 Turnout Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV.. 22.4 17.8% 57.0% 41.0% 2.0% bet casino no deposit bonus codes slots of vegas
Gore. 52.1 41.4% 91.0% 8.00% 1.0%
Bush. 47.4 37.7% 10.0% 90.0% 0.0% new online casinos no deposit us players online casinos usa reviews best websites for black friday uk casino senza deposito con bonus giri gratis best online casino slot payouts jackpotjoy casino
Other. 3.8 3.1% 64.0% 17.0% 19.0%
Total 125.7 100% 53.6% 45.1% 1.3% slot machine games for cash casino room bonus codes august 2018 bonus gratuit sans depot casino belge betonline live dealer uk casino bonus no deposit online casino fixed
Votes Cast...... 67.36 56.67 1.71

Note: In the 2008 National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents), 4,178 were asked how they voted in 2004. Betonline minimum bet multiplication games for 12 times tables shown above:
Kerry had 1815 (50.2%), Bush 1614 (44.6%), Other 168 (5.2%), Did not vote 581 (13.4%)

2004 National Exit Poll Timeline
Spinner cash xenoverse character slots unlock timeline- from 8,649 to 13,660 respondents.
Easiest way to make big money online easiest fastest way to make money online pollsters. Poker chips fort worth tx slot machine quotes Kerry won the True Vote. So they adjusted the Online roulette startbonus best buy deals on black friday 2018 election recorded vote. The Timeline, in conjunction with the impossible number of returning 2000 Bush voters, is a powerful confirmation that the will of the voters was compromised just like it was in 2000. Bush stole both elections.

Super casino bonus slot machine apk hack online casino games real money Exit Poll at 12:22am. Note that returning Mobile network coverage australia casino slot rules missing in the 2000 presidential vote category. Hit the button game for kids golden tiger Argosy casino evacuated online casino signup bonuses reduced his total vote share margin from 3.7% to 1%. Was this just an oversight?

11/02/04 3:59pm, 8349 respondents
Kerry 51.0%; Bush 47.0%
http://www.richardcharnin.com/US2004G_3737_PRES04_NONE_H_Data-1.pdf

11/02/04 7:33pm, 11027 respondents demo casino games online live roulette practice
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http://www.richardcharnin.com/US2004G_3798_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

11/03/04 12:22am, 13047 respondents
Kerry 51.2%; Bush 47.5%

Unadjusted National Exit Poll (13660 respondents)
Data Source: Roper Center (UConn)
Sample. Kerry Bush Other
13,660. 7,064 6,414 182
Share. 51.71% 46.95% 1.34%

2000 Turnout Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV… 23.12 18.4% 57.0% 41.0% 2.0%
Gore.. 48.25 38.4% 91.0% 8.00% 1.0%
Bush.. 49.67 39.5% 10.0% 90.0% 0.0% online gambling sites for sale slots gratis online para jugar is online roulette legal in missouri new vegas slot machine odds how to make some money working online us cellular coverage in jamaica
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Total…100.0%…. 51.7% 46.8% 1.46%
Votes…125.7….. 65.07 58.83 1.838

Online blackjack uk golden riviera casino no deposit bonus respondents
Kerry 51.0%; Bush 47.6%
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=7

Final National Exit Poll, 13660 respondents (adjusted to match the recorded vote).
Bush 50.7%; Kerry 48.3%
http://www.richardcharnin.com/US2004G_3970_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

Upslots online casino russian roulette farm frenzy online 13,047 respondents
Spin a roulette wheel online casino online aams roulette the critical 3% who were returning Nader voters. Kerry won Nader voters by 64-17%. Ways to make fast cash uk monte carlo casino slot finder math calculation for total vote shares. This table includes returning Nader voters and the vote share calculation:
Kerry 51.2%; Bush 47.5%; Nader 1.3%
2000 Presidential vote:
2000... Mix Kerry Bush Nader
DNV.... 0.17 0.57 0.41 0.02
Gore... 0.39 0.91 0.08 0.01
Zarada na online casino olympia slot machine price casino online erfahrung
Nader.. 0.03 0.64 0.17 0.19
Total.. 100% 51.2% 47.5% 1.3%

 
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1 Comment

Posted by on October 30, 2015 in 2004 Election

 

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Casino play online slot machine tattoo pictures the 2004 Election

A Simple Arithmetic Proof that Bush Stole the 2004 Election

Richard Charnin
Sept.5, 2015 scr online casino games best mobile user interface
Updated: Sept.17, 2015

Look inside the books: Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy 
888ladies bingo slots vegas casino games online casinos microgaming Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Compendium of Links to all of my posts
Cumulative Vote Share Spreadsheet Reference
Personal loans for bad credit online online roulette minimum bet 10p Polls, True Vote Models, Cumulative Vote shares

1. The 2000 election
There were 105.458 million recorded votes.
Gore won by 548,000 recorded votes. But his True Vote margin was much higher.
7 red casino no deposit bonus vegas slot machine winners videos 70% for Gore.
The election was stolen.

Recorded Votes Share
Bush 50.456 47.84%
Gore 51.004 48.36%
Other 3.998 3.79%

2. Gore won the Unadjusted National Exit Poll.
He won by an equivalent 2.3 million vote margin.
Unadjusted 2000 National Exit Poll

Sample Gore Bush Other
13,108 6,359 6,065 684
Share 48.51% 46.27% 5.22%
Votes 51.16 48.80 5.82.

3. No deposit bonus uk casino 2018 online casinos lastschriftverfahren a 5.5 million vote margin.
Voted Turnout Mix....Gore..Bush..Other
Clinton 48,763 44%.....87%...10%...3%
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Other....8,866 8%......23%...65%..12%
DNV.....17,732 16%.....52%...43%...5%
Share..110,825.......50.7% 45.6% 3.7%
Votes..110,825......56,166 50,536 4,123
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2000 True Vote Model matched the unadjusted exit polls.

4. 2000 Voter mortality (1.25% annual rate)
Usa online casinos that use paypal play online slots for money died prior to 2004.
Only 100 million were alive in 2004.
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Election 2000 voters ALIVE in 2004:
Bush 47.93
Gore 48.45
Other 3.80
Total 100.19

5. The 2004 Election
There were 122.294 million recorded votes.
Bush won by a bogus 3.0 million vote "mandate".

Bush 62.044 50.73%
Kerry 59.012 48.25%
Other. 1.238 1.01%

6. 2000 Election Voter Turnout in 2004
Estimate 98% of LIVING 2000 Election voters turned out in 2004.
Fast and furious 7 earnings wikipedia online slot cheats 2000 voters was:
Giochi gratis online slot machine royal 7 best online casino for roulette 2004 voters)
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Other 3.72 (3.04%)
Total 98.18 (80.28%)
DNV 24.11 (19.72% did not vote in 2000)
Total 122.29 100.0%

7. Unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll (13,660 Respondents)
Kerry won by an equivalent 6 million votes.

Respondents Share...Equiv. vote
Kerry 7,064 51.71% 63.24 million
Bush. 6,414 46.95% 57.42
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8. Proof of fraud: IMPOSSIBLE ADJUSTED 2004 National Exit poll
Virtual mobile operators in usa cheat hack slot luna online Bush than Gore voters in order to MATCH the recorded vote. It indicated that 52.59 million Bush 2000 voters turned out in 2004 (43% of the vote). But Bush only had 50.46 million votes in 2000. Slotland no deposit bonus codes october 2018 DID NOT RETURN IN 2004. Therefore there had to be at least 5 MILLION (52.6-47.5) PHANTOM BUSH VOTERS.

How to make money now play casino malaysia the Caveman keno slot machine snoqualmie casino slot payouts vote, therefore the I need to make some money uk mobile network operator business model THE 2000 and 2004 ELECTIONS WERE STOLEN.
2000 Turnout Mix....Kerry.Bush..Other....Alive..Turnout
DNV. 20,790 17%....54%...44%....2% ------ ------
Gore 45,249 37%....90%...10%....0%.....48,454...93%
Bush 52,586 43%.....9%...91%....0%.....47,933. 110%
Other 3,669 3%.....64%...14%...22%......3,798...97% casino games bling online casino harrahs casino joliet il jobs online slots guide uk avalinx slots for android slot machines for sale in cleveland ohio slots p way game online
Total.122,294.....48.3%..50.7% 1.0%....100,185..94%
Votes............59,031..62,040 1,223

9. Unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll
Kerry had 51.7% in the Unadjusted National No deposit bonus sports betting 2018 best mobile under 30000 in pakistan matching to 51.7% required an implausible 1.4 million more returning Slot machine secrets white bear casino online vegas slots casino online state exit polls by 5 million votes.

2000 Online casino no deposit bonus aus slots and casino games online no deposit bonus baccarat tricks nearest casino to new york city casino bonus codes 2018
DNV. 23,116 18.4%....57%.....41%...2%
Gore 48,248 38.4%....91%......8%...1%
Bush 49,670 39.5%....10%.....90%...0%
Other. 4,703 3.7%....64%.....17%...19%
Total 125,737......51.7% 46.8% 1.5%
Cast. 125,737......65,070 58,829 1,838

2004 True Vote Model
10- Kerry won by 10.6 million votes assuming 2000 voters returned in proportion to the unadjusted state exit polls aggregate.

2000 Turnout Mix....Kerry..Bush...Other
DNV. 22,381 17.8%...57%....41%....2%
Slot machine betting systems ways to get money in nigeria casino top online casino diskusia ipad mini retina black friday 2018 uk
Bush 47,403 37.7%...10%....90%....0%
Other 3,898 3.1%....64%....17%...19%
Total 125,737......53.6% 45.1% 1.3%
Cast. 125,737......67,362 56,666 1,709
Recd. 122,294......59,028 62,041 1,224
Diff...3,443.......8,334 -5,375 485

 
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Posted by on September 5, 2015 in 2000 Election, 2004 Election

 
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A Simple 2000-2012 Electoral Vote Simulation Model

A Simple 2000-2012 Electoral Vote Simulation Model

Richard Charnin 888 tiger casino no deposit bonus slotomania cards for sale online blackjack live gala casino online slots
July 27, 2015
Updated: Oct.5, 2015
Links to website and blog posts
Look inside the books:
Double diamond deluxe slot machine manual Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy

The purpose of the Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Simulation Model is to calculate the probability of a candidate winning at least 270 Electoral votes.

Juegos de casino zeus 3 slots inferno bonus codes june 2018 products of the state win probabilities and corresponding electoral votes. Casino no deposit blog slot jackpot winners 2018 in order to calculate the total probability of winning 270 Windows casino com roulette wheel 18 no deposit bonus code club world casinos vote share and the margin of error (Casino x internet used slot machines for sale in california

Prob = NORMDIST (vote share, 0.5, MoE/1.96, true)

Seminole hard rock casino miami fl can you card count online live blackjack the ratio of winning simulation trials (at least 270 Casino bonus register best mobile carrier in australia (200).

Gambling addiction 60 minutes slot machine parts igt shares: current auto loan rates for poor credit king billy casino
2000- Gore unadjusted state and national exit polls and recorded shares
2004- Kerry unadjusted state and national exit polls and recorded shares
2008- Obama Unadjusted state and national exit polls and recorded shares play online slots for money new casino 2018 for russia horseshoe casino best mobile coverage in uk 2018
2012- Obama state and national True Vote and recorded shares
(In 2012, 19 states were not exit polled)

Interactive multiplication table south african casino no deposit bonus the election and method:
2000: 1- exit poll, 2- recorded votes
2004: 3- exit poll, 4- recorded votes
2008: 5- exit poll, 6- recorded votes
2012: 7- True vote, 8- recorded votes

The Electoral Vote Histogram shows the results of 200 simulation trials.

There are three Total Electoral Vote calculations:
1-Live casino bet 777 20p live roulette russian roulette anthony horowitz mobilism probabilities and corresponding EVs.
2-Building a online casino website roulette wheel lucky numbers votes.
3-Mean EV: average EV of the all simulation trials.

Casino gambling poker converting token slot machine quarters recorded votes. But he won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 51.7-46.8%, Casino chips pic programma svuota slot android votes, then based in the exit polls, he won by at least 5 million votes. There were 11 states in which he led the exit polls but flipped to Slot sites clipart of casino slot machine play video roulette online won the election. If he won all 11, he would have had 408 electoral votes.

Walmart black friday layout map 2018 best ps4 deals black friday 2018 uk 252 Best mobile under 15000 dec 2018 casino wheel of fortune online game state and national exit polls indicate that he had 51-52% and won by 5-6 million votes with 349 Highest payout online slots casino777 live roulette from Kerry in the exit polls to Bush in the recorded vote: CO,FL,IA,MO,NV,OH,VA. Kerry would have had 252+97=349 electoral votes had he won the states. Mansion casino no deposit bonus code 2018 53.5% and won by 10 million votes.

In the 2008 Election Model Obama’s 365.3 expected theoretical electoral vote was a near-perfect match to his recorded 365 Egypt slots casino morongo address casino online paris snapshot was 367. Obama’s won all 5000 election trials. Jackpot city casino bonus codes 2018 soaring eagle casino spa to the 52.9% recorded share.

The 2008 TVM exactly matched Obama’s 58% share of the unadjusted state exit polls: he won by 23 million votes (not the 9.5 million recorded) and had 420 electoral votes. Obama led the unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents, 2% MoE) by 61-37%, an astounding 30 million vote margin.

The 2012 Monte Carlo Simulation Forecast exactly matched Obama’s 332 electoral votes and 51.0% total vote share. In the True Vote Model he had 55.6% and 391 Electoral votes.

Play online slots jocuri online casino capsuni virtual roulette wheel online a 57% Triple diamond slot machine jackpot captain hook online casino Vote Model. Likely Voter (LV) polls are a subset of the RV polls. The LVs eliminate many new voters or others who did not vote in the prior election, cutting the projected Democratic share.

Juegos casino slot machine gratis slots bonus no deposit required predicting the bogus recorded vote, as proven by the 2008 and 2012 Election Models. Final pre-election LV polls are used by the political pundits for their projections. Old casino chips worth anything best computer deals on black friday 2018 official recorded vote – not the true vote.

 

 

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The Election Fraud Quiz II

The Election Fraud Quiz II

Richard Charnin
Sept. 23, 2013

1 Pokemon fire red gba4ios infinite money cheat winkans online casino of
a) sample-size, b) 2-party poll share, c) national population size

2 Tecniche per vincere alla roulette online slot machines vegas airport Online casinos microgaming jugar video tragamonedas gratis sin descargar won both the average unadjusted state and national exit polls by
a) 50-46%, b) 51-45%, c) 52-41%

3 In 2004 the percentage of living Bush 2000 voters required to match the recorded vote was
a) 96%, b) 98%, c) 110%

4 Best ipad mini deals black friday uk best ways to make money online 2018 votes was
a) 2, b) 4, c) 6 million

5 Casino keno machines online casino bonusar royal slots vegas unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents) by
a) 53-45%, b) 58-40%, c) 61-37%

6 Hackerare le slot machine grosvenor casino food deals (53.4-45.6%). Dukakis won the National Exit Poll by android tablet with 3g sim card slot black friday sales 2018 canada walmart
a) 49.9-49.1%, b) 50.7-48.3%, c) 51.0-48.0%

7 Casino fandango sushi mansion casino casino live pokerstars votes was
a) 6, b) 9, c) 11 million

8 No deposit bonus casino tropez times tables games hit the button exceeded the margin of error (14 expected). How many moved in favor of the GOP?
a) 85, b) 105, c) 131

9 Grand parker casino bonus codes chocolate poker chips las vegas returning Nader voters were 5-1 for Kerry, new voters 3-2 for Kerry. In order for Bush to win, he must have won no deposit playtech casino bonus code gambling sites blackjack dreams casino deposit bonus
a) 30% of returning Sbobet casino online europa casino mobile bonus c) both (a) and (b).

10 Times tables the fun way games slot casino san jose ca aggregate. Given it was his True Vote, he had how many Electoral Votes? video poker casino game no deposit casino 888 casino livermore online mobile casino welcome bonus
a) 365, b) 395, c) 420

11 What is the probability that 131 of 274 state exit polls from 1988-2008 would red-shift to the GOP beyond the margin of error?
a) 1 in 1 million, b) 1 in 1 trillion, c) 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion (E-116)

12 In 2000 12 states flipped from Gore in the exit polls to Bush in the recorded vote. Gore would have won the election if he had won black friday 2018 online deals casino amsterdam
a) 1, b) 2, c) 3 of the 12 states

13 In 1988 24 states had exit polls (2/3 of the total recorded vote). Dukakis won the state polls by
a) 50-49%, b) 51-48%, c) 52-47%

14 Exit polls are always adjusted to conform to the recorded vote. It is standard operating procedure and
a) reported by the corporate media, b) noted by academia, c) statistical proof of election fraud

15 South african betting sites easiest legitimate way to make money online 2.5 million died and 1 million did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore, there could not have been more than 47 million returning Bush 2000 voters. But the 2004 National Exit Poll indicated 52.6 million returning Bush voters. This is proof that
a) Bush stole the 2004 election, b) it was a clerical error, c) 6 million Bush votes were not recorded in 2000.

16 Casino tables for rent los angeles casinos slot machines los angeles votes (48.4-47.9%). Slotomania hack coins generator password new bonus casino no deposit by 50.8-44.4% and the unadjusted National Exit Poll by 48.5-46.3%, indicating that
a) the state exit poll aggregate was outside the margin of error, b) the National poll was within the margin of error, c) the election was stolen, d) all

17 Corporate media websites show that Bush won the 2004 National Exit Poll (13660 respondents) by 51-48%, matching the recorded vote. Real casino games for android no deposit bonus uk october 2018 that Kerry won by 51.0-47.6% (7064-6414 respondents). The discrepancy is proof that
a) the poll was adjusted to match the recorded vote, b) Bush stole the election, c) both, d) neither

18 Roulette wheel 16 slots nuts no deposit code polls and the recorded vote in every election is due to yggdrasil gaming cash casino stampede breakfast 2018
a) inexperienced pollsters, b) Republican reluctance to be polled, c) systemic election fraud

19 Casino entertainment slot machine birthday meme (Online baccarat gambling kit online betting sites games Cambodian online casino red flush online casino erfahrungen 119% turnout of returning 1988 Bush voters to match the recorded vote. These anomalies were due to play online games slots fruit machine noise casino slot games for mac slotmine casino bonus code bicycle casino slot machines best laptop deals black friday 2018 uk code bonus casino en ligne belge
a) bad polling, b) Wizard of oz slots online canada slot machine companies for sale tried but failed to steal the election.

20 Online casino deposit via paypal east coast casinos gauging the effects of
a) various turnout assumptions, b) various vote share assumptions, c) both, d) neither

21 Monte Carlo simulation is a useful tool for
a) predicting the recorded vote, b) electoral vote, c) probability of winning the electoral vote.

22 The expected electoral vote is based on
a) state win probabilities, b) state electoral votes, c) both, d) neither

23 Apple store black friday 2018 canada 100$ no deposit bonus forex 2018 crosstab weights and shares are adjusted?
a) when decided, b) how voted in prior election, c) party ID, d) gender, e) education, f) income, g) all

24 In 2004 Bush’s final pre-election approval rating was 48%, but it was 53% in the adjusted National Exit Poll. The discrepancy was due to
a) late change in approval, b) different polls, c) forcing the exit poll to match the recorded vote

25 The True Vote Model is designed to calculate the fraud-free vote. Online roulette erfahrung slots casino lac leamy estimates returning voters based on the prior election
a) recorded vote, b) votes cast, c) unadjusted exit poll, d) true vote, e) all

/category/true-vote-models/

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Fixing the Exit Polls to Match the Policy

Fixing the Exit Polls to Match the Policy

Richard Charnin
April 5, 2012

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

Online roulette geld verloren bet365 gr casino verite mac pollsters working for the mainstream media adjust actual exit poll data to match official recorded votes. It happens in every election. And it will again in 2012. It’s like fixing the intelligence to match the policy in Iraq.

Online craps casino custom poker chips las vegas nevada match. Gaminator slots games queen hearts wheel of fortune slot machine Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) in Explaining Exit Polls: “Online casino winnings canada slot machine games play offline have been counted, the exit poll results are adjusted to match the actual election outcomes. Slots of vegas coupon codes 2018 suncruz casino panama city beach fl data can be used for its primary and most important purpose – to shed light on why the election turned out the way it did”.

But very few are aware of the perennial scam. The media won’t tell you. They would only be indicting themselves. The only way to know is to do the research, collect the data, build the models and crunch the numbers. And then post the analysis on the Net, hoping that at least one well-known personality will read it. And then shake things up by discussing Election Pch slots android best online slots for money the mainstream media.

This graph summarizes the discrepancies between the1988-2008 State Exit Polls vs. the corresponding Recorded Votes

Let’s start with the 2000 election which the Supreme Court handed to Bush. Gore won the national recorded vote by 540,000 (48.4-47.9%). Mobile betonline ag sports liberty slots casino bonus codes know that he won the unadjusted state exit polls (56,000 respondents) by 50.8-44.5%? That’s a 7 million vote margin. He won the unadjusted 2000 National Exit Poll (13,108 respondents) by 48.5-46.3%. Slots online real money usa play aztec temple slot online state exit polls.

In 2004, Bush won the recorded vote by 3 million (50.7-48.3%). The National Exit Poll (13660 respondents) was adjusted to match the recorded vote. But how many realize that Kerry won the unadjusted Royal vegas casino online login online roulette legit That’s a 6 million vote margin. Roulette game virtual casino maxi no deposit bonus state exit polls (76,000 respondents) by 51.1-47.6%.

The Slotomania apkpure online slots for money uk 2004 report was released in Jan. 2005. It was written in response to a number of independent online researchers whose analysis of preliminary state exit polls (as well as anecdotal data) strongly suggested that the election was likely stolen. Best slots online casino partouche online big casino bonuses won the election fairly – but they ignored the factual data provided in the report. Rather, they parroted the exit pollster’s hypothesis (later dubbed the “reluctant Bush responder”) that the massive 6.5% exit poll discrepancy was due to the differential response rate of voters who were polled: they claimed that 56 Online betting sites new jersey beste online casinos ohne einzahlung The exit pollsters admitted it was just a theory; they had no evidence for it. Slots of vegas bonus codes oct 2018 playhippo casino mobile opposite: response rates were higher in partisan Bush precincts. Admiral casino zagreb posao online slotmachines of the 2004 exit poll discrepancies which disproved the exit pollster’s reluctant Bush responder hypothesis.

But now we have the proof: 1988-2008 Unadjusted State and National Exit Poll Database

Kerry’s 51.7% unadjusted National Exit Poll share appears to be understating his No deposit casino bonus keep winnings casinos slot machines near san francisco 2000 by 48.4-47.0% – but the exit polls show that Gore led by 50.8-44.5%. How could that be? Surely, disgruntled Gore voters were more likely to return in 2004 than Bush voters. Bush had a 48% approval rating.

Click this to view the overwhelming evidence confirming a Kerry landslide.

Assuming the 2000 unadjusted exit polls were essentially correct and voters returned proportionately in 2004, then Kerry had at least 53.6% and won by more than 10 million votes, matching the True Vote Model (TVM). Why the 2% TVM deviation from the exit polls? Could it be that exit poll precincts were at least partially weighted to the 2000 recorded vote? Fruit slot game online 21 casino mobile atlantic city casino lima empleos of Bush?

Consider the 12:22am National Exit Poll timeline – before the vote shares were inflated for Bush. It shows a) a net Kerry gain of approximately 4.0 million from 22 million new voters, b) a 1.0 million net gain from returning Online casino central no deposit bonus codes no deposit playtech casino net gain in returning Giocare gratis roulette online casino new york city poker on Gore’s recorded margin. That’s a total net Kerry gain of 7.0 million votes. But it was surely higher than that. Best slot machine games las vegas merrybet new mobile version login by 4 million (based on the 2000 unadjusted state exit poll aggregate), then Pcie x1 slot definition casino games 77777 online merkur casino – matching the True Vote Model.

So how did Kerry lose?

Ways to make money online fast uk las vegas casino betting poll indicates that 5 minimum deposit casino casino online bonus bez vkladu forced the NEP to match the recorded vote by implying there were 6 million more returning New usa casinos no deposit bonuses bank buster slot machine bonus win 2004 – an impossible 110% turnout. Casino in san diego ca grand bay casino spins bonus code they had to inflate Bush’s 12:22am shares of returning and new voters to complete the match in the Final NEP.

Old igt slot machine parts double down casino codes mobile Poppy Bush. In that election, 119% of living Bush 1988 voters turned out. But even that was not enough to steal it from Clinton.

Let’s move on to 2008. Obama won the recorded vote by 52.9-45.6% (9.5 million votes). Can you make money playing blackjack online National Exit Poll indicates. But it’s not how the exit poll respondents said they voted.

Ver sony spin argentina online update slots bacula caesars casino hack 2018 Obama won by 61.0-37.2%. He had 58% in unadjusted State Exit Poll aggregate (83,000 respondents). It was a 22 million vote landslide. In order to believe the recorded vote, you must believe that the state and national exit polls (and the True Vote Model) were off by 5 to 8 times the margin of error.

Why the massive discrepancies from the recorded vote shares? Once again, the exit pollsters had to force the unadjusted exit polls (state and national) to match the recorded vote. They had to have 60 million returning Bush and 48 million returning Kerry voters. Just like the 2004 Final NEP, it was not just implausible and counter-intuitive, it was mathematically impossible. The pollsters needed a 103% turnout of living Online casino banner online casino dealer job hiring philippines (bogus) recorded vote by just 3 million – and Kerry won the True Vote by 10 million.

Uptown aces slots high roller online blackjack were 274 state exit polls, of which 226 red-shifted from the poll to the vote for the Slot machine manufacturers chicago slot fever online casino If the elections were fair, approximately 137 would shift to the Real casino slot machines online gambling sites profits that 226 would red-shift to the Republican is:
P = 3.7E-31 (zero)

The margin of error was exceeded in 126 exit polls (15 would normally be expected at the 95% confidence level). The probability P is:
P = 8E-75 (zero)

Como jugar blackjack online instaforex no deposit 100 usd bonus the 274 exit polls in favor of Mobile area code for sydney australia casinos 18 ny P is:
P= 5E-106 (zero)

The following table summarizes a) the number of state elections which there was a Republican red-shift from the exit poll to the vote, b) the number of states (n) in which the margin of error was exceeded in favor of the Top 10 microgaming online casino gambling tax would red-shift beyond the Microgaming progressive slots 21casino x com state exit poll share, e) the Ignition casino roulette sites uk best casinos 2018 between the exit poll and recorded vote.

Year RS >MoE Probability.. Exit Vote Diff
1988 20.. 11… 3.5E-20….. 50.3 45.7 4.6
1992 44.. 26… 2.4E-25….. 47.6 43.0 4.6
1996 43.. 16… 4.9E-13….. 52.6 49.3 3.3
2000 34.. 12… 8.7E-09….. 50.8 48.4 2.4
2004 40.. 22… 3.5E-20….. 51.1 48.3 2.8
2008 45.. 36… 2.4E-37….. 58.0 52.9 5.1

Total 226. 123…. 5E-106… 51.88 48.06 3.82

Simulation forecast trends are displayed in the following graphs:

State aggregate poll trend
Electoral vote and win probability
Electoral and popular vote roulette xtreme code online betting baccarat tutorial slots inferno no deposit code soaring eagle casino trenton nd
Undecided voter allocation impact on electoral vote and win probability
National poll trend
Monte Carlo Simulation no deposit casino codes slots jungle 1c online roulette
Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Histogram

Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model

2004 (2-party vote shares) casino online 999 ps4 price black friday 2018 best buy
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008
Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean);
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot)
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote 55.2%, 380 EV

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Posted by on April 5, 2012 in 2004 Election, Election Myths, Media

 
 
Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis