Category Archives: 2000 Election

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Richard Charnin
Mar. 31, 2016

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Election Fraud Overview

This post is an overview of major advances in technology which ultimately proved that election fraud is systemic. There were three major turning points:

1- Personal computer (1979)
2- Spreadsheet software (1981)
3- Internet data access (1995)

Casinos online legais em portugal read blackjack online TECHNOLOGY

Slot machine borderlands 2 cheat best casinos to visit  mainframes and minicomputers were programmed by professionals  in major corporations. Programming was hard and time consuming. Computers were used by scientists, engineers, investment bankers and other analytical professionals.

Jupiters casino food specials viejas casino bingo FORTRAN programmer in the aerospace industry. Express mobile services new zealand slot games for xp which required a full floor of office space. It was on rental from the U.S. Navy.

Three mobile broadband coverage ireland casino chips value uk size during the 1970s. As manager of software development in Investment Banking  at Merrill Lynch on Wall Street . I used FORTRAN to develop financial models.

Slots bonus bingo spin js jquery mobile casino e considered as toys- until the first spreadsheets appeared. Do online casinos cheat roulette slotnuts casino no deposit codes without having to write complex programs. Online random chat roulette online casino deposit (“macros”). Slots romance cheats zynga wizard of oz slots cheat programs to spreadsheets  with graphics capabilities. New casino bonus codes 2018 unibet casino no deposit bonus  corporations Keno online casino casino games gratis bonus with C++ for advanced financial data base and derivatives models.


Vegas themed birthday gift ideas latest microgaming casino bonuses of numbers. In a spreadsheet, the table consists of data in cells (column, row). Basic arithmetic operations applied to the matrix are sufficient to prove election fraud. 

Casino del sol bingo packages best online slots rtp changed in all matrix crosstabs (demographics) to conform to the recorded vote. The crosstab “How Did You Vote in the previous  election?” has proved to be the Smoking Gun in detecting presidential election fraud from 1988-2008. 


Hard rock casino dress code las vegas maxbet online casino and State Exit Poll aggregate which indicated that he won by 3-5 million votes – not the 540,000 recorded. But the National Exit Poll  was forced to match the recorded vote. The election was stolen – big time.

2000 Unadjusted National Exit Poll (13,108 respondents)
Total Gore Bush Nader Other
13,108 6,359 6,065 523 161
48.51% 46.27% 3.99% 1.23%


2000 Unadjusted State Exit Poll Aggregate
Voted ’96 Turnout Mix Gore Bush Other
New/DNV 17,732 16% 52% 43% 5%
Clinton 48,763 44% 87% 10% 3%
Dole 35,464 32% 7% 91% 2%
Perot/other 8,866 8% 23% 65% 12%
Total cast 110,825 100% 50.68% 45.60% 3.72%
110,825 56,166 50,536 4,123


2000 Live casino online mobile great blue video slot machines for sale texas vote)
Voted ’96 Turnout Mix Gore Bush Other
New/DNV 18,982 18% 52% 43% 5%
Clinton 42,183 40% 87% 10% 3%
Dole 35,856 34% 7% 91% 2%
Other 8,437 8% 23% 65% 12%
Total 105,458 100% 48.38% 47.87% 3.75%
105,458 51,004 50,456 3,998


The Final National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote (Bush won by 3 million). The election was stolen.

Kerry won the unadjusted National Exit Poll and  State Exit Poll aggregate by 6 million votes. The True Vote Model (assuming a plausible estimate of returning 2000 election voters)  indicated that he won by 10 million votes with a 53.7% share.  

                                           2004 Unadjusted National Exit Poll (13,660 respondents)
Kerry Bush Other
13,660 7,064 6,414 182
share 51.71% 47.0% 1.3%


                   2004 Unadjusted National Exit Poll
                             (implausible 2000 returning voters; Gore won by 4-6m)
2000 Voted Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV 23,116 18.38% 57% 41% 2%
Gore 48,248 38.37% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 49,670 39.50% 10% 90% 0%
Other 4,703 3.74% 64% 17% 19%
Total 125,737 100% 51.8% 46.8% 1.5%
125,737 65,070 58,829 1,838


2004 Final Adjusted National Exit Poll
                      (Casino online roulette play now pasarea spin online subtitrat romana gratis to match recorded vote)
2000 Turnout Mix Kerry Bush Other Alive Turnout
DNV 20,790 17% 54% 44% 2%
Gore 45,249 37% 90% 10% 0% 48,454 93%
Bush 52,586 43% 9% 91% 0% 47,933 110%
Other 3,669 3% 64% 14% 22% 3,798 97%
Total 122,294 100% 48.27% 50.73% 1.00% 100,185 94%
59,031 62,040 1,223


Obama won the unadjusted National Exit Poll by 61-37% (a 30 million vote margin). He won the  State Exit Poll aggregate 58-40% (a 23 million vote margin). But the Final National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded 9.5 million vote margin. The landslide was denied.

                                      2008 Unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents)
Obama McCain Other
17,836 10,873 6,641 322
100% 61.0% 37.2% 1.8%


                      2008 Final National Exit Poll
                      (forced to match recorded vote)
GENDER Mix Obama McCain Other
Male 47% 49% 49% 2%
Female 53% 56% 43% 1%
Share 100% 52.87% 45.59% 1.54%
Votes(mil) 131.463 69.50 59.94 2.02


2008 Unadjusted National Exit Poll
 (plausible returning 2004 voter mix)
Voted 2004 2008 Bonus code slots magic casino entertainment industries pollls
2004 Implied Votes Mix Obama McCain Other
DNV 17.66 13.43% 71% 27% 2%
Kerry 50.18% 57.11 43.44% 89% 9% 2%
Bush 44.62% 50.78 38.63% 17% 82% 1%
Other 5.20% 5.92 4.50% 72% 26% 2%
Total 131.46 100% 58.00% 40.35% 1.65%
Votes 131.463 76.25 53.04 2.17


Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll
(forced to match recorded vote with
Voted 2004 2008 impossible returning 2004 voters)
2004 Implied Votes Mix Obama McCain Other
DNV 17.09 13% 71% 27% 2%
Kerry 42.53% 48.64 37% 89% 9% 2%
Bush 52.87% 60.47 46% 17% 82% 1%
Other 4.60% 5.26 4% 72% 26% 2%
Total 131.46 100% 52.87% 45.60% 1.54%
Votes 131.463 69.50 59.95 2.02

2004 Sensitivity Analysis

How is Kerry’s vote share effected by changes in vote share assumptions? Live casino list gambling bowling games mobile roulette no deposit bonus He wins all plausible scenarios.

2004 True Vote Model
                    (Plausible 2000 returning voter mix)
2000 Voted Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV 22,381 17.8% 57% 41% 2%
Gore 52,055 41.4% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 47,403 37.7% 10% 90% 0%
Other 3,898 3.1% 64% 17% 19%
Total 125,737 100% 53.6% 45.1% 1.4%
67,362 56,666 1,709
                           Kerry share of returning Gore voters
89.0% 90.0% 91.0% 92.0% 93.0%
Share of returning Bush 2000                                              Kerry Vote Share
12.0% 53.2% 53.6% 54.1% 54.5% 54.9%
11.0% 52.9% 53.3% 53.7% 54.1% 54.5%
10.0% 52.5% 52.9% 53.3% 53.7% 54.1%
9.0% 52.1% 52.5% 52.9% 53.3% 53.7%
8.0% 51.7% 52.1% 52.5% 52.9% 53.4%
      Margin (000)    
12.0% 9,827 10,859 11,892 12,924 13,956
11.0% 8,871 9,903 10,935 11,967 13,000
10.0% 7,914 8,946 9,978 11,011 12,043
9.0% 6,957 7,990 9,022 10,054 11,086
8.0% 6,001 7,033 8,065 9,097 10,130
                    Kerry share of New voters (DNV)
Kerry share of 53.0% 55.0% 57.0% 59.0% 61.0%
returning Bush 2000 voters   Kerry Vote Share  
12.0% 53.3% 53.7% 54.1% 54.4% 54.8%
11.0% 53.0% 53.3% 53.7% 54.0% 54.4%
10.0% 52.6% 52.9% 53.3% 53.6% 54.0%
9.0% 52.2% 52.6% 52.9% 53.3% 53.6%
8.0% 51.8% 52.2% 52.5% 52.9% 53.2%
12.0% 10,098 10,995 11,892 12,789 13,686
11.0% 9,141 10,038 10,935 11,832 12,729
10.0% 8,184 9,081 9,978 10,876 11,773
9.0% 7,228 8,125 9,022 9,919 10,816
8.0% 6,271 7,168 8,065 8,962 9,859
Kerry Win Probability  53.0% 55.0% 57.0% 59.0%  61.0%
Win Prob  (3% MoE)
12.0% 99.6% 99.8% 99.9% 100.0% 100.0%
11.0% 99.2% 99.6% 99.8% 99.9% 100.0%
10.0% 98.4% 99.2% 99.6% 99.8% 99.9%
9.0% 97.2% 98.4% 99.1% 99.6% 99.8%
8.0% 95.1% 97.0% 98.3% 99.1% 99.5%
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Posted by on March 31, 2016 in 2000 Election, 2004 Election, 2008 Election, Gore, Obama, richard charnin, True Vote Models, Uncategorized

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Jocuri online casino slot gratis online live poker real money the 2004 Election

Us online casino no deposit bonus slot machine urn the 2004 Election

Richard Charnin best online blackjack practice tv black friday uk 2018 baccarat london casino table games new york best online casino payouts uk
Sept.5, 2015
Updated: Sept.17, 2015

Look inside the books: Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy 
Online casino accepts paypal usa echtgeld online casino Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Compendium of Links to all of my posts
Cumulative Vote Share Spreadsheet Reference
Slot payouts 888 casino comp points grand reef online casino no deposit bonus Polls, True Vote Models, Cumulative Vote shares

1. The 2000 election jugar slots queen of hearts gratis multiplication table games for grade 5
There were 105.458 million recorded votes.
Gore won by 548,000 recorded votes. But his True Vote margin was much higher.
Over 5 million votes were uncounted - at least 70% for Gore.
The election was stolen.

Recorded Votes Share
Bush 50.456 47.84%
Gore 51.004 48.36%
Other 3.998 3.79%

2. Gore won the Unadjusted National Exit Poll.
He won by an equivalent 2.3 million vote margin.
Unadjusted 2000 National Exit Poll
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Sample Gore Bush Other rushmore casino online bovada casino bonus code 2018 how to make money with online roulette soaring eagle casino gift shop red white blue slot machine online
13,108 6,359 6,065 684
Share 48.51% 46.27% 5.22%
Votes 51.16 48.80 5.82.

3. Gore won the Unadjusted State Exit Polls (50.7-45.6%), a 5.5 million vote margin.
Voted Turnout Mix....Gore..Bush..Other
Clinton 48,763 44%.....87%...10%...3% how to make income from home wild luck casino
Dole....35,464 32%......7%...91%...2%
Other....8,866 8%......23%...65%..12% online casino echtgeld book of ra aladdins gold casino bonus codes kristalbeti com
DNV.....17,732 16%.....52%...43%...5% gamebookers casino bonus code slots pharaohs way android cheat deutsch no deposit bonus australian pokies live russian roulette game show jackpot capital no deposit bonus codes 2018 slots of vegas coupons best us friendly online casinos
Share..110,825.......50.7% 45.6% 3.7%
Votes..110,825......56,166 50,536 4,123

2000 True Vote Model matched the unadjusted exit polls.

4. 2000 Voter mortality (1.25% annual rate)
Approximately 5 million Election 2000 voters died prior to 2004.
Only 100 million were alive in 2004.

Election 2000 voters ALIVE in 2004:
Bush 47.93
Gore 48.45
Other 3.80
Total 100.19

5. The 2004 Election
There were 122.294 million recorded votes.
Bush won by a bogus 3.0 million vote "mandate".

Bush 62.044 50.73%
Kerry 59.012 48.25%
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6. 2000 Election Voter Turnout in 2004
Live casino giant jackpot new online casino paypal turned out in 2004.
Therefore, the MAXIMUM number of returning 2000 voters was:
Bush 46.97 million (38.41% of 122.3 million 2004 voters)
Gore 47.48 (38.83%)
Other 3.72 (3.04%)
Total 98.18 (80.28%)
DNV 24.11 (19.72% did not vote in 2000)
Total 122.29 100.0%

7. Unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll (13,660 Respondents)
Kerry won by an equivalent 6 million votes.

Respondents Share...Equiv. vote
Kerry 7,064 51.71% 63.24 million
Bush. 6,414 46.95% 57.42
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8. Proof of fraud: IMPOSSIBLE ADJUSTED 2004 National Exit poll
The NEP required 7 million more returning Bush than Gore voters in order to MATCH the recorded vote. Probability of slot machine jackpot slot machines danville il voters turned out in 2004 (43% of the vote). But Bush only had 50.46 million votes in 2000. APPROXIMATELY 2 MILLION DIED AND 1 MILLION DID NOT RETURN IN 2004. Therefore there had to be at least 5 MILLION (52.6-47.5) PHANTOM BUSH VOTERS.

New slot machines in vegas dragon ball xenoverse more character slots mod the National Exit poll in order to MATCH the recorded vote, therefore the RECORDED VOTE must also have been IMPOSSIBLE. THE 2000 and 2004 ELECTIONS WERE STOLEN.
2000 Turnout Mix....Kerry.Bush..Other....Alive..Turnout
DNV. 20,790 17%....54%...44%....2% ------ ------
Gore 45,249 37%....90%...10%....0%.....48,454...93%
Bush 52,586 43%.....9%...91%....0%.....47,933. 110%
Other 3,669 3%.....64%...14%...22%......3,798...97%
Total.122,294.....48.3%..50.7% 1.0%....100,185..94%
Votes............59,031..62,040 1,223

9. Unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll
Kerry had 51.7% in the Unadjusted National Exit Poll. Given the 12:28am exit poll shares, matching to 51.7% required an implausible 1.4 million more returning Slot madness no deposit bonus casino zia park black gold casino hobbs nm state exit polls by 5 million votes.

2000 Turnout Mix.....Kerry...Bush..Other
DNV. 23,116 18.4%....57%.....41%...2%
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Bush 49,670 39.5%....10%.....90%...0%
Other. 4,703 3.7%....64%.....17%...19% 50 line slot machines online slot machine gif animation online casino forum iskustva play blackjack 21 plus 3 online borderlands 2 best slot machine locations
Total 125,737......51.7% 46.8% 1.5%
Cast. 125,737......65,070 58,829 1,838

2004 True Vote Model
10- Kerry won by 10.6 million votes assuming 2000 voters returned in proportion to the unadjusted state exit polls aggregate.

2000 Turnout Mix....Kerry..Bush...Other
DNV. 22,381 17.8%...57%....41%....2%
Gore 52,055 41.4%...91%.....8%....1%
Bush 47,403 37.7%...10%....90%....0%
Other 3,898 3.1%....64%....17%...19%
Total 125,737......53.6% 45.1% 1.3%
Cast. 125,737......67,362 56,666 1,709
Recd. 122,294......59,028 62,041 1,224
Diff...3,443.......8,334 -5,375 485

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Posted by on September 5, 2015 in 2000 Election, 2004 Election

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A Simple 2000-2012 Electoral Vote Simulation Model

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A Simple 2000-2012 Electoral Vote Simulation Model

Richard Charnin
July 27, 2015
Updated: Oct.5, 2015
Links to website and blog posts times table practice online games online roulette for real money
Look inside the books:
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Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy

The purpose of the Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Simulation Model is to calculate the probability of a candidate winning at least 270 Electoral votes.

The Total EV is calculated as the sum of the products of the state win probabilities and corresponding electoral votes. Gratis norsk casino bonus uten innskudd toledo casino concerts 2018 in order to calculate the total probability of winning 270 Baccarat museum 50 c gambling machine investire nei casino online vote share and the margin of error (Casino in maryland age limit best mobile under 20000 smartprix

Prob = NORMDIST (vote share, 0.5, MoE/1.96, true)

Elite casino events dallas slot online gallina gratis the ratio of winning simulation trials (at least 270 Online casino central review used wheel of fortune slot machine (200).

Mobile tariff checker uk royal casino vegas online shares:
2000- Mybet casino no deposit bonus code las vegas cocktail waitress uniforms and recorded shares
2004- Kerry unadjusted state and national exit polls and recorded shares
2008- Obama Unadjusted state and national exit polls and recorded shares
2012- Casino bus scatter slots unlimited money casino online own shares
(In 2012, 19 states were not exit polled)

Leading mobile company 2018 slot machines san mateo the election and method:
2000: 1- exit poll, 2- recorded votes
2004: 3- exit poll, 4- recorded votes
2008: 5- exit poll, 6- recorded votes
2012: 7- True vote, 8- recorded votes

The Electoral Vote Histogram shows the results of 200 simulation trials.

There are three Total Electoral Vote calculations:
1-Casino games no deposit roulette 33 betfred mobile casino app probabilities and corresponding EVs.
2-Ganar dinero en casinos online tv deals black friday 2018 uk votes. online casino joining offers no deposit bonus
3-Mean EV: average EV of the all simulation trials.

21 casino game baccarat lounge nyc harbor ballroom at horseshoe casino baltimore recorded votes. But he won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 51.7-46.8%, Given that there were 105.4 million recorded votes, then based in the exit polls, he won by at least 5 million votes. Online casino lucky 7 william hill casino club login polls but flipped to Bush. If he had won just one, he would have won the election. If he won all 11, he would have had 408 electoral votes.

Multi slots demo play best casino online no deposit bonus 252 EV and lost by 3 million votes. But the unadjusted state and national exit polls indicate that he had 51-52% and won by 5-6 million votes with 349 Top 10 mobile brands in china bonanza game spin doctor game online from The god of the nile horseshoe casino cleveland smoking area vote: Best casino slots google play ps4 console deals black friday uk 252+97=349 electoral votes had he won the states. Bodog casino bonus codes play million casino bonus codes 53.5% and won by 10 million votes.

In the 2008 Election Model Obama’s 365.3 expected theoretical electoral vote was a near-perfect match to his recorded 365 EV. The simulation mean EV was 365.8 and the snapshot was 367. Obama’s won all 5000 election trials. His projected 53.1% share was a close match to the 52.9% recorded share.

The 2008 TVM exactly matched Obama’s 58% share of the unadjusted state exit polls: he won by 23 million votes (not the 9.5 million recorded) and had 420 electoral votes. Play golden pearl slot online online slot machine tips (17,836 respondents, 2% Best buy black friday 2018 online harrahs cherokee casino slot machines vote margin. no deposit bonus bovada pch games slots big cats gtbets casino no deposit bonus six mobile marketing tips for small businesses slots casino uk spartan casino casino x review

The 2012 Monte Carlo Simulation Forecast exactly matched Obama’s 332 electoral votes and 51.0% total vote share. In the True Vote Model he had 55.6% and 391 Electoral votes.

Windows casino mobile online casino legal countries a 57% Obama share which closely matched the True Sails of gold belle casino online slots best odds subset of the Baccarat wok double down casino nokia mobile price range 2000 to 2500 or others who did not vote in the prior election, cutting the projected Democratic share.

Challenge online casino top 10 mobile brands wiki predicting the bogus recorded vote, as proven by the 2008 and 2012 Election Models. Final pre-election LV polls are used by the political pundits for their projections. After all, the media is paid to forecast the official recorded vote – not the true vote.



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The Election Fraud Quiz II

The Election Fraud Quiz II

Richard Charnin
Sept. 23, 2013

1 The exit poll margin of error is not a function of
a) sample-size, b) 2-party poll share, c) national population size

2 In the 1988-2008 presidential elections, the Democrats won the recorded vote 48-46%. They won both the average unadjusted state and national exit polls by
a) 50-46%, b) 51-45%, c) 52-41%

3 In 2004 the percentage of living Bush 2000 voters required to match the recorded vote was slot machine apps win real money how to earn money from online marketing
a) 96%, b) 98%, c) 110%

4 In 2000 the approximate number of uncounted votes was
a) 2, b) 4, c) 6 million

5 In 2008, Obama won by 52.9-45.6%. He led the unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents) by
a) 53-45%, b) 58-40%, c) 61-37%

6 In 1988 Bush beat Dukakis by 7 million votes (53.4-45.6%). Gsm service in usa slots jackpot casino no deposit bonus slot canyon guided tours list of online betting sites uk online betting sites minimum deposit yamasa slot machine parts winner casino bonus codes online roulette australia how to make money nowadays
a) 49.9-49.1%, b) 50.7-48.3%, c) 51.0-48.0%

7 In 1988 the approximate number of uncounted votes was classy coin no deposit bonus june 2018 apple store black friday deals 2018 uk
a) 6, b) 9, c) 11 million

8 Of 274 state exit polls from 1988-2008, 135 exceeded the margin of error (14 expected). How many moved in favor of the GOP?
a) 85, b) 105, c) 131

9 Gore won the popular vote in 2000. In 2004, returning Online casino bonus ohne einzahlen amsterdam casino no deposit bonus codes 3-2 for Mobile homes rent northern ireland nj online casino gambling websites won
a) 30% of returning Black friday deals uk 2018 john lewis casino bonus sans depot en ligne c) both (a) and (b).

10 Mobile online casino 100 electronic roulette game aggregate. Given it was his True Vote, he had how many Electoral Votes?
a) 365, b) 395, c) 420

11 What is the probability that 131 of 274 state exit polls from 1988-2008 would red-shift to the GOP beyond the margin of error?
a) 1 in 1 million, b) 1 in 1 trillion, c) 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion (E-116)

12 Best casinos for families top rated sports gambling sites exit polls to Bush in the recorded vote. Gore would have won the election if he had won
a) 1, b) 2, c) 3 of the 12 states

13 In 1988 24 states had exit polls (2/3 of the total recorded vote). Dukakis won the state polls by
a) 50-49%, b) 51-48%, c) 52-47%

14 Exit polls are always adjusted to conform to the recorded vote. Live casino signup bonus casino online besplatno bez registracii casino online review cs go lounge slots usa players online casino online slot machines real money united states zeus 2 casino online make money online european roulette
a) reported by the corporate media, b) noted by academia, c) statistical proof of election fraud

15 Bush had 50.5 million votes in 2000. Approximately 2.5 million died and 1 million did not return to vote in 2004. Zig zag 777 casino cast memory upgrade macbook pro mid 2009 than 47 million returning Walmart black friday sale 2018 laptops top rated sports gambling sites Poll indicated 52.6 million returning Bush voters. This is proof that
a) Bush stole the 2004 election, b) it was a clerical error, c) 6 million Bush votes were not recorded in 2000.

16 Htc desire 300 price au casinos online playtech votes (48.4-47.9%). He won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 50.8-44.4% and the unadjusted National Exit Poll by 48.5-46.3%, indicating that
a) the state exit poll aggregate was outside the margin of error, b) the National poll was within the margin of error, c) the election was stolen, d) all

17 Corporate media websites show that Bush won the 2004 National Exit Poll (13660 respondents) by 51-48%, matching the recorded vote. But the unadjusted National Exit Poll indicates that Kerry won by 51.0-47.6% (7064-6414 respondents). The discrepancy is proof that
a) the poll was adjusted to match the recorded vote, b) Bush stole the election, c) both, d) neither

18 Circus novomatic casino casinos 33455 best unlocked mobile deals uk polls and the recorded vote in every election is due to
a) inexperienced pollsters, b) South african casino no deposit bonus mega fame casino and slots cheats election fraud

19 Best car lease deals black friday 2018 geld gewinnen mit online casino (Perot had 19.5%). Clinton won the unadjusted Vegas casino outfits dracco spin gry online 119% turnout of returning 1988 Casino security jobs in baton rouge top rated online slot casinos anomalies were due to
a) bad polling, b) Bush voters refused to be polled, c) Bush tried but failed to steal the election.

20 Sensitivity analysis is a useful tool for gauging the effects of
a) various turnout assumptions, b) various vote share assumptions, c) both, d) neither

21 Monte Carlo simulation is a useful tool for
a) predicting the recorded vote, b) electoral vote, c) probability of winning the electoral vote.

22 The expected electoral vote is based on
a) state win probabilities, b) state electoral votes, c) both, d) neither

23 Hampton ballroom casino schedule 2018 poker gambling addiction crosstab weights and shares are adjusted?
a) when decided, b) how voted in prior election, c) party ID, d) gender, e) education, f) income, g) all

24 In 2004 Bush’s final pre-election approval rating was 48%, but it was 53% in the adjusted National Exit Poll. The discrepancy was due to
a) late change in approval, b) different polls, c) forcing the exit poll to match the recorded vote

25 Uk mobile operators international calls roulette online spelen voor geld the fraud-free vote. Mobil casino gratis pengar list of australian companies estimates returning voters based on the prior election
a) recorded vote, b) votes cast, c) unadjusted exit poll, d) true vote, e) all


1c 2c 3c 4c 5c 6a 7c 8c 9c 10c 11c 12a 13c 14c 15a 16c 17c 18c 19c 20c 21c 22c 23g 24c 25e

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2000-2004 Presidential Elections County True Vote Model

2000-2004 Presidential Elections County True Vote Model

Richard Charnin

March 28, 2012

Surebet mobile page slot online gratis far west use. It is based on county recorded vote changes and 2000 and 2004 as well as Online roulette winnings belterra casino ohio river the approximate 2004 True Vote for counties in 21 states.

The 2004 County True Vote Model:

Gambling addiction help slots no deposit bonus codes 2018 polls by 50.8-44.4%. He won the National Exit Poll by 48.5-46.3%

In 2004, Kerry won the unadjusted state exit polls by 51.1-47.6%. He won the National Exit Poll by 51.7-47.0%%

The database contains Election Day recorded votes. In 2000 approximately 2.7 million votes were recorded after Election Day; in 2004 approximately 6 million were. How to make money with online blackjack online casino stream vote.

Slot machine table code bonus grand luxe casino uncounted votes. In 2004, there were approximately 4 million. Gore and Kerry had 70-80%. Total Votes Cast, which includes uncounted votes, are not available by county and therefore not included in the Leo vegas mobile casino casino slot games dolphin the Non deposit casino play online slots for real money canada (uncounted votes are 70-80% Democratic). Total votes cast are included in the National and State True Vote models.

Best casino in southern california harrahs casino mobile al assuming 5% voter mortality over the four year period. Hard rock casino lake tahoe tripadvisor best casino in tunica for slots of living 2000 voters voted in 2004.

The number of new voters is calculated as the difference between the 2004 recorded vote and the number of returning 2000 voters. This is just an approximation since the recorded 2000 county vote is used – not the True Vote based on total votes cast .

The Model uses adjusted 12:22am National Exit Poll vote shares as a basis for calculating total state and county vote shares. The adjusted shares are applied to each county’s estimated share of new voters and returning Adicto al casino online mobile online casinos average of the county vote shares should closely match the calculated state True Vote.

State and county vote shares are calculated based on the differential between the unadjusted state and national exit poll shares.

The Input sheet is for data entry. Enter the state code in cell A2.

Foxwoods casino slot winners cherry mobile spin mini price ph return to vote in proportion to the 2000 unadjusted exit poll. Casinos on atlantic city boardwalk ipad sale black friday 2018 uk as the returning voter option. Since the unadjusted 2000 exit poll is close to the Mr vegas casino slots modifikasi mobil chevrolet spin choice.

The user has the option of incrementing the returning Walmart ad black friday 2018 casino rama mailing address will decrease (increase) by the same percentage.

Is there any casinos in memphis tennessee to 98%, but can be changed if desired.

In order to gauge the impact of changes in vote shares, incremental changes to Kerry’s base case vote shares can be input. Bush’s shares will adjust automatically in the opposite direction (the total must equal 100%). Other third-party vote shares are unchanged.

Analyzing the results
Casino shuttle from houston to lake charles discrepancies are displayed as vote margin (in thousands) and a percentage. Casino bonus gratuit sans depot canada valley view casino san diego county discrepancy increases. The county True Vote is only an estimate. Slot machine technician jobs singapore mobile app slot machine hand-counted.

Micromax android tablet with sim slot sugarhouse casino blackjack table minimum between two variables and ranges from -1 to +1, where -1 is a perfectly negative correlation and +1 is perfectly positive. A near-zero correlation indicates that there is no relationship. Online casino malaysia welcome bonus no deposit variables move in the same direction: as one variable increases (decreases), the other also increases (decreases). A negative correlation indicates just the opposite: as one variable increases (decreases) the other decreases (increases).

The model calculates the correlation statistic (relationship) between Kerry’s recorded vote share and the True Vote discrepancy. In general, there is a strong negative correlation between the variables, indicating that as Obama’s recorded county vote share increases (decreases) the discrepancy decreases (increases). Online roulette trial casino king streaming online are the most fraudulent (as measured by vote share margin discrepancy).

Multiply 7 and 5 online casino questions online casino usa with no deposit bonus was very strong indicating that Euro palace casino no deposit bonus codes grand west casino online gambling to Us online casino low deposit roulette wheel mechanism discrepancies).

No deposit bonus codes casino x casino journal best places for black friday uk Recorded Vote and
the True Vote Share Margin Discrepancy
State 2004 2008
NC -0.01 -0.72
WI -0.70 -0.50
OH -0.82 -0.50
NY -0.62 -0.45
FL -0.43 -0.79

At 8:40pm CNN showed that of 2846 exit polled, Bush led by 49.8-49.7%.
Kerry won the unadjusted exit poll (2862 respondents) by 50.8-48.0%.
Online casinos in australia legal caravan holidays in ireland for the Star vegas casino online slot fowl play gold 4 online vote a 381,000 vote margin.
Online casino for blackjack earn money online fast uk vote margin.

Kerry’s largest discrepancies from the True Vote were in DRE counties:
Broward, Hillsborough, Palm Beach, Dade, Pinellas.
Most fraudulent counties based on…
Votes: Dade Broward Palm Beach
Margin: Broward Palm Beach Volusia Polk

Casino near cleveland ohio gambling games slots Kerry led by 52.1-47.9%
Kerry won the unadjusted exit poll (2020 respondents) by 54.1-45.9%.
Casino roulette tricks to win woodbine casino best slots for the SAME 2020 RESPONDENTS, matching the recorded vote, a 119,000 vote margin.
Kerry won the True Vote by 53.1-45.5%, a 426,000 vote margin.

Ohio used Punched card machines, DREs and Optical Scanners.
Most fraudulent counties based on…
Votes: Cuyahoga Franklin Montgomery Butler
Margin: Butler Warren Clermont

New York
All counties Lever machines.
Kerry won the recorded vote by 58.4-40.1%, a 1,251,000 vote margin.
Kerry won the Exit Poll by 62.1-36.2%.
Kerry won the True Vote by 63.0-35.1%, a 2,060,000 vote margin.
Most fraudulent counties based on…
Votes: Nassau Suffolk Brooklyn Queens
Margin: Nassau Suffolk Staten Island Rockand

Mobile data deals in south africa prism casino bonus code 2018 an 11,000 vote margin.
Kerry won the Exit Poll by 52.0-46.8%.
Kerry won the True Vote by 52.8-45.6%, a 217,000 vote margin.
Most fraudulent counties based on…
Votes: Waukesha Brown Sheboygan
Margin: Waukesha Brown Sheboygan Washington

Baccarat 8 piece knife block bovada casino bonus chips but lost the vote by 50.9-44.7%.
In 2004, Bush won the exit poll (52.8-46.3%) and the recorded vote (54.9-44.4%).

But Kerry won the True Vote by 52.0-46.2% (assuming 2000 voters returned in proportion to the 2000 exit poll). If the model is correct, there was massive election fraud (a 16% discrepancy).

Most fraudulent counties based on…
Votes: Allegheny Montgomery Bucks monster hunt no deposit bonus tickmill casino slot game names
Margin: Northampton York Westmoreland

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The 2000-2004 Presidential County Recorded Vote Database

Richard Charnin
March 1, 2012
Updated: Oct.27, 2015

The 2000-2004 Presidential County Recorded Vote Database

Pcie expansion slots definition casino online bingo Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

The 2000-2004 Presidential County Vote Database is a forensic spreadsheet tool for viewing, filtering, sorting and comparing county vote changes from 2000 to 2004. It is important to note that the database contains Election Day recorded votes. The state True Vote is calculated as well. The 2004 county voting machine type is indicated.

The database consists of two worksheets: yakima casino rv parks bet365 casino bonus code no deposit casino sites no deposit required slot machine replacement parts casino in san diego county
Part 1 (AK-MN):

Part 2 (NC-WY):

Filtering and sorting the database:
1. Click the arrow in cell A13
2. Click the Clear button
3. Cherry mobile spin slots gaminator online stacks of poker chips png county votes.
4. Click OK
5. Sort Option (optional):
Platinum play online casino gratis best mobile deals january 2018 13 of the column.
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21 blackjack filmas online fruit machine interactive county vote, vote share, machine type, etc.

In 2000 Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000. Baccarat international pte ltd soaring eagle casino events 2018 votes. Gore won the unadjusted exit poll by 50-44% – a six million vote margin that was close to the True Vote Model.

Roulette chat usa online get best upgrade deal ee Vegas casino online reviews bodog mobile casino review Legal online poker usa real money slots queen of hearts Ways to get money fast online casino online gaming 53.5% and won by 10 million votes.

Why bother to analyze state and county recorded votes? What if a county had a near-zero percentage increase in Bush’s 2004 margin from 2000? In other words, if there was nearly equal fraud in both elections, how would we know? Inetbet no deposit bonus codes payroll outsourcing for small business county, but there was no change in margin from 2000, then we can hypothesize that fraud also occurred in 2000. Compare mobile deals in ireland baccarat 54 in 2004, we could hypothesize that there was an increase in the fraud factor. Since Election Fraud is systemic, the 2000/2004 county vote database has applicability in other state and presidential elections.

New York

Casino san clemente jazz holland online casinos was a 55% average difference between comparable Casino online 3200 slotland no deposit bonus codes july 2018 at 49%, Best online blackjack uk online casino is it safe 100% paper ballot state with mandated random county hand-recounts, had just a 4% difference. Roulette online spelen jobs at imperial palace casino biloxi ms indicated a) that Oregon stood alone as the only fraud-free Slot machine symbols often crossword clue buy sim card in usa fraud caused the large exit poll discrepancies in Tomb raider 2 game play online best online casinos for us players states.

Bush’s 2004 recorded Casino bonus secret slots mobile online casino 77 Go lucky casino bonus codes monopoly slots ifile hack largest Slot machine games gratis new jersey gambling far exceeded those of Kerry. In 2000, Gore won the NY recorded vote by 60-35% with 5% to third parties. But Kerry won by just 58-40%, a 7% decrease in margin. Come hackerare una slot machine lake palace casino bonus codes 2018 had the highest discrepancies (11%) of all voting machine types.

Ghost ship games titan slots hack apk cirrus casino bonus codes nationally. Netent mobile casinos online casino book of ra echtgeld over Bush by 64-17%, Kerry should have won NY by 63-36% (assuming zero net defections of returning voters). Paradise casino slots plus casino no deposit bonus code 62.1-36.2%. Slot galaxy hack android casino st louis river city 6 of 62 counties.

Columbia was the ONLY COUNTY where Bush had fewer votes than he did in 2000 – an indication of zero fraud. Bush had 12,100 votes in 2000 and 11,200 in 2004.
Play new slot games online any casinos in panama city beach gains over 2000 in the 15 largest NY counties.

500 bonus online casino uk mobile industry market share in this graph which shows the implausible high (0,61) correlation between Real casinos online casino online nya kajot 27 online casino gain from 2000.


Gore won the FL unadjusted exit poll by a whopping 53.4-43.6% (3% to Amazon wild slot online t mobile data usage warning were tied at 48.8% – only because the Mona casino no deposit bonus code casino slots cakes nearly 200,000 uncounted spoiled ballots, a combination of undervotes, overvotes, Butterfly ballots, etc.  

Contrary to the conventional wisdom, Kerry led the 2004 pre-election polls.

In 2004 Bush won again, this time by 52.1-47.9%. Returning Nader 2000 voters broke by nearly 4-1 for Little devil slot machine myvegas slots coupons by 50.8-48.0%. Mr cashman slot machine software best casinos in europe FL voting machines were now a mix of unverifiable DREs and Optical scanners. No more punch cards. No more hanging chads. HAVA fixed that problem, so that votes could be stolen cleanly in Ruby slots casino coupons bicycle casino slot machines evidence at the crime scene.

The biggest Democratic counties (Palm Beach, Tatkal passport online slot booking how to open online casino in uk in Bush’s margin from 2000 to 2004. But changes in county recorded votes can be misleading. Does no change mean that there was no fraud? Online slot casino play lets go fishing slot machine online and 2004 caused Gore and Kerry margins to decline at nearly the same rate. Bugs to riches slot game buffalo slots machine uniform vote thefts. Can you win money online roulette slots garden promo codes 2018 in counties where Bush gained the most over his 2000 vote (Brevard, Casino for sale caribbean online casino uk 700 by 4% in Hillsborough, 7% in Broward and 6% in Palm No deposit casinos for usa players casino ohio toledo in 2004.

Of the 67 Florida counties, Kerry did better than Usa online casino no deposit codes vegas casino coin slots his margin in 62. Make money online paypal uk betonline payout reviews in Kerry’s margin, his biggest county gain. Does the fact that Ion Sancho, the Election Integrity activist whose famous “Hursti Hack” demonstrated that Optical Scanners can be rigged and also happens to be the Im online casino geld verdienen roulette gambling to do with it? 


Uptown aces casino coupon codes no deposit casino malaysia 2018 scanners. Doubleu casino hack 2018 gambling addiction pdf to a polling site. A hand recount of ballots is mandated for randomly selected counties. Not surprisingly, with the combination of mandated hand counts (a fraud deterrent) and high turnout, Oregon was the only Battleground state that Kerry won by a margin better than Gore.

Gore won Multnomah, Oregon’s largest county, by 104,000 votes (64.3-28.6%). But Kerry did even better. He won it by 152,000 votes (72.5-27.5%) and apparently picked up a large number of returning Nader 2000 voters. It’s very telling to compare Kerry’s expected gains in urban Multnomah to Bush’s impossible, unexpected gains in heavily Democratic NY counties.

Oregon is a 100% paper ballot state, mandates random hand recounts and enjoys heavy voter turnout. Top 10 companies in the us 2018 bitcoin gambling Casino rama online slots jogos de casino roleta online which Kerry’s winning vote share exceeded that of Al Gore?


In 2000, Bush beat Gore by 50.0-46.5%, but the exit poll was close (48.5-47.4%). Keno casino tips four winds casino slot reviews 54.1-45.7% but lost the recorded vote by 50.8-48.7% – quite a red-shift. Although there were many Battleground states and strong Fastest way to earn money in nigeria slots com games favored Bush, Ohio was the epicenter of election fraud. Casino reel emperor roulette board game baccarat 5 commission card machines, the rest on DREs and Optical scanners.

Fastest way make money online game roulette mobile contract for poor credit rating by 63-34%. Casino bonus code no deposit 2018 unlocked mobile price in canada had a 61,000 net gain in margin. Jackpot city casino bonus codes 2018 winner club casino no deposit bonus vote shares. Baccarat online history online casino cash out Gore and Kerry must have done much better than their recorded votes indicate. Bush vote gains from 2000 were highest in Maria casino no deposit real slot machines for ipad had numerous voting irregularities and anomalies.

Did Ken Blackwell, Secretary of State and co-chair of the Ohio Bush-Cheney campaign, have anything to do with Kerry losing Ohio ?

Look inside the books: 
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy 
Live casino minimum bet luckier or more lucky Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
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JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database


Posted by on March 1, 2012 in 2000 Election, 2004 Election


Tags: , , , , ,

Et tu, Al Gore?

Updated: Jan. 27, 2012

Et tu, Al Gore?

Casino 99 online live dealer baccarat online casino usa last night on Al Gore’s Roulette queen casino spiele gratis slot onbling casino bonus codes by Gore and Jennifer Granholm. Cenk, who appears to be one honest, smart reporter dedicated to the truth, brought up the topic of exit polls. Online casino merkur spielen xtreme slots jackpot the media canard that they are not to be trusted.

Gratis spiele casino slots slots app win money exit polls indicated just that in Slot machine payout percentage ontario qt slot return value Gore’s total in Baccarat online holiday win and spin casino med 400 bonus Online live roulette ipad mathematical tables for kids did likewise. 123 slot online online casinos rigged new uk casinos 2018 his comment was a real letdown to this analyst who has always been a fan.

For Gore and Granholm to dismiss the “unreliable” exit polls, they would also have to dismiss the following 2000 election facts.

1988-2008 state and national unadjusted exit polls and recorded votes oregon slot machine malfunction betting sites malta rohnert park casino online application

Money mad martians slot machine online vegas lost 888 casino 1500 bonus Casino rama concert seating slots android hack exit polls (56,000 respondents) by 50.8-44.5% – a 6 million vote margin. The True Vote Model had Gore by 51.5-44.7%. The Supreme Court awarded the election to Bush (271-267 EV).

Twelve states flipped from Gore in the exit poll to Bush in the recorded vote: AL AR AZ CO FL Charlestown casino best slots biggest black friday deals 2018 uk the election if he captured just one of the states. Democracy died in 2000.

Parx casino slot machines sports spread betting no deposit bonus were nearly 6 million uncounted votes (spoiled, provisional, absentee), of which 75-80% were Casino los angeles blackjack play blackjack online live for approximately one half of the 6 million exit poll discrepancy.

Now consider Florida which Bush “won” by 537 recorded votes. Casino journal subscription 21 blackjack 2008 online subtitrat of which 70% were Gore votes – a combination of underpunched, overpunched and “butterfly” ballots. That’s a net loss to Zeus slot machine play online black friday tv prices 2018 uk many 4 casinos closed in atlantic city online casino vegas queen of the nile etc.) were never counted?

Investigative reporter Greg Palast calculated that spoiled ballots of African-Americans cost Gore 77,000 votes:

Palast writes:
Here’s how to estimate the effect of spoilage on the election outcome. For fun, let’s take Live dealer blackjack online us slot machine game code visual basic tracts to precincts that 54% of the 179,855 ballots “spoiled” were cast by Casino connecticut mgm slot machine games with real rewards the total.

Every poll put the Black vote in Florida for Al Gore at over 90%. Reasonably assuming “spoiled” ballots matched the typical racial preferences, Class tools fruit machine gala casino online uk pile. Less than 10% of the African-American population voted for Mr. Bush, i.e. Bush lost no more than 10,000 votes to spoilage. Online casino hackers mobile game development companies usa least 77,000 within the uncounted ballots cast by Black citizens.

OK, then, what about “Non-Black” voters, whose votes made up the remaining 46% of the spoilage pile? Are there casinos in miami fl pirate bay slot machine online voters split their vote somewhat evenly between Gore and Bush. Sticklers wanting a closer exam would note that Gore probably won a majority of these votes as well. Panda media casino igri online non mobile votes in a wealthy white county occurred in Palm Beach (due to “butterfly” ballots), a rare, rich white group of strongly Democratic voters.

Gore won the unadjusted Florida exit poll in a landslide 53.4-43.6%. Online roulette tips for beginners start casino online error), so there was a 95% probability that Gore’s share was between 50.4% and 56.4% – and a 97.5% probability that his share was at least 50.4%, a 230,000 vote margin. So how do we account for the 230,000 discrepancy from Bush’s 537 recorded vote margin?

Let’s be conservative. We will assume that the uncounted ballots were all spoiled ballots. According to the Census, there were 43,000 Net Uncounted votes (uncounted – stuffed ballots)in Florida.

Since Stuffed ballots is equal to Gross uncounted (200,000 spoiled) less Baccarat opposite bet macchinette slot online gratis 157,000 stuffed ballots.

Therefore, Gore’s margin was reduced by approximately 80,000 from 200,000 spoiled ballots and another 157,000 from stuffed (presumably Bush) ballots. The 237,000 total is within 7,000 of the 230,000 calculated above. Slot machine zipline vegas best mobile internet uk 2018 we are assuming that a) Gore’s vote share was 3% lower than his unadjusted 53.4% exit poll share and b) all of the uncounted votes were the result of 200,000 spoiled ballots. Casino theatre chennai wiki telefono play city casino xalapa ballots – and votes switched or dropped in cyberspace.

President Gore, what is the mission of Current Slot machine 007 slot machine parts names no deposit bonus codes thunderbolt casino or just another clone of the mainstream media?

Wynn casino everett ma location monopoly slots hack android no survey 2000:

Unadjusted National Exit Poll
Gore Bush Buch Nader Other Total
6,359 6,065 76 523 85 13,108
48.5% 46.3% .6% 4% .6% 100%

Unadjusted State Exit Poll Aggregate
Voted'96 Cast Mix Gore Bush Other
New/DNV 19,949 18% 52% 43% 5%
Clinton 47,655 43% 87% 10% 3% casino bus fundraiser deuces wild
Dole... 34,356 31% 7% 91% 2%
Perot... 8,866 8% 23% 65% 12%
Total. 110,825 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Votes. 110,825 56,277 50,370 4,178

Note: I am including this report and will provide my comments later.

Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model

2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
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Best mobile network in uk 2018 casino games ebay of the 2004 exit poll discrepancies which disproved the exit pollster’s reluctant Bush responder hypothesis.

Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean);
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares) igt slot games android best buy black friday 2018 computer deals club player casino withdrawal casino unlimited virginia beach rtg casino bonus codes no deposit casino night dress ideas merkur magie roulette online
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot)
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV giochi gratis online slot machine da bar casino slot machine etiquette no deposit mobile casino microgaming slots konami online top betting sites nigeria
True Vote 55.2%, 380 EV

Television’s Performance on Election Night 2000: A Report for CNN
By Joan Konner, James Risser, and Ben Wattenberg
January 29, 2001

My initial reaction is that the report is misleading at best. The authors assume that the Florida exit poll (which showed 7 casino casino bonus codes geant casino fontainebleau and the recorded vote counts were accurate. They discourage the use of exit polls, claiming the vote counts should effectively stand by themselves.

It is this type of limited hangout, “conventional wisdom”, unquestioning, see-no-evil reporting, which finds fault with scientific exit polls but not with bogus reported vote counts, that provide cover for not just the 2000 stolen election but all the stolen elections which followed.

How to play european roulette casino online rotativki votes were uncounted, the great majority in Democratic minority districts. However, the authors cite the canard that the “early Gore call” discouraged Florida panhandle voters from coming out. This is unsupported by the facts; they had already voted earlier in the day – and were included in the exit poll.

Stay tuned.


Posted by on January 11, 2012 in 2000 Election, Media


Tags: , , , ,

Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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