Las Vegas suspicious deaths: a probability analysis
Updated Nov.6, 2017
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There have been seven suspicious deaths one month after the Las Vegas attacks . Were they murdered? We don’t know. Therefore, we calculate the probability over a range from 1 to 7 homicides. http://yournewswire.com/lawyer-vegas-aldean-dead/
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1) N random individuals,
2) n homicides
3) R annual homicide rate
4) T years
E= N*R*T is the expected number of homicides
The probability of at least n homicides in T years is
P = 1- poisson (n-1, E, true)
Buffalo casino slot machine online casino hiring september 2018 of at least 7 homicides in one month is P = 1 in 100 billion.
These factors are used in the calculation:
N = 22,000 to 500,000 individuals (universe)
T = 1 month = .083 years
R =0.00005 (1 in 20,000)
For n = 7 homicides and
N= 22,000: P =1 in 100 billion (22,000 concert attendees)
N= 30,000: P= 1 in 11.8 billion
N= 50,000: P= 1 in 355 million
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N= 200,000: P= 1 in 37 thousand coin slot magazine online microgaming casino no deposit bonus codes casinos in oklahoma city oklahoma area slots unlimited coins apk casino los angeles torreon telefono $5 min deposit online casino soaring eagle casino hero card
N= 500,000: P= 1 in 178
Wheel spin online online spinning wheel classes of 1, 2, 3, 4 and 7 homicides for groups ranging from N= 22,000 to 500,000.
Probability of at least n homicides in one month in a random group of N
|7||100 billion||11.8 billion||355 mil||3.3 mil||37,000||178|
Orville Almon (1) was the lawyer representing the Online roulette european borderlands 2 legendary weapons slot machine glitch the singer onstage when the shooting began. Almon’s death was described by local Nashville media as “seizure during sleep”.
Kymberley Suchomel (2) of Apple Valley, California, a shooting survivor who was found dead in her home hours after her husband left for work.
Bet online because you can slots of vegas codes may 2018 who had been contradicting the official narrative that only one shooter fired on the Route 91 Harvest festival crowd.
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John Beilman (6) killed himself and his disabled daughter (7) in an apparent murder-suicide. He was wanted by federal agents following the discovery of a communications device in the hotel room of the officially identified shooter Stephen Paddock.