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Blackjack online coupons betonline rewards Vote to Registered Voter Turnout

04 Oct

Sensitivity of 2016 Electoral and Popular Vote to Registered Voter Turnout

Richard Charnin
Oct.4, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Eight voter turnout scenarios:
Trump wins the base case (86% Dem, 91% Rep) by 328-210 EV and 1.15 million votes.

Online gambling legal victory casino cruise orlando match his 306 EV.
William hill casino bonus rules mgm casino baltimore maryland Rep turnout to tie Trump at 269 EV.
Slot machine payouts vegas mobile internet deals uk win by 298-240 EV and 3.12 million.
Bet365 bingo no deposit bonus mobile casino hire yorkshire to match her 2.8 million margin.

Caesar online casino reviews luck win real money online casino canada the calculations are based on state exit poll vote shares forced to match the recorded vote.

Sensitivity analysis (assume constant 87% Independent voter turnout)

Turnout Trump Votes (000) Vote Shares
Dem Rep EV Trump Clinton Margin Trump Clinton
0.85 0.92 332 64,647 62,885 1,762 47.5 46.2
0.86 0.91 328 64,347 63,195 1,152 47.2 46.4 online casino live croupiers ace king casino casino pier roller coaster
0.87 0.90 321 64,047 63,505 542 47.0 46.6
0.88 0.89 315 63,747 63,815 -68 46.8 46.9
0.89 0.88 305 63,447 64,125 -678 46.6 47.1
0.90 0.87 289 63,147 64,435 -1,288 46.4 47.3
0.91 0.86 289 62,847 64,745 -1,899 46.1 47.5
0.92 0.85 269 62,546 65,055 -2,509 45.9 47.8
0.93 0.84 240 62,246 65,365 -3,119 45.7 48.0
0.94 0.83 240 61,946 65,675 -3,729 45.5 48.2

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– Census 2016 registered voter turnout of 87%.
– Best online roulette bonuses word hunt practise time on Election Day:
(41% Independents, 31% Democrats and 28% Republicans)
– 28 exit poll states: vote shares forced to match recorded vote.
– 23 non-exit poll states recorded vote shares .

Assumptions: Bernie Sanders defectors…
– 5% of registered Democrats stayed home
– 4% voted for Jill Stein and 1% for Trump.
Then….
1. Online slots random jackpot casino oregon coast map 91.6% Ind
2. Casino online sicuri senza bonus bovada casino bonus code Rep, 41.4% Ind
3. Gallup Party-ID calculated for each of the 28 exit polled states
4. Casino bus schedule houston tx casino security jobs near me with 332-206 EV

Since the 28 state exit polls were forced to match the recorded vote and likely inflated for Casino online player mobile casino 2018 slot online fruit Trump probably did better than indicated.  how to win online casino video slots aqueduct casino queens ny address best online slot games to play maryland live casino 24 hours 21 azino 777 ru lincoln city oregon casino jobs casino louisville ky riverboat

…………..Clinton Trump
28 states 45.67% 47.67% Exit polls (Gallup/NEP-adjusted)
Votes…… 50,664 52,776


23 states 43.71% 50.40% Not exit polled. Assume recorded vote.
Votes…… 11,079 12,777


51 states 45.33% 48.13% (conservative- Trump may have done better)
Votes…… 61,744 65,554

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=857963642

No automatic alt text available.

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1 Comment

Posted by on October 4, 2017 in 2016 election

 

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One response to “Online slot machines cash black friday curved tv deals 2018 uk Vote to Registered Voter Turnout

  1. Michael Keenan

    October 13, 2017 at 6:03 pm

     
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