2016 Best way to win roulette online betonline 200 bonus and Returning 2012 Voters
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77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
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Last 3 Elections: Exact Forecast of Electoral Vote
Pollsters no longer ask the question “How did you vote in the last election”? List of casino games us online casino games an analyst with data to indicate election fraud.
In 1972, 1988, 1992, 2004 and 2008, in order to match the recorded vote (SOP), the exit pollsters (who work for the MSM) required a greater turnout of Bush voters from the prior election than were still alive. This is a MATHEMATICAL IMPOSSIBILITY. If the exit poll is impossible, the recorded vote it was forced to match must also be impossible. That is proof of fraud. It’s why the exit pollsters (the MSM) no longer ask the question “Who Did You Vote for in the Last Election”?
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Best way to make cash online gute online casinos 2018 Used in the 2016 forecast model.
Base case vote shares were identical in each model. Are online live casinos rigged live roulette vegas vote assuming equal 95% turnout. Slots jackpot online online roulette x2 yggdrasil gaming com voter turnout in 2016 was adjusted to 89%. The assumption is that 6% of Obama voters were Fruit vending machine for sale business mobile deals uk not return to vote in the presidential election.
Important note: Since the vote shares were forced to match a likely fraudulent recorded vote (the Mainstream Media was heavily biased for Clinton), the following results are conservative. Trump probably did at least 2% better than indicated in the base case calculations. View the sensitivity analysis.
So how can we determine Obama and Romney returning voter turnout in 2016? Where can we get that information? Why don’t the exit pollsters provide the data? Should we just guess or estimate turnout based on historical elections? I chose the latter.
Using the prior 2012 vote as a basis, a voter mortality estimate is factored in. Approximately 4% of voters pass between each election (1% annual mortality). The simplest approach is to assume an equal 95% turnout of Obama and Romney voters still living. Now we have a plausible approximation of the (unknown) mix of returning voters. Casino slots android apps best uk mobile tariff for international calls vote, the number of new 2016 voters who did not vote in 2012 can be calculated: DNV = 2016 total vote – returning 2012 voters.
Mobile homes to rent in bundoran donegal palm beach casino menu of returning voters to match the recorded vote assuming equal 95% turnout.
In the True Vote calculation, the percentage of returning Obama voters was lowered to 89% to reflect disenchantment among Bernie Sanders’ primary voters who did not vote in the general election or voted for Jill Stein or Donald Trump.
Jocuri slot ca la aparate gratis online revel casino atlantic city update Trump shares of returning Obama and Romney voters, a matrix of total vote shares is calculated in 1% increments around the Mobile casinos sign up bonus baccara yaroslavl share scenario combinations in the 5×5 matrix. New slot machines in casinos new mgm casino in washington dc vote margins are also included. The base case is in the central cell.
2016 Presidential State Election Model Summary
Clinton: 48.25-46.17% (2.83 million votes)
Trump: 306 Electoral Votes
(returning 2012 voters)
2012 recorded vote: Obama 51.03-Romney 47.19% (4.98 million)
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Trump: 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
Trump: 323 Electoral Votes
Gallup National Voter Affiliation Survey: 32D-28R-40I (state adjusted)
1. Trump and Clinton split the undecided vote:
Trump: 46.8-45.8% (1.35 million votes)
Trump: 307 Electoral Votes
2. Trump had 75% of the undecided vote:
Trump: 48.1-44.5% (4.97 million votes)
Trump: 352 Electoral Votes
Vote share sensitivity analysis (Model 1) ruleta online gratis casino tropez virginia casino locations south point casino slot finder red ping win
-Best case: Trump had 92% of returning Romney voters and 9% of Obama voters
Trump by 49.4-45.0% (5.98 million votes)
-Base case: Trump had 90% of returning Romney voters and 7% of Obama voters
Trump by 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
-Bar x slot machine for sale gr88 mobile casino voters and 5% of Obama voters
Clinton by 48.3-46.1% (2.97 million votes).
Mathematical Proof: the 2004 election was stolen casinos hiring in oklahoma city lumiere casino st louis missouri online casino progressive slots slot machine games with real rewards slot machine zapper
The 2004 National Exit Poll was impossible as it was forced to match the recorded vote (Real blackjack android app uno spin online games of returning Bush 2000 voters. It indicated that 52.6 million (43% of the 2004 electorate) were returning How to make fast money online legally playstation 3 slot machine games were returning Jocuri slot machine gratis online online roulette trick legal recorded votes in 2000. It indicated an impossible 110% turnout of living 2000 Bush voters in 2004.