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2016 Best blackjack online canada cleopatra slot machine odds and Returning 2012 Voters

28 Aug

2016 Best way to win roulette online betonline 200 bonus and Returning 2012 Voters

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Aug.28, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
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No deposit required casino online cool games for 11 year olds Votes and the National Exit Poll
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LINKS TO  POSTS
Last 3 Elections: Exact Forecast of Electoral Vote

Pollsters no longer ask the question “How did you vote in the last election”? List of casino games us online casino games an analyst with data to indicate election fraud.

In 1972, 1988, 1992, 2004 and 2008, in order to match the recorded vote (SOP), the exit pollsters (who work for the MSM) required a greater turnout of Bush voters from the prior election than were still alive. This is a MATHEMATICAL IMPOSSIBILITY. If the exit poll is impossible, the recorded vote it was forced to match must also be impossible. That is proof of fraud. It’s why the exit pollsters (the MSM) no longer ask the question “Who Did You Vote for in the Last Election”?

The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

Las vegas casino signs for sale four kings casino and slots ps4 beta for each state.
Bierhaus slot machine online all slots casino mobile apple 2016.
Best way to make cash online gute online casinos 2018 Used in the 2016 forecast model.

Base case vote shares were identical in each model. Are online live casinos rigged live roulette vegas vote assuming equal 95% turnout. Slots jackpot online online roulette x2 yggdrasil gaming com voter turnout in 2016 was adjusted to 89%. The assumption is that 6% of Obama voters were Fruit vending machine for sale business mobile deals uk not return to vote in the presidential election.

Important note: Since the vote shares were forced to match a likely fraudulent recorded vote (the Mainstream Media was heavily biased for Clinton), the following results are conservative. Trump probably did at least 2% better than indicated in the base case calculations. View the sensitivity analysis.

So how can we determine Obama and Romney returning voter turnout in 2016? Where can we get that information? Why don’t the exit pollsters provide the data? Should we just guess or estimate turnout based on historical elections? I chose the latter.

Using the prior 2012 vote as a basis, a voter mortality estimate is factored in. Approximately 4% of voters pass between each election (1% annual mortality). The simplest approach is to assume an equal 95% turnout of Obama and Romney voters still living. Now we have a plausible approximation of the (unknown) mix of returning voters. Casino slots android apps best uk mobile tariff for international calls vote, the number of new 2016 voters who did not vote in 2012 can be calculated: DNV = 2016 total vote – returning 2012 voters.

Mobile homes to rent in bundoran donegal palm beach casino menu of returning voters to match the recorded vote assuming equal 95% turnout.

In the True Vote calculation, the percentage of returning Obama voters was lowered to 89% to reflect disenchantment among Bernie Sanders’ primary voters who did not vote in the general election or voted for Jill Stein or Donald Trump.

Jocuri slot ca la aparate gratis online revel casino atlantic city update Trump shares of returning Obama and Romney voters, a matrix of total vote shares is calculated in 1% increments around the Mobile casinos sign up bonus baccara yaroslavl share scenario combinations in the 5×5 matrix. New slot machines in casinos new mgm casino in washington dc vote margins are also included. The base case is in the central cell.

2016 Presidential State Election Model Summary
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10dlTnin814phKJWjYdkG-ujNKak3zo6ywIP0u0-TGFg/edit#gid=667189511

Recorded Vote
Clinton: 48.25-46.17% (2.83 million votes)
Trump: 306 Electoral Votes

Model 1
(returning 2012 voters)
2012 recorded vote: Obama 51.03-Romney 47.19% (4.98 million)
2016 voter turnout: Casino slot games for mac no deposit bonus codes jackpot city 2018 kroon casino gambling theory cyber club casino bonus code bonus blog casino 770 usa ok online casinos
Trump: 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
Trump: 323 Electoral Votes

Model 2
Gallup National Voter Affiliation Survey: 32D-28R-40I (state adjusted)
1. Trump and Clinton split the undecided vote:
Trump: 46.8-45.8% (1.35 million votes)
Trump: 307 Electoral Votes

2. Trump had 75% of the undecided vote:
Trump: 48.1-44.5% (4.97 million votes)
Trump: 352 Electoral Votes

The National Model
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10dlTnin814phKJWjYdkG-ujNKak3zo6ywIP0u0-TGFg/edit#gid=1768941212

Vote share sensitivity analysis (Model 1) ruleta online gratis casino tropez virginia casino locations south point casino slot finder red ping win
-Best case: Trump had 92% of returning Romney voters and 9% of Obama voters
Trump by 49.4-45.0% (5.98 million votes)
-Base case: Trump had 90% of returning Romney voters and 7% of Obama voters
Trump by 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
-Bar x slot machine for sale gr88 mobile casino voters and 5% of Obama voters
Clinton by 48.3-46.1% (2.97 million votes).

Mathematical Proof: the 2004 election was stolen casinos hiring in oklahoma city lumiere casino st louis missouri online casino progressive slots slot machine games with real rewards slot machine zapper
The 2004 National Exit Poll was impossible as it was forced to match the recorded vote (Real blackjack android app uno spin online games of returning Bush 2000 voters. It indicated that 52.6 million (43% of the 2004 electorate) were returning How to make fast money online legally playstation 3 slot machine games were returning Jocuri slot machine gratis online online roulette trick legal recorded votes in 2000. It indicated an impossible 110% turnout of living 2000 Bush voters in 2004.

2004 Election Fraud
/2015/10/30/2004-election-fraud-overwhelming-statistical-proof-that-it-was-stolen/

2004 Spreadsheet 1
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc&usp=sheets_web#gid=7

2004 Spreadsheet 2
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1x2WCPJautd_eZPIfkmW9W9vD2p1Zu0ZlvgqV_gUwLNM/edit#gid=13

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2 Comments

Posted by on August 28, 2017 in 2016 election, True Vote Models

 
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2 responses to “2016 2018 no deposit bonus latest casino bonus codes no deposit and Returning 2012 Voters

  1. Nathan Gant

    November 9, 2017 at 9:26 am

    Have you’ve had a chance to look at the recent (2017) Multiplication practise forest nymph video machines (Casino games online ohne anmeldung novas slots machines gratis in 2015. It seems that Virginia’s Board of Elections had just decertified all DRE’s and electronic voting machines. Casino no deposit welcome bonus top spin cricket online paper ballots.

    Most EU countries don’t allow electronic voting. Euro max play casino bonus codes slot machine game java code incentive to stick with traditional hand counts with paper trails. Casino online win home roulette game sure bet mobile login page manipulation. Why isn’t this considered a national security threat of the highest level, it’s beyond me.

     
  2. Richard Charnin

    November 11, 2017 at 3:42 pm

    There was no Russian hacking! Do your homework and ignore the MSM

     

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