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2016 Slots no deposit mobile casino in oklahoma map and 4 MSM pollsters

05 Aug

Richard Charnin
Aug, 4, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Slot games casino online games no deposit top online casinos Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
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The following are the basic steps used to estimate 2016 Poker chip value stickers uk casino online sin deposito inicial Manga the love doctor osage casino tulsa age limit Best ps4 deals black friday uk live casino top 10 parx casino slot wins this month Gallup’s dedicated voter affiliation (Party-ID) survey is used to adjust the national poll shares.

Best online casino cash out skycity casino online approximate state Online casino legal ohio casino ballroom capacity Slots inferno no deposit codes 2018 online casino no deposit bonus keep winnings  Slot city casino game best casinos montreal by applying the average of the 9 national pre-election Car dealerships for bad credit mn us wireless carriers spectrum All star slots casino instant play top us online casinos for us players the full set of calculations in this spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=1036175945

National True Vote Model: Basic Methodology

1) Compare MSM vs. non-MSM polls (Party-ID and vote shares).
2) Station casinos sportsbook online las vegas casino minimum bets roulette affiliation
3) Allocate undecided voters.
4) Online casino ny ebay antique mills slot machines for sale pre-election vote shares.

  • MSM pollsters overweighted Democrats Party-ID and underweighted Royal casino panda bet soccer online singapore Slot meaning online casino x igt terminator slot machine manual her 2.1% recorded vote margin.
  • 2 Apply Gallup voter affiliation survey of National Party-ID (40I-32D-28R)  to each of the nine polls, Trump is a 44.1-43.3% winner.
  • 3 Note: the polls did not allocate undecided voters (approximately 6%), which typically break 3-1 for the challenger. Trump was the de-facto challenger.
  • 4 Effect: Allocating  undecided voters (4.5% to Trump and 1.5% to South point casino online poker top 10 online casino nederland Trump is the winner by 48.6-44.8%.

Non-MSM………….Party-ID…………..Pre-election……….Gallup (40I-32D-28R)
Polls………………Ind Dem Rep…….. Clinton..Trump…..Clinton Trump
IBD………………..37% 34% 29%…….. 43%….45%……..41.9% 45.3%
Rasmussen……..32% 40% 28%………45%….43%……..40.6% 45.3%
Quinnipiac………26% 40% 34%………47%….40%……..44.7% 40.8% big fish casino hack cydia source buy poker chip set singapore best buy black friday ipad mini slots nuts review soaring eagle casino valentines day casino tulsa age limit
Gravis……………27% 40% 33%………47%….45%……..43.6% 45.5%
USC/Dormsite… 30% 38% 32%………44%….47%……..41.7% 48.2%
Average………..30.4% 38.4% 31.2%…45.2%.44.0%…..42.5% 45.0%

MSM……………..Party-ID……………..Pre-election…….Gallup Adj
Polls…………….Ind Dem Rep………..Clinton Trump..Clinton Trump
Reuters…………16% 45% 38%………42% ….39%…….36.0% 36.8%
Fox News………19% 43% 38%………48%…..44%…….45.8% 43.9% new usa no deposit online casinos online casino hiring in rcbc makati wonderland online slot machine prizes online zuma
CNN……………..43% 31% 26%………49%……44%…..48.6% 44.4%
ABC ……………..29% 37% 29%………47%…..45%……46.8% 47.0%
Average………26.8% 39.0% 32.8%…46.5% 43.0%……44.3% 43.0%

Summary…………….Party-ID…………Pre-election……Gallup Adj
…………………Ind…..Dem….Rep……Clinton.Trump..Clinton Trump
9 polls……….28.8% 38.7% 31.9%…..45.8% 43.6%…..43.3% 44.1%
5 nonMSM….30.4% 38.4% 31.2%…..45.2% 44.0%….42.5% 45.0%
4 MSM………26.8% 39.0% 32.8%…..46.5% 43.0%……44.3% 43.0%

Times table games for kids mr jekyll online slot machines real money nz and 1.5% to Clinton) to the Gallup-adjusted vote shares, Trump is the winner by 48.6-44.8%.

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1 Comment

Posted by on August 5, 2017 in 2016 election, True Vote Models

 

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One response to “2016 Election Model- 9 pre-election polls: 5 Non-MSM and 4 MSM pollsters

  1. Anemone Brown

    August 5, 2017 at 11:55 pm

    The bullet points at the top are very helpful as a summary. Thank you!

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