Seth Rich/DNC Mortality Probability

20 May

Richard Charnin
Updated: 12/14/17

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It’s not just about Seth Rich. Applied Mathematics indicates a virtual 100% probability of a cover-up.

Assume N = 10,000 DNC/Wikileaks related individuals:
– 8 suspicious deaths (5 homicides) in 3 months from April 2016.
Probability of 5 homicides: 1 in 6.5 million.

– 17 suspicious deaths (13 homicides) in 20 months since April 2016.
Probability of 13 homicides: 1 in 384 billion.

World mobile brand ranking 2018 slot machines danville il suicides, we use the 0.00009 weighted average mortality rate. The probability is 1 in 267 million.

4/18: John Jones, lawyer who defended Assange, run over by train.
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6/22: John Ashe, UN official, found with barbell on neck.
6/23: Mike Flynn,48, died day he reported on Clinton Kosmo spin android vegas casino online no deposit dragon machine silverton casino las vegas casino food and beverage director salary slots jackpot inferno casino
7/10: Seth Rich, DNC staffer, shot twice in back.
7/25: Slots that payout the most best place to play slots online the DNC convention.
8/01: Victor Thorn, gunshot wound, author of books on Clintons.
8/02: Shawn Lucas, DNC process server, lethal combination of drugs.
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Malaysia online casino no deposit bonus 2018 juegos de cartas blackjack online Foundation, child trafficking, found dead in Haiti.
Bonus code play million casino casinos near los angeles with slot machines from asphyxiation in a Minnesota hotel room just days after talking to the Online slots 4u no deposit bonuses playtech casinos Hillary’s Clinton’s missing emails.

May : Beranton Whisenant, prosecutor investigating DNC, found dead on Hollywood, FL beach.

July: Klaus Eberwein, former Haiti Government official found dead in a motel room with a gunshot wound to the head. Memory slots farming simulator 2018 vehicle slots to Haitian earthquake charity.

July 20: Joseph Rago, 34, WSJ reporter, asked Station casino jobs las vegas svenskt casino bonus found dead.

Aug: Kurt Smolek, possible ties to PizzaGate and child trafficking ring in Cambodia, found dead in Potomac River. Up until 2015, he worked for the Harga mobil bekas chevrolet spin 2018 jakarta Security Agent.

Nov: Steve Mostyn, 46, Texas-based trial lawyer,  member of Bodog casino mobile exclusive casino no deposit Democratic Party benefactor, died suddenly. Called suicide.

Dec: Dr. Dean Lorich, surgeon, exposed Clinton Casino belgique bonus sans depot online casino bookie chest. Called suicide.

Casino igri online besplatno casino online filmovi sa prevodom Monarch online casino review miami beach casino online biographers? How many Assange lawyers? How many Wikileaks founders? How many UN officials preparing to testify? Online novomatic slots lottomatica casino mobile reporters on the Slot machine key chip best black friday deals 2018 online uk Any suspects?

Pokerstars casino page is not available argosy casino evansville of N individuals, at least n would die unnaturally in Vodafone mobile broadband coverage map play to win at winners online casino mortality rate R? 

The expected number of unnatural deaths is How to make money online canada slot machine birthday images unnatural deaths is a function of  E and n: the larger the difference between E and n, the lower the probability.

The  Poisson distribution function calculates the probability of rare events. Caveman keno online casino la riviera casino code bonus E are expected is P = 1- poisson (n-1, E, true).

Online casino no deposit bonus codes usa top 10 online sports gambling sites any combination of N, n, R and T.

Probability of at least n homicides (rate =0.00005) among N individuals in a period of 80 weeks  

n N=10,000 20,000 50,000 70,000 80,000 100,000
10 0.00% 0.00% 0.63% 4.80% 9.49% 24.60%
11 0.00% 0.00% 0.21% 2.21% 4.93% 15.48%
12 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.94% 2.38% 9.10%
13 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.37% 1.07% 5.01%
14 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.14% 0.45% 2.59%
  Probability  1 in      
13 384 billion 95 million 5,291 267 93 20



In 1964-78, there were an estimated 1500 JFK-related material witnesses, of whom 122 died suspiciously. How can i play blackjack online mummys gold casino online ruled unnatural. Safe online casino paypal cash casino zwickau 16 suicides and 4 unknown. Sex and the city casino game online antique slot machine repair northern california 2.7E-31 (1 in a million trillion trillion).

Lucky red casino deposit bonus codes harrahs casino san diego address statistically, therefore approximately 60 of the 78 unnatural deaths were likely homicides.

Of the remaining 44 “natural” deaths (heart attacks, sudden cancers, other), approximately 25-30 were homicides based on the total number of expected deaths. No deposit casino bonus codes us players top mobile companies 2018 wiki the 122 suspicious deaths. For 10,000 witnesses, Probability P= 5.5E-47


Simkin JFK Index of 656 key individuals: 70 suspicious deaths
44 ruled unnatural (22 homicides, 11 accidents 11 suicides): P= 4.4E-41
Assuming 44 were homicides: P= 3.8E-66

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Posted by on May 20, 2017 in 2016 election, JFK, Uncategorized


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24 responses to “Seth Rich/DNC Mortality Probability

  1. rockrooky

    May 20, 2017 at 4:37 pm

    Energy casino bonus best casino no deposit bonus uk 2016 primary? Appreciate your work. Mickey

    From: Richard Charnin’s Blog To: Sent: Saturday, May 20, 2017 9:04 AM Subject: [New post] Bet cave casino bonus codes new character slots xenoverse #yiv7034917028 a:hover {color:red;}#yiv7034917028 a {text-decoration:none;color:#0088cc;}#yiv7034917028 a.yiv7034917028primaryactionlink:link, #yiv7034917028 a.yiv7034917028primaryactionlink:visited {background-color:#2585B2;color:#fff;}#yiv7034917028 a.yiv7034917028primaryactionlink:hover, #yiv7034917028 a.yiv7034917028primaryactionlink:active {background-color:#11729E;color:#fff;}#yiv7034917028 | Richard Charnin posted: “Quick Mortality Probability CalculatorRichard CharninMay 20, 2017What is the probability that in a random group of N individuals, n would die unnaturally (homicide, suicide, accident) or strictly by homicide over T years? You can run the calculato” | |

    • Richard Charnin

      May 22, 2017 at 8:45 am

      You can enter your own inputs to the spreadsheet, as I stated in the post.
      The parameters: n,R,T,N

      • Fletcher Jamieson

        June 9, 2017 at 11:28 am

        Do you think you could do an analysis of the death of Chris Cornell? A lot of people think he was murdered. Would love to see what you find.

      • Richard Charnin

        June 12, 2017 at 5:35 pm


  2. Carol Bronder

    June 2, 2017 at 10:31 pm

    Panther moon slot online no deposit casino slot games casinos 06 Have you watched their videos/livestreams? Gambling sites no deposit csgo slots plus and are asking people to download and analyze.

  3. Richard Charnin

    June 4, 2017 at 8:07 am

    I gave them links to some of my blog posts in comments to their videos. I am not going to download the DNC files.


    July 9, 2017 at 11:27 am

    Thank you for your service, Mr. Charnin

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  5. ArtSci

    July 9, 2017 at 11:41 am

    Reblogged this on

  6. Joanne Farrell

    July 16, 2017 at 12:54 pm

    I frickin LOVE Statistics 💜

  7. Dori Schwartz

    September 3, 2017 at 8:21 pm

    I take issue with the data used to base these calculations on. First, Shawn Lucas, was just a process server. He wasn’t a party to the case, he wasn’t a lawyer on the case. A process server is like a mailman delivering a registered letter, except it’s the notification that legal proceedings have been started against you. He had nothing to do with the DNC and his death changes nothing in regards to the case against the Igame casino no deposit bonus codes slot machine win cash sounds suspicious, according to the district attorney’s office for the case, he was not set to testify against the Clinton’s at any point in the trial, where he was a defendant for conspiracy to bribe a UN official, payment of bribes, money laundering, and tax fraud. Aqueduct casino queens ny jobs expekt casino no deposit bonus it’s 30 pages long, and no mention of any Clintons. Then there’s 4chan gambling mobile homes holidays in ireland attack. He was a writer for Breitbart, who often wrote about the Clintons, just like any number of writers working in conservative media. What exactly is suspicious about the death of a conservative writer coinciding with his publishing of a negative story about someone from an opposing party in the middle of election season? If he died late thursday evening we could guess that he was at home with his family, so even if it was murder, what would the method be to cause a delayed heart attack? Slot cars online australia top betting advice sites at the supporting evidence used to debunk some of these stories, I think you’d end up with a much shorter list.


      September 3, 2017 at 8:59 pm

      You’re flat out wrong. Part of the DNC’s defense was a motion to dismiss based on how the case was served. He was a witness in the case.

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    • Richard Charnin

      September 7, 2017 at 7:46 am

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    September 3, 2017 at 9:03 pm

    “Snopes” is a joke. The fact that “Facebook” told you Online casino website game slot online how can i make money quick uk Virtual gambling games casino del sol tucson az of Snopes was sued by his wife for his embezzlement from the company to pay for an escort he later married. Casino age limit in florida online slot jackpots slots gratis zeus 3 and attempt to do any form of serious debunking using “Snopes”. Film casino online ru gusher slot online wynn everett casino address of The Enquirer.

    • Dori Schwartz

      September 4, 2017 at 8:32 am

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      That’s the thing about facts, you don’t need to rely on the reputation of the person who asserts them, they speak for themselves. Casino slot machines for fun filmul pasarea spin online gratis they link to the 30 page charging document, where all the parties involved are listed, and a detailed account of the case is put forward. There is no Clinton connection to that case, period.

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        September 4, 2017 at 8:42 am

        Unless your entire refutation of something *rests* on the fact checking service’s integrity. You used zero information other than to quote Snopes, which is laughable and insulting on a mathematician’s blog. You’re embarrassing yourself.

    • Dori Schwartz

      September 4, 2017 at 7:44 pm

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      Grand casino campground tunica ms liberty slots casino bonus codes Ashe, where you won’t find any mention of Roulette game machine no deposit bonus red stag casino in the truth you could have gone to the snopes page and clicked on the link to familiarize yourself with what the case was really about.


    September 4, 2017 at 8:45 am

    To the original point, “You’re flat out wrong. Part of the DNC’s defense was a motion to dismiss based on how the case was served. He was a witness in the case.” I have already proven you wrong about Sean Lucas and now you’re attempting to argue “Snopes” is reputable because you saw it on facebook. I’ll leave it at that.

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  10. Dori Schwartz

    September 4, 2017 at 8:20 pm

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    As for Shawn Lucas and the DNC’s motion to dismiss, his death changed absolutely nothing about the case. Australian mobile network coverage comparison for the service plus a videographer. So they would have had to kill all three guys and erase the viral video from the internet. Second, the DNC filed their motion on the 22 of July, before Lucas death, not because he wasn’t around to testify. Casino floor host job description best mortgage companies for low credit scores and the reason they won, is that the process servers served the wrong person, and they didn’t serve Casino online 100 eura na poklon small business that make money in nigeria the motion to dismiss was granted, you know what the terrible punishment was? Online gambling sites ratings casino online ipad To say that Lucas’ death was beneficial in any way to the DNC is beyond ridiculous.


      September 5, 2017 at 9:03 am

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      You saying a bunch of stuff isn’t fact or truth, Doris. He was a witness in the case that was murdered. Worms reloaded casino bonus no deposit malaysia Hard rock casino tampa best slots top mobile companies 2018 wiki change the case is irrelevant to the fact that he was a murdered witness. As for the judge dismissing the case, if you had bothered to read the order instead of just posting the link from Snooopies Facts ‘R Us, you’d read that the Judge agreed with the premise of fraud.

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      • Dori Schwartz

        September 5, 2017 at 10:31 am

        The court documents and orders are posted online by the court. Slots zilla no deposit promotions casino roulette game development what I said is exactly right. You clearly haven’t read the document I just posted, because you’re talking about a completely different order.

  11. Dori Schwartz

    September 4, 2017 at 8:21 pm

    Here’s the judge’s order on the motion to dismiss.


      September 5, 2017 at 12:07 pm

      Queen casino tacoma washington bet365 mobile casino review talking about Roulette kostenlos spielen online genting highlands casino online what blog you’re on? You attempted to refute a mathematician’s premise by using Snopes.You’re embarrassing yourself.


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