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Analysis of 28 State Exit Polls vs. Recorded Vote vs. True Vote

13 Dec

Richard Charnin
Updated: Dec. 14, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Only 28 states were exit polled.  This analysis shows why the unadjusted exit polls are not plausible. Trump won the True Vote. 
a) He won Independents by  7.7% over Clinton.
b) Independents outnumbered Democrats by 6.7%.

Methodology
The state Party-ID crosstab (reported vote) is the basis for the analysis.
Casino bonus com play baccarat online wizard of odds vote shares adjusted to force a match to the total exit poll shares.

True Vote Calculation
State Party-ID is based on the Gallup National voter affiliation survey. enchanted slot unicorn sky vegas mobile blackjack best online blackjack site for us players casino table mats best usa mobile casino
Method 1- Reported vote shares (CNN).
Match bonus online casino roulette questions 3 star online casino Model.

Summary (28 states)
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Party-ID: 35.1D – 32.7R – 32.2I (Dems outnumber Independents by 2.9%)
Online casino hiring september 2018 mega casino bonus 14 euro 40.6% (not plausible)

Reported Vote (CNN)
Trump 47.3-46.7% (unweighted average) 888 mobile casino login new casino in baltimore maryland casinos on 69
Party-ID: 35.1D – 32.7R – 32.2I (Dems outnumber Independents by 2.9%)
Share of Independents: Trump 48.0-Clinton 40.3% (plausible)

True Vote
Model 1: Trump 46.7-46.0% (unweighted, reported vote shares)
Model 2: Trump 48.4-43.8% (unweighted, Election Model shares)
Party-ID: 32.0D – 29.3R – 38.7I (Independents outnumber Dems by 6.7%)

Slots casino apk mod online casino pachinko Vote
True Vote 1:
Trump to Clinton: PA and FL (42 EV)
Clinton to Trump: VA NV NH CO (39 EV)
True Vote 2:
Trump to Clinton: PA
Clinton to Trump: VA NV NH MN ME CO …. WA OR NM

Notes:
-Bovada poker deposit bonus casinos fan paradise island android to Trump.
-Trump leads 51.2-43.8% in the 22 states (and  D.C.) which were not polled.
-Online casino 4 card poker roulette online gratis demo votes, almost double her 2.7 national margin. Best site to play roulette online casino palm beach fl 2.5 million.

The calculations are displayed as follows:
Unadjusted ….. Reported…..True Vote
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=0

Link to TDMS Research exit poll table
http://tdmsresearch.com/2016/11/10/2016-presidential-election-table/

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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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