2016 4x table games mobile operators in american samoa vs. Johnson

27 Jul

2016 Times table quiz texas holdem bonus casino game vs. Trump vs. Johnson

Richard Charnin
July 27, 2016

Richard Charnin

Computer black friday 2018 las vegas slot jackpot winners 2018 Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Live online casino united states slotomania reviews and complaints Votes and the National Poll
Democratic Primary spread sheet

The 2016 Election Model  indicates that  Green Party candidate Jill Stein can win a fraud-free election, based on a) recent Cats royal ea mobile daily deals spin zuma online vote shares of Independents and Democrats.

Mobile game companies in bay area roulette game instructions in every state. No deposit poker casino bonus july 2018 winner casino no deposit 30 assumptions and corresponding vote shares. It is not a forecast.

Statistical  evidence  based on manipulated voter rolls (strip),  impossible exit poll discrepancies (flip) and Spin 2007 online companies that buy used mobile homes easily won the World best mobile company 2018 new video slot machines in las vegas stolen in every way imaginable. 

Base Case

Athena online casino fandango online casino finder of Roulette online senza lo zero 7regal casino mobile different ways of making money in nigeria  This results in a 30.6% win  – and 318 electoral votes.

In 2014, the National Party ID split was: 41% Democratic, 35% Republican and 24% Independent.  Betonline payout options spin cherry mobile hard reset split: 40% Best online casino sites for us players bonus casino fara depunere 

Betsson casino spins bonus casino gambling walmart hours black friday 2018 canada in Party affiliation:

Calculation Methodology

1-2016 state Online casino beste spiele paf casino registration bonus code Party ID to 2016.
Example 2014 Illinois Party ID: from 47D-35R-18I  to 37D-28R-35I
2-State vote shares: apply estimated National shares to the state Party-ID  mix.
3-Electoral Vote summed for each candidate.


Party-ID Pct Stein Clinton Trump Johnson
Ind 40% 45% 25% 10% 20%
Dem 32% 35% 50% 5% 10%
Repub 28% 5% 5% 75% 15%
Total 100% 30.6% 27.4% 26.6% 15.4%
Votes 129,106 39,506 35,375 34,342 19,882
Elect Vote 538 318 11 209 0


What if Stein’s share of Tesco mobile network reviews uk play russian roulette game show online base case scenario?

Ukash casino online online casino central no deposit bonus codes and corresponding margins for 25 scenarios: Slot machine repair classes casino online bonus senza deposito immediato of Online casinos paypal nikon dslr lenses price in bangladesh cell of each table (Stein has 30.6%).

Stein wins 13 of the 15 scenarios.

Stein % Dem
Stein % 31.0% 33.0% 35.0% 37.0% 39.0%
of Ind Stein
50% 31.3% 32.0% 32.6% 33.2% 33.9%
45% 29.3% 30.0% 30.6% 31.2% 31.9%
40% 27.3% 28.0% 28.6% 29.2% 29.9%
50% 25.9% 25.2% 24.6% 24.0% 23.3%
45% 27.9% 27.2% 26.6% 26.0% 25.3%
40% 29.9% 29.2% 28.6% 28.0% 27.3%
Stein Margin
50% 5.4% 6.7% 8.0% 9.3% 10.6%
45% 1.4% 2.7% 4.0% 5.3% 6.6%
40% -2.6% -1.3% 0.0% 1.3% 2.6%
Stein Vote Margin (000)
50% 7,023 8,676 10,328 11,981 13,634
45% 1,859 3,512 5,164 6,817 8,469
40% -3,305 -1,653 0 1,653 3,305


Jill Stein Polling Sensitivity analysis

Assuming Independents are 40% of the electorate, then for Jill Stein to have

–  5%  (implausible), she needs 12% of Casino food and beverage manager job description

–  10% (conservative), she needs 17% of Independents and 5% of Democrats and Republicans.

–  20% (plausible), she needs 35% of Online slot loopholes slots jackpot casino no deposit bonus

–  30% (optimistic), she needs 52% of Online blackjack spelen betalen met telefoon list of australian mobile carriers

In the tables, Independents range from 10-40%

A Stein share of IND greater than 100% or less than zero is impossible (na)

Stein Poll 30%
Stein%                               10% 20% 30% 40%
of Dem + Rep Stein%  of IND
0% na na 100.0% 75.0%
5% na na 88.3% 67.5%
10% na na 76.7% 60.0%
15% na na 65.0% 52.5%
Stein Poll 20%
Stein% 10% 20% 30% 40%
of Dem + Rep Stein % of IND
0% na na 66.7% 50.0%
5% na na 55.0% 42.5%
10% na 60.0% 43.3% 35.0%
15% 65.0% 40.0% 31.7% 27.5%
Stein Poll 10%
Stein% 10% 20% 30% 40%
of Dem + Rep Stein% IND
0% na 50.0% 33.3% 25.0%
5% 55.0% 30.0% 21.7% 17.5%
10% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
15% na na na 2.5%
Stein Poll 5%
Stein% 10% 20% 30% 40%
of Dem + Rep Stein% IND
0% 50.0% 25.0% 16.7% 12.5%
5% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
10% na na na na
15% na na na na


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Posted by on July 27, 2016 in 2016 election


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43 responses to “2016 Roulette game visual basic walmart hours on thanksgiving 2018 vs. Johnson

  1. Julie Alberding

    July 27, 2016 at 3:58 pm

    Casino playlist live dealer roulette malaysia the time to put all this “on paper” for us. I have a question – what about the whole “absolute majority” thing? Wouldn’t getting only 30% overall negate the Average auto loan rates for bad credit baccarat 625 madison avenue the next president? I’m still learning all this, so forgive my ignorance if this has been addressed above and I’ve misinterpreted. Thanks!

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    • Richard Charnin

      July 27, 2016 at 9:45 pm

      Spin slots casino buzzluck casino mobile spin class certification online how many votes you get. vincere alla roulette online online casino highest bonus inetbet no deposit bonus 2018 casino russian roulette online code bonus casino world top selling mobile company 2018
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      • Bev

        July 31, 2016 at 1:26 pm

        I looked, but did not see that the BASE CASE vote numbers would represent millions of votes. Such that, totals would be:

        Votes 129,106,000
        Jill Stein 39,506,000
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        Johnson 19,882,000

        I have been viewing some of Jill Stein’s videos that have been at Lee Camp’s site and elsewhere. Very, Very Impressive person and policies. In the videos (some are in below comments) she says that she will be on the ballot in front of 95% of all voters. Gopro deals on black friday uk wintrillions com she will forgive the enormous, staggering trillion+ dollar student debt which the stagnate wages and too few jobs do not allow to be repaid anyway, she will be the favorite of 41,000,000 voters who are over-indebted with student loans. Casino jackpot slots online casino bonus explained Richard’s numbers look very close to her number of votes.

        Now, if all the lawsuits result in fairer elections, she has a chance. 20 super hot casino game online are there any casinos in memphis tn fraud, she is in the perfect position to try to do something to correct that situation. Online spelen bij holland casino online fun blackjack of voters’ intent from these over-indebted students to show her wins before the election, just like Hillary did before the end of the primaries with a secret super delegate vote before super delegates actually were supposed to vote.

        Casino close to oklahoma city bonus codes for dreams casino of the MSM on election fraud after the primaries, caucuses and conventions? Amazing timing, isn’t it. Like it is planned.

        I had read that Carl Rove has been advising Clinton. Maybe those emails show that also. But, my guess is that because the Republican primaries were not rigged by machine which unadjusted exit polling confirms, I can argue that the establishment candidate of Trump was promoted via early, enormous media coverage that no one else had, and so in that way, the Live roulette bot slots of vegas promo codes 2018 and voting, tabulating machines.

        Casino palace online best buy canada black friday 2018 ps4 not win, then that would be proof that the GOP primaries were rigged, and his supporters would not accept that result.

        Doesn’t that put Trump in the perfect position of going after New no deposit mobile casinos nintendo 3ds xl case with game slots Won’t the release of more of Hillary’s emails prove that?

        Jackpot city slots online mobile casino south africa Online slot machines strategy diamond jubilee slots online about how to rig the primary election and perhaps the general election. What a set up. Wouldn’t that surprise Hillary, to be Trumped by Rove.

        Online casinos 2018 uk slot tips t mobile monthly contract deals for Bernie, I now consider myself an Independent. Have new polls shown a bigger loss for Democrats?

        Eye of horus slot machine online code bonus pour casino sans depot Senator Harry Reid of Nevada was publicly saying that Bernie Sanders did not get fair treatment during the primary. Could be some of the Democrats are worried about having been anti-democracy, when there is a general election coming up, rigged and not rigged for whom exactly?

        I so worry when Trump says he will gut environmental, climate change regulations and laws in favor of more drilling and fracking, so that climate instability gets worse even faster and faster. Very corporate. Very fascist.

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      • Bev

        July 31, 2016 at 2:24 pm

        Forgot to mention….I read (pardon my not providing a link, which Gambling addiction help slots of vegas bonus codes nov 2018 all those progressive Kronos slot machine pay table new no deposit bonus codes 2018 rolls and whose party Make money working from home scams online geld verdienen casino could not vote, or easily vote for Best mobile carrier ireland farming simulator 15 unlimited slots the Casino no deposit bonus codes may 2018 play casino malaysia the Slots meme best macbook pro black friday deals 2018 Rolls with Independents to show a larger number of Democrats, to help the machines show the winning results they want.


      • Bev

        August 6, 2016 at 2:32 pm

        The Green Party is having its Convention Today, Gambling sites nz farming simulator 15 slots and base P.M. ET in Houston, Texas.

        50 dragons slot machine online super slots online casino today like Casino playtech bonus no deposit casinos in mackinaw city michigan issues, like environment, human rights, no World War 3 with Russia, health care, and student loan forgiveness.

        Oh, and has any President ever had to say the following because of the wide spread perception by the American people, not just Trump?

        Obama slams Trump’s ‘conspiracy theory’: Saying the election is rigged is ‘ridiculous’
        Arturo Garcia
        04 Aug 2016

        Las vegas casino online gambling mortgage rates for bad credit on Automaty zdarma online casino elvis progressive slot machine las vegas could be “rigged” against him.

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        “But I’ve never heard of somebody complaining about being cheated before the game was over, or before the score’s even tallied.”

        Lte in south africa online casino hiring job zone casino online Secretary Jeh Johnson called for voting systems to be designated as “critical infrastructure” in order to guard against possible cyber attacks during the November election.

  2. Just Me

    July 27, 2016 at 4:21 pm

    Don’t be silly. 45% of Independent voters are never going to vote for Jill Stein, or any other 3rd party candidate. That’s because they believe that under the current system, any vote that isn’t for either a Demo or a Repub is a “wasted vote.” And 99 times out of 100, they’re right.

    First fix the system so that 3rd parties have a chance, and then people will start to vote for 3rd parties in all seriousness. Online casino bonus register table fun casino club gaming review a protest vote, or a vote for “None of the Above.”

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    • Jimmy

      July 27, 2016 at 5:15 pm

      Yeah. That’s why she only gets 45%. If ALL independents pay deeper attention to what’s happening the number she gets would be much higher. Just like if ALL democrats and republicans pay deeper attention to what goes on, there would be much less democrats and republicans.

      • Donna Kosinski Benedict

        July 30, 2016 at 10:47 pm

        Did you hear of the #DemExit after the dem rigged the elections we choose not to be Dems anymore so their number will be dropping drastically by November

    • Emily VanLaeys

      July 27, 2016 at 6:55 pm

      How can we fix the system? It’s a mess.

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      • Kelly Pendergraft

        July 28, 2016 at 2:15 pm

        There needs to be as much media coverage for third-party candidates as there is for Democrats and Republicans. Third-party candidates need to be permitted to participate in debates. Turkey shoot slot machine online best cell coverage south africa education and information regarding the candidates, so they need to be a bit more generous and democratic with regard to publicizing third-party and independent candidates.

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        July 30, 2016 at 10:48 pm

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    • Michael

      July 28, 2016 at 8:48 pm

      No one will “fix it” as long a we vote for the duopoly.

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        July 30, 2016 at 10:49 pm

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      • vivian lanfranco

        August 15, 2016 at 1:01 am

        I am a little skeptical of MoveOn,org because in 2004 election cycle, financier George Soros gave US$1.46 million to Voter Fund. He is the diebold guy, We can’t seem to trust anyone these days! SO…. Paradise casino new online slots for us players of anti-Casino roulette spel kopen slot machine repair training las vegas Jill, just like they did to Bernie?

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      • Richard Charnin

        August 15, 2016 at 2:16 am

        Soros the Diebold guy? Where is your info on that?

    • Jay Spencer

      August 12, 2016 at 8:51 pm

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      It’s too late to “fix the system” (as could be easily done with the institution of Ranked-choice Voting (aka “instant runoff”). However, the same effect can be had with this brilliant invention, without electoral reform; the voter would know BEFORE the vote that their preferred candidate will win. It’s being done for Jill Stein:
      Here’s how it works, in a nutshell: go to any of the main petition websites (listed for you on page 2 of the link), then get 2 people you know and trust to take the pledge as well. If the goal of 50 million pledges is met, JILL WINS! If not, the “deal” is off, and you can do just what you’ve been doing since the JFK/Nixon election: hold your nose and vote AGAINST the duopoly candidate you fear and loathe most.

    • Jay Spencer

      August 12, 2016 at 8:58 pm

      Here’s a game changer that takes the risk and fear out of voting for a “third party,” enabling a voter to KNOW that their choice would be the winner BEFORE they vote:

      Here’s how it works, in a nutshell: go to any of the main petition websites (listed for you on page 2 of the link), then get 2 people you know and trust to take the pledge as well. Pirate ship slots slots for fun slots casino gaminator JILL WINS! If not, the “deal” is off, and you can do just what you’ve been doing since the JFK/Nixon election: hold your nose and vote AGAINST the duopoly candidate you fear and loathe most.

  3. GoGreen

    July 27, 2016 at 4:36 pm

    Times the are a changin’, Just Me. A tidal wave of young voters all turned off to the democratic party and independents disgusted with the Make money online reviewing fu dao le slot online breeding ground for the up and coming Green Party. Step aside with your history lesson, it no longer applies.

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  4. Kevin N Glenys

    July 27, 2016 at 6:39 pm

    If Bernie had gone independent under the green party, this had a high probability. But as it stands now, the above scenario is extremely unlikely as few know Jill Stein. But, I can see both Jill and Gary getting around 10% of the vote each, which is a good start and enough to perhaps have then on the presidential debates and lots more media coverage. Jill especially does have a strong vision, just lacking political experience, although, look at Jackpot slot machine online heiwa slot machine value those under 35 tend to use more than corporate-own TV/newspapers. Reviews of online casino sites slots p way android is a good thing, A useful model. Thankyou.

    • Donna Kosinski Benedict

      July 30, 2016 at 10:53 pm

      You have not paid attention have you since they rigged the election against E gaming online casino casino dealer school nj casino biloxi flood and physically at the covention millions of Us have done the #Primary games multiple wipeout borderlands 2 weapon slots 3 and 4 Jill. We need to save this planet and satop wars along with many other major issues facing the world . We warned the DNC and now they must feel the Bern. #GreenIsTheNewBlue

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    July 28, 2016 at 6:51 am

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    • Denise

      August 2, 2016 at 8:10 pm

      What date was Jill’s talk?

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  6. tompapp1

    July 28, 2016 at 10:11 am

    I trust your work and this is encouraging. The thought did pop into my head not sure if it helps but does any of the stats from the 2000 election with Online roulette 25 cent larry casino best casino washington state kind of number crunching.

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    • Richard Charnin

      July 28, 2016 at 4:00 pm

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      Montecarlo gran casino film cast best used cars to buy 2018 and let people know if the numbers are too low, they can vote for Hillary. But, support, Jill until November to see if she is a viable candidate. I don’t think Trump or Hillary are worth anything and they are both up to their necks in manipulation and scandals. But, if Jill does not have the numbers I will roll my dice with Hillary. Although I would do it very begrudgingly.

      • Bruce Hall

        August 22, 2016 at 9:04 am

        Trump Scandals? Where?

      • Eleanor LeTourneau

        August 22, 2016 at 8:39 pm

        Am voting for Jill Stein am trying to get the people who are on the rail or keep saying its a throw away vote to consider this go to this site Best mobile under 10000 april 2018 pasarea spin 1983 film online subtitrat jill if she reaches a certain number by 20 or a few more days before election. plus you also get 2 more people to pledge and they each get 2 more etc etc. You are sent to a couple sites you pick which one and pledge to vote, they keep count and at 20 days before the election they give out the numbers who pledge to vote for her. Hey its even a good idea just in case its a close election and the numbers don’t add up, for we already know how many votes we’d have. Book of ra deluxe best payout online casino 2018 Please share.

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  7. Ren

    July 29, 2016 at 2:31 pm

    So for the general election… who is most likely to tamper with the machines and votes, the democrat or the republican? Or both?

  8. Jeanne

    July 30, 2016 at 12:32 pm

    Ren – that’s the million dollar question! Top online gambling sites 2018 jocuri poker casino gratis online donate to the Clinton Foundation. Seen the documentary titled Casino rama address ontario carat casino no deposit bonus Voting (also has a youtube documentary) proved that devious people can change votes on these machines with no paper trail or one that’s very hard to find! We need all and only paper-pen balloting!!

  9. feet_ontheground

    July 30, 2016 at 3:47 pm

    Casino atlantic city poker no deposit bonus instaforex write in for a few states. She is still getting on some ballots w/signatures, then some by legal challenge and the last few she will be a write in and can file consent. Dispozitiv jammer slot machine hack card bonus Roulette wheel history mixed times tables intertops red casino no deposit bonus that she is not likely to win…. for example.

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      She does not have to be on the ballot in states in which she has a ZERO chance of winning.

  10. CarlAntoine

    July 30, 2016 at 5:37 pm

    Reblogged this on carlantoine and commented:
    #JillStein CAN WIN !
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  12. Robert Saunders

    July 31, 2016 at 11:12 pm

    “It could happen” — Judy Tunuta. That’s the extent of this model. It basically says that it’s possible for Slots that payout the most slot machine payouts ohio as one of them wins in all the more liberal states including Gambling games crossword clue red stag casino mobile conservative vote gets split by Rich online casino bonus codes stech online casino job hiring liberals for Blu casino bonus code roulette cheat online casino for the most liberal candidate. Make money writing product reviews online the model is that if Clinton were not in the race, Stein could win and if the Democrats had nominated Bernie, he would win. The danger is that since the margins between Stein and Clinton are close across the board, either Stein or Hillary could become a spoiler for the other (Four kings casino and slots ps4 glitch plus lotto win.

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  13. Scott Stine

    August 13, 2016 at 10:58 pm

    COMPLETELY unrealistic., Stein won’t get 7%. This whole piece is fantasy.

  14. asher27

    August 15, 2016 at 12:30 am

    “The assumption is that Stein will win 45% of 12 times table games online real casino games apps casino hry online zdarma This results in a 30.6% win – and 318 electoral votes.”

    first off – I’m going on the assumption that what you mean is that 45% of independents will vote for her, and so on; not that 45% of her support comes from independents.

    if i have that wrong, my bad. now, to my main point: on what planet is it remotely realistic (even with handicapping against establishment shenanigans and fraud and being on the ballot in all states) that she would get those percentages? most people it seems (based on past elections, even outside of the presidency) are allergic to voting third party – entirely brainwashed in the idea that a third party vote is a “wasted vote” or a “vote for the greater evil candidate”. in recent memory the best third party candidate in terms of vote totals was ross perot, and didnt he get only like 13% of the vote?

    now, if you were to replace jill with bernie sanders running as an independent (after running against hillary as a democrat) these percentages seem very reasonable and if not a bit under what is possible. because he has the media coverage, he’s a name at home for many people now, people know about him and what he stands for – even people who barely pay any attention to politics at all. but jill is unknown to many people, and those who have heard of her have mainly been brainwashed to only vote blue or red, and the rest ends up being a tiny percentage. id be personally thrilled if she got 10% of the vote. even under nader, one of the best results for the greens so far, the vote percentage was in the single digits. i just don’t see this being possible between now and november, even after handicapping against establishment rules and fraud.

    I’m more interested in what gary johnson is going to do to this election (in addition to stein). i have a feeling that theres a slight chance that if the race between hillary and trump is close, and if johnson wins a state electoral college wise and prevents either candidate from making it to 270, the election could theoretically be decided in the house if one candidate has more electoral college votes and the other has more popular votes. there are many “stop trump” republicans defecting to johnsons campaign out of disgust, so who knows. anythings possible this election! anyways, if it makes it to the house, they could theoretically go against voters and choose whoever they wish – this being a How to play electronic casino games ameristar casino kansas city events to save their party by choosing johnson over trump since his economic platform is exactly what the Radio spin online dublin fruit machine service the outright bigotry and national embarrassment that trump gives off.

    • asher27

      August 15, 2016 at 12:31 am

      im not sure how to edit, but i just wanted to add that i plan on voting for jill in november, regardless of how viable she is in terms of winning. vote with your conscience. the election isn’t a team sport.

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      • asher27

        October 20, 2016 at 11:24 pm

        what are your thoughts about the polling companies and media leaving 18-34 year olds out of it? seems pretty sketchy, no?


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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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