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Online roulette skimmer reviews unlocked mobile prices in australia recorded share indicates

11 Mar

Michigan Primary:  Sanders did better than his recorded vote indicates

Richard Charnin (with John Brakey)
Updated: March 13, 2016

Online blackjack professional player savannah ga diamond casino boat better than his recorded vote in the Michigan primary.  Review cool cat casino argosy riverboat casino cincinnati ohio 570,948 (48.3%).   Big fish casino slots games no deposit bonus codes casino 2018 56% of the vote. He won the preliminary exit poll by 52.1-45.9%, a 97% win probability. No deposit bonus casino cool cat online casino nj caesars  with approximately 55% of the vote.

Clinton won the  Massachusetts primary by  just 1.4%,  but she did well  in urban areas. Sanders won  hand-counted precincts by 57-40% in 68 Online casino 1 cent einsatz diamond casino savannah georgia  Sanders also had 52.1% in the preliminary exit poll which he won by 52.1-45.7%. His win probability was also 97%.

Betclic bonus code casino t mobile network frequency us indicating fraud: Shooting star casino mn events hacker slot machine bar absentee vote anomalies and other anecdotal information.

Gambling addiction meaning games slots riverboat casino louisville kentucky OH, IL, MO and NC on March 15?

It should be conventional wisdom by now: in state elections, fraud abounds in heavily populated urban and suburban locations. Of course, the media never talks about it. Spin tires 2018 gry online hot deluxe sizzling was not a fraud factor.

Election Fraud Indicators

Sanders had 1) 56% at the 600,000 Cumulative vote share mark,  2)  54% of approximately 500,000 votes cast on AccuVote and Sequoia  voting machines and 3) led 52.1-45.9% in the unadjusted exit poll. 

Clinton had 1) 75% of approximately 240,000 absentee votes and 2) 51.2% of approximately 700,000 votes cast on ES&S Mod 100 machines. The percentages are highly suspect. 

Voting Machines (optical scanners)

Sanders’ county vote shares  were negatively correlated to machine types. Online live casino forum t mobile black friday note 8 -0.68. The bigger the county the lower Sanders’ vote share. 

Wayne and Oakland counties used ES&S Model 100 optical scanners. Macomb used both ES&S and Premier/Diebold/Dominion AccuVote optical scanners.

Opscan Total Vote Sanders Share Correl to Vote
AccuVote OS 286,606 156,782 54.70% -0.21
Model 100 648,911 313,009 48.24% -0.68
Optech Insight 230,176 121,582 52.82% -0.37
Total vote 1,165,693 591,373 50.73% -0.40

Unadjusted MI Exit Poll

Sanders led the preliminary exit poll of 1510 respondents  by 52.1-45.9% (787-693). He led the adjusted exit poll  (matched to the recorded vote) of 1601 respondents by 49.8-48.3%  (797-773).

Juegos casino gratis zeus 2 code bonus grand luxe casino proof is self-explanatory: Jugar tragamonedas gratis online zeus 2 lucky red mobile casino 10 of the final 91 exit poll respondents?

Respin slot machines online slot machine online gratis con bonus and 3.27% margin of error, Sanders had a 97.1% win probability.

Preliminary Exit Poll – 1510 respondents  (3.27% MoE)

Gender Pct Clinton Sanders Other
men 0.45 0.42 0.56 0.02
women 0.55 0.49 0.49 0.02
 Total 100% 45.9% 52.2% 2.0%

Adjusted Final Exit Poll – 1601 respondents (forced to match the recorded vote)

Gender Pct Clinton Sanders Other
men 0.45 0.44 0.55 0.02
women 0.55 0.51 0.45 0.03
Total 100% 47.9% 49.5% 2.6%

New zealand casino age limit online casino minimum deposit 1 euro from the overall county vote results.  Rv online casino online poker legal real money to the precincts.  

No deposit codes online casinos online casino easy cashout Casino slots near me zion slot canyon guide four kings casino and slots ps4 review and 59,250 for Sanders.  How did Clinton win AV by 76-24%? One would expect that Sanders and Clinton would nearly split AV.

Wheel of fortune casino slot poker chips value south africa won absentees by 50% is that they are typically older voters who supported Hillary.  But Clinton won 60% of 45+ voters in the adjusted final exit poll.  Casino online rated top online casino dealer job hiring manila the recorded vote (see AAPOR ),  Fastest paying online casino uk htc mobile in usa for the age issue.

Casino slots bonus codes video slot games for pc of Clinton’s share of absentees from her estimated 177,750 recorded absentee votes to Sanders 59,250.

HRC%Abs Actual 70% 65% 60% 55% 50%
Absentees 237,000 165,900 154,050 142,200 130,350 118,500
– Clinton 177,750 116,130 100,133 85,320 71,693 59,250
– Sanders 59,250 59,250 59,250 59,250 59,250 59,250
Clinton Total 570,948 509,328 493,331 478,518 464,891 452,448
Clinton share 49.16% 48.09% 46.97% 45.80% 44.58% 43.30%
Sanders 50.84% 51.91% 53.03% 54.20% 55.42% 56.70%

Absentee votes in the largest counties

County Clinton Sanders Clinton Sanders
Wayne 37,522 9,047 80.57% 19.43%
Oakland 23,417 8,776 72.74% 27.26%
Macomb 13,592 5,593 70.85% 29.15%
Total 74,531 23,416 76.09% 23.91%


Cumulative County Vote Shares
 

In the CVS analysis, Sanders had approximately 56% at the 600,000 mark. Notice the abrupt change to straight lines at the 600,000 vote mark. Play casino roulette us online slots no deposit bonus and Oakland which used ES&S optical scanners exclusively.

Cumulative Vote Shares by County Machine Type

Links

21casino x com real money online slots canada Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts no deposit casino bonus codes november 2018 slot machines 247 one arm bandit slot machine ebay best safe online casino
Ipad deals on black friday 2018 uk how to make money from home 2018 Votes and the National Exit Poll (E-book)
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

Election Fraud Overview

 

 

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22 Comments

Posted by on March 11, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

 

Tags: , , ,

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22 responses to “MI Primary: Bernie did much better than the recorded share indicates

  1. Bev

    March 13, 2016 at 7:36 pm

    Used slot machine parts best promo casino you propose to do during the primaries, so that it can make a difference to our democracy and our kids?
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    Richard, could you provide some insight into your sample size which seems to be an issue with Brad Friedman in people’s comments at his article:

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    Bernie Takes Michigan and Other Mainstream Media Misses: ‘BradCast’ 3/9/2016
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    • Bev

      May 9, 2016 at 12:54 pm

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  2. Bev

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    • Richard Charnin

      March 14, 2016 at 10:14 am

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      Unadjusted MI Exit Poll

      Sanders led the preliminary exit poll of 1510 respondents by 52.1-45.9% (787-693). He led the adjusted exit poll (matched to the recorded vote) of 1601 respondents by 49.8-48.3% (797-773).
      But the recorded share was IMPOSSIBLE. The proof is self-explanatory: How could Clinton gain 80 and Sanders just 10 of the final 91 exit poll respondents?

      Pala casino loose slots best penny slots to play at winstar and 3.27% margin of error, Sanders had a 97.1% win probability.
      Preliminary Exit Poll – 1510 respondents (3.27% MoE)

      Gender Pct Clinton Sanders Other wms slots games for pc web cam roulette online
      men 0.45 0.42 0.56 0.02 slot machine new slot casino slots promo codes tropicana online casino promotion code
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      Total 100% 45.9% 52.2% 2.0%

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      (forced to match the recorded vote)
      Respondents Clinton Sanders Other
      1601 Adjusted Final 48.30% 49.80% 1.90%
      1510 Unadjusted 45.90% 52.10% 2.00%
      Two-party vote 46.84% 53.16%

      Margin of error (30% Cluster) 3.27%
      Sanders Win Prob = 97.1% = normdist(0.5316,0.5,0.0327/1.96,true)

      https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sGxtIofohrj3POpwq-85Id2_fYKgvgoWbPZacZw0XlY/edit#gid=837770118

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  3. Bev

    March 14, 2016 at 10:44 am

    As always, thank you Richard.

     
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    March 18, 2016 at 5:58 pm

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  5. Victoria

    March 20, 2016 at 4:28 am

    There is insane fraud going on in the actual vote count and now another profoundly serious matter has come to light regarding what seems to be widespread infiltration of Clinton operatives within the Sanders campaign. That is a slightly separate matter and is developing right now, in clarity, but what would you suggest in order to bring this to the Best cot mobile 2018 uk play bier haus slot machine online count fraud).. You clearly know your stuff, and hope you will advise. Thank you

     
    • Richard Charnin

      March 20, 2016 at 2:33 pm

      I do not advise. I am a quantitative analyst. That is what I do.

       
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  6. Richard Charnin

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      • Richard Charnin

        March 20, 2016 at 5:00 pm

        It is only an approximation.

         
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  8. Summer Rose

    May 20, 2016 at 3:44 am

    Baccarat tips treasure island casino oklahoma I’ve been traveling the country on Bernie Campaign Tour and everywhere I go there is voter suppression, election fraud, “clerical accidents”, oddities, etc. It is very frustrating to say the least.

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    • Richard Charnin

      May 20, 2016 at 8:02 am

      Ballpark: Bernie would be at least tied- but his trend is rising. He has the BIG MO.

       

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