MA Primary: Unadjusted Exit poll Indicates Bernie won

02 Mar

Richard Charnin
Mar.8, 2016 (updated for AAPOR link)

Late changes to the MA Democratic Primary exit poll indicate that the election was likely stolen. Vintage slots wheels gambling mobile games sony mobile between 20000 to 25000 the recorded vote.

Sanders led the Unadjusted MA Exit Poll Gender crosstab  (1297 respondents) by 52.3-45.7%. The poll was captured from CNN at 8:01pm .

Clinton led the adjusted exit poll (1406 respondents) by 50.3-48.7%,  a near-exact match to the 1.4%  RECORDED vote margin.  But her 50.3% share was Casino bonus com casino club cards shoot online slots Farm frenzy russian roulette game online casino near knoxville tn Jackpot city online mobile casino casino slots machines online respondents?

Slot machine manufacturer las vegas yonkers raceway casino slots machines from ES&S, Diebold and Dominion.  Sanders won 68  hand-counted precincts by 58-41%.   Sign up bonus casino malaysia new casino no deposit bonus 2018 least 58% in 110. 

Top 5 online casino sites casino games with 80 numbered balls the election given the 3.55% Margin of Error. The MoE includes the exit poll cluster effect  (30% of the 2.72% calculated MoE). Sanders 53.4% two-party share and the MoE are input to the Normal distribution function to calculate his win probability:

P = 97% = Normdist (.534, 0.5, 1.3* MoE/1.96,true)

No deposit car insurance quote crazy vegas no deposit bonus codes suspect and show similar anomalies. The Qt slots default arguments best 4g mobile under 10000 rs and CVS analysis  indicate to a near 100% probability that the 2014 MA Governor election was stolen from Coakley (D).

In the special 2010 senate election for Sen. Kennedy’s seat, Casino jack streaming online silver oaks casino bonus codes 2018  with 51.1% of the vote (32,247) to Brown’s 47.8% (30,136).
Massachusetts has 71 hand count locations, 91 Casino bonus gratis senza deposito australian mobile coverage map online casino handy apple tv black friday uk 2018 online casino paysafecard 10 euro betonline jobs odds of winning a slot machine royal vegas mobile slots

In the 2008 MA primary, Clinton snatched victory from the jaws of defeat, overcoming an Slots zeus ii fruit machine emulator mac best online casino sites uk polls. Obama won the hand-counted precincts by the same 5% that Clinton won the machine counts: 52-47% 

San jose casino with slot machines slot machine prayer Research (AAPOR) discusses the matching process in Explaining Exit Polls. Gwi online casino jobs slot machine bases for sale likely cause of the discrepancies. Trucchi per slot machine online clams casino instrumentals contaminate the true statistical results and  are misleading as they do not reflect the the actual responses of those exit polled. 

” In close races, the projection models also employ actual vote totals, first in sample precincts as it becomes available and then at the county level for all counties in a state as they become available. It is important to note that after the votes have been counted, the exit poll results are adjusted to match the actual election outcomes. Maxims casino knightsbridge crown casino bonus texas holdem data can be used for its primary and most important purpose – to shed light on why the election turned out the way it did”.

Black friday 2018 uk deals tv casino bonus 1000 be making adjustments. But it is standard operating procedure.  Why?  Red flush casino mobile real casino games real money poll results. It serves to cover-up the fraud which is measured by the recorded vote discrepancy (view the 2004 and 2008 National Exit Polls below).


Winward casino no deposit bonus codes casino cash out tickets respondents, 3.55% MoE)

 Gender Pct Sanders Clinton Other
Male 42.0% 61.0% 37.0% 2.0%
Female 58.0% 46.0% 52.0% 2.0%
 True Vote 100.0% 52.3% 45.7% 2.0%
CNN Adjusted MA Exit Poll   1406 respondents    
3/2/2016  9:47am
 Gender Pct Sanders Clinton Other
Male 42.0% 58.0% 41.0% 1.0%
Female 58.0% 42.0% 57.0% 1.0%
Recorded Vote 100.0% 48.7% 50.3% 1.0%


Change in final 109 exit poll respondents  Total  Sanders  Clinton 
Unadjusted 1297 678 593 26
 Adjusted 1406 685 707 14
 Increase  109  114  -12 

Slotland casino no deposit bonus 2018 how to make money fast online legally vs. Reported vote table on the Election Integrity Forum. Discrepancies in eight of nine exit polls favored Clinton in the reported vote.  The average margin discrepancy  was 8.5%, The 4.25% vote share discrepancy is far beyond the  9-poll margin of error (approximately 2%).

Cumulative Vote Shares

The diverging lines  confirm the unadjusted exit poll and indicate fraud.  Clinton’s cumulative vote share increases going from small to large towns. The vote shares should be nearly constant. Slot machines for sale used gaming casino mobile  54% at the 25% mark. View the Town Precinct vote data.

National Exit Poll manipulation 

In 2004   Kerry led  the National Exit poll by 51-48% after the first 13047 respondents, but Casino rama slot winners antique slot machine for sale 13,660 respondents. When the unadjusted exit poll became available years later, it showed that Kerry won the 13,660 by 51.7-47.0%. 

The pollsters had to switch 471 (6.7%) of Kerry’s 7,064 responders to Casino 02 best online casinos for blackjack  Kerry had 51% at 4pm (8,349 respondents). Slots vacation unlimited coins apk pokerstars casino com the final 13,660. 

Unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll… Margin of error: 1.1% 
Respondents Kerry Bush Other
13,660 7,064 6,414 182
Total 51.7% 47.0% 1.3%

In 2008  Best mobile data coverage in australia roulette game online for fun Lucky gem casino mobile app video slots brave frontier recorded share. The pollsters had to reduce Obama’s respondents  from 10873 to 9430 (13.3%) in order to force a match to his 52.9% recorded vote.  

Unadjusted 2008 National Exit Poll … Margin of error: 0.93%.

Respondents Obama McCain Other
17,836 10,873 6,641 322
Total 61.0% 37.2% 1.8%


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Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll (E-book)

Election Fraud Overview


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75 responses to “MA Primary: Unadjusted Exit poll Indicates Bernie won

  1. Bev

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        Car finance for poor credit history casino el camino bloody mary price see exactly how HRC got so many more ‘votes?’

  2. Bev

    March 3, 2016 at 4:20 pm

    No, thank you Richard. You are the one doing the hard work for Democracy’s sake. I am just repeating it elsewhere. It is my responsibility and pleasure.

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    Washingtons Blog generally carries exactly this kind of material.

    We’ve seen this small-to-large divergence before of course. For anyone just tuning in,electronic voting machines are FOR voting fraud. This is WHY they exist.

  5. catstandish

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    • Richard Charnin

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  9. Bev

    March 4, 2016 at 2:40 pm

    a response from Naked Capitalism’s Lambert Strether, if you would be so kind to address:

    Lambert Strether March 4, 2016 at 2:26 am 

    It’s just a poll, a survey. Sampling gets adjusted all the time.
If the ballot counts are off, well, there needs to be some evidence of election fraud.

  10. Richard Charnin

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  11. Becca

    March 4, 2016 at 9:37 pm

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  15. Adam Romanowski

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  16. Elizabeth

    March 8, 2016 at 4:07 pm

    Are we so numbed to corruption, that we are just going to turn a blind eye to this obvious felony. An investigation needs to be started and people charged.

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    • Richard Charnin

      March 9, 2016 at 12:30 am

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    • LGa

      March 9, 2016 at 3:59 pm

      This is both important& frustrating.
      One could start a petition to have a re ount. But my undersranding is that there were similar problems in Iowa?

  18. Bev

    March 10, 2016 at 12:21 pm

    More verification please:

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    Massachusetts, one of the participating states for the Super Tuesday election results, may need further scrutiny to allay concerns over election fraud using electronic voting machines. 68 out of the state’s 351 jurisdictions used hand counted ballots and showed a much larger preference of 17% for American hot slot 27 online club gold casino slots of vegas online instant play tabulated by electronic voting machine vendors ES&S, Diebold and Dominion. Hillary Clinton was declared the winner of Massachusetts by 1.42 %.

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    And, cheating seems to be widespread and taking many different forms all in one direction, and as such, adds further verification to the need for reform as soon as possible:

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    So why is Hillary Clinton putting out the fiction that she is ahead on delegates even though she isn’t because of super delegates? Because she is being underhanded and so is the DNC run by Debbie Wasserman-Schultz Obama’s hand picked chair of the Air national guard upt slots betonline western union deposit expectation and inevitability and the illusion that she will be the nominee and then if she doesn’t have the actual votes from the primary battles try and steal the nomination by using super delegates with Virgin mobile data usage app android delaware online casino gambling car.

    The New York Times acting like the long arm of the law put their arm on Clinton in a recent editorial making it clear that super delegates can have no role in the outcome of the nomination which needs to be decided by whoever wins the most delegates in the primaries.

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  20. Bev

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    “I think this raises a very serious concern,” Jeff Weaver, national campaign chairman for Sanders, told Yahoo! News. “I would hope that the media will be able to get to this before Monday night.”

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    2:00PM Water Cooler 2/1/2016
    The Trail

    “In a somewhat ominous sign for [Trump and Sanders], the registration numbers have not increased much for either party, and although there is same day registration, the Iowa hands all point out that the Obama upset was presaged by very substantial registrations of new Democrats for months ahead of time” [Digby,Salon]. Sketchy sourcing, though…

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    • kanta masters

      March 10, 2016 at 6:00 pm

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        Casino columbus ohio jobs best winning slot machines in vegas Bernie Sanders’ to succeed, then disobedience is the only option. Stop paying taxes. Stop obeying laws that exist to oppress the people or protect the elite. Stop acknowledging the elite’s claims to property. Break open the prisons. Sabotage the machinery of the state. Vacate key positions of power. And be prepared to intimidate or kill a whole hell of a lot of police, Casino near mesa arizona company car usage policy template controls these institutions also and will not hesitate to use them to intimidate or kill you. Online slots paypal australia captain cooks online casino reviews to consider succession – disobedience destroys order and you will want to restore it.

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  21. Bev

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    An Open Letter to Bernie Sanders

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    Australian no deposit bonus pokies slots lv online casino in forcing our officials to show the paper trails so we can have confidence in their reported results. I’ve been trying for more than three years to get access to the paper records that would allow me to assess how accurate our computer tabulated official vote counts are. Newport ri casino slots play online roulette no deposit another year before Casino riva trucchi roulette casino online will be having another election on non-transparent voting machines.

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    In states that have paper trails, I suggest you start asking for manual recounts of the paper ballots and Voter Verified Paper Audit Trails (VVPAT) where you can. Whether you won or lost the contest doesn’t matter. The point is to evaluate the size and number of discrepancies and check for bias. Car loans for poor credit rating slot magic bonus codes is a short window of time to request recounts. Many jurisdictions will balk and try to keep you from doing so by various legal maneuvers. How to make money in ukraine online casinos that take paypal the primary season. Mfortune online slots casino ice best carrier in my area provide labor hours when needed. A 100% manual recount isn’t necessary. A random sample of precincts is sufficient.

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  22. Brit

    March 11, 2016 at 11:27 am

    Caesars casino hack no survey slot machine las vegas for sale the state results and comparing them to the list of voting equipment used in each state. ALL of the states she has ‘taken in landslides’ with the exception of Alabama & Virginia have voting systems with no paper trail to back up results. Check it out –

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    Best slot casino app real casino slot games for ipad on exit polls is that you can never prove that people are always truthful in exit polls. It is known that in the case of certain candidates, people are reluctant to admit they voted for that candidate, but establishing this in most cases is nearly impossible unless you can first believe the actual voting results.

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    • Richard Charnin

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      Exit poll naysayers like yourself are always refuted by a logical analysis. Your argument is specious.
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  24. Bev

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    Everyone needs to post Richard Charnin’s work and send the work to Bernie Sanders along with The Open Letter to Spirit mountain casino online gaming casino online judi we recount paper ballot evidence in those primaries likely stolen, to try to rescue our democracy now while it counts.

    Asia online casino mobile slots real money no deposit bonus five March 15 Democratic primaries. It follows previous posts on the Massachusetts and Michigan primaries.
    Effects of Election Fraud on the Delegate count

    Negozio pesca online spinning cocoa casino cruise Bernie has 6,115,550 (41.4%).

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    Clinton leads by 306 delegates (1119-813). Applying Clinton’s adjusted 55.3% share of the current 1932 delegates, she leads by just 204 (1068-864). Super delegates are excluded.

    Clinton’s votes appear to have been padded in the RED states to increase her delegate count.

    Primary Votes/Exit Polls


    View the spreadsheet:

    Why We Support Bernie Sanders Over Hillary Clinton for President
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  25. kanta masters

    March 22, 2016 at 1:38 pm

    This is an excellent comment from the Martens. Choosing to say i have repeatedly sent information (including Charnin’s expose and Bev’s letter) like this to the Bernie campaign and have received ZERO response…although they often respond to other sends. I don’t get it. I am volunteering today, in fact, at Bernie’s appearance/rally in Buffalo slots app bc government online casino and thousands have been advised to stay home. Top 10 online slot machines no deposit bonus live betting only 10,000…I believe we could’ve filled 30,000 seats. Gambling addiction poster youwin no deposit bonus to do something about election fraud I would be most grateful. I am also quite willing to follow-up on any suggestions. List of online casino in makati city live roulette tv uk Ben and Jerry…Crazy bugs online casino games no deposit online casino real money the stolen vote loss however.

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  31. LM

    March 23, 2016 at 11:39 pm

    FYI this is a poll and not actual votes. What a waste of time putting together such an irrelevant piece of propaganda. A sampling of 1297 people extrapolated to represent over 1 million people is inherently flawed. Anyone that knows anything about politics knows that polls are used to influence public opinion, not represent it. Newest casino no deposit bonus codes euro fortune mobile casino with exit polling, read this: If you are still confused, you probably shouldn’t be writing about politics because you’re not informed enough.

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    • Richard Charnin

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      Lost money online casino gambling tactics payday loans for bad credit forum and trolls who have the gall to post garbage when they know absolutely zilch about the subject.
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      I will give you just one chance to reply – after you have calculated the MoE for 1297 respondents.

  32. Rachel

    March 24, 2016 at 7:46 am

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    Casino queen slot payout online gambling get your money back & for a brief moment the results were showing up earlier in the day & at approx 4p-5pm [like they use to do many years ago — where you could start seeing voting results before the actual time the polls closed … the results showed Bernie with at least an 8 point lead [can not recall the exact % numbers] and the second it appeared on the screen it was taken down a moment later.

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  35. Mike Danvers

    May 1, 2016 at 6:33 am

    This is just crazy stuff. But as much as I love Bernie, if he doesn’t publicly address this stuff and get it changed, he’ll continue to “lose” these contests even though we’re all coming out to vote for him.

    I’ve emailed them, I’ve tweeted at their official campaign–nothing back. Why aren’t they addressing this? Contesting the states where fraud is obvious? It’s frustrating, man. He’d be ahead in delegates now if the fraud states had gone to him(which they would have if counted honestly)

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