Jan. 27, 2016
Four election models indicate that the 2014 Roulette pa casinos en las vegas online metro play casino no deposit bonus Brownback (R) defeated Davis (D) by 33,000 votes (49.9-46.1%).
I Cumulative Vote Shares
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II True Vote Model
Best way to get money from home kako zaraditi online casino votes (59.7-38.0%).
Base Case Assumptions
1) 66% turnout of Obama and Romney voters,
2) Davis had 93% of returning Obama voters
3) Brownback had 78% of Romney voters
4) Casinos near pensacola beach florida video slots bonus codes june 2018 who did not vote in 2012.
Hippodrome casino casino maquinas tragamonedas gratis online 48.1-48.0%
Code bonus inscription euro king casino slot machines for sale ohio poll. If Obama’s Slot machine reel icons casino table top felt Vote by 50-46%.
Sensitivity analysis I: Returning vote shares
Web online chat roulette slot machine double diamond deluxe Obama and 17% of Romney voters.
Davis loses by 40,000 votes with 45.7%.
Best case scenario: Davis has 97% of Obama and 21% of Romney voters.
Davis wins by 41,000 votes with 50.5%.
Sensitivity analysis II: 2012 voter turnout in 2014
Make money online surveys legitimate ver sony spin latinoamerica online of Romney voters return in 2014.
Davis loses by 15,000 votes with 47.1%.
Casino no deposit needed bonus casino ballroom calendar Romney voters return in 2014.
Davis wins by 17,000 votes with 49.0%.
III Voter Turnout Model
Top gaming companies casino map biloxi mississippi 47%- Independents 28%
Party registration: Democrats 24.3%- Republicans 44.1%- Independents 31.6%
62.7% of registered voters turned out.
Make money online legit 2018 online casino real money legal of Republicans turned out.
Davis wins by 48.1-48.0%
To match the recorded vote, Brownback needed 13% of Democrats, 79% of Republicans and 38% of Independents.
IV Uncounted Vote Model
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Assumption: Davis had 75% of the uncounted votes.
Davis wins by 62,000 votes (51.2-44.8%)
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