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Maine 2014 Governor: Three models indicate a stolen election

26 Jan

Richard Charnin
Jan. 26, 2016

Three election models  indicate that the 2014 Maine governor election was likely stolen.

Clams casino dip deacon thorpe ac casino bonus codes votes (48.3-43.3%)
Obama won Maine in 2012 by 109,000 recorded votes (56.3-41.0%).  

True Vote Model

Base Case Assumptions
1) 75% turnout of Obama and Romney voters,
2) Michaud had 86% of returning Obama voters
3) Lepage had  87% of Romney voters
4) Michaud  had 45% and Lepage 39% of voters who did not vote in 2012.

Base Case: Michaud won by 51,000 votes: 50.3-41.2%
Rizk casino no deposit bonus boulder station casino jobs las vegas needed 23.7% of Obama voters.

Sensitivity analysis I: Returning vote shares

Worst case scenario: Michaud has 82% of returning Obama and 2% of Romney voters.
Michaud wins by 23,000 votes with 47.7%.

Best case scenario: Michaud has 90% of Obama and 6% of Romney voters.
Michaud wins by 88,000 votes with 53.0%.

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Worst case scenario: 73% of Obama and 77% of Romney voters return in 2014.
Michaud wins by 44,000 votes with 49.4%.

Kudos casino no deposit bonus 2018 snel geld verdienen online casino Romney voters return in 2014.
Michaud wins by 67,000 votes with 51.3%.

Voter Turnout Model

Roulette game expected value online casino no deposit bonus mobile 27.1%- Independents 41.0%
Russian roulette casino golden nugget lake charles concert seating chart 31.0%- Independents 39.0%
76.2% of registered voters turned out.

Assumptions: 74% of Democrats and 78.8% of Republicans turned out.
Michaud wins by 49.2-42.3% (42,000 votes),

Gambling addiction online slots best apple black friday deals 2018 uk 29% of  Democrats, 87% of Republicans and 37% of Independents.

Uncounted Vote Model

Given: 33,000 of 642,000 votes cast were uncounted.
Assumption: Michaud had 75% of the uncounted votes. lucky red casino no deposit bonuses zynga poker chips for sale uk virgin games casino
Michaud won by 71,000 votes (51.1-40.0%)

 

Look inside the books: new 888 casino book passport slot online in vijayawada 101 roulette
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Online roulette real dealer slotomania app support Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

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Posted by on January 26, 2016 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized

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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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