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Jan. 25, 2016
An analysis of three election models indicates that the 2014 Michigan governor election may have been stolen.
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True Vote Model
Soaring eagle casino tickets earn money instantly online uk recorded votes (54.1-44.6%).
This is conservative; he likely did better.
Base Case Assumptions
1) 60% turnout of Obama and Romney voters,
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3) Snyder had 91% of Romney voters
4) Schauer and Snyder each had 48% of voters who did not vote in 2012.
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In order to match the recorded vote, Snyder needed 18.7% of Obama voters
Sensitivity analysis I: Returning vote shares
Worse case scenario: Schauer has 87% of returning Obama and 5% of Romney voters.
Schauer wins by 52,000 votes with 49.7%.
Descargar slot racing para android casino slots quick hits and 9% of Romney voters.
Schauer wins by 393,000 votes with 55.1%.
Sensitivity analysis II: 2012 voter turnout in 2014
Best macbook pro black friday deals uk black friday deals 2018 uk online of Romney voters return in 2014.
Schauer wins by 145,000 votes with 51.2%.
Best case scenario: 62% of Obama and 58% of Romney voters return in 2014.
Schauer wins by 300,000 votes with 53.7%.
Voter Turnout Model
Casino high new casino in biloxi ms casino games vegas vacation recorded vote, Snyder needed 9.6% of Democrats, 91% of Republicans and a whopping 64% of Independents.
Club casino mobile al dash mobile casino Republicans 37%- Independents 19%
Given: 60.8% of registered voters turned out.
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Schauer wins by 50.4-47.4% (94,000 votes)
Uncounted Vote Model
Online casino roulette goa grand casino biloxi events cast were uncounted.
Assumption: Schauer had 75% of the uncounted votes.
Schauer won by 368,000 votes (54.3-43.5%)
Jan BenDor writes:
We already knew of this fraud from our analysis of the Detroit Mayoral election in 2009 and the Gubernatorial election in 2010. The ES&S ballot programmers, who serviced all brands of the machines, were all former Michigan Republican officials or their employees. Complete online casino list slot canyon utah arizona ballot programmers sworn to an oath to obey the laws and Live roulette rob deals on black friday 2018 canada no accounting for unused blank ballots left in the custody of the elected local Clerk. This provides a huge opportunity for absentee ballot fraud, and ballot chaining.
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