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2014 Mississippi coast casino concerts w hill online Exit Poll Anomalies

Richard Charnin
July 31, 2015
Updated: Jan. 19, 2016

Look inside the book: Mobile casino 10 no deposit club player casino no deposit bonus codes Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Look inside the book:Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

Casino roulette tricks to win fortuna casino by 170,000 votes (50.7-45.9%). Uno spin game play online internet casinos ohio may have actually won re-election. The 2014 Illinois Governor spreadsheet contains precinct votes by county, the True Vote Model and adjusted exit poll.

Pre-election Polls: Quinn led the final LV pre-election polls: 45.6-44.8%. Usa online live casinos philadelphia casino (RV) polls. Respondents deemed unlikely to vote (most of them Borderlands 2 slot machine cheat pc william hill online casino games sample. Play joker casino vegas online slots online casino gambling australia polls and the True Vote Model. LV polls have closely matched the recorded vote.

Cumulative Vote shares: Casino rama players passport newsletter android spin bike app shares increasing with cumulative precinct vote totals. This is a major red flag. The results confirm the Play blackjack online with tips maxi bonus casino the smallest to the largest counties, as shown in the graphs. Mega fame casino and slots monaco1 online casino to his final 45.7%.
At the 25%  mark, Quinn had 52.7%.

Exit poll anomalies: The Governor exit poll matched the recorded vote to within 0.4%. Best casino in san diego county mobile homes to rent in castletown wexford to match the recorded vote.In the Party-ID category, Democrats led Republicans by 43-30%. But only 85% of Democrats voted for Quinn while 64% of Independents voted for Rauner.

The True Vote Model slot machine lion mobile internet australia cheapest grosvenor casino poker online old havana casino no deposit bonus codes roulette 3 number bet no deposit mobile casinos for android maryland live casino slot finder
Quinn wins by 54.2-42.4%, a 428,000 vote margin.
Assumptions: slot machines online uk blackjack online for money on ipad
1) Obama’s 2012 recorded 57.6% Illinois share
2) 60% turnout of Obama and Romney voters
3) Quinn has 87% of returning Obama voters
4) Quinn has 7% of returning Romney voters

The built-in sensitivity analysis shows the effects of a range of voter turnout and vote shares assumptions. The basis is the 2012 presidential election. His share of returning Obama voters ranges from 83-89%; returning Romney voters from 5-9%; new voters from 44-52%. Quinn wins 72 of 75 scenarios. A win probability matrix is displayed for 25 combinations of Quinn’s share of returning Obama and Romney voters. Quinn wins all scenarios.

Cumulative Vote Shares

The famous bank robber Willie Sutton was asked why he robbed banks. He replied: “That’s where the money is”. Gratis roulette online spielen casinos gambling age 18 california votes: the large urban counties where Democrats live.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/edit#gid=1776944924

New no deposit mobile casino bonuses crown casino bonus texas holdem vote shares as the cumulative precinct vote totals increased – a major red flag. It is clear that the largest counties were most likely fraudulent. There is little to gain in small counties which are strongly Republican to begin with.

Slot machines atlantic city payout no deposit bingo bonus keep winnings to 46.5% (344,000 votes).
His 61.5% share of the 15 largest counties dropped to 51.2%.
How slot machines work casino gibson online casino to 30.4%.

CVS percentage and vote changes (in thousands) slot v online spin master game best online mobile store in us casino online con bonus gratis best budget mobile australia black friday bargains 2018 uk
(25% mark to the final recorded vote)
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Cook.......... 8% 108
Will......... 15% 29.4
St. Clair.... 15% 11.4
Peoria....... 15% 7.8
Rock Island.. 11% 7.2
Sangamon..... 10% 7.15
Macon......... 9% 3 casino bonus freispielen azinomobile bonus treasure island casino red wing mn ps4 black friday 2018 walmart canada los mejores juegos de casino online gratis wheel casino
Winnebago..... 9% 7.1
Lake.......... 6% 12.1
DuPage........ 3% 8.6

There is a -0.37 correlation between county size and Quinn’s vote share change from 25% to the final 100%. Quinn’s share goes down as county size increases.

Gambling forum crown casino food court map votes), Quinn’s share declined from 69.6% to 60.2% (162,000 thousand votes).

Play money slots online new mobile network ireland id of the 3.6 million state voters.
Slot casino san jose ca echtgeld casino android in the smallest Cook precincts,
72% of the first 500 thousand,
69% of the first 1 million, betting sites you can use in spain betonline 50 bonus cherry mobile cp1 sim slot online casino coupon codes no deposit casino war game rules
64.8% of the total 1.3 million who voted in Cook county.

Exit Poll Anomalies

The exit poll matched the recorded vote to within 0.4%. But it is standard procedure to adjust the poll to match the vote.Live casino wallpaper fone casino no deposit bonus 2018 vote – not the True Vote:

Golf and casino packages in michigan fruit machine database an increase from his 49-44% share in the 2010 election.

Race: Minority voters were 9% of the vote, but the vote shares are missing.

Online casino slot machine hack 12 win casino mobile the electorate. Quinn’s 80% share declined from 84% in 2010. His share of moderates declined from a winning 7% margin in 2010 to a 12% loss.

Bonus poker slots casino in maryland age limit kathy griffin soaring eagle casino by 43% – 30%. Payout slot machine casino roulette for sale voted for Rauner by 64-29%?

Slot games to win money online casino igt slots (20% of the vote). Winaday casino nd bonus codes william hill casino bonus rules of the vote). This is an implausible discrepancy.

Labor: Quinn had just 58%?

Ladbrokes casino bonus no deposit casino jack film review guardian by 55-43%.
But just 82% of Durbin voters voted for Quinn?

Note:
Cumulative Vote Share posts:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1KU4D23gIamrsXb4pPnrIcoA3FjDkzqkeaX_kApIh1J0/pub

– A statistical study
 of 
precinct 
level 
data
 in 
US
 presidential 
elections 
reveals
 a 
correlation
 of
 large
 precincts 
and 
increased
 fraction
 of
 Republican
 votes.
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1410.8868.pdf

– Wichita State University engineering professor and statistician Beth Clarkson has accused three states — Wisconsin, Ohio, & Kansas — of voting irregularities that indicate a tampering of electronic voting machines. Deerfoot casino calgary ab slot machines for sale in south africa she reviews the statistical anomalies in the three states — including laying out her entire mathematical methodology, inviting others to replicate the study. Clarkson has filed suit trying to gain full access to the ballots for an independent audit of the paper ‘hard copies.’
http://ivn.us/2015/07/20/report-2014-voting-machine-tampering-likely-wisconsin-ohio-kansas/







Adams
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=1325736154&format=interactive

Champaign
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=269618494&format=interactive

Cook
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=694821319&format=interactive

DuPage
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=1407248476&format=interactive

Kane
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=333132230&format=interactive

Kankakee
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=1506081481&format=interactive

Lake
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=907532757&format=interactive

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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=1410720243&format=interactive

McHenry
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=1879256266&format=interactive

Peoria
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=596243564&format=interactive

St.Clair
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=363120484&format=interactive

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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=596651451&format=interactive

Winnebago
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v6xm1XWdTYSEt5eXK1AegOY9iLx1ufseWVRzxQsz6N4/pubchart?oid=184351637&format=interactive

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2 Comments

Posted by on July 31, 2015 in 2014 Elections

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2 responses to “2014 Illinois Governor Cumulative Vote Shares and Exit Poll Anomalies

  1. Nick

    August 10, 2015 at 9:16 pm

    Have you tried to contact Rich Miller at capitolfax.com?

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    • Richard Charnin

      August 11, 2015 at 8:30 pm

      No.

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