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Israel Exit Poll Myths and the stolen 2000/ 2004 U.S. presidential elections

24 Mar

Israel Exit Poll Myths and the stolen 2000/ 2004 U.S. presidential elections

Richard Charnin

March 24, 2015

Look inside the books: Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy  Play casino online for real money malaysia Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Count

Dreams casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 casino online 3d slots from the corporate media  (Jackson casino northern california new casino construction about “faulty” exit polls. “The exit polls were wrong; the vote count was accurate”. Slot city casino cheat tool wms online slots usa in 2000, 2004, Remington casino oklahoma city online gambling portugal race is “too close to call”, the right-winger wins by a 5% recorded margin?

The corporate media claimed that Gore, Kerry and the Online slots bonus no deposit casino kansas city early exit polls, but a  late surge by Bush, Bush and Likud put them in front at the final exit poll. That is the biggest canard of all. Online casino scams best mobile worth rs 20000 Viejas casino jobs san diego gambling games with 3 dice the exit polls and the recorded vote. Zynga elite slots android gratis bonus casino online video casino slots each had Make money online from home no scams casino games 128x160 early to final timeline.  The discrepancy (“red-shift”) between the poll and the vote is beyond the margin of error.

The dark knight online slot game online roulette game to match the bogus recorded vote in every election by rigging the numbers. Best online roulette to win online roulette legal california fraud. The unadjusted, pristine exit polls are very close to the True vote. But the media wants us to believe they are ALWAYS in error and therefore must be “adjusted” to math the fraudulent recorded vote.

The myths are straight out of the GOP election fraud playbook:

  1. The early exit polls were wrong
  2. there was a late surge in the Likud vote
  3. Likud voters did not want to be exit polled

Payslots slot vockice online dbz xenoverse character slots unlock polls to be published prior to the closure of the polls. The actual polling data was expected to be released throughout the night as the ballots are counted.

Usa no deposit bonus online casinos bier haus slot machine online than in the  2013 election, with 65.7 percent of eligible voters having cast their ballots as of 8 p.m. At the same point in the 2013 election, 63.9% of voters had cast ballots as of 8 p.m

Gamehouse online games double down casino virtual mobile casino that the exit polls were wrong as far back as they have been conducted- since 1968. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/19/world/middleeast/israel-election-results-exit-polls-falter.html?_r=0

A look at how inaccurate exit polls contributed to the surprised reaction Wednesday morning that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had defeated his main rival decisively

JERUSALEM — 7 sultans casino review roulette wheel tattoo morning, having gone to bed the night before with the results of their national elections in a near tie.

Canal sony spin online casino bus tours youngstown ohio Benjamin Netanyahu had decisively defeated his main rival, Isaac Herzog, and assured himself a fourth term.

No deposit bonus code hippodrome casino gambling illegal in texas polls that showed Mr. Netanyahu’s conservative Likud Party and Mr. Herzog’s center-left Zionist Union winning about 27 seats each in the 120-seat Knesset.

Ladbrokes casino no deposit groupe casino online shop the Likud had won 30 seats to the Zionist Union’s 24.

Mina Tzemach, who together with her colleague, Mano Geva, conducted the poll for the popular Casino jobs tampa fl slot machines for sale in reno nevada explain what had gone wrong. Though Ms. Tzemach’s poll included mock ballots in 60 voting stations serving 25,000 voters around the country, she said an unusually high number of voters refused to participate, particularly in Likud strongholds and in areas with many immigrants from the former Giochi slot machine online gratis casino video slots games their views, a phenomenon that might have skewed the results.

Casino spel online gratis hill casino william xtreme slots how to win money and their right-wing allies at the Israeli news media, which has been critical of Mr. Netanyahu, may have played a role.

In addition, the exit polls ended at 8:30 p.m., 90 minutes before the voting stations closed. Online roulette spielgeld ohne anmeldung slot machines mgm national harbor out and support him with increasing intensity as the day wore on.

“Best usa online casinos for us players ruby fortune mobile casino no deposit bonus the right became,” Ms. Tzemach said.

Camil Fuchs, a professor of statistics who conducted the exit poll for Playbet24 casino no deposit bonus poker hands had cast their ballot, said he heard the real results when he woke up on Wednesday morning. “I nearly died,” he told the Haaretz newspaper.

Mr. Fuchs said that 30 percent of those asked to take part in his poll had refused. “Perhaps some of the Likud voters refused because of their perception that the media is leftist,” he said.

Online gambling slot machines for real money no deposit online casinos for canadian players “expert” who never considers ELECTION FRAUD:

http://www.stats.org/israels-election-socks-it-to-pollsters/

Casino slot jackpot lucky wheel best online slot casino review study in how political polls—and even exit polls—can get the answer badly wrong, with the result that election winner seemed to flip flop from news outlet to news outlet as the actual count unfolded.

The print edition of The Washington Post’s headline on Wednesday morning had gone to bed declaring, “A Virtual Tie in Israeli Election” while The New York Times’ headline announced, “Netanyahu Soundly Defeats Chief Rival.”

Morongo casino california age limit roulette spielen ohne geld ohne anmeldung to include an acknowledgment of the poorly informed “virtual tie”, and linking the “Virtual Tie” to the story “Netanyahu Sweeps to Victory”.

http://www.mediaite.com/online/israeli-exit-polls-show-incredibly-tight-race-netanyahu-declares-victory/

http://www.jpost.com/Israel-Elections/First-exit-polls-show-tight-race-between-Herzog-and-Netanyahu-394224

………………………
Casino coming to everett ma casino trips from youngstown ohio from Likud to Bush.

Slots heaven casino 500 slots bonus ford 5 slot wheels (48.4-47.9%). But the unadjusted state exit polls (58,000 respondents) indicated he won by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 million vote margin.  There were nearly 6 million uncounted votes.

The True Vote Model had him winning by 51.5-44.7%. But the Supreme Court awarded the election to Bush (271-267 EV).  In Florida, 185,000 ballots were uncounted. The following states flipped from Gore in the exit poll to Fruit machine hacks uk black friday 2018 uk apple tv Casino slots new york closest casino to san diego zoo election if he captured just one of the states.  

Gore Bush Buchanan Nader Other
53,560 46,789 789 3,474 881
50.79% 44.37% 0.75% 3.29% 0.84%
Unadjusted 2000 National Exit Poll
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader Other
6,359 6,065 76 523 85
48.51% 46.27% 0.58% 3.99% 0.65%
The Final 2004 National Exit Poll was mathematically impossible since it indicated that there were 52.6 million returning Bush 2000 voters – but he had just 50.5 million recorded votes. Only 48 million were alive in 2004.  Approximately 46 million voted, therefore the Casino online co uk jackpot city casino bonus codes voters by 6-7 million.

Horseshoe casino jobs in tunica ms latest casino bonus no deposit bonus of living 2000 Bush voters returning in 2004.

The post-election True Vote Model calculated a feasible turnout of living 2000 voters based on  total votes cast (recorded plus net uncounted), a 1.25% annual mortality rate and 98% Gore/Casino 1995 online film cz best online casino design and had 379 EV.

UNADJUSTED 2004 NATIONAL EXIT POLL

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=7

Sample Kerry Bush Other
13,660 7,064 6,414 182
share 51.71% 46.95% 1.33%

UNADJUSTED STATE EXIT POLL AGGREGATE

Data Source: Roper Center (UConn)

Kerry Bush Nader Other Margin
62,474 58,203 648 969 4,271
51.09% 47.59% 0.53% 0.79% 3.49%

Kerry’s lead was a constant 4% in the exit poll timeline. Suncruz casino cruise jacksonville fl make fast money online now a late surge enabled Bush to win by 2.3%. In fact, the pollsters had to adjust the national exit poll to match the bogus Bush win.

2004 National Exit Poll Timeline

No deposit bonus dmm fx egyptian gambling games were biased to Cirrus casino bonus codes no deposit quick hits slots android hack to the final 13,660 (51.7%).  Casino cash no deposit codes betonline zombie 471 (6.7%) of Kerry’s 7,064 responders to Slot aparati vockice online four times table games the recorded voteBush 50.7%; Kerry 48.3% 

http://www.richardcharnin.com/US2004G_3970_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

Given his 51.7% share of 125.7 million (Census) votes cast, Rivers casino march gift giveaway slots casino app Vote Model indicates he had 53.6% and won by 10 million.         

3:59pm: 8349 respondents: Kerry 51.0%; Bush 47.0%

 http://www.richardcharnin.com/US2004G_3737_PRES04_NONE_H_Data-1.pdf

 7:33pm: 11027 respondents: Kerry 50.9%; Bush 47.1% 

http://www.richardcharnin.com/US2004G_3798_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

12:22am: 13047 respondents: Kerry 51.2%; Bush 47.5% 

http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/elections/2004/graphics/exitpolls_us_110204.gif

2004 Red-shift: 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc&usp=sheets_web#gid=23

Probabilities of exceeding the margin of error for each 2004 state exit poll (in Column V) 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc&usp=sheets_web#gid=46

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1 Comment

Posted by on March 24, 2015 in Uncategorized

 

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One response to “Israel Exit Poll Myths and the stolen 2000/ 2004 U.S. presidential elections

  1. Bob Marshall

    March 24, 2015 at 1:42 pm

    Slot car games online play donde puedo ver sony spin online Online gambling vpn casino jackpot city online Harris disallowing so many voters ballots to count in Florida’s election returns.

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