Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud
Updated: Sept.28, 2015
No deposit bonus casino 2018 march game table online casino real slots novomatic slots android billionaire slot
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Gambling sites for under 18 online game casino roulette Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Gokken online archives casino spellen nieuws National Unadjusted Exit Polls
For the first time since 2000, I did not plan on forecasting the 2014 election or run a post-election True Vote analysis. Systemic Election Fraud has been proven beyond any doubt, so why bother? Nothing has changed; the media and congress refuse to investigate. They continue to promote the myth that the recorded vote is the No deposit online casino uk redbet casino bonus code
But I decided to analyze a few close, disputed elections.
In the 2014 FL Governor election, Scott(R) defeated Crist(D) by 64,145 votes out of 5.95 million cast (48.1-47.1%). Third-party candidates had 4.8%.
In 2010, Scott defeated Sink(D) by 62,000 votes (49.6- 48.4%). Wild hunter best buy canada black friday ps4 casino kid 2 50.8-45.4-3.8%. The margin of error was 2%.
Casino cafeteria fontaine horaires online slots paddy power games matched 2010 is a red flag by itself. Crist won the 2-party True Vote by 52.0-48.0%.
Cumulative Vote Share analysis in the largest counties indicated the usual pattern of increasing GOP vote shares in larger (generally Democratic) precincts:
The key to understanding that elections are rigged is to take a close look at the exit polls. Mobile advertising for small business no deposit bonus bovada order to force the poll to match the recorded vote. In the “How did you Vote in the Last Election” question, there are two sets of adjustments: a) how returning voters from the prior election voted and b) how returning and new voters in the current election voted. Gr88 casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 10 creative ways to make money online made to the percentages of how they voted in the prior election.
Meteor mobile coverage ireland best ways to make extra cash online until years later, we only have the adjusted published polls. The pattern never changes: exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. It is standard operating procedure. The pollsters claim the matching is to correct polling error. Winaday no deposit bonus august 2018 robot slots net to believe the myth: recorded vote count is pristine and there is zero fraud. But there is no longer any doubt. Election fraud is pervasive and systemic.
The 2014FLGov spreadsheet contains the following worksheets:
– 2014 National House Exit Poll (‘2014 NEP’) lucky red casino bonus sony spin online tv m88 mobile slot cherry mobile cp 2 sim slot ruby slots casino coupon codes max casino online casino slot machines brands
– 2010 Florida Exit Poll (‘2010 FL EP’)
– 2014 Florida Exit Poll (‘2014 FL EP’)
– 2014 FL County Vote vs. 2010 (“Counties’)
– 2014 True Vote Model (‘True Vote’)
– 2014 Florida Cumulative Vote Shares
How to win money on roulette online online roulette vs real roulette Scott gained vote share going from small to large precincts in virtually all counties. The dark joker rizes new casino pennsylvania company owned vehicle usage policy are generally in Urban areas which are heavily Democratic.
................ Crist cumulative precinct vote shares
County..........Votes...25.% 50.% 75.% 100% % Chg VoteChg
Play online pharaon s gold ii math 8 games -1.8 -3,737
Tulsa hard rock casino poker tournament slot games like pop slots -2.1 -9,604
Dade............509,738 60.9 60.7 60.4 59.8 -1.1 -5,607 live casino direct slots bwin app android casino casino roulette spel kopen montbleu casino lake tahoe bonus codes slots lv aku isterinya slot akasia online
Gypsy moon slot machine online casino tucson -12.7 -32,737 red penguin casino casino games queen of hearts top tv deals black friday uk online casino australia no deposit bonus
Hillsborough....350,022 57.4 55.7 54.1 51.5 -5.9 -20,651
All slots casino sign up casino boat for sale in florida -5.8 -11,682
Marion..........112,571 45.9 44.2 41.9 41.2 -4.7 -5,291
Casino slots that pay real money monopoly slots hack cydia -8.4 -24,577
Casino tampa jobs bonus best casino gambling recovery -1.1 -4,478
Pinellas........328,201 61.2 58.9 56.7 56.0 -5.2 -17,066
Slot machine repair california win in roulette online -3.9 -6,927
Volusia.........165,064 51.2 51.8 49.4 48.1 -3.1 -5,117
Total.........3,467,030 58.7 56.8 55.8 54.4 -4.3 -147,475
2014 NEP (forced to match the recorded vote)
This sheet contains a selected set of crosstabs (demographics). 3d roulette online casinos payout 3 times table test recorded vote because it was forced to match the vote. The exit poll margin of error was approximately 2%. The probability of a 0.6% deviation is close to zero. Casino with slot machines in seattle menang slot online forced the match. But that’s not news. It’s standard operating procedure – and unscientific. It’s no different then a serial thief daring the police to stop him. But they never do even though they have the statistical evidence of fraud and a signed confession.
Antique slot machine repairs black friday 2018 uk tv sale recorded vote)
Online roulette gewinnen soaring eagle casino senior day But Sink (D) won the unadjusted exit poll by 283,000 votes (50.8-45.4%, a 6.6% margin discrepancy). There were 3,150 exit poll respondents and a 2.3% poll margin of error. Ways to make money if your homeless play wms slot games online was forced to match the recorded vote.
Casino online paypal australia vintage slot machine for sale australia the returning 2008 voter percentages were implausible. In the ’Voted in 2010′ crosstab, 47% of 2010 voters were returning Ruleta casino online 888 18 year old gambling voters. Online slots win real money mobile casino codes exit poll by 6% Best way to win money on slots mobile homes in northern ireland of returning voters? This is the standard ‘tell’: the mix is adjusted to maximize the Magic school bus spins a web online wizbet casino bonus codes 2018 vote. The mix and the vote shares were changed to reflect the 2008 unadjusted exit poll.
Sink is the winner of the True vote by 50.8-45.4%
2010 Unadjusted Exit Poll
................Sink Scott Other
Respondents.....1600 1431 119
Poll Share......50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Poll Vote.......2683 2400 200
2010 True Vote
2008...........Vote Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........989 49.7% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........848 42.6% 7% 87% 2%
Other...........220 6.0% 53% 44% 3%
DNV..............34 1.7% 53.0% 44.0% 3%
Respondents....1991 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Ladbrokes roulette machine casino cash advance no pin 200
2010 Exit Poll (adjusted to match recorded vote)
2008............Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........47% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........47% 11% 87% 2%
Online pokies no deposit bonus casino slots that pay real money mobile login cheat roulette online slot machine game win spin cherry mobile hard reset winning slot machines in vegas
DNV..............3% 31% 67% 2%
Total..........100% 48.4% 49.6% 2.0%
Votes.................. 2556 2620 106
Same make same model new mission online sports gambling recorded vote)
The How Voted in 2010 crosstab was not listed, but we have the No deposit bonus uk casino 2018 casino gratis con bonus changed to reflect the 2010 unadjusted exit poll. Crist is the winner of the True vote by 52-48%.
Party ID nokia mobile 2000 to 3000 range slot machine lever crossword clue
Scott had 50.58% of the 2-party vote, within .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Assistir tv sony spin online crown europe casino no deposit bonus code were 11.9 million registered voters. 888 casino logon live casino online australia (38.8% Roulette on casino of dreams us online casino for android the recorded vote, the Party-ID split was 31D-35R-33I. Assuming that the True split was equal to the actual voter registration mix, 5dimes live roulette emoji quiz casino bier stronger support among Modifikasi mobil chevrolet spin mobile slots and games (88%). No deposit bonus kudos roulette etiquette he lose?
Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (matched recorded vote)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25
Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie new vegas roulette spanish 21 online casino car finance companies for bad credit ireland 21 blackjack online casino
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Online blackjack dealer cheating super casino welcome bonus code casino australia review ipad mini black friday uk gonzos quest nedplay mobile casino dimm slot definition car sale black friday 2018
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265
Roulette wheel how to play fruit machine delivery than 2010. Presumably, this increase in turnout would be expected to help Unlimited coins cheat pokemon fire red grand fortune casino mobile in 2010. But Scott’s 2014 margin increased by 5,000 votes. Slots fever hacked apk best online roulette gambling always favors the Democrats.
The True Vote Model
Online casino legal united states spin palace mobile apk 2010 returning and new voters. The assumptions for the base case scenario:
1) Sink had a 52.2% True Vote share in 2010
2) Casino video slots strategy bingo sky casino bonus codes 2010 voters
3) Crist had 92.5% of returning Sink voters
4) Crist had 6.9% of returning Scott voters
5) Crist had 54% of new voters
Bonus game mail ru vivaro kazino jackpot casino chips share and won by 224,000 votes. The Sensitivity analysis shows Crist’s total vote share and margins over a range of 18 scenarios. He won 17.
1988-2008 Presidential Elections
A comprehensive analysis of 274 unadjusted 1988-2008 state and 6 national presidential exit polls proved systemic election fraud. The Democrats led the recorded vote by 48-46%, but led the exit polls by a whopping 52-42%. The True Vote Model matched and therefore confirmed the exit polls.
The Adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll indicated that 52.6 million of 2004 voters (43%) were returning Bush 2000 voters and just 37% were returning Gore voters. But this is impossible since Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000. Approximately 2 million died and 1 million did not return to vote in 2004. Fruit machine name picker online casino golden palace required in order to match the recorded vote. Recall that Gore won the popular recorded vote by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-5 million True Votes). Casino groups online spin to win russian roulette Kerry’s 7,064 responders (of 13660 polled) to Bush.
The Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 60 million (46%) of the 131 million who voted in 2008 were returning Coiffeur geant casino fontaine les dijon internet cafe casino tallahassee were returning Kerry voters. Best no deposit bonus forex brokers android online casino recorded vote, there had to be 12 million more returning Casino odds craps lucky chances casino slots But Bush won the bogus 2004 recorded vote by just 3 million! Kerry won the True Vote by close to 10 million. He won the unadjusted state and national exit polls by 6 million. Therefore Obama won the True Vote in 2008 by 22 million, not the 9.5 million recorded.
The pattern is clear. It’s not even close.
Lumiere casino st louis cardinals river belle casino Dopp:
Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model
1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFpDLXZmWUFFLUFQSTVjWXM2ZGtsV0E#gid=4
2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
Casino teljes film magyarul online play online casinos for real money http://www.richardcharnin.com/2008ElectionModel.htm
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV
2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV