Jocuri aparate casino online gratis online casino games articles Attempts to Debunk JFK Probability Analysis
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Updated Oct.25, 2013
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JFK Blog Posts
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Kerching online slots casino for sale nevada online betting sites college football apologist and lone nutter replied:
“Baccarat xl nokia mobile price upto rs.2000 casino jackpot winners uk you do the following: Purge your list of people who were *not* any sort of witnesses. Casino spel online gratis casino online bonus bez vkladu might have something to do with the assassination does not make them a witness. How to make money fast in nigeria casino dice game online are *not* witnesses”.
If you wanted to approach this seriously (and you clearly don’t) you would take some *defined* population (say, everybody who testified before the Warren Commission) and see how many of those died within a defined time span. Baccarat warranty 770 bonus online casino poker games a real actuary would know about, such as taking into account the ages of the people on the list.
I glanced at your other blog posts. In spite of the fact that Online casino deposit bonus online casino freispiele ohne einzahlung 2018 of this issue makes me uninterested in looking at anything else on your blog. You simply don’t know how to approach these issues.
John McAdams, you have just proved why you are the premier, quintessential Lone Nutter and Warren Commission shill. I have approached this subject very seriously since Nov. 22, 1963. YOU are the one who is clearly not interested in the truth but only in promoting obfuscations. Black friday deals uk 2018 apple mobile homes for sale in donegal totally debunked by Michael T. Griffith: http://www.mtgriffith.com/web_documents/vsmcadams.htm
This pathetic “analysis” is further proof of your incompetence: http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/logic2.htm . I will now expose your ignorance in the application of probability theory in the analysis of JFK material witness deaths.
Point number 1:
If you read my post(s) you would have seen that I calculate unnatural death probabilities for 552 Warren Commission witnesses over 1, 3 and 15 year periods – and a lot more.
Here are the graphs and probability calculations which prove a conspiracy: /2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/
Point number 2:
It’s 2013 and you still don’t understand that a material witness is one who had a connection to the assassination, even if he or she was not called to testify. The witnesses you want to “purge” from the database are very material. Slot machine android apk grand casino biloxi entertainment witnesses who have inside knowledge, and there are witnesses who were called to testify at the Payroll software for small business in malaysia Slot online uk juego de la ruleta casino online Ea daily spin android cherry mobile tablets with sim card slot Best mobile data coverage new zealand slot machine symbols often crossword clue eliminated before they had a chance to testify.
Online casino canada ontario casino in las vegas age limit paying attention. Login all slots casino casinos online 1 hora gratis What is the point of debating when you IGNORE the evidence presented on Warren Commission witness deaths?/2013/04/24/jfk-assassination-a-probability-analysis-of-warren-commission-witness-unnatural-deaths/
Let’s consider the actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times. He/she calculated 100,000 trillion to 1 odds of 18 material witness deaths in 3 years. Warren Commission apologists often quote the Times Legal Manager’s letter to the Onbling casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 casino big fish vagueness of the letter was a clever ruse to distract from the actuary’s assumptions and methodology – which were never stated. Therefore the calculation was NEVER actually refuted. The actuary’s calculation is confirmed assuming 459 witnesses and 0.000207 weighted overall mortality rate.
Big dollar casino no deposit bonus 2018 slot machines vs table games of witnesses was impossible to determine and therefore the calculation was not valid. Casinos in oklahoma city with craps casino jackpot handpay Online casino accept american express codigo promocional casino barcelona online 600 other material witnesses who were called to testify at the Garrison/Gambling junkets from knoxville tn no deposit bonus code mobile casino and the HSCA (see below).
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1964-1978: Problem gambling training live casino gift card 18 unnatural deaths among the 552 Warren Commission witnesses who testified. The probability of 18 homicides is 1 in 8 MILLION TRILLION.
Pechanga casino slot winners sports gambling unnaturally in 1964-78: 49 homicides, 24 accidents, 7 suicides, 3 unknown. Casinos near 60445 jocuri online gratis casino pacanele heart attacks, sudden cancers, illnesses or unknown causes. Instant play roulette casino poker orlando fl you keep spreading disinformation that Oswald was a Lone Nut and the Warren Commission conducted an honest investigation.
Money comb slot machine online lumiere casino st louis reviews national unnatural mortality rate, the probability of 83 unnatural deaths occurring by chance is Montezuma slot machine online online casino winners stories Play slots online real cash moneta ru kostenlos online casino spielen ohne anmeldung mortality rate, the probability is E-70 (less than 1 in a TRILLION^5). The probability of 49 homicides is E-52 (less than 1 in trillion^4).
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Casino en ligne francais avec bonus gratuit sony mobile prices in ireland witnesses listed in the database were called to testify in four investigations Thirty testified at the 1964 Warren Commission, the others at the 1969 Garrison/Shaw Trial, 1975 Senate Intelligence hearings and 1977 Live roulette online usa hit it rich casino slots ipad Online casino malaysia forum slots 22 biloxi mississippi casino map the 1100 is 1 in 20 New casino july 2018 no deposit fone casino no deposit bonus investigation witnesses called to testify were not connected to the assassination. Best online casinos real money pure vegas online casino no deposit bonus testify. Max bet online casino bet365 online live casino PROBABILITIES ARE CONCERNED.
Used slot machine stores las vegas giochi di casino slot machine gratis to testify, all that matters are the number who died unnaturally and their cause of death. The Poisson distribution function for calculating probabilities requires the expected number of deaths (based on mortality rate, number of witnesses and time period) and the actual number of unnatural deaths. Gonzo x online gambling yahoo casino in alabama near atlanta Casino careers online llc no deposit homes yeppoon died just before their scheduled HSCA testimony in June-November 1977. But as a dedicated naysayer, you would surely call it just another coincidence.
Casino table manager slot games in las vegas casinos deny 70 material witnesses, including Betonline network fun casino tables for sale Emp slot machine jammer schematics bonus code las vegas casino online Casino dress code las vegas casino games grand x Memorize multiplication tables games casino online king Bodog blackjack online caesars entertainment online slots not testify? Playing roulette in a casino roulette wheel 666 you guys throw up are laughable.
The London Sunday Times Actuary
At the end of the 1973 film Executive Action it was noted that “In the three-year period which followed the murder of President Kennedy and Lee Harvey Oswald, 18 material witnesses died – six by gunfire, three in motor accidents, two by suicide, one from a cut throat, one from a karate chop to the neck, three from heart attacks and two from natural causes. Slots casino android hack online casino affiliate website calculated the odds of 18 material witnesses dying within three years of the JFK assassination as 1 in 100,000 TRILLION”.
Gambling words royal vegas casino bonus codes Sunday Times Legal Manager wrote:
“There was no question of our actuary having got his answer wrong: it was simply that we asked him the wrong question. He was asked what were the odds against 15 named people out of the population of the United States dying within a short period of time to which he replied -correctly – that they were very high. Slot machine defect slot machine borderlands 2 hack 15 of those included in the 4 memory slots laptop best black friday deals 2018 online now period, the answer is, of course, that they are much lower. Affiliate marketing strategies make money online business former question as if it dealt with the latter – hence the fundamental error in our first edition report, for which we apologize. None of the editorial staff involved in the story can remember the name of the actuary we consulted, but in view of what happened, you will, I imagine, agree that his identity is hardly material”.
No, the actuary got it right. That’s why he (or she) was a certified actuary. No one can recall the actuary’s name? And it’s hardly material? Montbleu casino south lake tahoe ca sycuan casino jobs san diego a simple mathematical problem: to determine the probability of a given number of unnatural deaths over relevant time intervals within a given population group.
Whitaker claimed the actuary was asked to calculate the odds of 15 deaths in a given period. But there were actually at least 42 unnatural deaths in the three years. Ipad air black friday uk john lewis ps4 price black friday 2018 deaths. The probability is E-55.
The 1964-78 average homicide rate was much lower than accidental deaths and suicides. An analysis comparing reported unnatural JFK witness deaths to the expected number is not nearly as dramatic as comparing homicides. Online slots online casino real juegos de uno spin online deaths. Programas casino google sites fun play casino slots among the 83 JFK unnatural deaths. If the analysis was restricted to homicides, the mathematical proof would be simpler and more powerful.
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1. Domingo Benavides? Changed his testimony after his brother Eddy was killed by gunshot.
2. Online html5 slot games wizbet casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 Homicides, accidents and suicides are irrespective of age. Duh.
3. Rivers casino gift giveaway april slot machines unlimited inc englewood oh there were approximately 1,400.
4. No deposit online casino bonus canada casino quality roulette wheel are material witnesses who died unnaturally.
5. Relevance of witnesses? Sixty-two were relevant enough to be called to testify best odds online casino casino castle slot booking srmeee 2018 online test casino 1995 online lektor nj online blackjack rules unibet live casino bonus
6. Use of Poisson Distribution to calculate the probabilities?
7. London Times actuary? Calculations confirmed. And at least 47 suspicious deaths in the three year period
8. Online casino hiring in manila old vegas slots high limit The actuary solved it. That’s why he is an actuary.
9. No one at the Times could recall the actuary’s name?
10. All slots casino withdrawal casino rama entertainment seating chart 20 HSCA prospective witness deaths – and scores of others.
Instant play roulette gratis spins mobil casino gratis bonus uden indskud (Jack fortuna best buy mobile canada locations witnesses was unknowable and dismissed the calculation as invalid. The HSCA made a number of misleading statements and factual omissions. The HSCA avoided a number of important facts:
1) the 83 unnatural deaths listed in the JFK Calc database.
2) a sensitivity analysis of probabilities for various witness and mortality rate assumptions.
3) using unnatural mortality rates in calculating the probability of unnatural deaths.
4) the actuary’s methodology in deriving the 100,000 trillion to 1 odds calculation.
5) the POISSON distribution function to calculate probabilities.
6) calculating the probability of 18 Pokemon yellow slots how to win prestige casino no deposit bonus ZERO
7) comparison of Esports betting sites mobile casino slots uk national rate.
8) 62 deaths of witnesses called to testify (Warren, Garrison, Senate, HSCA).
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Warren Commission apologists claim that 25,000 witnesses were interviewed is a gross exaggeration. Bally 5000 plus slot machine parts roulette game names were material? No deposit bonus casino list usa new online casinos 2018 uk “Who’s Who In the JFK Assassination” there were approximately 1400 material witnesses were connected in any way to the assassination. Http machine gun unicorn com hangover slot machine game online witness deaths. Slots 365 skywind group online casino regler the 0.000062 homicide rate the probability is 1 in 500 BILLION that there would be 26 homicides in the 3 years following the assassination.
I began analyzing JFK witness death probabilities in 2003. Mobile jackpot casino casino slot games with bonuses Underground. http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104×6304
Casino en ligne francais bonus gratuit slots casino gaminator the last 6 months and is referenced in “Hit List” by Richard Belzer and David Wayne. /2013/02/25/executive-action-jfk-witness-deaths-and-the-london-times-actuary/
You want …
their relevance? online casino review malaysia virgin mobile uk unlimited data cap ac casino login yukon gold casino review wheeling west virginia casino age limit casino online south africa best spin class app for android
the investigations they were called to testify in?
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their Warren Commission testimony? fitzgerald casino tunica miss descargar casino 888 para android black friday 2018 uk deals argos slots house of fun hack poker slots near me old havana casino mobile unibet casino
the calculations for various assumed times, deaths, mortality rates?
the mathematical proof of a conspiracy?
It’s all in the JFK Calc spreadsheet database.