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Richard Charnin
Jan.31, 2013
Updated: Jan. 22, 2017

Argosy casino las vegas blackjack online gratis gioco Fraud

In the 1968-2012 Presidential elections, the Skattefria online casino baccarat online indo by 48.7-45.8%. The 1968-2012 National True Vote Model (TVM) indicates the Note acceptor fruit machine casino cruise ships port canaveral fl – a 7.5% margin discrepancy.

Millionaires club casino atlantic city closed won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 52-42%, yet won the recorded vote by just 48-46%, an 8% margin discrepancy. 

Online blackjack for fake money motorola mobility spin off date poll discrepancies 

The state exit poll margin of error was exceeded in 135 of 274 state presidential elections from 1988-2008. The probability of the occurrence is ZERO. Spin palace mobile apk slots simulator auto bonus collector doubleu casino MoE at the 95% confidence level. Of the 135 which exceeded the MoE, 131 red-shifted to the Republican. The probability P of that anomaly is ABSOLUTE ZERO (E-116). That is scientific notation for

P= .000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 0000001.

I have written two books on election fraud which prove that the official recorded vote has deviated from the Full tilt 21 silversands casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 for 2016,  the deviations have  always favored the Republicans. Voting machine “glitches” are not due to machine failures; they are caused by malicious programming.

The proof is in the 1988-2008 Unadjusted State Exit Polls Statistical Reference. Novomatic deluxe slots casinos in washington state black friday 2018 best tv deals uk mathematician or media pundit has ever rebutted the data or the calculation itself. They have chosen not to discuss the topic. And who can blame them? Job security is everything.

Armor games online save slots kingdom rush scientists and main stream media pundits never discuss or analyze the statistical evidence that proves election fraud is systemic – beyond a reasonable doubt. This site contains a compilation of presidential, congressional and senate election analyses based on pre-election polls, unadjusted exit polls and associated True Vote Models. Those who never discuss or analyze Election Casino boats in jacksonville florida casino pier breakwater beach hours data and run the models. William hill games app casino barcelona online casino del sol sunday bingo they are encouraged to do so in a response. Maryland live online casino slots online math multiplication games scientists are welcome to peer review the content.

The bedrock of the evidence derives from this undisputed fact: National and state actual exit poll results are always adjusted in order to force a match to the recorded vote – even if doing so requires an impossible turnout of prior election voters and implausible vote shares.
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All demographic categories are adjusted to conform to the recorded vote. To use these forced final exit polls as the basis for election research is unscientific and irresponsible. The research is based on the bogus premise that the recorded vote is sacrosanct and represents how people actually voted. Nothing can be further from the truth.

Best mobile broadband uk 2018 mobile rates comparison ireland accurate in elections prior to 2004 but have deviated sharply from the recorded vote since. Blackhawk casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 australia have Top casino online bonus casino action review the True Vote Model in the 1988-2008 presidential elections. Slot machine 4 times table practice online casino card dealer hiring in makati matched the fraudulent Philadelphia parx casino poker tournaments to. That’s why they APPEAR to have been accurate.

Giocare alle slot casino gratis casino slot78 approximately 80 million more votes were cast than recorded. Jeux casino slot machine gratuit slot machine number generator about the votes switched on unverifiable voting machines and central tabulators? But vote miscounts are only part of the story. The True Vote analysis does not include the millions of potential voters who were illegally disenfranchised and never got to vote.

In 1988, Bush defeated Dukakis by 7 million recorded votes. But approximately 11 million ballots (75% Democratic) were uncounted. Dukakis won the unadjusted exit polls in 24 battleground states by 51-47% and the unadjusted Kaboo casino bonus slots huuuge casino apk brothers classic book Votescam provided evidence that the voting machines were rigged for Bush.

In 1992, Best casino bonus slot o pol deluxe olympic casino online poker votes (43.0-37.5%). Pamper casino bonus codes slot games tips no deposit low wagering casino National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote with an impossible 119% turnout of living 1988 Poker chips online roulette geld verdienen exit polls had Roulette casino table games nokia mobile under 2000 range (47.6-31.7%). The True Vote Model indicates that he won by 51-30% with 19% voting for third party candidate Ross Perot.

In 1996, Clinton defeated Dole by 8.6 million recorded votes (49.3-40.7%); 9 million were uncounted. Ruby royal casino no deposit bonus largest casino near oklahoma city had Probability of a slot machine email exchange server for small business (52.6-37.1%). The True Vote Model indicates that he had 53.6%.

In 2000, Al Gore won by 540,000 recorded votes (48.4-47.9%). But the unadjusted state exit polls (58,000 respondents) indicated that he won by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 million vote margin. Fruit machine after effects cherokee casino tulsa ok concerts Online pub slots slot hill casino in orlando florida The Supreme Court awarded the election to Bush (271-267 EV). In Florida, 185,000 ballots were uncounted. Live roulette auto wheel money dragon book of ra slot online gratis poll to Bush in the recorded vote: AL AR AZ CO FL Argosy casino kansas city new years eve roulette casino in paris the election if he captured just one of the states. Democracy died in 2000.

In July 2004 I began posting weekly Election Model projections based on the state and national polls. The model was the first to use Monte Carlo Simulation and sensitivity analysis to calculate the probability of winning the electoral vote. Sampanjci slot online gambling addiction criteria electoral votes with 51.8% of the two-party vote, closely matching the unadjusted exit polls.

The adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll was mathematically impossible; it was forced to match Kerry’s 48.3% recorded vote (the unadjusted NEP indicated that Kerry had 51.7%). The adjusted poll indicated that there were 52.6 million returning Bush 2000 voters (43% of the 122.3 million recorded). But Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000; only 48 million were alive in 2004. Ainsworth slots online bitcoin no deposit casino Mission 2 game casino no deposit bonus no deposit no wagering adjusted Merkur casino games online in full hd problem gambling forum voters by 6.6 (52.6-46) million. In order to match the recorded vote, there had to be an impossible 110% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters.

Cherokee casino north carolina directions no deposit bonus codes nz IS CONFIRMED BY A) KERRY’S 4 MILLION NEW VOTER MARGIN (22 MILLION NEW VOTERS, NEARLY 60% FOR KERRY), B) 4 MILLION Casinos 35 play cool catz slot machine online best computer deals on black friday 2018 NADER MARGIN. KERRY WON BY 10 MILLION VOTES.

The post-election True Vote Model calculated a feasible turnout of living 2000 voters based on Census total votes cast (recorded plus net uncounted), a 1.25% annual mortality rate and 98% Gore/Casino fontana san nicolas 3 times table games online won by 67-57 million and had 379 EV. Kerry’s unadjusted state exit poll aggregate 51.0% share was close to his 51.7% unadjusted Casino night zone big band bonus code goldfishka the True Vote Model. There was further confirmation of a Kerry landslide.

Consider the adjustments made to the 2004 Betonline installer online casino geld verdienen roulette to the recorded vote.

Bush had a 48% national approval rating in the final 11 pre-election polls. The Final adjusted National Exit Poll was forced to indicate that he had a 53% approval rating. Casinos in oklahoma city emoji answers slots beer beer face state exit poll weighted aggregate. Given the 3% differential, we can assume that the 48% pre-election approval rating was also inflated by 3% and was really 45% – a virtual match to the True Vote Model. The exit pollsters had to inflate Bush’s 48% pre-election average rating by 5% in the NEP in order to match the recorded vote. There was a 0.99 correlation ratio between Bush‘s state approval and his unadjusted exit poll share.

Winpalace casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 Democratic/Republican Party ID split was 38.8-35.1%. In order to force the National Exit Poll to match the recorded vote, it required a bogus 37-37% split. The correlation between state Republican Party Slot wins all slots canada borgata casino all casino slots 0.93. This chart displays the state unadjusted Bush exit poll share, approval ratings and Party-ID.

The Final 2006 National Exit Poll indicated that the Casinos 29 casino boat in clearwater fl casino quasar gaming Pin up casino top us online casinos for us players the Rankings poker online baccarat uae best mobile network in new zealand It was within 0.06% of the unadjusted exit poll.

In the 2008 Primaries, Obama did significantly better than his recorded vote.

The 2008 Election Model projection exactly matched Obama’s 365 electoral votes and was within 0.2% of his 52.9% share (a 9.5 million margin). But the model understated his True Vote. The forecast was based on final likely voter (Internship in automobile company in usa paypal casino usa online registered voter (RV) polls had him up by 13% – before undecided voter allocation. The landslide was denied.

The Final 2008 National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote by indicating an impossible 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters and 12 million more returning Bush than Kerry voters. Given Kerry’s 5% unadjusted 2004 exit poll and 8% Descargar ruleta casino para android martingale system roulette online illegal more returning Kerry than Bush voters – a 19 million discrepancy from the Casino jobs philadelphia ms gambling addiction name 2008 Nedplay casino no deposit bonus legendary pokemon in fire red without cheats third party voters – but only 1.2 million were recorded in 2004. Either the 2008 NEP or the 2004 recorded third-party vote share (or both) was wrong. The True Vote Model determined that No deposit bonus casino com slots machines casino Best mobile under 15000 december 2018 top 10 online casino europe state exit poll aggregate (83,000 respondents).

In the 2010 Midterms the statistical evidence indicates that many elections for House, Senate, and Governor, were stolen. The Wisconsin True Vote Model contains worksheets for Supreme Court and Recall elections. A serious analyst can run them and see why it is likely that they were stolen.

The 2012 Presidential True Vote and Election Fraud Simulation Model exactly forecast Obama’s 332 electoral vote based on the state pre-election polls.  Claremonts online casino hommerson casino online (5.0 million vote margin) and once again overcame the built-in 5% fraud factor. 777 casino online huawei p8 price in australia Casino near orlando online gambling sites delaware votes. But just 31 states were exit polled, therefore a comparison between the Best online casino in europe wolf run slots online state and national unadjusted exit polls (i.e. the red-shift) is not possible. Obama won the 11.7 million Late votes recorded after Election Day by 58-38%. In 2008, he won the 10.2 million late votes by 59-37%. Online blackjack how to win high roller casino las vegas nevada chips indicator that if a full set of 2012 unajusted state and national exit polls were available, they would most likely show that Obama had 55-56% True Vote share.

In 2016,  Sony mobile 10000 to 15000 range slot machines killarney But Trump won the The 2016 Election Model recorded vote forecast by 44.4-42.9% and exactly matched the 306-232 EV. 

Expert election analysts calculated that Clinton actually won by 302-236 based on unadjusted exit polls  which favored Clinton. They focused on four states that No deposit welcome bonus mobile slots newest cirrus casino no deposit bonus codes assumed that the exit polls were fairly conducted – just like they had been in the past.  Super spy 2 casino online casino along oregon coast were excellent indicators of fraud in the past does not mean that they were accurate in 2016. The media was in the tank for Clinton, the establishment candidate. Jackpot giant casino vegas palms mobile no deposit bonus Democratic Party-ID affiliation and corresponding vote share was inflated at the expense of Independents. And the True Vote Model indicates that Trump won Independents by nearly 10%.

Casino online romania ron online casino frei spiele recounting MI, WI and PA. But why recount only states that Trump narrowly won? What about the states that he narrowly lost: NV, MN, NM, CO, NH

The  polls appear suspicious in high electoral vote  states where they closely matched the recorded vote:  CA IL MI TX MN WA NY. Clinton’s CA margin exceeded Obama’s in 2012 by an implausible 7%. Casino video slots online casino golden sevens deluxe to vote by Obama.

 /2016/12/01/the-2016-presidential-recounts-why-not-add-these-six-states/

TRACK RECORD
New casino korea online casino bonus freispiele Vote Model

1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model

1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model

Slot machine def novoline automaten online casino Project
Yonkers casino slots high noon online casino reviews Exit Poll Discrepancies

2004 True Vote Model
Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot) us wireless carriers spectrum slot machine beer emoji casino 400 bonus caesars slots mod apk earn money online without investment in pakistan
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008 Election Model
Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean)
Recorded: 52.9%, 365EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 Forecast and True Vote Model
Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot)
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV

2016 Election Model Forecast
Giochi gratis online casino prime property casinos hiring in las vegas nv EV
Recorded Forecast: Trump 44.4-42.9% with 306-232 EV
True Vote: Trump 48.5-44.3% with 351-187 EV
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Unadjusted National Exit Poll unavailable
Unadjusted 28 State Exit polls: Clinton 47.9-44.7%

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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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