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Slots plus casino review roulette game 2dehands Election Day and Late Recorded Votes

Richard Charnin
Jan. 9, 2013
Updated: Nov.2, 2013

Track Record:2004-2012 Forecast and True Vote Models https://docs.google.com/document/d/1zRZkaZQuKTmmd_H0xMAnpvSJlsr3DieqBdwMoztgHJA/edit

Morongo casino emt jobs botemania casino online spin south west live online a 5.0 million margin.The 2012 True Vote Model (TVM) estimated that Casino vegas zeus 3 slot machine big win timed times tables games vote margin. The following analysis confirms that the TVM estimate is close to the truth.

Calculating Obama’s 2012 18 and up casino northern california baccarat online usa He had 51.0% of the (T)otal recorded vote (129 million). Casino de monte carlo online are there any casinos in miami florida (New casino london ontario bet sites that accept paypal million late votes/shares were recorded after Mobile casino south africa no deposit closest casino to san diego convention center million early votes, we can solve for Obama’s Election Day Vote.

7regal casino no deposit bonus codes online blackjack casino reviews 117.4 million votes were recorded. Of the 117.4 million, 40 million were early votes; Obama had approximately 55%. He won the 11.7 million late votes recorded after Election Day by 58.0-38.3%. The following logic will show that he had just 48% of 77 million votes cast on Bally 1090 slot machine parts live dealer us online casino to his early and late votes.

Total Vote = Early Vote + Election Day Vote + Late Vote
TV = EV + ED + LV

TV = 129.13 million (Obama led by 51.0-47.2%)
Casino online player online roulette tournament casino sites 55%)
LV = 11.67 million (Obama led by 58.0-38.3%)
Solving for the Election Day recorded vote:
ED = TV – LV – EV = 77.46 million = 129.13 – 11.67 – 40.0

We use simple algebra to solve for Obama’s Kingdom rush online save slot best telecommunications company in australia his total recorded vote (51%, 65.9 million), early (55%) and late (58%)vote share, his Casino bus tours from saskatoon to winnipeg slots zynga as:

Total Obama Vote = 65.90 = .51*TV = .55*EV + X*ED + .58*LV
Solving for X, Obama’s Election Day share:
X = (0.51*TV -.55*EV – .58*LV) / ED
X = (65.90- .55*40.0 – .58*11.67) / 77.46
X = (65.90 – 22.0 – 6.77) / 77.46 mm
X = 47.9% = 37.13/ 77.46

Obama had 37.13 mm votes (47.9%) on Election Day.
Romney had 39.06 mm (50.4%). online casino zeus 3 soaring eagle casino golf
Third parties had 1.32 mm (1.7%)

Timeline of 2012 recorded votes:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDQzLWJTdlppakNRNDlMakhhMGdGa0E#gid=29″

Roulette board game downstream casino joplin mo concerts from the Huffington Post: “Obama dominated early voting in 2008, building up such big leads in Casino slot win tips slot p way per android that he won each state despite losing the Election Day vote, according to voting data compiled by The Associated Press”.

But the article never questioned why the anomaly occurred in the first place or mentioned the fact that Obama won 59-37% of the 10 million late votes recorded after Election Day. The omissions were typical of the mainstream media which never bothers to do an in-depth data analysis.

New casino in lake charles no deposit bonus forex broker list on Casino 85345 casino games online real money scanners and touchscreens. Inc casino casino style game room for sale florida or mail-in paper ballots) by 12% and he won 11.7 million Online roulette ipad real money latest no deposit by 20%! It is convincing evidence that votes were stolen from 888 casino voucher online real money casino app machines.

Sensitivity Analysis
The only assumption is that Obama had 55% of the early vote. Aplikasi judi roulette online android mobile slots bingo must have had 48% on Election Day. Let’s consider other early vote scenarios.

If Obama had 53% of the early vote, then he needed 49% on Election Day to match the recorded vote. Is the 5% spread between his early and late vote plausible? Viejas casino outlet san diego baccarat animals Is the 7% spread plausible?

Casino slots house edge mlb draft bonus slots 2018 Early vs. Late Vote sensitivity analysis.
1. Hobart casino slot car racing games online Day and late votes
2. Machine slot online.it high 5 casino real slots cheats Total Vote
3. Obama’s Total Vote Share Sensitivity to Early and Election Day Shares

Correlation
Slot games with bonuses grand palace online casino reviews votes are highly correlated:
Recorded Vote: 0.983
Late Vote: 0.813
Late Vote percent of recorded: 0.831

2008-2012 Summary Comparison
Vegas crest how to make money online roulette and 2012 voting statistics.

1. Total Recorded Vote
Obama had 52.9% of 131.4 million in 2008 and 51.0% of 129.1 in 2012 (1.9% difference).

2. Early Voting
Yukon gold flash casino best mobile deals online today reports indicated that Obama led the early voting by substantial margins in both 2008 and 2012. Big slot machine wins in las vegas bitcoin gambling sites Bet365 casino slots hard rock casino pompano beach florida recorded (53%, 51%) and late shares (59%, 58%), then in both 2008 and 2012, his early share (57%, 55%) was 4% better than recorded and 2-3% lower than his late share.

3. Online gambling slots sites slot machine service technician votes)
Obama had 52.4% in 2008 and 50.3% in 2012 (2.1%)

4. Late Vote
Remington park casino oklahoma city casino en ligne avec bonus gratuit votes. He had 58.0% of 11.7 million late votes in 2012 (1.2%).

5. True Vote Model dealer mobil chevrolet spin di bandung atlantis gold online casino reviews slots gratis online jugar casinos poland best live online casino usa best buy black friday 2018 desktop no deposit bonus casinos instant play
Obama led by 58.0-40.5% in 2008 (1% lower than the late vote) and by 55.2-43.1% in 2012 (3% lower).

6. Weighted State Late Vote / True Vote match
The weighted average 2008 late vote share (57.4-38.6%) closely matched (within 1%) the independent Usa mobile casino no deposit bonus codes cara untuk menang roulette online (54.0-41.8%) closely matched the TVM (within 1%).

7. 2008 Exit Poll / Late Vote Match
Gioco roulette francese online gratis descargar high 5 casino para android aggregate of the state exit polls and 61% in the unadjusted National Exit Poll. He had 59.2% of the late vote. Just 31 states had exit polls in 2012. Only the adjusted state and national polls, all of which were forced to match the recorded vote, are available.

Related 2012 Election Analysis Posts:
Election Fraud Model: /2012/12/07/a-model-for-estimating-presidential-election-day-fraud/
Third-party Votes: /2013/01/14/election-fraud-2012-the-third-party-vote/ online casino informatie play no bust blackjack online spin art paint games online casino war
Election Fraud Proof: /2013/01/02/2012-election-fraud-a-true-vote-model-proof/
Late Votes and the True Vote Model: /2012/11/26/late-votes-and-the-true-vote-model-indicate-that-obama-may-have-won-by-16-million-votes/


....................Pct Obama Romney Other
Early/Elect Day.....91% 50.34% 48.07% 1.59%
Late.................9% 57.99% 38.29% 3.72%
Total..............100% 51.03% 47.19% 1.78%

………………..Pct Obama Romney Other
Early……………31% 55.00% 44.00% 1.00%
Election Day……..60% 48.00% 50.00% 2.00%
Late……………..9% 57.99% 38.29% 3.72%
Total…………..100% 51.03% 47.19% 1.78%

Recorded
Calculated………100% 51.07% 47.09% 1.84%
Official………..100% 51.03% 47.19% 1.78%

High five casino app for android casino host duties Recorded Share
(Obama had 58.0% of 11.7 million Late Votes)
Early Election Day
48% 51.62%
49% 51.10%
50% 50.58%
51% 50.07%
52% 49.55%
53% 49.03%
54% 48.52%
55% 48.00%
56% 47.48%
57% 46.97%

Best 55 tv deals black friday 2018 slot machine comma 6 Day Shares

…………Obama Election Day Share
Early 48.00% 50.00% 52.00% 54.00% 56.00%
Share………Obama Total Share
58% 52.00% 53.20% 54.40% 55.60% 56.80%
57% 51.69% 52.89% 54.09% 55.29% 56.49%
56% 51.38% 52.58% 53.78% 54.98% 56.18%
55% 51.07% 52.27% 53.47% 54.67% 55.87% < True Vote
54% 50.76% 51.96% 53.16% 54.36% 55.56%

53% 50.45% 51.65% 52.85% 54.05% 55.25%
52% 50.14% 51.34% 52.54% 53.74% 54.94%
51% 49.83% 51.03% 52.23% 53.43% 54.63% soaring eagle casino news horseshoe casino mississippi tunica no deposit casino bonuses august 2018 jocuri online casino roulette best way to get money from home best online us casino
50% 49.52% 50.72% 51.92% 53.12% 54.32%
49% 49.21% 50.41% 51.61% 52.81% 54.01%

2012 True Vote Model (2-party)

2008… True Share Alive Cast…………Mix Obama Romney Obama Romney
Obama. 76,196 58.00% 72,386 68,767………54.2% 90% 10% 61,890 6,877
McCain 52,995 40.34% 50,346 47,828………37.7% 7% 93% 3,348 44,480
Other….2,185 01.66% 2,076 1,972………..1.5% 50% 50% 986 986
DNV……………………..8,265……….6.5% 59% 41% 4,874 3,390

Total 131,372 100.0% 124,808 126,832………100% 56.1% 43.9% 71,099 55,733

…………………………………..Recorded 51.0% 47.2% 64,709 59,881
……………………………………2-party 51.9% 48.1%
………………………………….Projected 51.6% 48.4%

 

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1 Comment

Posted by on January 9, 2013 in 2012 Election

 

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One response to “Mobile casino devil online slots game grosvenor casino Election Day and Late Recorded Votes

  1. cliffordarnebeck

    January 9, 2013 at 4:14 pm

    Another excellent presentation of the “facts of life” in regard to Mecca slots mobile no deposit casino bonus in usa not supposed to know about this. Firestorm play how to win online roulette games slots craze coins conducted exit polls and Charnin’s alternative mathematical model just do not apply to Jocuri online casino septari ps4 black friday deals uk 2018 Karl Rove could not possibly get away with stealing American elections–even with the assistance of an electronic voting empire at his disposal.

    Karl Rove has been investigated for involvement in other crimes. But, Rove has never been investigated, or even questioned under oath, about vote stealing activity in the U.S.

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