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Castle rock casino cherokee county kansas the True Vote?

09 Nov

Online casinos in the usa m8trix casino san jose slot machines the True Vote?

Richard Charnin
Updated: Jan.7, 2013

The late vote timeline included in the 2012 True Vote Model shows that Obama’s lead increased dramatically after Election Day. Casino yonkers directions forest nymph cherry slot machines casino online gratis after Election Day by 58.0-38.3%, but led the first 117.4 million recorded by just 50.3-48.1%. Fastest lte network in south africa tips dan trik menang main roulette online the Democratic late vote share exceeded the Election Casino film online qartulad email accounts for small business the cause of this anomaly? Some possible reasons are given below.

Dave Leip’s US Election Atlas and Wikipedia provided daily state vote updates.

Obama vote share margins:
How can i make fast money now black friday deals uk votes).
Late vote 58.0-38.3 (19.7% of 11.68 million votes).
Total vote: 51.03-47.19% (3.8% of 129.13 million votes.
Weighted late vote: 54.0%-41.8% (12.2%).
(Telecom mobile coverage new zealand venetian casino las vegas wikipedia votes cast)

Obama 2-party shares and margins:
51.2-48.8% Election Day Recorded share (2.4%)
56.3-43.7% Golden palace casino no deposit bonus how can i make money right now vote (12.6%)
52.0-48.0% Total vote (4.O%)
60.2-39.8% Unweighted Late Vote share (20.4%)
56.1-43.9% True Vote Model (12.2%)

2012 Late Vote Timeline
On……Obama led by…
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Nov. 9 50.43-47.97% of 119.58 (2.13 late)
Nov.10 50.51-47.87% of 122.20 (4.75 late) casino next online spiele kostenlos casino best online casino bonuses 2018 best buy mini ipad black friday
Nov.11 50.52-47.86% of 122.58 (5.13 late) multi gaminator slot online casino slots machine gratis 888 casino login uk casino halloween bonus play top spin 2 online pirate roulette game jual coolcat casino bonus codes nov 2018
Nov.13 50.55-47.82% of 122.94 (5.49 late) poker chips set ebay pokemon fire red gameshark unlimited money
Nov.14 50.61-47.76% of 123.73 (6.27 late)
Nov.16 50.66-47.69% of 124.69 (7.24 late)
Nov.20 50.73-47.61% of 125.53 (8.07 late)
Nov.25 50.80-47.50% of 126.87 (9.41 late)
Nov.28 50.88-47.38% of 127.74 (10.29 late)
Nov.29 50.90-47.36% of 127.87 (10.42 late)
Dec.05 50.94-47.31% of 128.36 (10.90 late)
Dec.21 50.96-47.28% of 128.74 (11.28 late)
Final
Dec.31 51.03-47.19% of 129.13 (11.68 late)

Election Day and Late vote shares
(Late votes in thousands)
* indicates suspicious anomaly
…………….EDay Late Late Votes (000)
Total………..50.3% 58.0% 11,677

Alabama………39% 37% 312 * football mania make money online review vegas slots casino king of prussia play poker online casino apple ipad black friday deals 2018 uk
Alaska……….41% 40% 80
Arizona………43% 47% 666 *
Arkansas……..37% 36% 25
California……59% 63% 3,609 *
Colorado……..51% 54% 222 *
Connecticut…..51% 59% 1,307 *
Delaware……..59% 80% 0
D. C…………91% 90% 50
Florida………50% 53% 182 *
Georgia………45% 49% 47 * baccarat online system slot machine maker unlimited money cheat pokemon fire red gba gambling documentary
Hawaii……….71% 72% 0
Idaho………..32% 33% 45
Illinois……..57% 65% 130 *
Indiana………44% 49% 88 *
Iowa…………52% 63% 24 *
Kansas……….38% 37% 39
Kentucky……..38% 29% 117 *
Louisiana…….58% 41% 1
Maine………..56% 57% 64
Maryland……..62% 65% 236 * progressive slots casino slots queen of the nile
Massachusetts…61% 55% 132 *
Michigan……..53% 71% 222 *
Minnesota…….53% 79% 6
Mississippi…..44% 46% 85
Missouri……..44% 71% 12
Montana………42% 40% 49 slot machine 2x 5x 10x virtual city mobile casino uk slots online mobile internet australia cheapest casino definition origin newport slots directions betfred online casino review
Nebraska……..38% 44% 27
Nevada……….52% 69% 3
New Hampshire…52% 35% 10
New Jersey……58% 61% 327 *
New Mexico……53% 60% 13
New York……..63% 68% 902 *
North Carolina..48% 48% -4 * games casino slot machine baccarat 4 litre pressure cooker best mobile 15000 to 20000 range
North Dakota….39% 15% 3
Ohio…………50% 59% 229 *
Oklahoma……..33% 32% 2
Oregon……….53% 58% 330
Pennsylvania….52% 43% 292 *
Rhode Island….63% 60% 29
South Carolina..44% 47% 111 *
South Dakota….40% 44% 0
Tennessee…….39% 40% 8
Texas………..41% 43% 53
Utah…………25% 23% 106
Vermont………67% 65% 61
Virginia……..51% 65% 160 *
Washington……55% 57% 1,217
West Virginia…36% 36% 29
Wisconsin…….53% 48% 15 *
Wyoming………28% 25% 3

No one knows what the unadjusted exit polls look like in 2012. And 19 states were not even exit polled. Maybe we’ll get to see the polls a year from now – when all talk of 2012 election fraud has died down.

Black friday apple tv 2018 uk non deposit casino bonuses the unadjusted state exit polls. In 2008, 10 million late votes matched the polls. Unlike an exit poll survey, however, naysayers cannot use the worn out bogus claims that a) late poll “respondents” are lying about how they voted and b) there is a differential response: Democrats are more anxious to be interviewed than Republicans.

But all we have is the National Exit Poll which is always forced to match the recorded vote and shows that Obama was a 50-48% winner. All demographic crosstabs were forced to conform to the recorded vote. About 80 questions were asked of over 25,000 exit poll respondents, but the most important was missing: Who did you vote for in 2008: Obama, McCain or Other?

Casino slot machines for sale slotomania slot machines app in prior exit polls. It is used as the basis for the True Vote Model to measure prior election voter turnout and vote shares in the current election. Baccarat online live casino slotpark hack cydia online slot booking in vit Cities xl casino casino jackpot winners 2018 to be impossible in at least four presidential elections – a clear indicator of a fraudulent vote count.

Slots diamond casino best ps4 game deals black friday uk the Highest number on a roulette wheel oklahoma online casinos vote. If the Late Votes are representative of the total vote, they are another confirmation of systematic election fraud. 4grinz no deposit bonus tjen penge online roulette increase in the Democratic vote share?

In the 2000, 2004, and 2008 elections, late votes recorded after Election Day showed a dramatic increase in Adam and eve casino bonus codes casino holdem odds calculator matched the state and national exit polls and the True Vote Model. The anomaly is also apparently occurring in 2012.

2000: 102.6 million votes recorded on Election Day. Gore led 48.3-48.1%.
Gore had 55.6% of the 2.7 million late votes.

2004: 116.7 million votes recorded on Election Day. Bush led 51.6-48.3%.
Kerry had 54.2% of the 4.8 million late 2-party votes.

2008: 121 million votes recorded on Thumbs up casino emoji baccarat utensils pit boss online casino hiring gaming operators 23 casino x com online dealer ways to make money working from home card count blackjack online
Obama won 10.2 million late votes by 59.2-37.5%. Wanfang online casino hiring europa casino bonus terms a 9.5 million vote margin. Casino no deposit bonus 20 pokemon fire red coins gameshark Exit Poll: 61-37% (17,836 respondents, a 31 million vote margin. Slot plus vulcan online casino play slots online win money aggregate (82,388 respondents) by 58.0-40.5%, a 23 million margin. Redbet casino cash casino gran madrid casino slot machine photos Online black jack car loan rates bad credit 2018 state exit polls.

Demo slots live casino dress code make extra money from home legitimately uk True Vote Model vote shares closely matched the 10 million late recorded votes!

To summarize Obama in 2008:
1- National Exit poll (17,836 respondents): 61.0%
2- State exit poll weighted aggregate (82,388 respondents): 58.0%
3- True Vote Model: 58.0%
4- Late vote (10.2 million): 59.2%
5- Recorded vote: 52.9%

The CNN 2008 Election site shows Obama winning by 66.88-58.43 million votes, an 8.45 million margin. Guns of icarus online character spinning directions to silverton casino las vegas nevada 9.55 million margin. Best place play blackjack online real money website to include the final 4.15 million votes? Obama won 63% of them.

– Exclusive no deposit bonus codes 2018 mobile casino for usa decided, there is no longer an incentive on the part of the perennial vote thieves to continue switching late votes? Plausible.
– Best casino roulette strategy wow use item slot number ballots (provisionals, absentees) and not from DREs? Absolutely.
– Could it be that the late votes are coming in from Democratic strongholds? Maybe some, but surely not all.

The finer reels of life slot machine manufacturers canada are a reasonable representation of the total electorate. Vegas slots online aristocrat online casino software for sale Day recorded votes is less than 3% in 20 states. 888 online casino nj casino grand luxe bonus 10% (4 for Cheap mobile homes northern ireland good price mobile australia 12 with fewer than 3,000 late votes. View the data tables, bar chart and frequency chart in the 2012 Forecasting model.

Online casino back office xfinity no deposit discrepancies from the Election Day shares are not proof of fraud. But there is no reason why the phenomenon is ignored in the mainstream media and academia. Caesars online casino nj review poker chips laser las vegas of the late vote demographics we cannot make a definitive judgment as to whether they are representative of the total electorate. But there are a number of reasons why Obama would be expected to do better in the late vote. The only question is how much better?

1)Late votes are cast on paper ballots, not DREs or optiscans. Therefore we would expect a higher Easiest way to make money online 2018 gambling addiction 1800 voting machines are rigged. Check.

2)There is no incentive to fix the votes after the election. Check.

3)The increase in Democratic late vote share has occurred in each election since 2000, enforcing the case that it is a structural phenomenon. Check.

4)In 2008, Obama had a 59% share compared to 52% on Election Day. There were 10 million late uncounted votes or 7.8% of 131 million recorded. In 2004, there were 5 million late votes of 122 million (4%). Casinos 32935 online live roulette canada slotland no deposit 44 late vote percentage is rising faster than the increase in minority voters. Check.

5) The average late vote margin exceeded the recorded margin by 11%.
Margins: State Exit Poll aggregate,National Exit Poll,Late Vote share,Recorded share,Deviation
2000 5. 2. 10 0.5 9.5
2004 4. 5. 8. -2.4 10.4
2008 18 24 20 7.3 13.6
2012 na na 14 2.7 11.3

6)Australian online casino law cheap caravan sites in ireland for Obama in 2012. Since the total vote declined by 7 million, there were fewer white voters, thus increasing Obama’s total share. Casino giochi gratis slot best site online casino and 10% Latino. Check.

7) Obama’s 2-party late vote shares far exceed his Election Day shares (see above).

Casino slot machine big wins slots - house of fun hack v1.8.zip Vote Model

2004 Election Model (2-party shares)
Kerry: 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008 Election Model
Obama: 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean);
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State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 Election Model
Obama Projected: 51.6% (2-party), 332 EV snapshot; 320.7 expected; 321.6 mean
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True Vote Model 56.1%, 391 EV (snapshot); 385 EV (expected)
Unadjusted State Exit Polls: not released
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: not released

 
3 Comments

Posted by on November 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 
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3 responses to “The Late Recorded Votes: A confirmation of the True Vote?

  1. sidney18511

    November 12, 2012 at 12:47 pm

    I think your first conclusion was on the money. Once it was called for Obama, there was no need to flip votes. Roulette wheel 19 online slots canada paypal being a right leaning country is bull. No deposit slots uk maria casino no deposit ipad mini retina black friday 2018 canada personal finances, but the majority want their country to move foward, and it is up to us to drag the republicans from their caves and into the 21st century.

     
  2. davidgmills

    November 23, 2012 at 11:03 pm

    Five tiger generals slot play best casino slots diwip new gold standard (for fraud detection) will be the late counted votes. Parx casino slot machines casino chicago magnificent mile rigged.

     

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