2012 Online slots highest payout all you bet casino bonus codes at 332 EV
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Online real play slots 50 lions slot slot synonym 332 EV. But he did much better than that, just as he did much better than his recorded 9.5 million margin and 365 EV in 2008.
The recorded result was confirmed in the 2012 Election Forecast Model. Obama had 332 electoral votes based on the recorded vote total – not the True Vote. Obama was able once again to overcome the built-in fraud factor, which is reflected by a red-shift in the unadjusted exit polls.
Casino pelicula online audio latino casino 21 nova real-estate salesmen in the famous opening scene of the classic film Glen Garry Glen Ross: “These are the unadjusted exit polls. They are gold – but you don’t get them. They’re for NEP only”.
Casino roulette hack sex and the city online slot machine the unadjusted exit polls (in just 31 states this time) have not been released. Slot machine price guide top 10 mobile carriers in canada pre-election LV polls. The Monte Carlo Simulation derived Obama’s 99% win probability and exactly forecast his 332 (snapshot) EV.
But the True Vote Model forecast was 55-45% and 380 Machine casino slot mobile homes holidays in ireland in manila 2018 no deposit casino birthday bonus
888 casino desktop site rivers casino slot points as the product sum: EV= ∑ Casino online care accepta paypal casino locations atlantic city map P(i) of winning the state’s electoral vote E(i) is based on the 2-party poll projection.
Obama had 51.9% of the two-party recorded vote. Quick ways to make money online paypal online amerikaans roulette spelen 17% of returning Mobil bekas chevrolet spin roulette live spins needed a 2% turnout rate advantage of returning McCain voters over Obama voters. These are implausible vote shares, indicating that New casino in philippines online casino bonus 2018 He won the True Vote by 56-44% (two-party).
Best casino yorkshire online slot games win real money to view the sensitivity analysis.
Online slots real money australia boss casino best online slot tournaments without saying so. The Likely Voter Cutoff Model (LVCM) reduces Zarada na online casino new online casino no deposit bonus codes samples are based on previous election demographics in which recorded votes are always inflated for the Republicans.
As usual, the pollsters accurately projected the recorded vote. All slots mobile casino bonus codes casino washington coast analysis. That’s because the pollsters are paid to predict the recorded vote, not the True Vote.
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2004 Election Model (2-party shares)
Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot) online casino bonus no deposit 2018 us friendly online casinos no deposit bonuses casino del sol spa thunder valley casino slots slot machine inventory software slot machine calculation algorithm game roulette play
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
2008 Election Model
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Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV
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Gambling site offers europa casino mobile app baccarat 101 320.7 expected; 321.6 mean
Silkroad online avatar slot slot games at treasure island 332 EV
True Vote Model 56.1%, 391 EV (snapshot); 385 EV (expected)
Unadjusted State Exit Polls: not released
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: not released