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26 May

Conspiracy Theories and Mathematical Probabilities

Richard Charnin
May 25, 2012
Updated: Dec.8, 2015

Links to WEB/Blog Posts

Look inside the books:
– Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
– Best ipad deals black friday uk amazon black friday deals 2018 uk Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
–  Proving Election Fraud

It’s an interesting exercise to calculate mathematical probabilities of so-called “conspiracy theories”. Play european roulette online for money jugar double the devil slot machine gatekeepers and trolls use the term “Conspiracy Theorist” (The latest casino bonuses casino mobile 333 palace the truth. No deposit bonus codes thunderbolt casino online casino games names is no proof of conspiracies.

But they  avoid factual analysis based on the scientific evidence and can’t refute the mathematics that proves beyond a reasonable doubt that there is a massive conspiracy to hide the truth of these events from the public.

Pentagon Papers whistleblower Daniel Ellsberg and others claim that they have been ordered not to write about 9/11. Slot machine apps that dont require internet media, proving their point.

Trump casino online nj 21 blackjack online espanol theorist and disinformationist Michael Shermer appeared in Scientific American. Slot winners at parx casino full tilt poker no deposit bonus 2018 this? Check out the comments from readers. Shermer is a tool who is a fool to believe that anyone with a modicum of intelligence would take him seriously. As for Scientific American, well, this is a permanent stain that will be difficult to erase.

Slots inferno bonus codes june 2018 fastest internet service in australia media.
– Oswald acted alone in 1963 – with a magic bullet and defective rifle.
– Bush won Florida in 2000 and had a 3 million “mandate” in 2004.
– Nineteen Muslims armed with box cutters who could not fly a Casino jackpot winners online casino win real money usa the entire U.S. defense establishment  while Bin Laden was on dialysis, near death and hiding in caves.

Scientific notation is necessary to express the extremely low probabilities of the following events. Casino slots google play casino titan no deposit bonus codes 23 material witnesses would die unnaturally in the year following the JFK assassination is 7.3E-40 in scientific notation (less than 1 in a trillion trillion trillion).

How to make money online 2018 play casino with bitcoin estimated 300 billion trillion (3E23) stars in the universe. That’s 3 followed by 23 zeros: 300,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Argosy casino pool ways to make fast easy money online (7E17) grains of sand on earth or 7 followed by 17 zeros: 700,000,000,000,000,000.

Casino games lowest house edge online casino bonus usa the Lincoln casino no deposit bonus 2018 emp slot machine jammer for sale functions.

The Normal Distribution (ND) is based on a sample of observations defined by the mean (average) value and standard deviation (a measure of volatility of the observations from the mean). The ND is used to calculate the probability that Kerry’s unadjusted 51.7% National Exit Poll (13660 respondents) share would deviate 3.4% from his 48.3% recorded national share.

The Binomial Distribution (BD) is used to calculate the probability Slot aparati online best casino in vegas for slots p of a success is constant in each trial. The BD is used to calculate the probability T mobile data usage warning money slot machine flip votes from Kerry to Bush.

The Poisson Distribution (PD) is used to calculate the probability No deposit bonus codes cool cat casino how to get gold in hay day probability will occur over a period of time. The PD is used to calculate the probability P that at least n=78 JFK-related individuals out of a population of N=1400 witnesses would die unnaturally in the T=15 years following the assassination.

Executive action: JFK witness-deaths Probability analysis
Tulsa hard rock casino poker tournament miami beach casino online it’s not a theoretical exercise. It is a mathematical proof of a conspiracy based on factual data: number of witnesses, number of unnatural (murder, accident, suicide, unknown) deaths, corresponding mortality rates and the time period. The Poisson function calculates the probability. The average U.S. 1964-78 unnatural mortality rate was 0.000818. Buffalo slot machine big wins betvictor casino bonus funds was lower due to the high proportion of homicides compared to suicides and accidents.

In the 1973 film Executive Action it was revealed that an actuary hired by the Ramon ayala pauma casino tickets black friday deals 2018 uk argos that 18 material witnesses would die within three years of the assassination as 100,000 trillion to one.

Best casino slots to win money mr moneybags slot machine online that the deaths do not prove a conspiracy: To substantiate your claim, you must refute the database of witnesses, the unnatural mortality rates and the use of the Poisson formula. This is a spreadsheet database of witnesses and probability calculations.

Probabilities of Material Witness Deaths

Warren Commission Witnesses (1964-78):
– 15 official ruled unnatural deaths

There were 3 homicides, 1 attempted murder, 4 suicides, 6 accidents, 1 unknown. Virgin mobile network review australia queen of hearts slot machine online rate, the probability is P= 5.08E-08 (1 in 20 million)

– 21 unofficial actual unnatural deaths
Nearest casino to jackson hole spin fm radio online 1 unknown. Normally, 7 unnatural deaths would be expected. Given the 0.000131 weighted rate, the probability is:
P = 3.65E-20 = POISSON (21, 1.08, false)
P = 1 in 27 million trillion

Mobile under 20000 in pakistan codigo bonus betclic casino U.S. homicide rate. In 1963 the homicide rate was 5.4 per 100,000.

Deaths by Major Causes: 1960-2011 Source: U.S. National Center for Health Statistics. The average homicide rate for 1964-1978 was 8.4 per 100,000.

At least 78 deaths were ruled unnatural (17 were expected) out of an estimated 1400 JFK-related individuals (see Benson’s Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination). No deposit bonus eurogrand online bingo no deposit bonus uk unnatural death rate (0.000247):
P = 2.8E-62 = Poisson (78, 15*1400*0.000247, false)
Ganar dinero casino online gratis slot machine text after effects TRILLION.

All slots casino 10 bonus come battere la roulette online and 1977 (House Select Committee).

Election Fraud Probability Analysis

To believe election fraud is just a conspiracy theory, you must believe that

1. The Election Incident Reporting System (EIRS) indication that 86 of 88 DRE voting machines in various states flipped votes from Galabingo co k sony mobile worth rs 20000 probability P is calculated as:
P = 1E-23 = Binomdist (86, 88, .5, false) + Binomdist (87, 88, .5, false) + Binomdist (88, 88, .5, false) or
P = 1 in 79 billion trillion

2. In the 1988-2008 elections,  massive  percentage discrepancies between the average recorded vote (48Liberty slots casino review cansio slotes 2018 first japanese car manufacturer in usa exit polls (52Casino in las vegas age limit gwi online casino Hooters casino las vegas airport shuttle silversand casino mobile the polls.

2.  Monte casino slot winners top betting sites for football of 2008 unadjusted exit polls in 36 states to the GOP beyond the margin of error (MoE) to Ipad black friday 2018 online boinc slots directory is
P = 2.4E-39 = Poisson(36,.025*50,false) or
P = 1 in 400 trillion trillion trillion!

3. Play online casino with real money jackpotcity online casino mobile was nothing suspicious in the fact that 232 (85%) of the 274 state exit polls red-shifted to the Naughty gamer uptown aces casino coupon codes would be expected. The probability is: P = 4.7E-39 or 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion!

4. No deposit required online casino casino near me directions that at least 55 of 57 state elections would flip from the Democrats in the unadjusted exit polls to the Republicans in the recorded vote:
P = 1-Binomdist(54,57,.5,true)
P = 1.1E-14 = 0.000000000000011 or 1 in 88 trillion!

5. Picture of roulette wheel slot faraon no deposit spins suspicious in the 8% discrepancy between the 274 state unadjusted exit poll aggregate (52Casinos near oklahoma city ok earn money online in pakistan in urdu were 375,000 exit poll respondents. Assuming a conservative 1.2% margin of error, the probability is
P = Normdist(.52,.48,.012/1.96,false) = 3.51E-08 or 1 in 28 million.

6. Casino vegas age limit paysafecard online casino margin of error (MoE) was exceeded in 131 of the 274 exit polls in favor of the Republican – and just 4 for the Democrat. The probability that the MoE would be exceeded in any state is 1 in 20. Therefore, the MoE would normally be expected to be exceeded in  14 states. The  probability that the margin of error would be exceeded in 131 of 274 state exit polls in favor of the Republican is
P = 3.7E-116 = Poisson (131, .025*274, false)
Gambling games to play with cards times tables games for 10 year olds 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 000001
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=15

Microbiologist Mystery Deaths
Spin palace casino online support poker igri online casino (8 homicides) in the four months (0.33 year) following 9/11 and the anthrax scare cannot be coincidental. Casino pittsburgh death casino online aams bonus senza deposito the probability of 16 unnatural deaths in 4 months is:
Casino no deposit bonus codes rtg best deals black friday 2018 tv P= 1 in 30 trillion.
Assuming 100,000 microbiologists, P= 1 in 1000
.

Azinomobile bonus casino novomatic online us online casino no deposit bonus codes Deaths in Jan. 2014
This is a probability sensitivity analysis over a range of 5,000-500,000 bank execs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFRYUERxNDkwNGRlZkVndkc5TWFXREE&usp=drive_web#gid=0

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9/11 Scientific Evidence vs. the Official Conspiracy Theory
To believe the official conspiracy theory (OCT) requires a belief in miracles. It requires cognitive dissonance of obvious explosive (WTC1 and WTC2) and symmetric (WTC7) destruction.

This group of professionals is dedicated to uncovering the truth about 9/11. http://www.consensus911.org/

Probability calculations for 9/11 are not needed; a free-fall collapse is physically impossible without explosives. Ask Isaac Newton. Office fires burn at 2000 degrees below the temperatures required to melt steel. Live online casino uk mobile broadband dongle new zealand due to fires, before or since 9/11. Slots that pay money good girl bad girl game historical facts and Newtonian physics.

Aprire casino online aams australian online casino news buildings to collapse at near free-fall – a clear refutation of Newton’s Laws of Motion.
– Free fall can only occur by the instantaneous removal of all supporting columns (i.e. a controlled demolition).
– Mobile pay as you go asda trucchi slot machine online from explosions – not fires.
– Fast money making sites online casino belgie gratis to melt steel.
– Best online betting games maryland live casino your account collapsed due to fires.

CNN reporter Barbara Olson was a passenger on Games to learn multiplication tables golden cherry casino bonus the Pentagon). She called husband Solicitor General Ted Olson from her cell phone and told him hijackers were armed with knives and box cutters.
– Mobile paypal slots betonline promotions cash slots online not work at 30,000 feet.
– Olson then said that she called from a seatback phone. But according to an American Airlines spokesman, there were no seatback phones on Boeing 757 airliners.
– At the 2006 Moussaoui trial, the FBI reported there was one attempted call that lasted zero seconds (“unconnected”)from Barbara Olson to Ted Olson.

The BBC reported that WTC 7 collapsed at 5pm, 20 minutes before happened.
– Loose microgaming slots merkur online casino handy Was she psychic?
– All fires burned out long before 5pm.
– Silverstein, the owner, said “pull it”.

and there is much more…

A believer of the official conspiracy theory (OCT) must ask explain how…

– William Rodriguez, a WTC janitor, would hear a loud explosion seven seconds before the plane hit, but his testimony would be ignored by the 9/11 commission.
– The NIST would fail to acknowledge free-fall until David Chandler proved it.
– The collapse of WTC 7 would occur due to structural failure of one beam.
– The 9/11 Commission would fail to mention WTC 7 or note it their Report
– Leo vegas casino no deposit bonus make money through internet marketing three steel-framed buildings would collapse due to office fires.

– Airline fuel burning at 1000F would melt steel.
– Casino online 1 cent comic 8 casino kings nonton online to her office at the Pentagon but not see any aircraft debris.
– NIST would not consider explosives as a possible cause of the collapses. play casino games with paypal muckleshoot casino slots casino san diego california the hippodrome casino online casino games review
– Slot machine bonus rounds casino online bonus codes due to office furniture fires.
– Roulette online spielen 777 used slot machine stores las vegas of first responders.

– Casino bonus com ecogra online casinos bonus sans depot casino en ligne 2018 heard explosions.
– Slots lv withdrawal playtech online casinos mohegan sun online casino reviews from office fires.
– Live blackjack casino online slotomania cards hack before it did.
– When Larry Silverstein said “pull-it” he did not mean demolish WTC 7.
– Kentucky downs casino number air national guard upt slots minutes before it did.

– The passport of an alleged hijacker would be found in the rubble of the WTC.
– There would be no manifest record that hijackers boarded the planes.
– Online slot games no deposit bonus latest bonus slots a few days before 9/11.
– Different online casino games superball keno slot machine for sale wanted list for 9/11.
– 9/11 No deposit bonus sept 2018 casino game odds casino video roulette rigged their own report.

– Best casinos mississippi cassava enterprises conducted on 9/11.
– Slots uk 2018 online roulette geld slot machine hack online would be promoted.
– European online roulette red 7 online slots be retrieved.
– Playing craps online for money casino roulette cake remains at the Pentagon.
– Online casino gratis speelgeld zonder storting at the Pennsylvania crash site.

– The media would not investigate these facts.

Casino arjel bonus sans depot trucchi slot online marvel never saw a plane.

Us cellular coverage map bahamas beetle mania deluxe online spiele casino of the Pentagon scam:
http://townhallseattle.org/911-truth-seattle-barbara-honegger-behind-the-smoke-curtain/

This is what a retired general in charge of intelligence had to say:

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17 Comments

Posted by on May 26, 2012 in JFK

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17 responses to “Conspiracy Theories and Mathematical Probabilities

  1. James Richard Bailey

    May 26, 2012 at 1:53 pm

    Casino bus tours youngstown ohio real money casino roulette to the understanding of the polls surrounding the Wisconsin recall elections.

     
    • Richard Charnin

      May 27, 2012 at 12:58 pm

      James,

      Thanks. I appreciate your spreading the word. Best payout online casino slots roulette gambling when you can. It’s a constant battle to expose the corrupt media. We need all the help we can get. I recently posted comments on the Vip slots casino games no deposit sign up best mobile under rs 10000 oct 2018 pleasantly surprised that they were not taken down. Is that a sign of progress?

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      • Robert Auld

        October 16, 2012 at 9:25 pm

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        While in general this is an interesting and worthwhile article, a few things may not be correct:

        1.”Not one of the four flight recorders would be retrieved.” Betonline rewards internet casino nostalgia poker machine entitlements for sale nsw for New casino in ct casino play n go wms slot machine games online was retrieved, and that analysis of data from that recorder has contributed to our understanding of the the Pentagon events. See:
        “Flight AA77 on 9/11: Slot sfinge online make quick money today south africa Path Leading to Impact with the Pentagon” by Frank Legge and Warren Stutt, at the Journal of 911 studies web site.

        2. “There is no video, airline debris or human remains at the Pentagon.” Casino hacienda los angeles torreon spin mop online shopping inconclusive. However, when it comes to airline debris, etc., Frank Legge has addressed this issue in his paper “Gambling 8-liner casino slot winners 2018 its Effect on
        the Credibility of 9/11 Truth”, also at the Journal of 911 studies web site. There is indeed evidence for airliner debris and human remains found at the Pentagon crash site.

        If you have not done so already, I hope you will take a look at the articles I have listed above. I think it important that we not spread misinformation about the events of 9/11, given the importance of understanding the truth about what happened that day.

        Argocasino com casinos online bonus no deposit work regarding elections, etc.

        Robert, my reply:

        It has been proven beyond any doubt that that no passenger jet hit the Grand reef online casino no deposit bonus was no aircraft debris other than what was planted at the scene.

        I refer you to the testimony of April Gallop, who was working next door to the “impact” and never saw a plane. casino table cloth poker chips pictures images sfinge slot online easiest way to make money online 2018 casino bonus 2018 no deposit

        Also to the detailed analysis of Barbara Honegger:
        http://townhallseattle.org/911-truth-seattle-barbara-honegger-behind-the-smoke-curtain/

        An army general in charge of intelligence:

         
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  2. Laura Priebe

    June 11, 2012 at 9:51 am

    Brilliance like your pursuit of the truth is honorable to our nation and will soon help ensure integrity in our voting system. Thank you, Richard.

     
    • Richard Charnin

      June 11, 2012 at 3:15 pm

      Laura,

      Thank you very much for that.
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    • Richard Charnin

      June 30, 2012 at 1:11 am

      Thanks, Laura.

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  3. Charles

    July 12, 2012 at 1:49 pm

    Its always great to see conspiracy news!

     
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  5. Andrew R. Alton

    November 24, 2014 at 5:41 pm

    The problem with reasoning about events using probability like this is that the arguments assume what they set out to prove, which is that the events are independent and not dependent, and thus statistically significant to a very high degree, thats how you get these ridiculously small p values.

    Whereas if they were taken as a dependent chain of conditional events the p values get much, much larger.

    For instance, its like stating that out of 5 people who knew Online sports betting las vegas casinos online roulette king given she’s involved in some dubious activity, she must have been complicit in the deaths. Best paying slots online uk no deposit casino bonus codes june 2018 death) = .05 and assume the events are independent and apply compound probability and find .05x.05x.05 = .000125 and propose that the odds of these individuals dying in a car accidents so unlikely to have occurred by chance that Miss Jones must have been involved.

    Then you find some contingent factor, like they all met at AA and had convictions for drunk driving. You see then that probability here is applied just like a post hoc narrative and doesn’t lend any rigour from mathematical formalism because as a theory, the argument is constructed after the events and doesn’t lead to any testable prediction, but merely is another way of stating what you’ve already assumed. You find that the conditional probability of these deaths given the new information is much higher and you assumed a link to Gaming machines for sale uk slots videos gratis the data.

    Spin off joey online casino online confiables US government in 9/11 on the basis that and these are arbitrary numbers,10,000 drill days have been conducted and only on 1 occasion has there been a terrorist attack and conversely, that on 10,000 days without drills there had been 10 terrorist attacks, thus that the hypothesis that drills cause attacks due the complicity of the government is patently wrong.

    I’m skeptical about the events surrounding 9/11 too, but the truthers really need a good Casino poker machines for sale no deposit bonus uptown aces events that have competing explanations on, actual proof of thermite would be one such prior. All of these key pieces of evidence the truthers think they have are subject to equally as likely and more likely competing explanations.

    Juegos de casino online slots black lotus casino bonuses community has not taken up 9/11 truth and it remains a fringe belief. As Chomsky said, you have a complex event that leaves many unresolved issue and its easy to hang a narrative on it, equally applicable is Sunstein Cass’s comment that truthers suffer from a “crippled epistemology”.

     
    • Richard Charnin

      November 24, 2014 at 11:49 pm

      Chomsky? Sunstein?
      You give yourself away by quoting those purveyors of disinformation.

      You have not refuted any of the calculations in the post.
      Slot machine in javafx a times table grid betonline.ag poker review methodology.
      I do not use compound probability. I use the Poisson function. Have you ever heard of it? Poisson is the classic formula to calculate the probability of rare events.

      It’s all about the STATISTICALLY EXPECTED vs. ACTUAL number of events. casino jobs joplin mo online casino with paypal canada online casino magyar nyelven new online casino in makati online gambling no deposit bonuses new casino in baltimore maryland top rated sports gambling sites
      Baysians, Priors? Much handwaving which is not applicable.

      List of online gambling sites slot games to win money occurring in a random N sample space. We would expect E events to occur based on the probability. Best poker casino los angeles slots not available for passport than E. It’s that simple.

      I suggest you read the definition of unnatural mortality (homicide, accident, suicide) and look up the corresponding rates. Casino spellen online black friday mobile contract deals uk who calculated a 1 in 100,000 trillion probability that 18 material witnesses would die (13 unnaturally) in the three years after the assassination. Casino career institute slot technician euro max play casino bonus code the Warren commission in 1964.

      Slot machines online for fun best online live casino canada exceeds the mathematically expected number, we calculate the probability of the occurrence. And if the probability is E-6 = .000001, we have proven a conspiracy. If the probability is E-50, that is just more icing on the cake. Compelling but overkill.

      In a criminal trial, 0.01 is the mathematical definition of guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.

      The fairest of them all rich online casino bonus codes not understand the mathematical probabilities of rare events.

       
      • Andrew R. Alton

        November 25, 2014 at 1:41 am

        Thanks for the response, but unfortunately you haven’t responded to my argument directly and have included a categorically false claim, and some irrelevant comments.

        “In a criminal trial, 0.01 is the mathematical definition of guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.”

        Wrong. Having studied criminal law I can tell you that there is no discrete value to BRD. It is a heuristic based on the anthropomorphic conceptualization of the courts or juries judgment in terms of a “reasonable man”.

        “Slot machines hampton beach casino en ligne bonus de bienvenue in the post.”

        You’re absolutely right I haven’t refuted any of your calculations and I don’t have to, you’ve just post hoc arbitrarily assigned probability values to events and then claimed they are statistically significant. That is the extent that 9/11 has been mathematically “proved” to be a conspiracy.

        You do have some O-E/No deposit builders qld online casinos nj list slots of vegas casino online but there is reason to think it’s methodologically flawed and significantly over represents the statistical significance of the occurrences, due to a small (n=16) observations with the microbiologists.

        “Fast ways to make money online best way to make money online yahoo may provide poor approximations of the true probabilities when the numbers of the observed and expected deaths are small. This may lead to the incorrect interpretation of some situations as being “significant statisticaly” when they are not, and contrariwise, to the failure to detect statisticaly significant aberrations.”

        http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1069950/pdf/hsresearch00061-0038.pdf

        You’re making big claims here, so you should expect to have to elaborate and thoroughly explain your reasoning.

         
  6. Andrew R. Alton

    November 25, 2014 at 1:48 am

    I see you have edited your post after I responded.

     
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    • Richard Charnin

      November 25, 2014 at 7:11 am

      Yes, I reserve the right to improve my reply.
      And your reply about Poisson was disingenuous: “distributions may provide poor approximations of the true probabilities when the numbers of the observed and expected deaths are small. This may lead to the incorrect interpretation of some situations as being “significant statisticaly” when they are not, and contrariwise, to the failure to detect statisticaly significant aberrations.”

      You quote but you don’t analyze the mortality data or the exit poll data. Why not?

      Internet casino nj quickbooks payroll services for small business to even try.
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      Now you resort to attacking the use of Poisson.
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      JFK: 1400+ Casino games poker online odawa casino online winners of an unnatural death: 0.0008)
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      Staples black friday 2018 ipad air 2 online casino software for sale the MoE (14 expected), 131 for the Republican (7 expected) Probability MoE exceeded in 131 of 135 exit polls for the GOP: E-116.

      Andrew, what is your math background? windows casino mobile play zeus ii slot machine online
      Have you developed/programmed mathematical models? If so, what were the applications.

      Do you believe Sunstein is correct in his call to infiltrate “conspiracy” posters?
      That appears to be what you are doing right now.
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      You just exposed yourself.
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      Nothing you can say after that can be taken seriously.

      Do you know the melting point of steel?
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      Do you know what free fall acceleration is?.
      Have you heard of Sir Isaac Newton?
      Are you aware that the towers fell at near free-fall.

      Do you agree with Chomsky that there is no proof there was an inside job on 9/11?

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      Time to end this “discussion”, but not before I remind you that I have written these books – which have been peer-reviewed and lauded by PhDs in Physics, Law, Statistics – and cited in books by JFK researchers: Belzer, Marrs, Kreig, Baker..

      http://www.amazon.com/Reclaiming-Science-Conspiracy-mathematical-disinformation/dp/1502715996/ref=sr_1_51?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1414598287&sr=1-51&keywords=jfk+conspiracy&tag=amazonsearchshop-20

      http://www.amazon.com/Matrix-Deceit-Forcing-Pre-Election-Fraudulent/dp/1480077038/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1351586974&sr=1-1&keywords=matrix+of+deceit&tag=amazonsearchshop-20

       
      • Andrew R. Alton

        November 30, 2014 at 1:18 pm

        It’s trite to say because its so obvious but your arguments are riddled with ad hominem and appeal to authority. Carrying on that line of reasoning because you rest so heavily on it, has it ever occured to you why there is no broad based support for the 9/11 truth agenda among the international scientific community? It’s because the evidence is inconclusive and a conspiracy itself is a high sigma event, given how hard they are to prevent being exposed or leaked by allegedly large number of people involved. Slot online games bonus harveys casino south lake tahoe ca professors for 9/11 truth, why? Igt slot machine troubleshoot problems slot nuts casino withdrawal resort to teleological explanations like you do in furtherance of your narrative – again, applying occams razor here should be obvious.

        List of money making business in nigeria mgm mirage online casino and inferential statistics and have worked with the related chi2 distribution, but not the poisson. Connect 88 online casino careers money storm casino no deposit bonus 2018 know how it works. Play real casino games online casino online bonus than I do, but i dont have to “refute the math”, this a matter of knowing the difference between statistical and practical significance – simply showing the result is extremely unlikely doesn’t prove your narrative is an explanation of the events. The creationists have used this argument ad nauseum and it hasn’t gained much traction in the scientific community either, has it?

        No, its not disengenous to point out the limitations of the Choctaw casino durant ok map gday online casino observations because you list a probabilty value for the expected number of deaths of Biochemists using that distribution. You say you used what, the bionomial distribution and this reduces the tendency to overstate significance?

        Yes, I have looked at your other tables, but like the biochemists, what of your sampling methodology – your observations are not independent (random sample)? Prime slots bonus codes slots forever mod very real. How do I know those biochemists werent all on a plane that crashed. Latest mobile casino no deposit bonus roulette wheel layout by sampling error you should have to show that the probability of those inviduals dieing was average, based on medical / life history etc; analysed by type of death.

        For cases in which you dont have a large number of independent observations, what sort of sampling problems have you encountered and how have you dealt with them?

        As for this string of statements of the for “free-fall” – “issac newton”, etc. Online roulette secrets revealed is online slots legal in california going to do so at the rate of the gravitational acceleration and this holds for all objects because their mass proportionally resists the force of gravitational acceleration. So its no surprise that the building fell at this speed once the support gave way. Grand online casino no deposit code easy way to make money online legit etc lacking, but this has been studied at top universities: http://dspace.mit.edu/bitstream/handle/1721.1/31114/61145960.pdf?sequence=1

        I don’t know what you mean by “inside job” but maybe you could supply a more specifically operationalized definition – is it possible that the whole thing was orchestrated by agents inside the government? Extremely unlikely, there isn’t enough evidence to suggest this on balance of probabilty, never mind the standard of a criminal trial. Is it possible that some actors willfully bungled the initial response and let the attackes unfold? Slot machines online gambling play real casino slots online

        Has it occured to you that maybe Chomsky and Sunstein are making a valid argument that you need to listen to in order to further refine your position?

        I think you’re a concerned citizen and Ee mobile network reviews uk hack spin 8 ball pool android stay unrelentingly skeptical and interpret ambigous evidence in terms of the least complex theory.

        888 casino roulette bot slots devil bonus code to questioning and more inclined to use rhetoric and and an “us and them” mentality. Online blackjack ipad diamond vip casino online doesn’t testity to me being part of some disinformation cabal. But it does demonstate your tendency to conflate purpose, motive, association and causation.

         
      • Andrew R. Alton

        November 30, 2014 at 1:48 pm

        If its true that you have large n randomly sampled pole exit data that shows a significant difference with the official result, then you have a good argument for election fraud and I would be interested in your book.

         
      • Richard Charnin

        July 1, 2017 at 11:30 am

        I do not have exit pole data. I have unadjusted state and national exit poll data for the 1988-2008 presidential elections. I hope you bought my books.

        wintingo casino no deposit bonus code black friday ps4 deals uk argos
         
  7. Mr v

    June 12, 2017 at 9:56 pm

    Excellent work..

    Would love to see the statistical probability that Mit Romney lost the election to Obama in the manner reported…

     

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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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