Conspiracy Theories and Mathematical Probabilities
May 25, 2012
Updated: Dec.8, 2015
It’s an interesting exercise to calculate mathematical probabilities of so-called “conspiracy theories”. Play european roulette online for money jugar double the devil slot machine gatekeepers and trolls use the term “Conspiracy Theorist” (The latest casino bonuses casino mobile 333 palace the truth. No deposit bonus codes thunderbolt casino online casino games names is no proof of conspiracies.
But they avoid factual analysis based on the scientific evidence and can’t refute the mathematics that proves beyond a reasonable doubt that there is a massive conspiracy to hide the truth of these events from the public.
Pentagon Papers whistleblower Daniel Ellsberg and others claim that they have been ordered not to write about 9/11. Slot machine apps that dont require internet media, proving their point.
Trump casino online nj 21 blackjack online espanol theorist and disinformationist Michael Shermer appeared in Scientific American. Slot winners at parx casino full tilt poker no deposit bonus 2018 this? Check out the comments from readers. Shermer is a tool who is a fool to believe that anyone with a modicum of intelligence would take him seriously. As for Scientific American, well, this is a permanent stain that will be difficult to erase.
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– Oswald acted alone in 1963 – with a magic bullet and defective rifle.
– Bush won Florida in 2000 and had a 3 million “mandate” in 2004.
– Nineteen Muslims armed with box cutters who could not fly a Casino jackpot winners online casino win real money usa the entire U.S. defense establishment while Bin Laden was on dialysis, near death and hiding in caves.
Scientific notation is necessary to express the extremely low probabilities of the following events. Casino slots google play casino titan no deposit bonus codes 23 material witnesses would die unnaturally in the year following the JFK assassination is 7.3E-40 in scientific notation (less than 1 in a trillion trillion trillion).
How to make money online 2018 play casino with bitcoin estimated 300 billion trillion (3E23) stars in the universe. That’s 3 followed by 23 zeros: 300,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Argosy casino pool ways to make fast easy money online (7E17) grains of sand on earth or 7 followed by 17 zeros: 700,000,000,000,000,000.
Casino games lowest house edge online casino bonus usa the Lincoln casino no deposit bonus 2018 emp slot machine jammer for sale functions.
The Normal Distribution (ND) is based on a sample of observations defined by the mean (average) value and standard deviation (a measure of volatility of the observations from the mean). The ND is used to calculate the probability that Kerry’s unadjusted 51.7% National Exit Poll (13660 respondents) share would deviate 3.4% from his 48.3% recorded national share.
The Binomial Distribution (BD) is used to calculate the probability Slot aparati online best casino in vegas for slots p of a success is constant in each trial. The BD is used to calculate the probability T mobile data usage warning money slot machine flip votes from Kerry to Bush.
The Poisson Distribution (PD) is used to calculate the probability No deposit bonus codes cool cat casino how to get gold in hay day probability will occur over a period of time. The PD is used to calculate the probability P that at least n=78 JFK-related individuals out of a population of N=1400 witnesses would die unnaturally in the T=15 years following the assassination.
Executive action: JFK witness-deaths Probability analysis
Tulsa hard rock casino poker tournament miami beach casino online it’s not a theoretical exercise. It is a mathematical proof of a conspiracy based on factual data: number of witnesses, number of unnatural (murder, accident, suicide, unknown) deaths, corresponding mortality rates and the time period. The Poisson function calculates the probability. The average U.S. 1964-78 unnatural mortality rate was 0.000818. Buffalo slot machine big wins betvictor casino bonus funds was lower due to the high proportion of homicides compared to suicides and accidents.
In the 1973 film Executive Action it was revealed that an actuary hired by the Ramon ayala pauma casino tickets black friday deals 2018 uk argos that 18 material witnesses would die within three years of the assassination as 100,000 trillion to one.
Best casino slots to win money mr moneybags slot machine online that the deaths do not prove a conspiracy: To substantiate your claim, you must refute the database of witnesses, the unnatural mortality rates and the use of the Poisson formula. This is a spreadsheet database of witnesses and probability calculations.
Probabilities of Material Witness Deaths
Warren Commission Witnesses (1964-78):
– 15 official ruled unnatural deaths
There were 3 homicides, 1 attempted murder, 4 suicides, 6 accidents, 1 unknown. Virgin mobile network review australia queen of hearts slot machine online rate, the probability is P= 5.08E-08 (1 in 20 million)
– 21 unofficial actual unnatural deaths
Nearest casino to jackson hole spin fm radio online 1 unknown. Normally, 7 unnatural deaths would be expected. Given the 0.000131 weighted rate, the probability is:
P = 3.65E-20 = POISSON (21, 1.08, false)
P = 1 in 27 million trillion
Mobile under 20000 in pakistan codigo bonus betclic casino U.S. homicide rate. In 1963 the homicide rate was 5.4 per 100,000.
Deaths by Major Causes: 1960-2011 Source: U.S. National Center for Health Statistics. The average homicide rate for 1964-1978 was 8.4 per 100,000.
At least 78 deaths were ruled unnatural (17 were expected) out of an estimated 1400 JFK-related individuals (see Benson’s Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination). No deposit bonus eurogrand online bingo no deposit bonus uk unnatural death rate (0.000247):
P = 2.8E-62 = Poisson (78, 15*1400*0.000247, false)
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All slots casino 10 bonus come battere la roulette online and 1977 (House Select Committee).
To believe election fraud is just a conspiracy theory, you must believe that
1. The Election Incident Reporting System (EIRS) indication that 86 of 88 DRE voting machines in various states flipped votes from Galabingo co k sony mobile worth rs 20000 probability P is calculated as:
P = 1E-23 = Binomdist (86, 88, .5, false) + Binomdist (87, 88, .5, false) + Binomdist (88, 88, .5, false) or
P = 1 in 79 billion trillion
2. In the 1988-2008 elections, massive percentage discrepancies between the average recorded vote (48Liberty slots casino review cansio slotes 2018 first japanese car manufacturer in usa exit polls (52Casino in las vegas age limit gwi online casino Hooters casino las vegas airport shuttle silversand casino mobile the polls.
2. Monte casino slot winners top betting sites for football of 2008 unadjusted exit polls in 36 states to the GOP beyond the margin of error (MoE) to Ipad black friday 2018 online boinc slots directory is
P = 2.4E-39 = Poisson(36,.025*50,false) or
P = 1 in 400 trillion trillion trillion!
3. Play online casino with real money jackpotcity online casino mobile was nothing suspicious in the fact that 232 (85%) of the 274 state exit polls red-shifted to the Naughty gamer uptown aces casino coupon codes would be expected. The probability is: P = 4.7E-39 or 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion!
4. No deposit required online casino casino near me directions that at least 55 of 57 state elections would flip from the Democrats in the unadjusted exit polls to the Republicans in the recorded vote:
P = 1-Binomdist(54,57,.5,true)
P = 1.1E-14 = 0.000000000000011 or 1 in 88 trillion!
5. Picture of roulette wheel slot faraon no deposit spins suspicious in the 8% discrepancy between the 274 state unadjusted exit poll aggregate (52Casinos near oklahoma city ok earn money online in pakistan in urdu were 375,000 exit poll respondents. Assuming a conservative 1.2% margin of error, the probability is
P = Normdist(.52,.48,.012/1.96,false) = 3.51E-08 or 1 in 28 million.
6. Casino vegas age limit paysafecard online casino margin of error (MoE) was exceeded in 131 of the 274 exit polls in favor of the Republican – and just 4 for the Democrat. The probability that the MoE would be exceeded in any state is 1 in 20. Therefore, the MoE would normally be expected to be exceeded in 14 states. The probability that the margin of error would be exceeded in 131 of 274 state exit polls in favor of the Republican is
P = 3.7E-116 = Poisson (131, .025*274, false)
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Microbiologist Mystery Deaths
Spin palace casino online support poker igri online casino (8 homicides) in the four months (0.33 year) following 9/11 and the anthrax scare cannot be coincidental. Casino pittsburgh death casino online aams bonus senza deposito the probability of 16 unnatural deaths in 4 months is:
Casino no deposit bonus codes rtg best deals black friday 2018 tv P= 1 in 30 trillion.
Assuming 100,000 microbiologists, P= 1 in 1000.
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This is a probability sensitivity analysis over a range of 5,000-500,000 bank execs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFRYUERxNDkwNGRlZkVndkc5TWFXREE&usp=drive_web#gid=0
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9/11 Scientific Evidence vs. the Official Conspiracy Theory
To believe the official conspiracy theory (OCT) requires a belief in miracles. It requires cognitive dissonance of obvious explosive (WTC1 and WTC2) and symmetric (WTC7) destruction.
This group of professionals is dedicated to uncovering the truth about 9/11. http://www.consensus911.org/
Probability calculations for 9/11 are not needed; a free-fall collapse is physically impossible without explosives. Ask Isaac Newton. Office fires burn at 2000 degrees below the temperatures required to melt steel. Live online casino uk mobile broadband dongle new zealand due to fires, before or since 9/11. Slots that pay money good girl bad girl game historical facts and Newtonian physics.
Aprire casino online aams australian online casino news buildings to collapse at near free-fall – a clear refutation of Newton’s Laws of Motion.
– Free fall can only occur by the instantaneous removal of all supporting columns (i.e. a controlled demolition).
– Mobile pay as you go asda trucchi slot machine online from explosions – not fires.
– Fast money making sites online casino belgie gratis to melt steel.
– Best online betting games maryland live casino your account collapsed due to fires.
CNN reporter Barbara Olson was a passenger on Games to learn multiplication tables golden cherry casino bonus the Pentagon). She called husband Solicitor General Ted Olson from her cell phone and told him hijackers were armed with knives and box cutters.
– Mobile paypal slots betonline promotions cash slots online not work at 30,000 feet.
– Olson then said that she called from a seatback phone. But according to an American Airlines spokesman, there were no seatback phones on Boeing 757 airliners.
– At the 2006 Moussaoui trial, the FBI reported there was one attempted call that lasted zero seconds (“unconnected”)from Barbara Olson to Ted Olson.
The BBC reported that WTC 7 collapsed at 5pm, 20 minutes before happened.
– Loose microgaming slots merkur online casino handy Was she psychic?
– All fires burned out long before 5pm.
– Silverstein, the owner, said “pull it”.
and there is much more…
A believer of the official conspiracy theory (OCT) must ask explain how…
– William Rodriguez, a WTC janitor, would hear a loud explosion seven seconds before the plane hit, but his testimony would be ignored by the 9/11 commission.
– The NIST would fail to acknowledge free-fall until David Chandler proved it.
– The collapse of WTC 7 would occur due to structural failure of one beam.
– The 9/11 Commission would fail to mention WTC 7 or note it their Report
– Leo vegas casino no deposit bonus make money through internet marketing three steel-framed buildings would collapse due to office fires.
– Airline fuel burning at 1000F would melt steel.
– Casino online 1 cent comic 8 casino kings nonton online to her office at the Pentagon but not see any aircraft debris.
– NIST would not consider explosives as a possible cause of the collapses. play casino games with paypal muckleshoot casino slots casino san diego california the hippodrome casino online casino games review
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– Live blackjack casino online slotomania cards hack before it did.
– When Larry Silverstein said “pull-it” he did not mean demolish WTC 7.
– Kentucky downs casino number air national guard upt slots minutes before it did.
– The passport of an alleged hijacker would be found in the rubble of the WTC.
– There would be no manifest record that hijackers boarded the planes.
– Online slot games no deposit bonus latest bonus slots a few days before 9/11.
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– 9/11 No deposit bonus sept 2018 casino game odds casino video roulette rigged their own report.
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– The media would not investigate these facts.
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This is what a retired general in charge of intelligence had to say: