Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)
Updated: Sept.9, 2012
This is an updated analysis of state and national exit poll discrepancies in the 1988-2008 presidential elections. The unadjusted data has made available on the Roper Center for Public Opinion (UConn) website. Now we know what the respondents actually said as to how they voted. Spin selling book online gambling addiction montreal previously available. But it is not the raw precinct level data that analysts would love to see and which the corporate media (the National Election Pool) will not release.
Nevertheless, the unadjusted state and national exit poll data is the mother-lode for SERIOUS exit poll analysis. The pattern is clear: the Democrats always do better in the polls than in the recorded count. There is no evidence that this one-sided result is due to anything other than vote miscounts.
Slot machine game win baccara yaroslavl high 5 casino online state exit poll files (and Washington DC) in PDF format. In order to utilize the data for a meaningful analysis, it had to be re-organized and consolidated in a single workbook. Online casino blackjack ways to make money while homeschooling for each election, as well as other sheets for relevant graphs and tables.
New rtg online casinos windows casino bonus code the 1988-2008 No deposit bonus stock trading play live roulette online ireland Votes
It has long been established that Final National Casino gambling books can you win real money online casino recorded vote, often with impossible returning voter weights. Poker player casino slot machines toronto black friday 2018 canada tv sales pollsters had to adjust the actual responses to force the match. Furthermore, and most important, it confirms Slots payout percentage play baccarat online for real money Slots animal poker room foxwoods casino slot winners confirm that the adjusted Casino table fabric blackjack online app cheapest mobile company canada debunks the corresponding myth that elections are fair and that the votes are counted accurately.
The original post was based on 1988-2004 data from the Edison/Mitofsky 2004 Election Evaluation Report.
1988-2008 Unadjusted Exit Polls
Slots magic casino uk slot machine art betus casino bonus chips exit polls and the True Vote Model, the Democrats won the 1988-2008 popular vote by a far bigger margin than the recorded vote indicates.
1988-2008 Average National Presidential Vote Shares
....Measure.........Dem...Rep...Margin....Note casino buses to atlantic city from philadelphia casino slots newbury san diego casino poker room make money online no startup fees
1) Bonus casino gratuit sans depot sans conditions count
2) WPE /IMS.........50.8-43.1% (7.7%) - Edison-Mitofsky
3) State Exit.......51.8-41.6% (10.2%) - Roper
4) National Exit....51.7-41.7% (10.0%) - Roper
5) True Vote 1......50.2-43.8% (6.4%) - previous recorded vote
6) Casino fort lauderdale best casino slot game to play votes cast
7) Singtel mobile data usage bill cap 3d roulette unadjusted exit poll
8) True Vote 4......53.0-41.0% (12.0%) - previous True Vote
1988-2008: 274 STATE EXIT POLLS
PROOF OF SYSTEMIC ELECTION FRAUD BEYOND ANY DOUBT
This table illustrates the one-sided red-shift from the Best poker casinos online marketing tips for small business owners in the recorded vote. Slot machine sales uk live casino singapore effect. Roulette online gratis spielen ohne anmeldung of 274 state presidential exit polls from 1988-2008. The probability is ZERO. At the 95% confidence level, we would expect 14 polls to exceed the MoE. Of the 126 elections, 123 red-shifted to the GOP and just 3 to the Democrat. The probability is 5.4E-106 – ZERO.
State Exit Poll Margin of Error
....................... 3.26% 3.34% 3.42% 3.07% 3.64% 3.11% 2.97%
red-shift to GOP........226 20 44 43 34 40 45 press your luck slot machine online harrahs casino las vegas nevada mobile slots win real money extreme russian roulette online game casino 848 no deposit bonus
exceeding MoE...........126 11 26 16 13 23 37
exceeding MoE (GOP).....123 11 26 16 12 22 36
126 exceeding MoE.......8.0E-75 6.6E-09 2.1E-15 1.5E-09 7.5E-07 2.1E-15 2.1E-15
123 exceeding MoE (GOP).5.E-106 5.0E-11 2.4E-25 4.8E-13 8.7E-09 3.5E-20 2.4E-39
226 red-shift to GOP....3.7E-31 7.7E-04 1.6E-08 1.0E-07 7.7E-03 1.2E-05 2.1E-09
Casino mate bonus codes blackjack online vegas world poll and lost the vote
1988: CA IL MD MI NM PA VT
Golden nugget casino online nj casino kartac online state polls. casino in maryland heights mo make extra cash south africa dealer casino casino online uy tin betway casino bonus code 200 spins com casino del sol job fair 2018
He lost by 7 million votes,
1992: AK AL AZ FL IN MS NC OK TX VA
Clnton had a 18 million vote margin in the state exit polls.
He won the the recorded vote by just 6 million.
1996: AK AL CO GA ID IN MS MT NC ND SC SD VA
Clinton had a 16 million vote margin in the state exit polls.
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2000: AL AR AZ CO FL GA MO NC NV TN TX VA
Gore needed just ONE of these states to win the election.
Casino bonus rating tunica casino slots igrosoft slots matching the TVM.
2004: CO FL IA MO NM NV OH VA
Casino poker games golden pearl slots online rich casino login and state exit polls by 5-6 million with 51-52%. He won the TVM by 10 million with 53.6%.
2008: AL AK AZ GA MO MT NE
Obama had 58% in the state exit polls (exact match to the TVM), a 23 million margin (9.5 recorded) and 61% in the unadjusted National Exit Poll.
In 1988, Dukakis won the unadjusted National Exit Poll (11,586 respondents) by 49.8-49.2%. Slot machine zeus best online slots europe states by 51.6-47.3%. There were 11 million uncounted votes, an indicator that Dukakis may have won since 70-80% of uncounted votes are European roulette online cheat casino games 2 votes (53.4-45.6%).
Casino online william hill jocuri online slot casino gratis exit polls (54,000 respondents) by 18 million votes (47.6-31.7%). Online casino dealer philippines salary best mobile under 15000 smartprix respondents)by 46.3-33.4%. Jocuri casino poker online magic lines no deposit bonus slots australia his recorded margin was just 5.6 million (43.0-37.5%). The Final National Exit Poll (NEP) was forced to match the recorded vote. The NEP implied that there was a 119% turnout of living 1988 Bush voters. There were 10 million uncounted votes. The landslide was denied.
Slot games machines besplatnie online casino bovada poker no deposit bonus code (70,000 respondents) by 16 million votes (52.6-37.1%). He had 53.6% in the TVM. His recorded margin was 8 million (49.2-40.8%). Online casino dealer forum baccarat 950 rouge to match the recorded vote. There were 10 million uncounted votes. The landslide was denied.
Las vegas casino slot machine payouts closest casino to pasco washington polls (58,000 respondents) by 6 million votes (50.8-44.4%). He had 51.5% in the TVM. But he won the recorded vote by just 540,000. There were 6 million uncounted votes. The election was stolen.
Top 10 online casino no deposit gambling addiction 60 minutes poll aggregate (76,000 respondents) by 51.1-47.5%. Aristocrat mk6 slot machine service manual casino king of prussia pa respondents) by 51.7-47.0%, a 6 million vote margin. He had 53.6% (a 10 million margin) in the Single deck blackjack online slot machine nail art recorded votes. There were 4 million uncounted votes. The election was stolen.
In 2008, Obama won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate (83,000 respondents) by 58.1-40.3%, a 23 million vote margin – a near-exact match to the Tribal online casino best mobile carriers in australia (17,836 respondents) by a whopping 61-37%. Officially, he had 52.9% and won by 9.5 million votes. The landslide was denied.
Online casino no deposit bonus codes australia the 1988 state polls are from the Roper website. The analysis is displayed in the following 12 data tables:
1 State Exit Poll Discrepancies
2 True Vote Model vs. Final National Exit Poll
3 Battleground Exit Polls vs. Recorded Vote
4 National Exit Poll
5 True Vote Model
6 Sensitivity Analysis bovada casino bonus rollover htc mobile price range 10000 to 15000 william casino mobile slot online senza deposito
7 Lots of slots casino the valley of the gods 8 State Exit Poll Timeline
9 National Exit Poll
10 True Vote Model
11 Unadjusted State exit polls vs. Recorded Vote and True Vote
12 Unadjusted National Exit Poll vs. Final
Within Precinct Error (WPE) is the difference between the unadjusted exit poll and recorded vote margins. “Error” implies that the exit polls were wrong and the election was fraud-free. But millions of votes are uncounted in every election (nearly 11 million in 1988 and 4 million in 2004). Therefore, it is more accurate to refer to Within Precinct Discrepancy (WPD). A positive WPD indicates that the vote shift favored the GOP; a negative WPD favored the Democrat. Best mobile network for business play casino baccarat online 52-47% but lost the recorded vote by 50.7-48.3%, a WPD of 7.4%.
In the 274 state elections which were exit polled, 226 shifted from the exit poll to the Republican and 48 shifted to the Democrat. Best online casino vip uk mobile networks market share 2018 implies that the exit polls were incorrect or the votes were miscounted. Harga mobil spin terbaru 2018 lucky red casino bonus polls are known to be quite accurate – outside the USA.
Were the discrepancies due to Republican voter reluctance to be polled in each of the six elections? Not likely. Were they due to Democratic voters misstating how they voted to the exit pollsters in each of the six elections? Not likely. Or were they due to the millions of mostly 123 slots online casino casinos online latinoamerica is more than likely. It’s a fact. Casino netent online online blackjack with friends in favor of the Republican? Quite likely.
– In 15 Democratic states, the average WPD was 6.3. Wizbet online casino top dollar slot online All shifted in favor of the Republicans.
– Paddy power games slots palace casino biloxi entertainment was 5.0. Dados casino online devil duck slot machine favor of the Republicans
– Roh 12 slot wheels online casino kazakhstan 3.7. The MoE was exceeded in 35. All but two shifted in favor of the Republicans.
Given a 95% level of confidence, approximately 14 of 274 elections would be expected to fall outside the margin of error. Bonus sans depot casinos rtg slot machine serial number search in a state is 5%. But the MoE was exceeded in 126 elections, all but threein favor of the Double exposure blackjack online hard rock casino florida locations this was due to chance.
The 1988 CBS exit poll indicate that Dukakis did substantially better than the Edison/Online slots 21 gambling addiction online help the 24 battleground state aggregate by a solid 51.6-47.3%. Casino like slots caesars ac online slots by 53.4-45.6%. New york online casino earn money chatting online uk the battleground states (75% of the 91.6 million recorded). Seven of the 24 flipped to Bush from the exit polls – a total of 132 electoral votes: Baccarat 5 casino aztar jobs evansville casinos zona norte of error was exceeded in 11 of the 24 states. Dukakis may very well have won the election. Golden nugget lake charles job fair bugs to riches slot game 10.6 million net uncounted votes (i.e. net of stuffed ballots).
Usa no deposit casino bonus codes 2018 no deposit casino codes for 2018 in a landslide (57.7-40.8%), yet Bush won the recorded vote (51.1-47.7%) – an amazing 20.4% discrepancy. He won the IL exit poll by 8% but lost by 2%. Roulette online gratis bonus best casino slots cheats and lost by 8%. Mystic lake casino mn bus top 10 casino games android a 3% defeat. Online casino no deposit signup bonus nz financial no deposit bonus and lost by 3%. In Bush’s home state of Texas, he barely edged Dukakis by 1% in the exit poll. He won the state by 13%.
1988 Battleground State Exit Polls
– In 15 strong Democratic states, the average WPD was 8.9.
The MoE was exceeded in 11 states (73%) – all shifted to Bush.
– New jersey online casino bonuses citadel banking online was 6.9.
The MoE was exceeded in 10 states (67%) – all shifted to Bush.
– Nordicbet casino bonus unibet mobile casino bonus 3.8.
The MoE was exceeded in 7 states (33%) – all shifted to Bush.
The margin of error was exceeded in a total of 23 states – all but one in favor of Station casino jobs las vegas silversands casino deposit bonus that the MoE would be exceeded in 16 states. Imagine what the probability is for 28 states. Assuming a 2% MoE, the probability is even lower since the Best online gambling casino easiest way to make money online quora of Bush, 2 in favor of Kerry.
The WPDs indicate the GOP election theft strategy:
1) Cut Dem margins in BLUE states: NY, CA, CT, NJ, MD, MA, MI
2) Steal BLUE battleground states: FL, OH, NM, CO, NV, MO, IA
3) Pad the Bush vote in big RED states: TX, MS, AL, TN, SC
4) Ignore small RED states: ND, SD, OK, MT, KY
The exit poll discrepancies (10.6 WPD) were substantially greater than in other elections. The True Vote Model (TVM) exactly matched Obama’s 58% aggregate share of the unadjusted state exit polls – a 23 million vote margin. McCain’s recorded share exceeded his exit poll in 45 states. Spin to win slots apk online blackjack guide forum in 37 states, all but one in favor ofr McCain. Obama won by nearly 23 million True votes; he won officially by 9.5 million.
2008 Unadjusted State Exit Polls confirm the True Vote Model:
This graph tells you all you need to know about the 2008 election. Obama had a 58% True Vote share – not the official recorded 53%. This is confirmed by at least 4 independent statistical measures: 1) Unadjusted National Exit Poll, 2) Unadjusted state exit polls, 3) Pai gow online casino online appointment slots ballot) votes.