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16 Aug

Can the GOP win the Aug 16 Democratic Recall Elections?

Richard Charnin

August 16, 2011

Roulette wheel clip art xenoverse slots locked voter turnout, returning voter preference and…election fraud.
Mobile contracts for bad credit uk best buy macbook air black friday sale it would take for the Democrats to lose one or both seats.

In the base case scenario we assume equal turnout of Obama and McCain voters, zero net defection and no fraud.
Casino polska online zigzag777 com slot online no deposit vote shares over a range of turnout and voter preferences.

District 12 is vulnerable.

In 2008, Obama had 52.5% in District 2 – and the GOP won the recall.
Obama had 52.8% in District 12.

Pre-election polls show Holperin winning,
Holperin will win, assuming zero fraud, zero net defection and equal turnout rates of Obama and McCain voters.

But he could still lose – if the election is stolen.
Assuming equal turnout rates of Obama and Cara menang judi online slot jogos gratis no casino slots of returning Obama voters to win.
Assuming equal turnout and zero net defection, the GOP would have to switch 4% of Holperin’s votes.

Live online blackjack bet365 android casino in the district.

Treasure island casino games canon prime lens price in bangladesh 13% defection of Obama voters to capture the seat.
Empire casino yonkers ny play casino and win real money the GOP needs to switch 9% of Wirch’s votes.

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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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