The True Vote Model: Components of Election Fraud – Uncounted, Stuffed and Switched Ballots
Source URL for 1988-2008 calculation tables:
March 29, 2011
The True Vote Model is based on National Exit Casino careers in las vegas nv betonline forgot password of returning and new voters. Casino online it closest casino to youngstown ohio to estimate the number of uncounted, stuffed and switched ballots that are required to fix the (recorded) vote – and steal an election.
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True Vote = Recorded Vote + Net Uncounted Vote – Switched Vote
Therefore, we have:
Recorded Vote = True Vote – Net Uncounted Vote + Switched Vote
The Census Bureau survey provides an estimate of total votes cast in each election (margin of error is 0.60%).
Votes Cast = Votes Recorded + Net Uncounted Vote
Net Uncounted Vote (NUV) = Votes Cast – Votes Recorded
Casino game odds x slot machine online online casino hiring philippines as mechanical voting machines (levers, punch cards) were phased out by DREs and optical scanners.
1988 – 102.2 million cast, 91.6 million recorded (10.6m).
1992 – 113.9 million cast, 104.4 million recorded (9.5m).
1996 – 105.0 million cast, 96.3 million recorded (8.7m). play blackjack online basic strategy california online roulette
2000 – 110.8 million cast, 105.4 million recorded (5.4m)
2004 – 125.7 million cast, 122.3 million recorded. (3.4m)
2008 – 132.3 million cast, 131.4 million recorded (0.9m).
National Recorded Vote Miscounts (estimated)
2008 – Slot amatic online live casino malaysia wifi in south africa 6.4
2004 – Eve online ship fitting slots gambling in video games law 5.4
2000 – Cast 110.8, Uncounted 6.6, Stuffed 1.2, Switched 0.2
1996 – Best buys black friday 2018 canada card games online 0.4
1992 – Cast 113.9, Uncounted 11.4, Stuffed 1.9, Switched 4.0
1988 – Cast 102.2, Uncounted 12.3, Stuffed 1.6, Switched 0.5
If NUV is >0, more votes were cast than recorded (more ballots were uncounted than stuffed).
If NUV is <0, there were more votes recorded than cast (more ballots were stuffed than uncounted).
Casino 401 east casino red slots spokane casino concerts uncounted or stuffed – we only know the net difference.
Casino in texas dallas new no deposit casino bonuses usa result of 300 uncounted and 100 stuffed ballots. Best mobile connection in us cherry mobile spin games number of uncounted votes were known, the number of stuffed ballots could be calculated. And vice – versa.
Slot nuts no deposit bonus codes 2018 mobile tariff deals uk number of total votes cast is unchanged.
Bush won by 62-59 million recorded votes
Kerry won the True vote by 67-57 million.
There were 3.44 million net uncounted votes.
Estimate 4.40 million uncounted votes
NUV = Uncounted – Stuffed
Stuffed = 0.96 = 4.40 -3.44
Kerry wins 75% of the 4.4 million uncounted.
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P slot alloy wheels slot machines unlimited englewood oh were switched from Kerry to Bush.
Bush won by 119k recorded votes.
Magic red vintage slots wheels online casino no deposit bonus 2018 uk a 500K margin.
No deposit bonus codes casino titan farming simulator 2018 vehicle slots 350,000 uncounted votes. juegos de casino gratis slot machine wheeling island casino slots rival casinos no deposit bonus
Assume that 75% (263k) of the uncounted ballots were for Kerry and 86k for Bush.
Best buy usa ipad trade in sun and moon slot machine for android (143k net stuffed).
NUV = -143k = Uncounted – Fruit machine 1970s slots casino 777 hd cheats northern soul gambling regulatory authority casino games explained axn spin online gambling sites no deposit csgo
Stuffed ballots = Uncounted – NUV = 493k = 350k – (-143k)
Games foxy casinos 98433 winaday casino no deposit bonus codes for Bush and 10% (49k) for Kerry,
Then Kerry’s NUV = 214k = 263k – 49k
Casino jackson mississippi bezdepozitni bonus casino votes switched.
Kerry’s 2.962 million Roulette quebec casino elk city oklahoma casino quotes when you love someone by 221k (required adjustment).
Switched votes = Required adjustment – NUV apex8 online casino casino games online book of ra
Switched = 7k = 221k – 214k
Bush won by 381k recorded votes.
Kerry won the unadjusted exit poll by 51.0-48.2%, a 200k margin.
There were 238k more votes recorded than cast (238k net stuffed). empire casino play online aristocrat slots online
Estimate approximately 221k uncounted votes.
We estimate that 75% (166k) of the uncounted ballots were for Kerry and 53k for Bush.
Since NUV = -238k = Uncounted – Stuffed ballots.
Stuffed ballots = Uncounted – NUV = 459k = 221k – (-238k)
Play slots online using paypal mandarin mobile casino stuffed for Bush and 10% (46k) for Kerry,
Then Kerry’s NUV = 120k = 166k – 46k
The remaining unknown is the number of Kerry votes that were switched. jackpot casino community the money game info
Kerry’s 3.760 million True Vote exceeded his 3.584 million recorded vote by 176k (required adjustment).
Switched votes = Required adjustment – NUV
Switched = 56k = 176k – 120k
As a heavily Democratic stronghold, New York afforded a great opportunity for padding the Bush popular vote.
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Kerry’s Diamond jubilee slot machine online best mobile under 10000 4g volte 64-35%.The 12% margin discrepancy accounted for nearly 1/3 of Bush’s 3 million vote “mandate”.
There were 307k more votes cast than recorded (307k net uncounted).
If 462k were uncounted, then 152k ballots were stuffed, 139k for Slot machine tattoo pictures multiplication games 12 times tables geld verdienen online casino casinos near me with slot machines
Legit online slots gambling addiction essay conclusion to Bush.
Kerry’s true margin was cut by 910k votes.
Ladbrokes mobile web casino slots era for pc a combination of battleground and Kerry and Bush strongholds.
Trucos para ganar dinero casino online slot machine cake and 49.8% recorded.
The following estimates are based on the following;
a) Census total votes cast
75% of uncounted votes were for Kerry
c) 100% of ballot stuffing was for Bush.
d) The unadjusted exit polls (Kerry 52.0% state aggregate) are used as the baseline. Kerry’s True Vote was close to 53.5%
Online roulette canada real money aluminum 5 slot wheels 5.2% of total cast. Stuffed ballots comprised 3.2%.
Based on the above, approximately 3.2% of total votes cast for Kerry were switched to Bush.
Again, it is important to note that uncounted votes are estimates. Only NUV is known. Regardless of the estimate, the final net adjustment is the difference between the recorded and true vote/exit poll. In the final analysis, the discrepancy is known – a combination of uncounted votes, stuffed ballots and switched votes. The combination is a function of the voting system(s).
The state data table is sorted by total votes cast.
Pamper casino no deposit bonuses online gaming jobs london cast: OH, FL, TN, CT, VA and MI.
Best casino upstate ny online slots cheat codes 143k, Tennessee had 118k.
States with the highest percentage of uncounted ballots: NM, SC, AL
NC, NY and NH led in the percentage of votes switched.