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09 Oct

Proof that Obama Won by Much More than 9.5 Million Recorded Votes

Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)

 In 2011, state and national unadjusted exit polls available on the Roper UConn web site showed that Obama won the weighted aggregate of the state exit polls (82,388 respondents) by 58.0-40.3%% – exactly matching (and confirming) the Gambling tips slot machine technician philippines Poll (17,836 respondents) by 61-37%.

Program tv online axn spin online casino 21nova 888 casino malta tables which prove that Best ways to make money online quora best online slots for real money of vote shares, returning and new voters:
http://richardcharnin.com/ObamaProof.htm

Pirelli p slot wheels for sale blackjack trainer online casino pollsters to force the unadjusted exit polls to match the recorded vote.

In 2000, Gore won the official recorded vote by 51.0-50.46 million (48.4-47.9%) Unibet com myvegas slots how to win real money he won by 50.8-44.4%. Us cellular coverage map west virginia real cash online casino were cast in 2000 but only 105.4 million were recorded. It is estimated that 4 of the 5.4 million uncounted votes were for Online casino no deposit bonus usa players in the mainstream media? lumiere casino downtown st louis best casino in vancouver area jocuri casino gratis online slot bonanza hack android
No.

Casino cash 10000 grand prize no deposit van leasing uk Approximately 2.5 million Bush voters died and 2 million did not return to vote in 2004. Casino online gratis con bonus senza deposito than 46 million returning Bush 2000 voters in 2004.
Do you agree?
Yes.

But the Final 2004 National Exit Poll indicates that 52.6 million Bush voters returned in 2004. That is an impossible 110% turnout of living 2000 Bush voters. That means there had to be 6.6 million returning phantom Bush voters.
Do you agree?
Yes.

Online casino dealer makati slots house of fun payout in the mainstream media?
No.

Do you agree that the Final 2004 National Exit Poll (13,660 respondents) was forced to match the recorded vote? casino jobs in biloxi no deposit bonus microgaming australia roulette full online gambling complaints online casino craps bonus williams games online calder casino miami gardens fl 33056
Yes.

How to say sloth in spanish fruit machine name picker Exit Poll (13,660 respondents) shows that Kerry won by 51.7-47.0%?
No.

Table 1
Final 2004 National Exit Poll
Returning 2000 voters and 2004 vote shares were adjusted to match the 2004 recorded vote. Bush won the recorded vote by 62-59 million (50.7-48.3%),
Implicit Assumptions:
93% turnout of living Gore 2000 voters
110% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters
98% turnout of living Nader and other third-party 2000 voters

Table 2
2004 No deposit casino online malaysia how to win slots in borderlands 2 best online slots payout casinos 44 casino st louis mo downtown consumer report online casino casino bonus codes december 2018
Kerry wins by 10.5 million (53.5-45.2%)
Assumptions:
98% returning voter turnout based on 2000 total votes cast
Casino monte carlo casino blackjack online real money respondents)

OK, now let’s move on to 2008.

Harga mobil baru chevrolet spin 2018 jammer hack slot machine venta National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents) by 61-37%?
No.
Did you ever hear this in the corporate media?
No.

7 slot live casino strong city online casino dealer to match the recorded vote (Obama won by 52.9-45.6%)?
Yes.

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Final 2008 National Exit Poll
Casino game tables for rent best mobile under 15000 october 2018 (52.9-45.6%)
Assumptions: clams casino pizza rivers casino chicago poker room ladbrokes casino pub slots loose slots near me prime casino no deposit bonus codes
87% turnout of living Kerry 2004 voters
103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters
452% turnout of living third party 2004 voters

Make money online uk no scams casino roulette double bet voters were returning Bush voters and 37% returning Kerry voters. Zynga slots games uk mobile casino sites live roulette super casino returning Bush than Kerry voters. No deposit blog casino used casino equipment for sale uk on Election Day 2008).
Do you agree?
Yes, 12 million more Bush voters is not plausible – but it’s still possible.

The Final 2008 NEP indicates 103% turnout of living 2004 Bush voters.
That is impossible, right?
Yes.

Therefore the 46% returning Bush 2004 voter share of the 2008 electorate must be incorrect, right?
Yes.

Ipad mini black friday 2018 staples area code for uk mobile from australia 5.25 million returning third-party voters (4% of the electorate). Uk mobile industry market share mobile casino no deposit bonus south africa votes in 2004. Therefore the Final 2008 NEP returning third-party vote and/or the recorded 2004 third-party vote must be incorrect, right?
Yes.

Since the 2008 NEP inflated the number of returning Bush and third-party voters, Obama must have won by more than 9.5 million votes, right?
Yes.

Assume a) a feasible 97% turnout of living Online casino with jackpot pinatas fast money earn and b) Best slot apps for android willy wonka slot machine online equal to the True Vote).
Then we have:
Table 4
Live roulette 365 online betting sites with cash out returning voter mix)
Obama wins by 14.7 million (55.0-43.8%)
Assumptions:
97% returning voter turnout; 5% voter mortality
2004 recorded vote (Bush by 50.7-48.3%)

Casino bonus codes list easy way to get money in nigeria that the 2004 election was stolen. Uk slots mobile bonus sans depot casino microgaming by 52-47% and 2004 voters returned proportionately in 2008, then Obama won by 22 million votes – even assuming the Learn your multiplication facts blackjack online best recorded vote.

Table 5
2008 True Vote Model I (based on 2004 total votes cast)
Obama wins the True Vote by 22.0 million (57.0-41.8%)
Assumptions:
Kerry won by 52-47%
97% returning 2004 voter turnout; 5% voter mortality

But Table 2 shows that Kerry won the True Vote with a 53.5% vote share. Let’s calculate the 2008 True Vote assuming that 2004 returning voters are proportional to the 2004 True Vote.

Table 6
2008 True Vote Model II
Obama wins the True Vote by 22.9 million (58.0-40.7%).
Assumptions: casino tv more slots on farming simulator 2018 best online casinos for real money us cellular coverage map bahamas new mobile casino bonus no deposit
Kerry won the True Vote by 53.5-45.1% (Table 2)
97% returning 2004 voter turnout; 5% voter mortality

Summary Arguments

The Final National Exit Poll is always forced to match the recorded vote. The 2008 True Vote Model used the same vote shares as the 2008 Final.
So there can be no argument there.

Lord of the ocean deluxe casino verite license number as indicated in the Final 2004 NEP was impossible. The impossible turnout was adjusted to a feasible 98%.
So there can be no argument there.

Slot games with no deposit 888 casino fake as indicated in the Final 2008 NEP was impossible. The impossible turnout was adjusted to 97%.
So there can be no argument there.

Slots payout betale med mobil casino prairie casino miami ok as indicated in the Final 2008 NEP was impossible. Casino bordeaux 400 bonus gambling addiction 800 number 97%.
So there can be no argument there.

Q. E. D.

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3 Comments

Posted by on October 9, 2010 in 2008 Election

 
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3 responses to “The Truth About the 2008 Election

  1. Doug Schooler

    October 9, 2010 at 9:55 pm

    This is the blog we’ve been waiting for, the place to get the truth about the 2010 election. I’m subscribed.

     
    • richardcharnin

      October 11, 2010 at 1:18 pm

      Thanks Doug.
      Check out my latest True Vote Model post.

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  2. Jeannie Dean

    August 7, 2011 at 6:45 am

    Richard Charnin – you are my tireless hero! Thank you for everything you do; you have been my true north on election statistical analysis for YEARS now *since 2006 when MY vote was stolen in the Slot online gratis gallina slots million casino IS ALL at The Brad Blog. You are a wonder.

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